Jamestown China Brief
@ChinaBriefJT
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Deep, timely analysis of PRC strategic trends. rt=/=endorsement. Subscribe to our biweekly newsletter at …
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Pinned Tweet
🚨NEW REPORT🚨
For China Brief,
@adrianzenz
analyzes a leaked copy of Volkswagen's audit of its factory Xinjiang.
A leaked full copy of the confidential audit of Volkswagen's Xinjiang factory shows that key statements made by
@VW
about the audit were false or misleading.
The audit suffers from severe methodological shortcomings & failed to protect interviewed Uyghur staff. Full report:🧵
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707
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Despite his tight control over internal propaganda and the police-state apparatus, Xi faces strong challenges to retaining his near-absolutist power, by Willy Wo-Lap Lam,
2
19
74
Write for us! Please pitch short form analyses on
#China
economics, domestic politics, international relations, security and defense, society and culture, environment, and tech to cbeditor
@jamestown
.org or click here for more details:
7
7
32
Frequent China Brief contributor
@AndrewSErickson
has received an award from the Naval War College for his research:
6
15
33
To help China analysts dig deeper we collected the most important CCP, military & news sites into a single list
1
20
32
With the decline in bilateral relations between India and China,
@jppjagannath1
argues that future scenarios for transboundary water resource cooperation look increasingly dim, even as lack of clarity and communication ramp up uncertainty.
More:
0
7
30
New article!
Admiral Hu Zhongming: The Chinese Navy’s ‘Multi-Faceted’ New Leader, by
@rdmartinson88
"Admiral Hu's expertise in undersea warfare is considered crucial as the PLAN prepares for potential conflicts in East Asia."
2
14
29
Beijing is unlikely to deploy the PLA against Hong Kong protesters because it has a better option: surreptitiously stationing in the SAR Chinese police officers from neighboring Guangdong Province.
Willy Wo-Lap Lam explains:
1
17
27
China's new Defense White Paper is the first since 2015. This paper reveals Beijing’s intentions to reshape the current architecture of the global order to accord with Beijing's interests.
@EBKania
and
@PeterWood_PDW
explain:
0
18
24
With Xi likely to rule through at least 2032, Willy Lam postulates the sixth generation could be skipped entirely. As a result the promotion of seventh generation rising stars born in the 1970s bears special attention. Who are these 7G rising stars?
1
8
25
Have you read
@rdmartinson88
's in-depth look at the
#PLAN
's
#arctic
strategy? As China seeks to become a
#neararctic
power, knowledge of its regional military aspirations will be key.
1
25
20
"If we seek to understand the People’s Republic of China, we must first endeavor to understand the CCP, its institutions, its policies, and its political terms."
@Anne_MarieBrady
explains how to understand united front work:
3
6
24
The PLA has little recent combat experience, but how much does it matter?
@EBKania
analyzes how the PLA is using emerging technologies to improve war-gaming and complex simulations to bridge this gap:
1
18
23
New article!
Implications of new security law "Article 23" on Hong Kong, by
@laiyanhoeric
"The law could be arbitrarily enforced against foreign businesses who merely seek to comply with the due diligence requirements of their home jurisdictions."
2
10
23
You've heard of Confucius Institutes, but what about the Luban Workshops? A look at China's vocational and education training programs in Africa by Conor McCutcheon, Savannah Billman, Johnsen Romero and Merle Kartscher.
1
9
23
The global proliferation of increasingly contagious COVID-19 variants, first delta and now Omicron, has increased the cost and decreased the efficacy of China’s “dynamic clearance” epidemic prevention policy per John S. Van Oudenaren.
1
3
22
The PRC is increasingly focused on the need to master domestic production of advanced tech to eliminate “choke points”(卡脖子).
@michael_laha
looks at the role of National Engineering Technology Research Centers in this quest for high tech self-reliance.
1
6
22
James Leibold (
@jleibold
) examines the role of Hu Lianhe in CCP policy toward Xinjiang “re-education” camps, describing the emergence of a new, more coercive ethnic policy under Xi Jinping’s “New Era” of Chinese power. Read his expert analysis here -
3
20
20
Xi is "likely to support Putin until the bitter end, preferring to prop up an authoritarian Russia as a sort of zombie great power, rather than risking a shift towards a more pluralistic Russia that is oriented toward the West" contends John Van Oudenaren
1
8
18
The PRC’s declared expenditures on public opinion influence activities (including lobbying, public relations and media support) expanded dramatically in the United States in 2019-2020 and reached over $63.78 million in 2020, by
@johnddotson
,
0
10
20
🚨Virtual Event: Trial of the Hong Kong 47🚨
Join us for a panel discussion with
@SunnyCheungky
,
@PLMattis
,
@anoukwear
of
@hk_watch
, and
@stilwell_dave
to discuss the May 30 verdict in Hong Kong's biggest National Security Law case.
Sign up here:
3
11
21
New Report!
WuXi AppTec's ties to the CCP, by
@SunnyCheungky
@Arranjnh
@PLMattis
"WuXi is a model of embedding state ambition with corporate success, showcasing how biotechnology enterprises are playing a pivotal role in advancing the PRC’s objectives."
1
14
17
Divide, Depoliticize, and Demobilize: China's Strategies for Controlling the Tibetan Diaspora, by
@tendor
-
0
15
20
As twitter cracks down on Chinese propaganda accounts, we take a look back at the fundamentals of the PRC's multi-pronged
#UnitedFrontWork
with
@Anne_MarieBrady
: .
0
18
19
Two influence operations have recently come to light in
#CzechRepublic
, one targeting media, and the other academia that highlight links between PRC security services and its external propaganda efforts explain Martin Hala
@JirousFilip
@otkur009
0
14
19
Xi has taken a political hit from China’s mounting economic woes including ballooning government debt and falling revenues, banks runs, and mass youth unemployment observes Willy Wo-Lap Lam. Will China change course or double down on its old playbook?
1
0
18
The new China Brief is out (and
@boweconstrictr
, fastest tweet in the West, shared it first)! We're proud to share a special issue on PRC united front influence operations.
Read it all here:
1
12
19
Prioritizing Putonghua at the expense of local languages has long been the way that bilingual education often works, even though education in local languages is not prohibited, by Alexandra Grey and
@gegentuul
,
1
8
18
Military Activity and Political Signaling in the Taiwan Strait in Early 2020:
0
15
15
Tickets are now available for the 9th Annual Jamestown China Defense and Security Conference. Featuring
@EBKania
,
@lcrhsiao
,
@RollandNadege
,
@BethanyAllenEbr
,
@adrianzenz
,
@Johanv91
, and many more great speakers! Register at:
0
7
15
How the CCP Mobilized a Cross-Border Disinformation Campaign Against the Czech Senate Speaker, by Martin Hála, Filip Jirouš, and Petra Ševčíková
@sinopsiscz
-
1
13
18
“Given Beijing’s history of cracking down on democratic protests, people often ask if I am hopeful about the future. My answer is yes. Our story is not over. If the Hong Kong 47 haven't given up, why should we?” — Assoc. Fellow
@SunnyCheungky
for
@usnews
0
6
16
New article!
PRC's open-source tech by
@SunnyCheungky
//OpenAtom Foundation’s mission aligns with CCP doctrine. The PRC’s approach to open-source technology aims to transform the nation from a “major open-source player ” to a “strong open-source nation”
3
10
17
New article!
Taiwan's security challenges, by
@MPWangTingyu
"The development of asymmetric military capabilities, including indigenous weapons systems, is crucial for Taiwan’s defense and deterrence strategies against potential aggression from the PRC"
4
3
17
🚨 IN ONE HOUR!🚨
Virtual Event: Trial of the Hong Kong 47
@SunnyCheungky
,
@PLMattis
,
@anoukwear
, and
@stilwell_dave
discuss the May 30 verdict in Hong Kong's biggest National Security Law case.
Register here:
2
12
17
Who is Hu Lianhe 胡联合 and how did he make a name defending China's "anti-extremism" strategy in Xinjiang?
@jleibold
explains in China Brief
0
12
16
New piece on China’s evolving National Security Commission (NSC) system by
@jwuthnow
. Unlike US NSC which is a standalone body, China’s Central NSC is “the highest echelon in a nationwide system that includes subordinate NSCs down to the county level.”
1
8
17
Read: "Unemployment Monitoring and Early Warning: New Trends in Xinjiang’s Coercive Labor Placement Systems” by
@adrianzenz
. Examines implications of shift from mobilizational to more institutionalized/monitored forms of labor placement in
#Xinjiang
1
10
16
Video's up for our 2018 China Conference!
Panel 1
Panel 2
Panel 3
Panel 4
Thanks to
@AbeDenmark
@AyresAlyssa
@dennisw5
@PLMattis
@EBKania
@adam_ni
@BethanyAllenEbr
@McReynoldsJoe
!
1
6
15
The PLA has little recent combat experience, but how much does it matter?
@EBKania
analyzes how the PLA is using emerging technologies to improve war-gaming and complex simulations to bridge this gap:
1
8
17
Join us next Wednesday, February 2 at 11 AM for a discussion of the PRC’s policies in
#Xinjiang
and
#Tibet
featuring
@adrianzenz
and
@lhadon
. Register here-
10
9
15
#JTFChina2018
Tune into today’s third panel on “the United Front and CCP Overseas Influence” at the following link:
0
7
15
The PLA’s enlisted force has evolved considerably over the decades. Ken Allen tracks the evolution of PLA conscription and recruitment, and considers the implications of recent changes for training and readiness.
2
5
16
New article!
Implication for Article 23, by
@anoukwear
&
@AthenaTongK
//he PRC and HKSAR governments continue to violate international law with impunity and assert that domestic laws can be applied within other jurisdictions//
3
5
15
A new issue of China Brief is out! Read about Xi Jinping's summer foreign policy tour, Sino-Indian relations in
@narendramodi
's 2nd term,
@lcrhsiao
on influence ops in Singapore, Russia-China and the INF, and
@ToshiYoshihara
on China's nuclear strategy:
0
15
14
0
18
15
TikTok: A Threat to US National Security
Details the company's:
> Ties to the party-army-state
> History of trying to manipulate narratives and info
> Capability to influence mass sentiment
> Potential illegal actions in handling user data
2
8
16
In case you missed it: check out China Brief Vol. 23 Issue 11, with excellent articles by
@Kgreen42
,
@GenevieveDonn
,
@DanielFu1999
,
@mtpurbrick
0
5
14
Exploring Chinese Military Thinking on Social Media Manipulation Against Taiwan, by
@NathanMBM
and
@jessicadrun
-
0
8
15
The PLA is developing, testing and deploying new missiles. Yuan-Chou Jing and Yi-Ren Lai examine the implications of China's increasingly large and diverse missile arsenal for
#Taiwan
and the broader region.
1
8
15
New article!
Cryptocurrency in China, by Matthew Fulco
//Chinese gangs are reportedly using cryptocurrency to launder profits from drug dealing – fentanyl in particular – and illicit gambling and often have been able to evade authorities.//
1
5
14
The Southern Theater Command and China’s Maritime Strategy by Nan Li
0
14
12
The CCP's United Front Work Department is using Buddhism to exploit political schisms in Mongolia.
@jichanglulu
’s latest explains how
1
12
14
A new wave of domestic criticism of "foreign aid" may signal China's ready to clip the wings of Xi Jinping's Belt and Road Initiative.
@tombschrader
explains why.
0
7
14
The PLA Navy has changed how it interacts w/US forces in the Western Pacific embracing an "approach that favors hostile encounters as preparation for future conflict" AKA "using the enemy to train the troops"(拿敌练兵) write
@rdmartinson88
@KennedyMaritime
0
10
14
New Issue is out! We cover: PLA Diplomacy key institutions/ personnel; China’s Hidden Debt; The Long-Shadow of the China-India War; The Campaign to Study the 20th Party Congress; Taiwan’s Search for a Grand Strategy
0
11
13
Video's up for our 2018 China Conference!
Panel 1
Panel 2
Panel 3
Panel 4
Thanks to
@AbeDenmark
@AyresAlyssa
@Dennisw5
@PLMattis
@EBKania
@adam_ni
@BethanyAllenEbr
@McReynoldsJoe
!
1
5
12
Who will sit with Xi on the PRC's de facto top leadership body- the Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC)? Willy Lam examines prospects for current members Li Keqiang and Zhao Leji to stay on, and assess top candidates' chances for promotion.
1
6
14
"The Day After Tiananmen". A special
@ChinaBriefJT
issue on human rights in the PRC, and why they matter more than ever for China, for the US, and for the rest of the world. With articles by Joseph YS Cheng,
@adrianzenz
,
@harvardian
, and
@ElliottZaagman
3
13
13
Chen Quanguo: The Strongman Behind Beijing’s Securitization Strategy in Tibet and Xinjiang by
@adrianzenz
@jleibold
0
14
14
New Issue is out!- We cover- Xi accelerates China’s Drive for Self-Sufficiency; China’s Amplification of Russian Bioweapons Disinfo; Predicting the Next Central Military Commission; China’s Ukraine Dilemma; Coercive Labor in Xinjiang
0
10
14
Without term limits, Xi Jinping may lead China for decades. The next CCP leaders may not come from the next-in-line 6th generation but rather the 7th generation. Willy Wo-Lap Lam identifies some names to watch in the 7th gen CCP:
0
6
14
Coming June 5th: "The Day After Tiananmen". A special
@ChinaBriefJT
issue looking at human rights in the PRC, and why they matter more than ever for China, for the US, and for the rest of the world.
0
6
14
How does China view the
#ThirdOffset
? Check out our collection of articles on
#quantum
#hypersonics
and more
1
10
13
祝大家新年快乐! 兔年大吉! Wishing a Happy Lunar New Year to Friends and Colleagues Celebrating Around the World!
0
1
13
What does 2022 have in store for relations between
#China
and
#India
and the boundary dispute?
@jppjagannath1
previews what could be a tempestuous year in the Himalayas.
0
7
11
Register for
@JamestownTweets
's 9th China Defense and Security Conference
#CDSC2019
, on October 15th.
Featuring
@lcrhsiao
@EBKania
@BethanyAllenEbr
@RollandNadege
@ZiYangResearch
@adrianzenz
@Johanv91
and
@DeptofDefense
's Randy Schriver.
Tix:
0
8
11
Jamestown Fellow Peter Mattis has published a great summer reading guide for aspiring
#China
wonks
@WarOnTheRocks
0
10
13
@Anne_MarieBrady
discusses United Front work since the 19th Party Congress at the 2018 China Defense and Security Conference
0
3
12
If you want to understand the PLA's modernization and aren't looking at "systems of systems" you are doing it wrong
0
10
13
What is
#UnitedFrontWork
? We profiled this important
#influenceoperations
organization in July
1
15
12
New Issue is out! We examine China's new Historic "Leap" Narrative; Bleak Views of US Society in Official PRC Accounts; Graft and Anti-Corruption in Yunnan Province; Gen-Z Wary of China in Kazakhstan; Beijing's Stake in DPRK Denuclearization
1
5
12
Chen Quanguo: The Strongman Behind Beijing’s Securitization Strategy in Tibet and Xinjiang by
@adrianzenz
@jleibold
1
13
12
China's Orwellian surveillance programs in
#Xinjiang
,
#Tibet
, and
#HK
have their roots in anti-religion and population control policies that date far back. Read
@emiledirks
's article on the grassroots development of surveillance practices in the PRC.
1
5
11
0
14
11
ICYMI: Discussion on China-Russia strategic partnership this AM. We focus on three areas: leader/elite ties; security and arms sales; overlap in Africa and Central Asia. Thanks Pavel Baev
@MeiaNouwens
and
@sergeysukhankin
for sharing your insights!
0
5
12
Confucius Institutes have built overlooked ties with US businesses. Most links seem innocuous and may be beneficial, but cause new concern about growing CCP influence in schools, economies, and political systems. Read from
@Sarah_G_Cook
and Flora Yan:
0
7
12
Why have the CCP’s efforts to develop influence in the Czech Republic courted controversy? Read “Borrowed Boats Capsizing: State Security Ties to CCP Propaganda Laundering Rile Czech Public” by Martin Hala
@JirousFilip
&
@otkur009
to learn more
1
7
12
The Chinese Communist Party believes it is engaged in a global struggle for China’s “image sovereignty," with the Internet being a central battleground.
@RyanFedasiuk
writes:
1
3
11
Check out
@SagatomSaha
's newest article on China's economic policy, available now in full.
Part 1:
Part 2:
0
3
12
New China Brief Special Issue on Information Operations out now:
Featuring analysis by
@RyanFedasiuk
,
@NathanMBM
,
@jessicadrun
, Martin Hála, Filip Jirouš, Petra Ševčíková
@sinopsiscz
and
@johnddotson
.
0
8
12
Early Warning China Brief! Martin Purbrick examines the evolution of the PRC’s “overseas police stations/ service centers” and considers the multiple purposes served by this expanding international police presence.
0
7
9
In addition to 2 million paid internet commentators, the CCP draws on more than 20 million part-time volunteers to engage in internet trolling.
@RyanFedasiuk
writes:
1
1
9
Jamestown Fellow and former editor of China Brief Peter Mattis on Chinese intel operations .
@TheNatlInterest
1
10
10
The latest China Brief is out! Read
@adam_ni
and
@batesgill1
on the PLA Strategic Support Force, John Dotson on the trade war dialogue, Horia Ciurtin on Greece's joining the 16+1, and
@howardgwang
on shifting Japan-Taiwan ties:
0
10
10
Great thread from Matt Bruzzese on his excellent piece we published recently —
a case study of a PRC-hosted defence tech conference that is still well-attended by western researchers, and an analysis of the risks this entails. 👇
I wrote an article for
@ChinaBriefJT
about the International Conference on Defence Technology, in which western defense researchers still travel to China to share and discuss the latest advances in military technology.
🧵on how crazy this conference is!
1
6
9
0
3
12
Jamestown China Brief Early Warning - 'The Role of the Arctic in China's Naval Strategy' by
@rdmartinson88
.
Read now:
1
9
11
The PLA has invested heavily in building a massive intermediate-range missile arsenal, by Richard Weitz,
0
5
11
The PRC says its Uighur detainment camps are for “vocational training”. But PRC government budgets tell a different story. With
#UPR
on the horizon,
@adrianzenz
shows that Xinjiang is spending its money on prisons, not schools.
0
20
11
The CCP's United Front Work Department is using Buddhism to exploit political schisms in Mongolia.
@jichanglulu
’s latest explains how
0
9
11
Great thread on
@imleeszefung
’s latest for us analyzing the behavior of gray media in Hong Kong during the Art. 23 consultation period earlier this year 👇
My latest
@ChinaBriefJT
-- Hong Kong Gray Media's Influence Operation on Article 23
📍Top 5
#GrayMedia
in
#HongKong
& their specialties
📍State affiliations
📍How they coordinate & incorporate legal/ cognitive warfare tactics for IOs
Threads Below⚡️ x 15
1
5
11
2
5
10
New book alert! Willy Lam's "The Fight for China's Future" assesses Xi Jinping's leadership style and use of emerging technology to influence civil society. Important summer reading for China watchers
1
6
11
