Jamestown Foundation
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Indigenously sourced analysis of events in Eurasia, China, and MENA. @EDMJamestown, @ChinaBriefJT YouTube: https://t.co/7ArmbzWS3P RT≠endorsement.
Washington DC
Joined February 2011
Jamestown Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski's (@JBugajskiUSA) new book "Pivotal Poland: Europe's Rising Power" is out now!. See how you can get it here: .
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Beijing’s Appointment of Xia Baolong Signals a Harder Line on Hong Kong:
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Al-Qaeda Confirms the Killing of its Indian Amir: The Rise and Secret Fall of Shaikh Asim Umar
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Azerbaijan Demands Compensation From Armenia for Destruction of Previously Occupied Territories.
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Russian Fake News Operation Seeks to Generate Baltic Opposition to NATO Presence
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The introduction of a price cap on Russian oil is the most recent setback for Russia's energy industry, Jamestown Senior Fellow Pavel Baev tells us. #Russia #RussiaUkraineWar #Россия.
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Al-Qaeda’s South Asian affiliate is making inroads into Kashmir and India, and this shift to a more Indian-centric campaign came amid the United States-Taliban peace deal to end the more than 18-year conflict in Afghanistan. Read more:.
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Reviewing the current situation on the front line in Ukraine, Jamestown Analyst @MBielieskov argues that Ukraine can succeed in 2023, but only with the help of Kyiv's Western partners:. #RussiaUkraineWar #Russia #Ukraine #Україна #Россия.
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Hot off the presses! Copies of "Failed State: A Guide to Russia's Rupture" by @JBugajskiUSA are available for purchase. As #Russia falters in #Ukraine️ and domestic frustrations with #Putin proliferate, this book is becoming more prophetic by the day!.
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Join us April 16th for the Jamestown Foundation's HYBRID conference, "#Russia’s Rupture and Western Policy, a Joint Jamestown–Free Nations of Post-Russia Forum Event!" (@freenationsrf). More information and registration links can be found here: .
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As the war in Ukraine drags on, Kremlin officials are growing fearful of Ukrainian populations living inside Russia's borders. Jamestown Senior Fellow @PaulGoble1 discusses the significance of the Ukrainian 'wedge' in Russia's Far East. #RussiaUkraineWar.
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Jamestown Senior Fellow @JBugajskiUSA writes in his latest column for @WashTimes that #Moscow is deliberately stoking tensions in #Karabakh to derail peace negotiations between #Azerbaijan and #Armenian .
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Media is reporting that #Moldova is on high alert after two radio towers were blown up in separatist Transnistria. Separately, Russian forces allegedly bombed a strategic Ukrainian bridge in nearby #Bessarabia region.
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Don't forget to register for our HYBRID event "Russia’s Rupture and Western Policy, a Joint Jamestown–Free Nations of Post-Russia Forum Event" tomorrow April 16 from 9am-5pm. Register online here: For more information, see:
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Join us for "Russia’s Rupture and Western Policy, a Joint Jamestown–Free Nations of Post-Russia Forum (@freenationsrf) Event" on April 16 beginning at 9am. The event will be hybrid, with participants encouraged to attend in-person. Register here:
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"The Russian 'Federation' is a federation in name only and, at its heart, is a colonial empire.". Join us on April 16 for our "Russia’s Rupture and Western Policy" joint event with Free Nations of Post-Russia Forum @freenationsrf. Register here:.
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"Afghanistan is the most tested partner in the region. Other partners are more costly to maintain and aren't trustworthy" @AmrullahSaleh2.
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"Why? Because it’s my duty," said a student in 1989, heading to Tiananmen Square. Today, we remember the brave souls who stood up for democracy and freedom during the Tiananmen Massacre. Their sacrifice should never be forgotten. Let us continue to speak for the silenced. #6435
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The #Baluch insurgency has expanded to #Karachi, and begun suicide bombings. @KiyyaBaloch and @Akbar_notezai analyze what this shift in tactics means for the future of #Pakistan, the Baluchs, and #China. #中国 #Balochistan #terrorism @BokoWatch #بلۏچستان
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#Ukraine has learned some valuable lessons in seven months of fighting #Russian forces, including a more effective organization scheme for territorial defense forces. @MBielieskov of "Come Back Alive" for @EDMJamestown .
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"Of Putin’s explicit escalation threats, a number of cases make it possible to assess to what extent the Russian leadership has been successful with their implicit nuclear signaling." By @MBielieskov, of @NISS_ua and @BackAndAlive: . #Russia #Ukraine.
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Jamestown Senior Fellow @sergeysukhankin recently released his fourth paper in his groundbreaking series on #Chinese PSCs and their activities around the globe. This time focusing on actions and operations in Sub-Saharan #Africa. Check it out!.
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Russia is struggling to replace the ballistic missiles it has used on the battlefield in Ukraine, but Iran could step up and fill the gap with serious consequences for Kyiv, Jamestown Analyst @sineozkarasahin writes:. #Russia #Iran #RussiaUkraineWar.
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Congratulations to Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski (@JBugajskiUSA) for being sanctioned by the @KremlinRussia/@KremlinRussia_E. He joins a pantheon of affiliates who Russia and China have deemed enemies for their analytical work.
Hot off the presses! Copies of "Failed State: A Guide to Russia's Rupture" by @JBugajskiUSA are available for purchase. As #Russia falters in #Ukraine️ and domestic frustrations with #Putin proliferate, this book is becoming more prophetic by the day!.
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"It seems fair to suggest that . the Circassians have moved along the continuum Gandhi described and that the #Russian efforts to fight their movement will be increasingly unsuccessful.". @PaulGoble1 has more for @EDMJamestown:.
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"ISKP’s success in building support among and attracting Central Asians poses a considerable security threat to the region.". @LucasADWebber for @EDMJamestown on the Islamic State in Khorasan Province's expansion into Central Asia. Read here:
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Russia Effectively Supports North Korea in Its Standoff With the US
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Bulgarian president warns of Russia's hybrid warfare in Balkans. Read about Russian influence campaigns in the West
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Board member Brig. Gen. (ret.) Spalding (@robert_spalding), co-wrote a @TheNatlInterest piece about irresponsible business practices fueling #China's rise and undermining #markets and #Democracy: @Generaljosephv1 #stealthwar @ChinaBriefJT #defense #tech.
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Chechen Special Battalions Sent to Syria as Reinforcements
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Our sources in #Odesa: #Ukrainian S300s are being used as anti-ship missiles & thwarted an amphibious attack. Converted S300s fired at sea level are not ship killers but can disable naval radars & antennae via shrapnel. Ukrainians are pretty creative when backed against a wall!.
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Our Nov. 7 piece lends insight to Putin's apparent Nov. 10 decision not to attend the upcoming G20 meeting. Analysis by Dr. Pavel K. Baev of @BrookingsFP, @BrookingsInst, and @PRIOresearch:. #G20BaliSummit #G20 #G20Summit @KremlinRussia_E #Ukraine #Russia.
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Russia in the Middle East Until 2024: From Hard Power to Sustainable Influence | @russia_mideast
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Ever the politician, #Lukashenka is doing his best to appease #Russia while keeping #Belarus out of direct combat in #Ukraine. Grigory Ioffe reveals what Belarusian analysts are saying: @IoffeGrigory @EDMJamestown #Lukashenko #Беларусь #Россия #Україна.
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China’s Rapid Economic and Cultural Expansion in Georgia Troubles Some in Tbilisi
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Reinares: 7 out of 10 of those radicalized in Spain are radicalized from in-person interactions and have links with other radicalized individuals. #JFTerror @F_Reinares.
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The Free PDF of Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski's (@JBugajskiUSA) new book "Failed State: A Guide to Russia’s Rupture" is now available (bottom of the webpage):. Hard copies available via the same link. @EDMJamestown #Russia #Россия #Росія #俄罗斯
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An analysis of #Tajikistan's escalating crackdown in the #Pamirs, by Dr. @EdwardLemon3 of @bushschooldc/@tamu, @oxussociety, & @kennaninstitute. #GBAO #Тоҷикистон #Таджикистан #الإسماعيلية #ГорноБадахшанская #Горно #افغانستان #Pamiri @EDMJamestown
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Check out the Anti-imperial Block of Nations' message: "With gratitude and best wishes to the Forum of Free People of Post-Russia, which will take place on April 16, 2024 in Washington!". Read here:.
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As its war in Ukraine continues, Russia's arms industry is struggling to keep up. Jamestown Analyst @pavel_luzin gives us the latest data behind these struggles:. #Russia #RussiaUkraineWar.
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"The current absence of Western navies from the Black Sea stands in sharp contrast with their presence throughout the post-Soviet period and particularly in the wake of Russia’s 2014 military intervention against Ukraine". Vladimir Socor for @EDMJamestown.
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Join Jamestown and @HudsonInstitute on February 14 at 9am EST for our event "Preparing for the Dissolution of the Russian Federation", featuring Jamestown's @PaulGoble1 and @JBugajskiUSA. In-person registration: Watch online here:
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Join us in 30 min as @ChinaBriefJT hosts .@VoCommunism's @adrianzenz and @tibetaction's @Lhadon to discuss #HumanRights abuses in #Tibet and #Xinjiang, and the #WinterOlympics .#China #Olympics2022 #HumanRightsViolations #WinterOlympics2022 @Olympics.
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US National Security Advisor @robertcobrien has cited a Jamestown report in an op-ed. The report, by.@adrianzenz, details the use of forced population controls against Uyghurs and other minorities by the CCP:
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"Iranian intelligence is hugely influenced/trained by post-soviet intelligence services" - @AlexVatanka #JFTerror #Iran #Russia.
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Subscribe today to #Jamestown's YouTube channel to keep up to date on new videos of events and interviews featuring renowned experts on the most important geostrategic issues the United States is facing in the world:.
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Follow Jamestown's publications on twitter! Terrorism Monitor @TMJamestown, Eurasia Daily Monitor @EDMJamestown, & China Brief @ChinaBriefJT.
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"The July 31 assassination of Hamas’s head, Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran was a significant victory for Israel, signaling that Jerusalem could eliminate any leader of the Islamic Republic at will.". @DrParchizadeh .for Terrorism Monitor.
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"Russia is robbing Ukraine of its future by forcibly imposing Russification and militarization on Ukrainian children, all while seeking to eradicate the Ukrainian identity.". @alla_hurska for @EDMJamestown on Russia influence on stolen Ukrainian children.
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#Azerbaijan is becoming an increasingly active regional energy and transit hub. Lately, it has been expanding cooperation in the #balkans, especially on energy issues. @RusifHuseynov2 and Samir Hajizada have more for @EDMJamestown .
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Check out Jamestown Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski's @JBugajskiUSA new article "Biden policies have prolonged the war in Ukraine" for Washington Examiner @dcexaminer. Read here:.
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Lithuania and Poland Want to ‘Recover’ Kaliningrad, Russian Analysts Say
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"Attempts to transform the Russian Federation into a nation state, a civic state or a stable imperial state have failed.". "Failed State: A Guide to #Russia’s Rupture" by Jamestown Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski @JBugajskiUSA continues to be relevant.
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"Unlike its Soviet predecessor, the Russian Federation proposes no coherent ideology. Its belief system at home is essentially the inward-facing Tsarist creed of 'orthodoxy, autocracy, and nationality.'". Read Thomas Kent's @tjrkent book "How Russia Loses".
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Check out Jamestown Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski's (@JBugajskiUSA) new article "Engage Central Asia and keep it from falling back into Russia’s orbit" in The Hill (@thehill; @TheHillOpinion). Read here:.
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As tensions threaten to boil over between #Azerbaijan and #Armenia, Baku is taking more steps toward the re-integration of the Karabakh region. @HuseynovVasif for @EDMJamestown has more:.
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The Polish translation of Jamestown Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski's @JBugajskiUSA book "Failed State: A Guide to Russia's Rupture" was promoted by the Head of the Polish National Security Bureau, Jacek Siewiera. You can order the book here:
Czy możliwy jest rozpad Federacji? .200 sztuk książki trafi do rosyjskich jeńców pojmanych pod Kurskiem. Ukraina chce ich edukować, a nie torturować. Publikacja Janusza Bugajskiego z The Jamestown Foundation szuka odpowiedzi na pytanie czy Zachód w horyzoncie strategicznym
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"The animosity of pre-Islamic heritage is the same [with ISIS as it is with the Taliban" -@AmrullahSaleh2 #JFTerror.
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"#Moscow’s disproportionate reliance on ethnically non-Russian people from the poorest regions reflects growing desperation in trying to replace heavy losses in #Ukraine.". @sergeysukhankin for @EDMJamestown .
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Will #Armenia actually withdraw forces from #karabakh?. @JamestownTweets Commentator @HuseynovVasif expounds on the recent declaration from #Yerevan and how #Azerbaijan may respond. Read more here: . #baku #caucasus
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As tensions mount between #Armenia and #Azerbaijan, @HuseynovVasif for @EDMJamestown explains what the current impasse on peace and recent provocations mean for the future development of the Zangezur Corridor.
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Russian Navy Suffers Another Blow as Aircraft Carrier Is Damaged While Undergoing Repairs:
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Watch our early August @ChinaBriefJT discussion on "China, the United States and the Pacific Island Countries" featuring Cleo Paskal (@CleoPaskal) of @FDD and Ambassador C. Steven McGann:.. #PacificIslands @ForumSEC #China #geopolitics.
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Paul Goble predicts that as the weather improves and the pandemic begins to recede, there will be pushback against Moscow's attempts to use water as the next oil. (4/4) Read more:
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"The degradation of the Russian army in Ukraine is intensifying with each passing month. Corruption is spreading, desertion is rising, and 'fragging' is beginning to appear more.". Paul Goble (@PaulGoble1) for @EDMJamestown. Read here:
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"It seems that Russian officials are no longer able to control some of the trends unleashed by these aggressive propaganda methods, and the growing cult of yesterday’s criminals . may yet again turn on its creators". @KirkseniyaSF for @EDMJamestown .
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Check out our latest Strategic Snapshot "Russia's Domestic Pressure Cooker," featuring articles from: Paul Goble @PaulGoble1, Ksenia Kirillova @KirkseniyaSF, Vadim Shtepa @rutopist, Pavel K. Baev, Valery Dzutsati @vdzutsati, and Andrii Ryzhenko.
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"Emotions are higher in both Komrat and Chisinau than in the past, #Moscow's resources in #Moldova have diminished and Chisinau’s calculations about Western support against #Russia are quite different". @PaulGoble1 for @EDMJamestown .
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Russia is on the decline, and its neighbors are paying close attention. Jamestown Senior Fellow @JBugajskiUSA has more in his latest for @dcexaminer.
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As with most #maps currently available, this is based on an #OSINT group's work, so take with a grain of salt. Also, the situation is fluid. #Ukraine #Russia #Россия #Україна #UkraineWar #Ukraineinvasion #UkraineRussiaCrisis #UkraineRussiaWar #war #russianinvasion #Map.
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On Wednesday January 10, Jamestown was honored to host Bulgarian Defense Minister Todor Tagarev. Minister Tagarev co-authored the chapter "Bulgaria's Black Sea Dilemma: NATO Ally or Russian Gateway?" in Jamestown's book "Black Sea Battleground: The Road to Ukraine."
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"Turkey and Ukraine Boost Mutual Defense Ties".
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Recommended Read: Russian Influence Campaigns against the West: From the Cold War to Putin | @knmccauley1 #Russia
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"Instead of critically rethinking its long-term approach to the development of its naval forces, the Kremlin prefers the path of obvious overstretch and overstrain for the sake of not changing". Jamestown Senior Fellow @pavel_luzin for @RiddleRussia .
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Jamestown mourns the passing of valued analyst and contributor Dr. Jacob W. Kipp, a renowned expert on the Russian military.
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Check out Jamestown Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski's (@JBugajskiUSA) new article: #Montenegro Needs a Counteroffensive Against #Serbianization in The Geopost (@theGeopost).
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Kremlin Covertly Promoting Regime Change in Latvia, Riga Security Official Warns
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Watch Russia’s Rupture and Western Policy, a Joint Jamestown–Free Nations of Post-Russia Forum @freenationsrf Event live now on our YouTube!. Watch here:.
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"The decolonization of Russia will be a long process that will require international support to maintain the empire’s fall.". @rutopist for @EDMJamestown on the importance of Russia's decolonization for the broader pursuit of peace. Read here:
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Just out: Belarus as a Pivot of Poland’s Grand Strategy!.
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"This level of planned espionage indicates a shift in the Russian mindset regarding sabotage in the West and a potential expansion of hostilities in Ukraine.". @KirkseniyaSF for @EDMJamestown on Russian espionage in Europe.
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Check out Jamestown Senior Fellow Janusz Bugajski's (@JBugajskiUSA) new article: "Azerbaijan can become a constructive player in the Caucasus" for Politico (@politico).
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Russian Information Warfare—Not Just Hackers and Trolls
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Somaliland Elections Disrupt al-Shabaab’s Regional Expansion. Read at:
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Today #SaudiArabia announced that President #Putin will be visiting the Kingdom in October. For crucial insight into Russia's evolving strategies in the region, check out #Jamestown's book, edited by @tkarasik and Stephen Blank, Russia in the Middle East:
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"#Turkey’s earlier engagement with Azerbaijan on the Karabakh question and other issues fostered its central role in the current situation.”. @fuadshahbazov for @EDMJamestown on Turkish support for #Azerbaijan's operation in #Karabakh.
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Panel 2: Captive Nations and Captive Regions (Cont.) of our Russia’s Rupture and Western Policy Event is starting now! @freenationsrf . Watch live here:.
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The Middle Corridor has quickly become a focal point in the development of alternative regional transit routes. @HuseynovVasif gives his insights for @EDMJamestown regarding joint efforts by #Azerbaijan and #Kazakhstan to further optimize this route.
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"#Russian experts fear that, with 17 percent of foreign exchange reserves in yuan, the #Kremlin will not be able to pull money promptly when needed, thereby becoming trapped by #China." . @sergeysukhankin for @EDMJamestown .
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It appears @POTUS is sending the #GMLRS-ER munition (range 150km/93mi) to #Ukraine to be used with the #HIMARS and #M270. To allow grain shipments to pass #Russia's blockade, the ATACMS – Block IVA (300km/186mi) is needed to deter ships and subs as far as Crimea. @EDMJamestown.
Around ten weeks worth of wheat reserves are left globally. To avoid calamity, #Ukraine must export its food. Diplomacy may fail, so we must consider humanitarian escorts and arming Ukraine to break #Russia's blockade. @EDMJamestown #HIMARS #foodsecurity
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