Brian Elsasser
@BrianElsasser2
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Married, 6 children, 13 grandchildren, Illinois farmer, Conservative Republican, Born Again Christian only by God's grace.
Illinois, USA
Joined March 2018
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This will be the worst finish for crops since 2012. I haven’t seen corn turn this early since that year. It will ding kernel size and prevent really high TW. Pod count is higher on beans but bean size will be very small. Still 178 on corn but beans maybe 51-52
The operative term for this week will be “finishing weather”
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The derecho cost Illinois a record crop. Up by Wyoming the corn looked fine until they sent a drone and 60% green snap in the middle of the field. Kansas is bad , chopping silage in July. A farmer in Nebraska said dry land was 150 now 75 at best. The damage is done.
Howdy Scott,
I agree the crop is so big in areas but expectations are so hyped it will probably be hard to match up. I can tell you that many fields that look great from the road or when you walk in are not consistent when you look at them from an overhead view. Some with loss
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It will be record at 178 not 183. With 2 more weeks of dry weather beans will be 51-52 not a record
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We’re finding that they lied about last year’s crop
The US soybean export situation has changed. This morning's weekly report showed the fifth best sale for this week in history. The US price advantage, with the market's temporary concern over Brazil, is the best in over a year.
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Remembering our heroes. Happy Memorial Day. I lost you on Telegram
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No rain forecast for Russia. When is that important
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Very well stated. This weekend I always think of John 15:13. Jesus said Greater love hath no man than to lay down his life for his friends. Jesus died on the Cross to save us from our sins. Our Service men and women gave their lives for our freedom, also those who didn't die.
The legacy of brave men and women who have fought and died for their country is the Freedom we enjoy as Americans ! Thank you for the sacrifices you have made! God Bless! 🇺🇸🙏♥️🤍💙🙏🇺🇸
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Our bean fields have more disease every day and April corn has been turning for a week, way to early
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What happens if it stays dry throughout the fall and Russia and Ukraine's wheat doesn't germinate and come up
The Western Producer /
@sean_pratt
: The Black Sea region will be far less of a competitive threat in
#wheat
markets in 2024-25, according to an agricultural markets research firm specializing in that region of the world.
SovEcon is forecasting Russia will export 46.1 million
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If Russia doesn't get rain 7-8
Is the rally in
#wheat
over (for some time) as the market is running out of specs' shorts?
Funds' net short: 76K on April 23 (COT); 48K on April 30....20K-25K currently?
#oatt
#sizovreport
#blacksea
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Looks like 38 good kernels. At 33000 about 222. If the kernels are 80000 then 250
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Crop losses are huge.
⚠️Midwest Flooding Update
🟪 Major Flooding
🟥 Moderate Floods
🟧 Minor Floods
All of these observation points are expected to increase in the forecast of flooding
🟪Major 31 -> 36
🟥Moderate 31 -> 48
🟧Minor 51 -> 81
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Russia has 25M acres to plant and it’s dry through October. Wheat doesn’t have a clue. $7
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51 at best. A lot of beans were planted in June meaning lower yields. Some really late ons we're for a cover crop and N. The extra 1M acres will probably not be harvested
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Very good bean yields early and now lower every day this week. May planting will be 15-20 less than April. 7-10% beans will bring the National average to 51
If
#soybeans
can't find more of a break than this, I'm going to have to think we are just creating a bull flag currently vs taking another leg down. Come in with a drier forecast for SA on Sunday/Monday would confirm it and send us back higher into the 1080 area.
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That has the potential to be serious
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The oldest guy ever to play in the McDonald’s playground. I had more fun than the grandkids
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Now 2 more weeks of dry weather a terrible finish for the crops. We might have record pd counts and record small bean size the same year. 51-52
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From the Streitmatter Cemetery in Princeville, Illinois. This is what Memorial Day is about. God Bless all who have served our country
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The Euro has shown this for 2 weeks. It will rain but how much and any behind this
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A joke. My seed dealer does our area and is very honest yields about the same as last 2 years very good but not a record. Some guys in northern Illinois said they walked pretty far to find what they wanted. The crop is going backwards with 2 more weeks of dryness.
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It doesn’t look likely that Russia is going to get the wheat planted and germinated. What will they plant in the spring?
There’s still no meaningful rain in the forecast for Russia's winter
#wheat
regions, and the planting window is closing. 🌾
A new Russian crop update with the 2024 forecast and the first 2025 estimate is coming soon for subscribers. Sign up for early insights:
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They're going down especially so on the beans. The early yields are the highest. Beans have already dropped 5-10 bushel and the May beans will be more. May corn I down 10-20 bushels from April planted.
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Looks good but maybe a bit late. Is it tasseling
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Beautifully worded
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You’ve heard the highest yields. Enemy April planted beans are falling into the 60’s from a normal 80. Corn yields through a section of Illinois are 40-230 because of the derecho. Illinois 215-217 at the most
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Definitely some rain in the north possible. Not much for 65% of the belt
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Wow to much rain. Any wind with the derecho? I heard north of I 88 and southern Wisconsin was bad
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Wheat has no clue how tight it's going to get
#Corn
is holding pretty well for now...good sales help despite the harvest pressure?
#wheat
#soybeans
#oatt
#sizovreport
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The bean yield will be close to 51. Early beans are inconsistent and May planting will be 5-15 less because of dryness
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The crop isn’t growing just ask the farmers in Kansas and Nebraska 100 and 25 mph winds every day. How about other north where crops are way behind and now it’s turning cool, running on of sunshine and time
It's HOT TAKE time!
A big crop is getting bigger all the while big on-farm stocks need to still make their way to town. Both of these factors have pushed
#corn
to new lows & the U/Z to a historically wide carry with harvest only a few weeks carry
Link in bio
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I miss your maps
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Corn and bean conditions in Illinois went up again. Now I know they're ?????????
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Absolute joke. Lost 5 M half in storage. Fuel the rocket
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I've been 100 for a month, and when they are still replanting and some tearing up and going to cotton, I'm way to high. Agree
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Certain varieties do that
9 years of growing beans, first time I’ve had this problem. Any ideas? Taller variety, did 450 acres with no issues.
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August is bean month and it's looking dry into September. Illinois beans are going backwards because of disease. White mold for the first time in 20 years. After this weekend to cool in the north. 65% of the beans were planted after May 15. It's not just frost , getting late.
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Ours is the same. 75% really good ears and the rest ok at best.
@BrianElsasser2
Excellent ground, 240 units N, 35k pop.
Looks good from the road.
Not mine, but my hood. Just 4 ears in a row
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That's wonderful
Spent the day volunteering. Serving food to 600 Israeli soldiers. “I will bless those who bless you.”
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The first 40% of beans will be very good the rest will be smaller bean size.
Looking at the crops finishing, both here and nationwide, I predict the beans will be a little better than expected, and the corn a little worse.
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@Cardinals
We could see the Cardinals tomorrow night if we had a decent GM. Ozuna-MVP and Arozaruna- breaking the postseason HR record. Both let go by out terrible GM.
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Half the midwest has been dry the last 45 days. April beans will be 10-15 better than May. 65% of the beans were planted after May 12.
@BrianElsasser2
Bean yields in my backyard are better than expected. Any kind of a relief rally in the 4th quarter will be a gift IMO.
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We’ve heard the biggest yields. Bean yields are dropping every day. Even corn yields in a section of Illinois have fallen to 40-230 where the derecho hit. The monsoon keeps getting pushed back and Russia is very serious
Corn & wheat continue their run as both post multi months highs.
Solid breakout in wheat. We reached my $6.12 target. So not a bad idea for many to look at scaling into taking off a little bit of risk despite there being potential for us to wiggle a little higher.
War is the
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What are your corn and bean yields
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A record ear weight with the dryness this August?
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I'm a die hard conservative so voting for Trump. I would never vote for a Democrat. Whatever State are you and your husband from
Hi, I’m Kaprice and there’s no way I’m voting for backstabbing Biden in November! Who’s is with me?
#Trump2024
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
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138 will do that
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They overstated last years crop and demand is amazing for corn.
Get our grain daily updates, signals, and 1 on 1 plans completely free 🌱
📲
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Very accurate analysis
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There’s only one thing for sure definitely chopping silage 3 weeks early. Nebraska 90-100 and 25 mph wind. That will end a crop. I have cousins in Kansas and 1 week can ruin a crop
People say this shit every year, then we have a record or near record crop. I’m less inclined to believe the people that cry wolf every year than a huge crop.
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Very clever
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Anybody with a right mind would want to be there
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Are you buying I’ll be there
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How many million acres won't even germinate before winter.
After limited precipitation last week, ECMWF predicts almost no rain for most Russian winter
#wheat
regions until the end of the month. Precipitation in November will likely be irrelevant—too late. 🌾
The first 2025 crop estimate was published for subscribers last week. Get it
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This could make a difference in Georgia
@GuntherEagleman
Not a single word out of her or the drooling fool.
Or the butt pirate either for that matter
🤦♀️🤦♀️🤦♀️
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Tar spot is already bad in Central Illinois in early corn . We've never had it here to speak of . Cool and damp and wet. No way 181
#CropWatch24
producers are overall a bit happier with how their
#soybeans
look versus their
#corn
, but one mutual concern seems to be this year's slower plant growth, largely caused by wet/cool early season conditions. That may not be a huge issue? Could be some great yields.
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I love the Fishers of men. That's a 24 hour job
Good Morning Fishers of Men🪝✝️
Read Genesis 3:17-19
The practice of memento mori is intentionally recalling, every day, that we will die, that our time on earth is the briefest of moments against the backdrop of eternity. When we accept our mortality, & acknowledge the fact
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High yield. Is that just a few acres or all your acres
44,000 viable ears in our Economical pursuit of high yields trial. Average kernel count is 527. What’s your estimate?
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@Cardinals
We lose tonight. Our batters are back in the groove of not being aggressive and watching the pitches go down the middle.
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Most MT is good. About 20% is dryer but not critical. It's pretty bad in MGDS and Parana. 100-110
Looks like some decent weather for northern hemisphere next week. Good Luck. Not a 2016 scenario for Goias and MT. Nice corn and cotton coming. MGDS and Parana, well, they will be nipped a little.
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Most committed Christian to serve in the House and a great Speaker
What do you think of when you hear the name Mike Johnson?
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It’s fine. That’s what we have
When you’re too poor to afford aluminum buds you have to go with bright white.
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Beans won’t be much better than last year maybe 51 tops. Corn 179-181. At 181 that’s 4 above last year’s record and 6 above the 5 year average
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Sounds accurate. Beans lose 1M to pp in the north. With all the late planted beans, no way the NY will be over 50.
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That's a shame
Might need to phone a friend to bring the real firepower to get rid of this white tailed rat infestation. 🔫🔫
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You'd be stupid to stand by any man who cheats. Marriage makes you one and is a lifetime commitment
Wow, that would really test the relationship
It would take a lot to rebuild the trust
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How is the yield and tw
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God bless him
My son retiring after 20 years as a United States Marine. I am so Proud of him.
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Actually the only accuracy in the report, Russian wheat
I don't think we learned a whole lot today, though it was good USDA made a big cut on Russian wheat considering the emergency status there. USDA is now ~6 mmt above the Argy exchanges on the pest-ravaged corn crop and +5.3 mmt on Conab for Brazil soy. Conab data out Thursday am👀
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The GFS is not as wet as the Euro
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@SusanNOBULL
Not going to 5 but May corn is 15-20 less than April planting. Demand is at least 200M more. 1.7 carryover. I forgot no corn in the world except US
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Happy Mother's Day to you. What are you and your husband and kids doing today.
Happy Mother's Day to all the
#MAGA
mom's🫶Its also Sunday Funday! Hope y'all have a beautiful and fun day! I love all of you and wish for a great day for you!
#AmericaFirst
#TrumpGirlOnFire
#Trump2024
#PatriotsUnite
#MagaGirl
#MCP
❤️
🔥Please Repost🔥
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Just as important as our corn yields is the world feed grain stocks are very tight.
I might be to low, but 179-181 takes us to 4.50. More importantly I think wheat goes to 6.50-7 and even higher if it doesn't rain in Russia this fall. That's a big if.
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Both of those issues have been ongoing but he fully supports them and has no problem with boys competing in girls sports. I never dreamed I would see such evil in my lifetime. The Word says in the Last Days it will be as in the days of Noah. Matthew 24
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We have subsoil but the most disease ever. The dryer areas don’t have sds and white mold but are hurting for moisture.
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I’ve been saying the early beans and corn will be be very good and it will all be down hill after that. The early beans are not living up to the hype. Early corn is good but a little variable. Keeping corn at 179 but lowering beans to 51. This dry finish is bad especiallyforbeans
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Ours but especially Brazil
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I feel so bad for them. Our condo in Naples got flooded 2 years ago and it took over a year to get it fixed
Praying for my friends in Florida and all those impacted by Hurricane Helene! May God Bless everyone with strength and safety!
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🙏🙏🙏🙏🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
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We were actually 5-10 lesson April 25 compared to the 17th.
@BrianElsasser2
8-9 less in May beans vs where we left off in April. Same variety etc. Water damage in low spots and hill tops croaked in August. Double whammy…
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I might be to low, but 179-181 takes us to 4.50. More importantly I think wheat goes to 6.50-7 and even higher if it doesn't rain in Russia this fall. That's a big if.
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A lot of beans harvested this week at 8-10%
Beans won’t be much better than last year maybe 51 tops. Corn 179-181. At 181 that’s 4 above last year’s record and 6 above the 5 year average
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CONAB and USDA are both lying. The first 20% of Safrina is going to be good corn. The last 30% is trying to pollinate now through late May. It will be horrible. The other 50% will be a little below average. I'm at 100 total Brazil corn. I'm 138 on beans .
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Technicals usually win for now. Corn fundamentals are bullish. If 66% planted Monday, 33% after May 20. 176 at the top. Nutrien came out at 87 today. If those 2 would be accurate next year's carryover would be 1.2. Corn in South America getting worse every day.
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That's sad. Third of the Safrina is really bad the others are good. Take 10% of acres away and 100-105. This disease in Arg is a shock. 45-50
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Good night my friend. I'm a bit discouraged. We have one law for Republicans and another for Democrats. Clinton did the same thing as what Trump was alleged. He paid off Jennifer Flowers and Monica Lewinsky. This calls for prayer
Good Night Friends-😴
Well now we no exactly what we're up against
It's our own fault if we don't tell everyone we encounter, no matter who/where/when/how, that we ACTUALLY live in a Banana Republic🍌🍌🍌
We MUST fix this in November
No Excuses
#NotThisTime
#MAGA
Tomorrow is Love
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Indicates they want to drive the market down to buy at cheaper prices
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I agree. Anything planted before early November which is a pretty high %, will be off 40-50% on average. After that date they could still be a full crop with rain. I'm going from 142 to 138 after this last week of heat and dryness
The rain that is coming with help all of the beans planted from early November to today. If we return to warm and dry then we are back into stressful conditions. I figure Northern and Northeastern States need a rain event of 6"+ to snap this pattern. I don't think 1 - 4" will
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We have the only good corn crop in the world so the buyers will come sometime
Nearby Chinese
#corn
futures have fallen 8.2% the past 4 wks leaving its premium over CBOT corn at its lowest since June '23
Remember 20/21 when China scooped up nearly 850mbu of US corn? The Dalian futures premium over Chicago avg $5.50/bu the majority of that marketing year
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I do
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Where do you farm and how is the corn
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