Todd Pugatch
@toddpugatch
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education and development economist @OregonState (Fall 2024: @UBuffaloEcon ), dad, Red Sox fan
Portland, OR
Joined May 2023
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Pinned Tweet
There's lots of attention on elite colleges. But many high-achieving students attend broad access public institutions closer to home. Can honors programs at these universities deliver?
My new paper w/
@Paul_N_Thompson
in
@EEPAjournal
addresses this. 1/
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JMCs: this is bad advice outside the top schools. Here in the minor leagues, hiring committees want to know why you're interested in the position and if you're really willing to take the job. Credible signals in your cover letter help.
On the job market, please feel free to use a completely canned cover letter. I have never read them, and as far as I can tell neither have my colleagues.
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Some news: I'm joining the Economics Department at the University at Buffalo (
@UBuffaloEcon
) as an Associate Professor, starting Fall 2024.
Excited to join this strong and growing department! 1/
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(w/ apologies to
@marcfbellemare
)
Producer: pitch me
Writer: it’s a show about an affable data scientist who is great at gathering macroeconomic data to predict past outcomes, but meets his match when making out of sample forecasts.
It's called FRED Lasso.
Producer: get out
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How can we increase socioeconomic diversity in economics?
@easchroeder
& I tackle this question in our new paper:
"A simple nudge increases socioeconomic diversity in undergraduate Economics," just published
@InquiryWEAI
. 1/
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Interested in supporting early career economists and students? Some great mentoring programs have emerged in recent years.
#EconMentoring
🧵 1/7
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Please tell me
@DaveEvansPhD
is the new head of
@iza_bonn
...
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If
@karthik_econ
records an audiobook version, I'm going to listen at 10x speed to get the full Karthik experience.
Delighted to hold the 800+ page book in my hands for the first time earlier this week! The iconic
@Bahrisons_books
in Delhi may be the first bookstore to have them physically in stock, and have signed copies available for early buyers!
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Hey
#econtwitter
, I taught a new undergrad class I'm excited to share: "Economics for a Better World."
The course introduces, applies, and interrogates the economic approach to addressing social problems.
Here's the syllabus: 1/5
pugatch_economicsforbetterworld_colloquium_syllabus_W24.pdf | Powered by Box
oregonstate.app.box.com
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Bittersweet farewell party with my
@OregonState
Economics and School of Public Policy colleagues this weekend. Thanks for the meme mug!
I will miss you all.
@Paul_N_Thompson
@shockmath
@easchroeder
@brettcburkhardt
& others (not pictured:
@KathrynBollman
@OregonEconomics
)
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Had a blast presenting & attending the Michigan Development (MDev) conference in Ann Arbor last week! Great catching up w/
@deanyang
@ambler_kate
@ctheoharides
@ZoeMcLaren
@JessAGoldberg
@JEAllenIV
@HangYu1990
@susan_godlonton
@caustindavis
It's great to be a Michigan Wolverine.
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Loved this paper by
@karthik_econ
&
@Prof_Nishith_P
and great to see it's being scaled. But the best part is the accompanying video, which lets me teach my students DDD in just 6 minutes:
Can a bicycle change a girl’s life?
This
@indianexpress
article highlights the Bihar initiative, which aimed to close the gender gap in education by giving bicycles to girls.
@karthik_econ
and coauthors found dropout rates among girls decreased by 40%.
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Huge congratulations to
@rnajamr
on completing his PhD in Public Policy
@OregonState
!
Of Rafi's 3 dissertation chapters, 2 are already published(!).
Next stop: a post-doc
@AU_SPA
. Can't wait to see what you do next,
@rnajamr
!
#ProudAdvisor
I am excited to announce that I have successfully defended my PhD dissertation!
I am immensely grateful to my advisors
@toddpugatch
and Alison Johnston, and to my committee members (
@Paul_N_Thompson
,
@OregonEconomics
, Jennifer Alix-Garcia) for their invaluable guidance ...
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This is like when Dylan or Springsteen drops an album of previously unreleased demos they just found lying around the studio. You listen and realize their discard pile is better than 90% of the new stuff out there!
Well, I can finally say my job market paper was published, about 27 years or so after getting an R&R at the Journal of Labor Economics. Kids, there's a lesson for you....
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New ignominious milestone unlocked: implementing partner for an RCT required their approval of results from new data before we released publicly.
We (research team) said sorry no, that's not how this works, and walked away.
Has this happened to anyone else?
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@jt_kerwin
Extra negative points to the fraudsters for leading this team to try this in Guatemala, a place that could really use effective ways to increase tax revenue.
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@EmilyNix100
Great thread. I hate hearing these stories of senior faculty pronouncing what is and isn't important. Let researchers pursue their interests, make their case in their work, and find their audience. Glad this worked for you.
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Great to see new affiliates added to
@iza_bonn
, including
@wsandholtz
and my
@OregonState
colleagues
@easchroeder
&
@shockmath
.
The affiliation process is much more open & inclusive than it used to be. Kudos to
@iza_bonn
.
Happy to note that
@iza_bonn
have invited me to join their network as a Research Affiliate.
It's hard to overstate the impact of mentors and champions who believe in my work. I'm deeply grateful to
@cbatista_econ
&
@Prof_Nishith_P
for the nomination, advice, and guidance.
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Got my
#EconMadness
trophy mug. Feels good to be the champ. Thanks
@KathrynBollman
!
South Carolina wins a national championship and we crown a new
#EconMadness
champion!
Congrats 🥇
@toddpugatch
and the rest of our podium!
🥈
@hannahgabes
🥉 me 😊
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Hot take: papers with titles "Exploring..." or "The determinants of..." [topic] are most likely to be trainwrecks. Just call it "A fishing expedition about..." and save readers the time.
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Secretly hoping
@MatthewAKraft
won a close election so we can get RD evidence on the effect of economists on school boards.
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Incredible what
@Prof_Nishith_P
&
@p_mukherj
have achieved in a few short years with
@econmentoring
! Highly recommend joining as a mentor or mentee.
I can't believe we are in the 4th year of
@econmentoring
! The program that started during COVID, has already reached over 200 students in last 3 years. We have the call for 2024-25 live now! Please apply and help spread the word!
@jhaushofer
@mushfiq_econ
@NUEcon
@JPAL_SA
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Thanks for making it super easy to submit my manuscript
@ElsevierConnect
! All I had to do was download new Latex packages, take an online course, navigate through 17 submission screens, and wait 5 minutes for the file to compile -- which it didn't! Great system 😀
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Had a blast presenting my work with
@mpblimpo
on the unintended consequences of a youth entrepreneurship program in Rwanda at the
@CEGA_UC
Research Retreat in Berkeley last Friday. Thanks
@tedmiguel
,
@carsonamelia7
& team for a great event!
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Course evals are in! Some gems:
"it was alright"
"I don't know. I just had to take this class."
"negatively supported my learning"
"no comment"
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Starting a business is an economic necessity for youth in many low income countries. Can we teach youth to be better entrepreneurs when they’re in school?
New WP by me &
@mpblimpo
addresses this question, via an RCT in Rwandan secondary schools. 1/
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I am grateful beyond words to my wonderful colleagues
@OregonState
for their insights, support, and friendship since I joined in 2011. I'll miss you all greatly:
@Paul_N_Thompson
@OregonEconomics
@easchroeder
@shockmath
@KathrynBollman
& everyone else not on here. 2/
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@dynarski
I wore a "Yankees Suck" t-shirt to Yankee Stadium for a 2003 Red Sox-Yankees ALCS game, at the height of the rivalry. Ticket-taker told me I had to cover the shirt. I started to get indignant but he said, "It's for your own protection." Might have saved my life that night!
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"We randomly vary implementation fidelity"
Much discussion of this fantastic paper by
@angrist_noam
&
@economeager
focused on its meta-analysis of targeted instruction RCTs w/ diff implementation. But implementation is endogenous, so can be hard to interpret. 1/
📣SO excited about this paper "Implementation Matters: Generalizing Treatment Effects in Education" w/
@economeager
➡️Effective education interventions (e.g TaRL) generalize well across contexts *when accounting for implementation*👇striking figures aggregating ITT vs TOT effects
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Nice summary of my work on nudges for student success & diversity in US higher ed by
@OregonState
. Featuring joint work with
@easchroeder
& Nick Wilson in
@J_HumanResource
@InquiryWEAI
@EEPAjournal
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A senior (male) economist once advised me, “In your first academic job, cultivate a reputation for administrative incompetence. It will serve you the rest of your career.”
He said it for a laugh but it was also intended as genuine advice.
A study on what many of us already know: over 75% of internal service work in academia is done by women. “We were surprised by how brazenly the male researchers described their priorities, for example that they actively didn’t respond to emails”
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As a referee, these days I am making a conscious effort to be kind. Every report includes a paragraph of positive comments, with other things I liked about the paper sprinkled elsewhere. I'm trying to write the reports I want to receive, even if the recommendation is reject.
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Hot take: this is a smart move by
@AEAjournals
to shore up its budget. Author demand for these pages is almost perfectly inelastic.
AEA is now charging $15/pg to authors to publish papers. With all the money I save by not publishing there, I can renew my Stata license.
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@cblatts
@ClareHofmeyr
Request to repost this one at a later date but removing the "21yo for their first job" part so the much older people I share it with don't get offended
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@Econ_4_Everyone
Editors should be required to hold one virtual office hour each month where rejected authors can go full McEnroe on them.
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En route to Ann Arbor for the Michigan Development conference (MDev).
Looking forward to seeing
@deanyang
& many others!
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Agreed! Fanstastic serving as a mentor with
@leightjessica
to
@sebinbn
,
@NatashaJha_42
and rest of the group. Thanks
@econmentoring
!
#AMIE
It was great to be a mentor with
@sebinbn
+ 5 other dynamic students. Meeting 2 of my mentees in person was a highlight
@NatashaJha_42
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In what is quickly becoming a weekly occurrence,
@DaveEvansPhD
&
@AcostaAminaM
have an awesome & useful new paper at Economics of Education Review!
"How to Measure Student Absenteeism in Low- and Middle-Income Countries," by
@AcostaAminaM
and me, is now forthcoming at the Economics of Education Review!
(Message or email me if you want an advance copy.)
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Had a great time presenting my work on gamified, online entrepreneurship training in Rwanda (w/
@diegoubfal
Jeanne Lafortune & Jose Tessada) at
#PacDev
this weekend! Thanks
@StanfordKingCtr
for hosting.
2024 Pacific Conference for Development Economics:
✅ 240 Participants
✅ 90 Presenters
✅ 90 Research papers
✅ 25+ Global economic themes
✅ Hundreds of new connections
✅ One superb group selfie
#2024PacDev
@CEGA_UC
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@DinaPomeranz
This vexes me every time I title a paper on LMICs.
"Effect of X on Y"? Will get criticized for not pertaining to high-income countries.
"Effect of X on Y in LMICs"? Overclaiming.
So I settle on the clunky "Effect of X on Y: Evidence from Country Z." Bleh.
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Hot take alert!
@leecrawfurd
says we should prioritize access over quality in LMIC education!
His argument: universal secondary school is feasible, while increasing primary school quality is difficult.
Not sure where I stand, but kudos for sparking discussion
New piece by me in an IJED special issue symposium on the SDG4 midpoint.
The SDG 4.1 goal is for both more learning in primary & more completion of secondary school.
Investing in access to secondary both has clearer benefits & is easier to do
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Definitely putting this on my CV.
Thanks
@KathrynBollman
for organizing!
South Carolina wins a national championship and we crown a new
#EconMadness
champion!
Congrats 🥇
@toddpugatch
and the rest of our podium!
🥈
@hannahgabes
🥉 me 😊
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Tfw
@jt_kerwin
gets outed as R2
Congratulations to
@jt_kerwin
, recognized for Excellence in Reviewing in 2023!🎉
#EconTwitter
#PeerReview
#JHR
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Expand the pipeline of African students in economics -- become a
@GAIN_Network_
mentor! I've mentored for 3 years and highly recommend it.
Registrations to become a GAIN mentor are now open!
GAIN mentors are assigned to help guide a mentee one-on-one through the entire graduate application cycle in economics or related fields.
➡️ Register here:
🗓️ Deadline: April 21st
Please share widely!
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Thanks
@liberalartsosu
for the nice summary of my work on entrepreneurship education & school management in LMICs. Featuring joint work w/
@mpblimpo
@Anand__Gautam
@leecrawfurd
@ketkidsheth
& Aishwarya Atluri.
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@marcfbellemare
But Marc, what if I like making nonlinear transformations of my coefficients to get the marginal effects? What if I like the drama of my estimator potentially failing to converge to a maximum??
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Great to see my
@OSU_SPP
student and
@WorldBank
McNamara Fellow Rafi Najam (
@rnajamr
) featured here! Search committees: take note. Thanks
@JohnHolbein1
.
Next up in our highlighting of JMCs is
@rnajamr
.
He does cool work at the intersection of education, development economics, & public opinion
Check out his JMP "Closing the Gap: The Effect of Gender Quota on Women’s Access to Education in Afghanistan."
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Kids home for 7th straight day due to weekend, holiday, and snow. Live view of my productivity:
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When co-authors change the formatting of my tables
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@prisonrodeo
Respectfully disagree. Even well-identified causal studies have limitations. But a mosaic of them illuminates more than any number of "determinants of" studies.
This (underappreciated) paper by
@StatModeling
&
@guido_imbens
captures my view:
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Just gave! Happy to support this effort for transparency and constructive communication in science.
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School management matters. Can it be taught?
@leecrawfurd
recaps our new systematic review on this question. (Co-authored with
@Anand__Gautam
, Aishwarya Atluri, &
@ketkidsheth
)
NEW PAPER on the effect of school management training programs in developing countries
with
@Anand__Gautam
Aishwarya Atluri
@toddpugatch
@ketkidsheth
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Nudges are great, but they can exacerbate gender gaps.
Fascinating new work by
@nbrodnax
in
@EEPAjournal
: nudging college students to take STEM courses widened the gender gap.
Not only that, these findings replicate! 1/2
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@andreamoro
Agree, it's a burden on candidates. But at lower-tier places like mine, we must be judicious in choosing interviews & flyouts -- some candidates just want the practice. Choosing only the most impressive candidates can result in a failed search.
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Great write-up of my ongoing school management RCT in India with
@leecrawfurd
@ketkidsheth
, written by
@ApurvaSankar
from our implementing partner
@Alokit_India
.
Our M&E Manager,
@ApurvaSankar
, delves into insights from implementing an RCT on training School Principals with
@JPAL
and researchers
@toddpugatch
@leecrawfurd
@ketkidsheth
.
Check out the link below:
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My favorite part of Twitter is
@Prof_Nishith_P
sprinkling congratulations and good cheer all around
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The labor market is strong, my friends
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Hiring committees when I was completing my PhD: Does your research have a theme?
Me: uh…yeah. Totally.
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@JustinSandefur
Good reminder to all of us to limit all papers to 3 authors in case someone tries to steal your Nobel.
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Why I love econ: you don't have to be a classical conservative to take
@mikekofoed
's approach. Markets + smart public policy characterizes much of our profession, wherever we land on the political spectrum.
Me, a classical conservative teaching at a university: Okay students, see how markets are really neat and sometimes we need some smart public policy.
MAGA: See all academics are woke socialists brainwashing our youth...we need to tell them to teach about markets.
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So far this year,
@StanfordKingCtr
has hosted PacDev and DevPec.
Next up: PecDev, a conference for bodybuilders.
Ph.D. students from around the world are at
#stanford
for
#DevPec
: Development & Political Econ Conference! 🌏
Two days of discourse on
#globaldevelopment
challenges & solutions.💡
👏
@Yatsuka_Tateishi
@devdecet
@dibyamishra90
@RosanneLogeart
@guohui_jiang
Key note:
@saumjha
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if you're not checking out the other site you're deeply incurious
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Dear journals, if you charge a submission fee of more than $300, I would really really appreciate a receipt after payment next time. Thank you.
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@JohnHolbein1
an endangered species but can still be glimpsed in departments yet to eradicate confusion between causal inference and prediction
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Great writeup of the innovative work my
@OregonState
colleague
@KathrynBollman
is doing on police body-worn cameras, parental disability & human capital investment, and more! (by
@liberalartsosu
)
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Looking forward to presenting my work w/
@mpblimpo
on youth entrepreneurship in Rwanda at
#SOLE
in Portland this Saturday (8am!).
HMU if you're at
#SOLE
this weekend and want to catch up.
Starting a business is an economic necessity for youth in many low income countries. Can we teach youth to be better entrepreneurs when they’re in school?
New WP by me &
@mpblimpo
addresses this question, via an RCT in Rwandan secondary schools. 1/
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Unscientific observation: lib arts colleges pay their faculty miserably low salaries but seem to be swimming in startup and other slush funds. Do the faculty prefer this situation to having high pay but lower slush funds?
Thought
#5
: Spend your damn startup funds. They usually don’t even roll over from year to year, they are YOURS, and nobody is giving you bonus points for being frugal. Buy a perpetual license to Stata. Go to all the conferences even if you aren’t presenting. ZERO BALANCE! 6/N
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@pabarcar
Track number of attempts to contact respondents, even if you don’t randomize intensity of tracking. Can be used for selection correction and combined with Lee bounds. See Behaghel et al ReStat 2015.
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Music and dance videos for 3–5 minutes per day increase children's vocabulary. By
@ariel_kalil
Susan Mayer
@poreopoulos
@RohenShah
. (This is the vocabulary version of that Number Blocks RCT you want
@AnneFitz13
!)
Evaluating the effectiveness of Big Word Club, a classroom program that uses music and dance videos for 3–5 minutes per day to increase vocabulary, from
@ariel_kalil
, Susan Mayer,
@poreopoulos
, and
@RohenShah
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🆕 The impact of a gender quota on women’s education in
#Afghanistan
🇦🇫
Today on VoxDev,
@rnajamr
(
@OSU_SPP
@wb_research
) shows that affirmative action for women in public universities in Afghanistan increased the share of women admitted by 32%:
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@DaveEvansPhD
@leecrawfurd
@susannahhares
@JustinSandefur
Congratulations! This paper and newly released work by
@angrist_noam
would make for a great
#EdDev
debate!
@raissafabregas
what do you think?
📣Our new mega-paper just released in
@nberpubs
. So proud of this one. A 5-country randomized trial in India, Kenya, Nepal, Philippines, & Uganda. We evaluate phone calls to deliver targeted education during school disruptions. Learning gains = .33 SD.
👇
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Nice writeup of
@easchroeder
& my paper "A simple nudge increases socioeconomic diversity in undergraduate economics" in Inside Higher Ed. Thanks
@ColleenFlahert1
!
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@DaveEvansPhD
@dmckenzie001
Not only do I love your blog posts Dave, you were also awesome in Better Call Saul.
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Helpful tips for a common situation in empirical work. In education research, admin data (e.g., a school census like EMIS) can help check pre-treatment trends on adjacent outcomes or suggest refinements to the control group.
What to do about parallel trends when you only have baseline data? I offer 5 things you can try to make the parallel trends assumption in difference-in-differences somewhat plausible even when you only have a single baseline and not lots of pre-periods
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I love this. Any chance there were power outages in some villages so we can learn how this affected education trajectories in 10 years?
Girls watching the Chandrayaan moon mission in the village library.
#girlsinlibraries
#learningcentres
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Writer: it's a show about detectives who keep thinking they've solved crimes, but the police chief says the evidence is too noisy to draw conclusions
Producer: what's it called?
Writer: Law & Order: Standard Errors Unit
Producer: get out
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My go-to writing strategy lately: park downhill.
Stopping at an easy place to continue writing makes starting back up much less agonizing. It's helped me power through some tough writing tasks lately.
.
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Diligently spent 4 hours doing academic writing today but all of it is crap. To my co-authors reading this: don't worry, it wasn't our project. I swear.
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@KathrynBollman
I was there and can confirm
@KathrynBollman
's students did a great job! Clearly well prepared by their instructor😀
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Congratulations on completing your PhD Dr.
@rnajamr
!
The unwavering support of my advisors (
@toddpugatch
, Alison,
@Paul_N_Thompson
,
@OregonEconomics
, Jennifer),
@OSU_SPP
, classmates (partic. Ricardo and Greg), family members (parents, sisters, and brothers), friends, colleagues, and many of you have been invaluable.
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Finally, a paper addressing one of my pet peeves: reporting too many significant digits. I don't need to know your estimate to the 5th decimal point!
Authors: Astier & Wolak,
@nberpubs
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Never ask how the causal sausage gets made.
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Affirmative action increases women's access to higher education in Afghanistan. New work by
@rnajamr
in Econ of Ed Review.
I'm happy to share that my article is now available in the Economics of Education Review. Link to the article (free access for the next 50 days):
Highlights:
1. Affirmative action increases women's access to higher education.
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The title says it all: a single email to intro econ students increased 1st gen econ majors by 5 percentage points. Among students earning a B- or above, the increase was 12 p.p.!
These effects were big enough to reverse the gap in econ majors between 1st gen and non-1st gen! 2/
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Tfw your RCT and your kids’ learning are off the rails because of teacher strikes
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When the RA fabricates your data
Aaron Boone got ejected 2 batters in to the game for something a fan in the stands said
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I woke up at 4:45am to watch this! Well worth it. Some highlights (1/7):
📢 TODAY (21 June) 📢
Join the
#GEEAP
- composed of world-class education experts - for the online launch of their new
#SmartBuys
report. Hear from the panel and education ministers from 8am ET ⏰ See you there:
#evidence
#research
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What are the long-term returns to literacy? I looked into this question informally a couple years ago. Thought I'd be drinking from a Google Scholar firehose. Nope. A more systematic inquiry found the same. Looking forward to following this project !
Do better literacy skills pay off for kids later in life? At present, we don't have a credible answer to this Q..
So... introducing our
@CGDev
Return to Learning project, where we'll attempt to track down kids from early grade reading RCTs, 10-15yrs ago
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NEW PAPER! "Study More Tomorrow"
At the beginning of the term, college students want to study more. But later, they don't follow through.
@easchroeder
Nick Wilson & I randomly offered students a commitment device: Study More Tomorrow.
What happened? 1/
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Congratulations
@OSU_SPP
PhD student Rafi Najam (
@rnajamr
) on your selection as a
@WorldBank
Robert S. McNamara Fellow! Proud advisor here.
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I DON’T CARE IF THE 1ST STAGE IS STRONG! DOES YOUR INSTRUMENT SATISFY THE EXCLUSION RESTRICTION??
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@JohnHolbein1
I had a vague notion of this too and wanted to write a paper called “Voodoo Donuts” (name of a cult doughnut shop here in Portland OR). I got scooped!
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Reminder to Ryan Day to tailor your cover letter when applying to
@OregonState
. Also consider signaling us to show your interest.
Oregon State hiring. You can play flag football there like you want.
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