By 2035, Britain plans to switch its electric grid to net zero, and ban sales of petrol cars and gas boilers.
These policies imply a supply shortfall of 69GW – or 27 Hinkley Cs.
In today's
@TheCriticMag
, I search for the offical plan to plug the gap.
Sheffield Green Party are unequivocal in our support for Palestinians facing genocide and apartheid.
We are proud to have proposed the first successful council motion in the UK calling for an immediate ceasefire & end to Israel's genocidal campaign in Palestine.
Astonishing stuff.
Keir Starmer is asked about British Muslim disillusionment with the Labour party.
He doesn't even pretend to show he's interested. Muslim voters appear to have minimal relevance as far as he's concerned.
Good long read in
@Telegraph
on the origins of the housing crisis, feat me,
@AntBreach
& Paul Cheshire. Short version: no, Nigel, it's not just about immigration.
First hint of conscription immediately sparks a culture war between:
1) White cons refusing because they think the MoD hates them;
2) Non-whites refusing because they think white cons hate them, and;
3) Progressives refusing because patriotism is cringe.
We're in good shape!
Spiking is, in fact, very uncommon.
So much so that my A&E stopped offering tests because no one who requested one ever tested positive.
Surprisingly common, however, are adverse, rapid-onset reactions to alcohol, including psychotic episodes.
I had my drink spiked in a bar by a group of men so brazen they didn’t care who saw. A colleague spotted them, thought we’d be OK as I’d only had one sip but sadly it was enough. It was awful and I was lucky. Still don’t understand why they did it. It’s SO scarily common 👇🏻
The 'US melting pot' narrative ignores the 1924 Immigration Act, which cut immigration 80% and set nation-of-origin quotas to favour NW Europe.
In 1954, Eisenhower deported 1.1 million Mexicans in 3 months.
As late as 1991, most Americans were descended from pre-1776 settlers.
Half my estate has that severe illness that allows you to potter around smoking fags all day but renders you incapable of operating a check-out or answering a phone.
One even has a debilitating condition that forces him to patrol the locality with a large dog and sell drugs.
It is so deeply depressing to see Labour give the right wing press these soundbites. They know no one “lives a life on benefits” if they are not severely ill and those who do are consigned to poverty. And yet they say it, making the country that little bit nastier and divided.
Chinese engineers surprised to discover that wind energy is expensive and that the academic literature lacks cost-benefit analyses.
Publish paper in English in the assumption that this simply hasn't occurred to Western colleagues.
Adorably naive.
Meanwhile, French married couples can declare income as if split between members of their household, including children.
Someone on €55k pays €0 personal income tax if they're married with three kids.
They also have Europe's highest fertility rate.
Britain's cyber intelligence agency,
@GCHQ
, is advertising 'maths and cryptography roles' requiring only lower second-class degrees.
Excited by this surprisingly uncompetitive opportunity to become a spy?
You'd better not be a white guy...
“Leave fossil fuels in the ground. It’s so simple”
Writer George Monboit says that as a result of oil and gas industry influence, the COP conferences are unsuccessfully “preventing climate breakdown” and not enough action is being taken
#bbcqt
Clive was given a handful of outposts and 900 men, on a hostile continent whose languages he had to learn from scratch, besieged by an empire that could field 50,000.
Yet, through ruthless espionage and diplomacy, he won British dominon.
He's a standard appart from today's FCO.
“I argue that there is a catastrophic gap between what British people think its empire did to the world and what the world knows its empire did to the world.”
🖊️
@Sathnam
State spending accounts for 65% of Wales' GDP – the highest ratio on earth, sans Ukraine (66%).
The mean resident racks up a £6,500 annual deficit.
It got 2x more Levelling Up funding per head than the rest of the UK.
The solution is not more subsidies.
The entire Welsh nation gets half as much funding as the big business of Canary Warf, the priorities of the corrupt British state is obvious for all to see, they have contempt for the Welsh.
These horrendous deaths will keep happening. Sending people to Rwanda is no solution, it's desperate now that we change our approach.
As long as we refuse to give people safe alternative ways to travel to countries of safety, we will always be waiting for the next tragedy.
A rando saying something racist in Clacton is now more worthy of wall-to-wall news coverage than a jihadist attempting to blow up a hospital.
Were this man a right-wing extremist, does anyone doubt that it would be front page news?
An Islamist was jailed yesterday. He plotted to blow up a hospital in Leeds using a pressure cooker bomb. He wanted to 'kill as many nurses as possible'. Only by good fortune was the attack stopped. Why isn't this major story leading every news broadcast?
Residents of Birmingham are to pay Britain's first Diversity Tax, after the city's council is bankrupted by £2bn in indirect discrimination lawsuits.
The council's crime? Giving bonuses to street cleaners and bin collectors.
Rwanda Bill is an assault on the rule of law and an affront to the separation of powers. These principles are cornerstones of our liberal democracy, so today I urged the House to support Labour’s amendments & join us in opposing this unworkable & unaffordable bill in its entirety
The ECHR climate judgment is nuts.
The 'Right to family life' (Article 8) has been re-interpreted as an obligation to reach Net Zero emissions (including imported emissions).
More remarkable: it has appointed itself as the body best qualified to judge governments' policies.
Farage shamefully continues to blame the West for Putin's illegal invasion of Ukraine. He's self-imploding before our eyes. Who would trust him on national security now? The guy's just a Kremlin puppet, spouting their talking points as he used to when he appeared on Russian state
Policing of the relatively small St. George's Day demonstration seems a tad... excessive.
We had a similarly-sized Eritrean protest a few weeks back, with barely any police.
Non-British nationalist protests are a more than weekly occurrence on Whitehall.
A cautionary tale about paperwork:
1974: French Government announces the 'Messmer Plan' to switch to nuclear power. 15 years later, it had installed 56 reactors.
2010: British Government announces it's own nuclear drive. 13 years later, it has installed 1 (inactive) reactor.
This gets worse, his working paper is literally entirely based upon people only being allowed a maximum amount of floorspace, which is a good idea because They Said So and Somebody’s Given Them All PhDs, so they’re also Important and you Must Listen For Your Own Good.
Unbelievable misinformation from BBC Climate Editor,
@BBCJustinR
, who says renewables are cheaper per MWh than gas.
AR6 has solar at £85/MWh, onshore wind at £89, offshore at £102, and floating offshore at £246.
That's 200%-600% above the long-run norm.
Sorry, whose soft power?
Have any Pakistani parties altered their foreign policy in response to protests by British immigrants?
How many British-born MPs schedule debates in the Bangladesh Parliament to advocate for the UK?
Seen any British-descended Indian ministers recently?
In migration figs or not, intl students bring real benefits:
• £42bn p.a, with typical constituency £58m better off.
• £12bn to priority levelling up areas.
• soft power from British values & lasting trade ties.
• fund research vital to UK “science superpower” ambitions.
Otherwise we risk pushing ourselves into an ideological cul-de-sac. The standard deviation model is true in politics. Most people are in the middle. We can work with the bell curve or become the bell-ends. We need to make that decision. I fear the electorate already is!...
Very cool.
Anglo liberals give indigenous Canadians jurisdiction over some of the most in-demand land in the country.
Indigenous immediately remove all zoning laws and become billionaire real-estate developers.
Anglos horrified.
“What chafes critics, even those who might consider themselves progressive, is that they expect reconciliation to instead look like a kind of reversal, rewinding the tape of history to some museum-diorama past.”
Labour says its 2030 Net Zero plan will save you £300 a year.
Tories say their 2035 Net Zero plan will lower bills.
Reform says it already costs you £400 a year.
Is there a simple way to tell who's lying?
As it turns out, yes – the data is all public:
61% new doctors are from overseas, and 50% qualified outside the EEA.
Last year, we poached the equivalent of ~40% Nigeria's medical graduates.
Training less than half of what we need and taking the rest from poor nations is neither wise nor ethical.
Despite a shortage of doctors, the UK government is refusing to raise the cap on the number of places at UK medical schools.
Therefore, the only "solution" to the doctor shortage is yet more immigration.
Is Talbot lying, or is this a class thing?
Family who grew up in Camden in the 1950/60s describe how everyone left their front doors unlocked and would commonly pop into neighbours' houses to borrow teabags.
Lee Kuan Yew marvelled at England's honesty boxes.
Different world.
1⃣The UK's new extremism definition.
🧵Some thoughts:
1) "Fundamental rights" – Only legally defined in the ECHR, which half the UK wants revoked.
2) "Replace the UK's system of liberal parliamentary democracy" – Includes, amongst others, advocates of a presidential republic.
Caroline Lucas' modernizing vision:
1) Cut UK energy consumption per capita below Algerian levels.
2) Ban nuclear (+ everything else needed to keep the lights on).
3) Veto new housing and HS rail.
4) Outlaw GE solutions to global hunger and malnutrition.
5) Axe trade deals.
Reform’s net zero migration policy is bonkers. Let's be clear: if we stop legal migration we would need to raise taxes. Immigrants help grow the economy. It’s totally at odds with free market principles.
Birmingham's residents are to pay the nation's first Equality Levy.
The reason? The city offered a bonus to binmen, who are mainiy male – leading to £2bn in sex discrimination lawsuits.
In
@TheCriticMag
, I explain how equality law is re-shaping Britain.
Nigel Farage has come to destroy the right in parliament - and is making more progress than Keir Starmer or Ed Davey ever could.
My Spectator cover story on how the Brexit king became the left's greatest weapon
Some juicy figures here.
Bank of America analysts have discovered backup costs.
They conclude that these render wind & solar "more expensive than almost any alternative."
All despite using (implausibly low) Lazard LCOE estimates.
.
@BankofAmerica
analysts nuke solar and wind:
1. Trash solar and wind as "more expensive than almost any alternative on an unsubsidized basis."
2. Nuclear is cheapest scalable emissions-free energy source "by far".
A reminder:
Whilst Hope not Hate Ltd. claims it is separate from Hope not Hate Charitable Trust, this is untrue.
The charity has no administrative employees, no website, exclusively funds the Ltd., and it's financial report describes the Ltd. in the first person.
@GuidoFawkes
This evening
@GuidoFawkes
has made a number of serious allegations about HOPE not hate which are completely untrue.
We will be consulting with lawyers but would like to set the record straight 🧵
Centrism’s vision for politics:
Government is run by quangos, and occasionally influenced by favourable NGOs.
Political parties are insulated from wider democratic pressures (who knows what might happen!) with the ‘right people’ ensuring only a fraction of public sentiment is
🚨 NEW: Angela Rayner has decided there was an "error of law" in the Tory's decision to grant planning permission for the West Cumbria coal mine, so they will not defend the move in an upcoming High Court case
[
@TomSheldrickITV
]
UK Electricity is currently selling at an elevated £90/MWh.
Most CfD wind farms are currently selling at £170, with the cheapest one at £107.
Not a single wind farm is selling at below market price.
In other words: this statement is a bare-faced lie.
The Government has agreed to unlock onshore wind, but time is of the essence. Wind power is not only clean and good for jobs, but as the cheapest form of energy, it’s anti-inflationary.
Ending the de facto ban should be accompanied by wider changes to tackle grid connectivity.
The complete inability of professional politicians to understand the basic motivations of their voters is genuinely fascinating.
Akin to a medic not knowing CPR, or an accountant being unable to read a spreadsheet.
Immigration is the
#1
issue for the voters who delivered 2019.
Casual reminder that France installed 56 nuclear reactors (50GW) in 15 years, from 1974.
We've installed one (2.7GW) in the equivalent time, and it's not online.
French cost per GW (inflation adjusted): €1.8bn
Hinckley C cost per GW: €12bn
Sizewell C's planning application had a 44,260 page environmental impact assessment.
Yet, the project will now be judicially reviewed on the grounds that they failed to consider the environmental impacts. Net Zero is impossible if we don't fix this.
A chilling warning from Germany, where the open-borders-and-blackouts coalition (OGSK) is losing popularity to parties that don't support those things.
This could happen to us.
Germany makes for a troubling case study in what happens when the mainstream fails voters so badly that they run off in different directions in search of change.
Like Germany, the UK doesn’t need more parties but better politics, I argue in
@Telegraph
👇
Is Farage's populism destroying an English conservative tradition, dating to the 1400s?
The historical record says YES🧵
We begin with Sir John Fortescue, whose 𝘋𝘦 𝘭𝘢𝘶𝘥𝘪𝘣𝘶𝘴 𝘭𝘦𝘨𝘶𝘮 𝘈𝘯𝘨𝘭𝘪𝘢𝘦 (1470) set the tentative foundation for later conservative thinking.
The English tradition of conservatism is shrivelling as Faragian populism takes hold
Nigel Farage's Reform overtakes the Tories in the polls for the first time. Tawdry populism is ending a small 'c' English conservative tradition dating to 14th century
Lee Anderson is an ex-miner and local charity worker who flipped a working-class constituency that had voted Labour for 42 years.
If he isn't emblematic of the Conservatives' 2019 voter influx, who is?
Parties exist to appeal to voters; not the other way around.
A reminder that Lee Anderson has moved from Labour to Conservative to Reform in six years. He was never a real Conservative and has no guiding principles or philosophy. He is an opportunistic loudmouth and the party is better off without him.
Had the opportunity to ask MPs about energy policy today.
Pointed out that we cannot build sufficient non-intermittent capacity in time for the 2035 net-zero switch.
Thought I'd scored, only to discover they didn't understand the difference between peak and annual demand.
Fun.
On the upside, the police can only access your messages and internet history to "detect or prevent serious crime."
"Serious crime" is defined as an offense with a sentence of 3 or more years.
That narrows it down to things like bodily harm or... insulting someone in Scotland.
It's wrong to blame the free market.
The UK Government 𝙘𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙚 to inflate industrial energy prices 91% above the Western European average.
When steel went under, the UK Government 𝙘𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙚 to make support contingent on going 'Net Zero'.
“Let’s sell our national steel production capacity to non-allied great powers. Such staples can just be bought on the open market, because globalisation. And anyway, there’ll never again be wars or arms races that require lots of ships, tanks, and missiles, because globalisation”
I asked the CEO of Energy UK why her claims about the price of wind energy were directly contradicted by the publically available Contacts for Difference database.
This was her thoughtful response:
@AporiaMagazine
France's system is exceedingly pro-family.
It allows married couples to declare income as if it were split between members of the household, including children.
Someone on €55k can pay €0 personal income tax if they're married with three kids.
Norway also has 11x our reserves.
Exploration is 100% refundable (in case of 0 profits), uplift breaks reward long-run investment, and they fund pipelines.
In other words: Norway treats gas as a vital asset, not a political piñata.
State shares > whimsical punishment taxes.
Reminder that Norway has world’s largest sovereign wealth fund (from North Sea oil). Not largest relative to economy. The largest. It’s $1.5 *trillion* - 3X GDP.
Meanwhile in Britain we’re looking at 16 years productivity stagnation & leader of opposition leader praises
"The Army is dangerously undermanned – we need to improve soldiers' pay and housing."
"You mean replace them with African mercenaries?"
"What? No. That's not what I..."
"And give their families visas?"
"..."
"Good talk."
Not one wind turbine is producing at below the market price for electricity.
Gas is selling at £21.27/MWh.
The weighted price for offshore wind is around £175/MWh – and that's before accounting for its inflationary effect on gas-generated power (via curtailment) or waste.
Much of this is because of expensive energy (gas) with the working and middle class being hammered.
That said, the trend is impressive - outsourced emissions on manufacturing not withstanding.
It would be even more impressive if we built nuclear power stations in 2010!
A real loss.
I was hoping he'd be disgraced for lobbying prior to stepping down.
As a reminded – this man accepted £80k from a carbon capture firm prior to publishing an official report demanding subsidies for carbon capture, and then failed to declare it for months.
British police arrest 3,000 people a year for social media posts.
Official guidelines advise teachers to report pupils to the authorities if they exhibit signs of 'cultural nationalism'.
If anything, Orban should be refusing to meet Braverman.
Orban has fatally undermined Hungarian democracy.
@SuellaBraverman
sharing a platform with him would be like a Labour politician talking alongside Maduro or (previously) Chavez. She should cancel immediately.
Wind Inc: "We offer the cheapest electricity"
Government: "Okay. To be safe, here's a strike price a bit above long-run market average."
Wind Inc: "Too low, we can't do it. Pay us more."
Government: "But you said..."
Wind Inc: "THE GOVERNMENT IS HOLDING BACK CHEAP ENERGY"
At the risk of being “that guy” this is the global context which our government is dragging its heels in. This is the massive opportunity for growth, jobs and low cost abundant energy that the CCC recently found we are failing to properly seize.
Modern welfare creates too many steps between the person claiming cash and those providing it.
You're not stealing from your neighbours; you're stealing from 'the state'.
Once upon a time, union reps would be knocking on your door with a thermometer.
Half my estate has that severe illness that allows you to potter around smoking fags all day but renders you incapable of operating a check-out or answering a phone.
One even has a debilitating condition that forces him to patrol the locality with a large dog and sell drugs.
Ontario took one year to pick an SMR design, is granting construction permits this year, and expects first power by 2028/9.
Britain was planning to make a final decision by 2029, followed by planning consultations.
Somehow, this was too hasty for our system to handle.
Britain boasts Europe's most advanced military and the world's 4th biggest military budget.
In a state-on-state war, however, it would run out of ammo within a week.
In my latest for
@TheCriticMag
, I question the logic of an army which can't fight wars.
This only works because Conservatives aren't willing to use their electoral majorities to (effortlessly) undo all such innovations.
Our Americanised mindset has lulled us into believing that the Blob is unchallengable; its processes sacrosanct.
Parliament is unchallengable.
‘The aim of modern left-wing politics is to make right-wing politics impossible. Government is hemmed in by human rights & equality law, civil service guidelines & consultation requirements, such that any decisive action against the Blairite consensus becomes inconceivable.’
@pegobry_en
England was probably the most industrialised society in history by the time of the Conquest, with the Doomsday Book recording 5,642 watermills delivering appropriately half a million labourers' worth of work. That number would double in subsquent decades.
Rory Stewart embodies the mindless reactionary tribalism of dinner party centrists.
It doesn't matter that, when he was a Conservative MP, net immigration was 2/3 lower, and deportation rates were 3x higher.
What matters is that uncouth people are trying to influence things.
The only way that the conservatives will ever be in government again is by moving back to the centre and rejecting the fantasies of the Faragist right. But it will be a painful fight with many party members who will insist that moderation prudence and realism is “wet”!
The interviewer is shockingly ill-informed.
This year, CfD accounts show that consumers have paid £160.5/MWh for offshore wind, £111.22 for onshore wind, and £107.8 for solar.
That's £97.2, £48.26 and £44.75/MWh above reference market price.
Annual subsidies: £540/household.
“Are you guaranteeing to people they’ll save £300 [if Labour set up GB energy]?” asks
#BBCLauraK
Labour campaign coordinator Pat McFadden says the figure is a “good way to illustrate” the potential savings transitioning to renewable energy could bring
So much for '£52/MWh by 2025'.
NOT ONE offshore wind producer was willing to touch £60/MWh.
Onshore coming in at £71.26/MWh (pre network + backup costs).
Look for the usual industry wails:
"Wind is cheap, but also please give us generous subsidies."
1⃣ Some thoughts on the cost of Labour's '100% clean energy by 2030' plan.
Labour appears to have based its plans on modelling by
@EmberClimate
.
The plan has nearly 75% of annual demand met by intermittent renewables.
That means a lot of storage.
1/3 Faced with disorder, police will always side with the mob they fear most.
The Public Order Act (S.4A) empowers them to remove ‘insulting’ material that may ‘cause a person harassment, alarm or distress.’
Repeatedly used to arrest outnumbered protesters 'provoking' a crowd.
Fury as Met Police officers pull down posters of kidnapped Israeli children in London 'to avoid inflaming tensions' - after force failed to clamp down on Islamists chanting 'jihad' at pro-Palestine protests
A £246/MWh public-backed strike price is too low to secure 'investor confidence' in floating offshore wind, apparently.
That's 5x the UK's long-run market average (and 20x US electricity prices), 𝘣𝘦𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦 adding in backup and pylon costs.
These people are not your friends.
Both UK govt & main opposition party have 5GW target for floating offshore wind by 2030
Yet 2024 renewables auction round ‘is currently unlikely to secure progress for more than 1 floating project’
Idea that target would be hit in such circs is fanciful
NEW
The UK government has just quietly said it will raise the price of new offshore wind contracts by at least 50%, after receiving 0 bids.
This takes the price for future offshore wind to at least £96/MWh.
Everyone who predicted £40 has been promoted.
Public transport asside, my inkling here is that Britain is unusual in concentrating social housing in inner cities.
This freezes out skilled workers and worsens congestion.
France opts for suburban projects, whilst Germany & Japan have 1/8th our stock.
This is what a cold English winter looks like with 90% heat pump uptake. Demand peaks at over 130GW.
That's the equivalent of 51 Hinkley C-equivalent power stations.
The UK plans to ban gas boilers and switch to a net zero grid by 2035.
We will have one nuclear power station.
But whether in Ireland or the UK or New York City, nobody is going to want to pay higher taxes in order to build welfare houses for foreigners to live in.
You need to let them buy housing on the market so immigrants are an economic asset not a cost.
The price of future offshore wind has been set at 2x the long-run European electricity price and 7.5x the long-run US price.
That doesn't account for balancing and pylon costs, which will almost double its price to consumers.
Don't be fooled – this will make everyone poorer.
Wrong, it's still a bargain and it's better than the alternatives. Author ignores the value of import reductions and the fact that it's ultra low carbon.
'UK offshore wind is no longer a bargain. But it’s still better than the alternatives'
It’s time for common sense not divisiveness.
That’s why I’m commissioning a root and branch review of ethnicity, diversity and inclusivity policies across defence.
YIMBYs' greatest handicap is a failure to recognise the fact that most people refuse to sacrifice greenery at the alter of mass immigration.
You can pursuade people to house their grandkids. You cannot persuade them to house the world.
Without assurances, reform is impossible.
This is anti-growth, Malthusian nonsense!
You would never say, "To fix the housing crises, you must slow population growth by lowering the birthrate", even tho it has the exact same logic as blaming immigration.
@BaronMaupertuis
Quantity of alcohol isn't the only issue. I've known people to have random psychotic breaks at levels of drink they can usually handle.
One twitched from merry tipsyness to incoherent paranoia, and had to be handcuffed to a hospital bed. Nurses told me they saw it all the time.
@GCHQ
Outrageous illegal discrimination, you cry?
Actually, it's mandated by Part 11 of the Equality Act 2010 (and its 2017 update).
Every public body is now obliged to work to reduce its white male workforce share, as I explain here:
The UK has the lowest ratio of dwellings to residents in Europe (35% below France) and is building them at the 3rd slowest rate (50% that of France).
Forcing landlords to pay £10,000 to improve their EPC ratings will hammer supply, hike prices and push people onto the streets.
This appears to be a flagrant breach of Charity Commission campaigning rules by a taxpayer-funded charity.
@ChtyCommission
– when can we expect an inquiry into
@hopenothate
?
Regular reminder that my boy, the RH Chris Skidmore MP, gets £80k a year from a carbon capture storage company.
Took the job three days before publishing the Net Zero Review, which *shock* advocated for carbon capture storage.
Baller.
Improving a nation's prosperity 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦𝘴 𝘦𝘮𝘪𝘨𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴, until GDP/capita (PPP) hits ~$15,000.
Sub-Sarahan averages $4,800.
To cut emigration below present rates, they'd need to surpass $30,000.
Raw numbers would still rise, due to population growth.
Exclusive: David Lammy plans to raise foreign aid spending to counter migration
Initially aiming for ~£100m of UK aid cash at EPC for measures to encourage would-be migrants to stay in their home countries
And wants deals with Slovakia/Slovenia on gangs