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Thomas Herndon Profile
Thomas Herndon

@ThomasHerndon1

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Associate Professor of Economics at @JJayEcon @CUNY . @UmassEcon PhD, @EvergreenStCol BA. All views my own.

Brooklyn, NY
Joined November 2012
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
@mikeduncan There are many deep, deep mysteries of the universe. Whether or not Alito is an immature baby is not one of them.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
Happy to say I got the best birthday present ever: I've accepted an offer to join the @JJayEcon department in the fall! Really excited to start a new chapter of my life!
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
I'd like to thank Summers for this pioneering work in casual inference. I predict this new method will really take macro by storm, b/c the assumptions are much less restrictive than the standard causal inference. Really has potential to bring the credibility revolution to macro.
@LHSummers
Lawrence H. Summers
1 year
This picture should be sobering to anyone convinced that we have reattained price stability.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
In the studio right now with @TheStalwart , @PEWilliams_ , and @vebaccount trying to save the world with our new single, “All My Friends Would Mint the Coin”.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
Felt good to reread this classic Bowles and Gintis article tonight.
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Thomas Herndon
2 years
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
@HVNYrefugee Bruh, you’re all hat and no cattle.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
10 months
This has a real “criticizing mma fighters from your couch while eating cheetos”vibe. I mean bruh… what have you contributed to econ other than hot air? You don’t even have a phd, but want to try to define the discipline and police its boundaries.
@realChrisBrunet
Chris Brunet
10 months
i dont want to be a hater... but i don't believe that “advancing our understanding of women’s labour market outcomes” is worthy of a Nobel Prize economics has simply run out of important questions to solve so every year they just hand it to a random professor in the club
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
@D_Blanchflower @haralduhlig @nytimes @paulkrugman At this point, I'm starting to think he might just like the attention. He likes playing the heel.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
8 months
And for a little context, it took me 6 years of consistent training to go from blue belt to purple, which is longer than it took to finish grad school, or get tenure lol. Also, this is what I look like after getting smashed into the mats for about an hour 😅😅😅
@TheStalwart
Joe Weisenthal
8 months
Congrats to @ThomasHerndon1 ! Heterodox economist, killer bassist, and now officially a Jiu Jitsu purple belt. Dudes don’t get much cooler than that.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
3 years
Tell me you don't know about stats without telling me you don't know stats.
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@RubinReport
Dave Rubin
3 years
I know a lot of people who regret getting the vaccine. Don’t know anyone who regrets not getting it.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
@four264 @JeffDeCola @RickInTennessee @newschannelnine Teacher here: If I called the police everytime students didn't do what I asked them, I wouldn't get past day one, because everyone would be arrested for not reading the syllabus. Dealing with "non-compliant" students is literally the job, and doesn't require using force.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
Dang, #philosophytwitter has been comin up lately. #econtwitter , we better regroup or @OlufemiOTaiwo and @lastpositivist will be unstoppable! Sooo much POWAR!
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
Made me really happy today to see this interview with one of my old advisors, @arindube , who I've always seen as an econ superhero. Its hard to put into words just how much I learned from him, and still do.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
8 months
that professor lifestyle. on “vacation” in austin, rushing to finish my regs + slides on Dec 23. @timgill924 would be proud 😅😅🥲🥲
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
@ArmyStrang I'd be pretty happy with some 70s series landcruisers, or at the very least a nissan patrol.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 years
@CraigSBPA @AOC @washingtonpost @nytimes Tfw conservative critics of @AOC accidentally stumble into the realization that the problem is #TheWholeDamnSystem 🤣🤣🤣
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
This goof moved down south from the Hudson Valley and is trying to define southern authenticity based on his John Wayne cosplay fantasies. As one of my friends in TX used to say, this guys all hat and no cattle.
@pblest
Paul Blest
1 year
“Hudson Valley New York refugee” moves to Tennessee and starts calling musicians actually from the South “hipsters” and “inauthentic” because they’re not cosplaying as Republican politicians with a guitar
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
@BrianManookian Reminds me of @ddayen and @LisaEpst 's adventure with mortgages. Maybe I should try to sue Mohela to see if they kept proper chain of title in the Navient switch.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
I got thrown out of highschool in TX at 14. Tenured professor by 37. Thanks soo much for all the folks and institutions that helped me on my path. Too many to list here.
@minjinlee11
Min Jin Lee
1 year
I got an F on my midterm in Korean History taught by a Japanese history professor at Yale. He said Asians were Math and Science majors. I was majoring in History. I wrote a novel called “Pachinko” which is now taught in Japanese history classes, as well as other disciplines.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
@CoreyRobin They just can't help themselves. It's like instinctive at this point.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
That's a nice spreadsheet you got there friend. Would be a shame if something happened to it...
@vebaccount
Alex Williams
1 year
this is the thing about the 2010s austerity. it didn’t need to happen, and the consequences of it happening were “ah we need to cut teachers and programs.”
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
My copy just arrived, hot off the presses! @OlufemiOTaiwo
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
Glad @Noahpinion is talking about a big unforced error in econ. This is a problem where relatively small changes could have a large effect, a problem people have called attention to for a long time, and one for which we bear complete responsibility.
@Noahpinion
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
6 years
The replication crisis has already come to economics. But few people noticed.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
11 months
Hey friends! @TheStalwart @PEWilliams_ , @vebaccount and I started a country band called Light Sweet Crude, and we just released our first single, titled "Bad Behavior". Check it out!!!! And stay tuned for our the full album soon!
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
Friends, applications are open for the John Jay MA program! If you're interested in radical/heterodox economics and considering graduate study (or have students/friends that are), you should apply!
@JJayEcon
John Jay Economics
1 year
Please share widely! Applications are now open for the Fall 2023 semester in our Masters Program: Read here about requirements and general application information:
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
Here’s the vocals with the full band.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
9 months
@instrumenthull @David_desJ @ben_golub @ethanbdm @ShengwuLi I still remember a seminar in grad school when @arindube joked he was doing back-of-the-envelope 2SLS. Folks gave him puzzled looks, and he was like, "you know, long division".
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
@HuntClancy @AUSAorg Holy smokes. That's a full-on Hunter Thompson/Castaneda level hero dose friend. Good on you for being able to manage even the most basic of functions.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 years
@Noahpinion @dclingi Could you elaborate a little bit more? At first read, this interpretation seems a little stretched, and I'm having trouble filling in the gaps.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
3 years
@federicolois @Jabaluck I know this topic can be tough if you don't have a background in research design. If it helps, here's some notes from Mastering Metrics ch.2. Make sure to check out the section "Randomization Eliminates Selection Bias" on p.4.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
9 months
I second this 💯💯💯. I was on a hiring committee in a dept at a liberal arts school/R2 for 3/6 years I worked there. We took cover letters seriously. While the typical canned cover letter coming out of top departments didn't immediately disqualify someone...
@toddpugatch
Todd Pugatch
9 months
JMCs: this is bad advice outside the top schools. Here in the minor leagues, hiring committees want to know why you're interested in the position and if you're really willing to take the job. Credible signals in your cover letter help.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
@torrHL @BJC860 @QuinHillyer @radleybalko Teacher here: If the principle you're standing behind is that students should be arrested for not following my directions, then we wouldn't get past day one, because all students would be arrested for not reading the syllabus. Handling kids saying no is a big part of the job.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
7 months
@PEWilliams_ rippin a solo 🔥🔥🔥 light sweet crude in the studio @LSCCountry @TheStalwart @vebaccount
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
8 months
@acekatana this is the DA office equivalent of the local swat team posting a pic of seizing 1 oz of busted dirt weed, a pocket knife, and $20 in $1 dollar bills.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
@jcbecker_econ This is a classic, which might be my hands down favorite because Bob is such a clear writer:
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 years
@AtifRMian 1/2 Interesting def, but food for thought: Bowles' classic "what markets can - and cannot - do" provides taxonomy of types of market trans, argues a moral (or power) dimension is inherent to some, and this gives justification for reg.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
Privilege discourse going full horse shoe.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
7 years
Any feedback on my two newest WPs would be greatly appreciated. They analyze role of abuses in privately securitized mortgages in Great Recession. Thanks in advance. Links: Punishment or Forgiveness?: Liar's Loans:
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
8 months
If you missed us last night, tix still available for the mercury lounge show!
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@tysonbrody
tyson brody
8 months
POV: u r witnessing the next big thing in urban economic country music
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
Jaw on floor, for reasons cited below. Though this isn't a discontinuous shock, and I've been boggled (pleasantly surprised) by this creeping change for a while, looking back on how much the conversation has changed compared to my undergrad days (2003-2007), is just astonishing.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
@D_Blanchflower @tyillc @Claudia_Sahm Wow, not what I expected to read this afternoon. Credit where credits due for updating priors. I guess it's a brave new world...
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
@instrumenthull @Andrew___Baker Texas. Oof. Can't say they didn't nail it. At least whenever I start to feel like I haven't accomplished much in the world, I can look at this, remember where I started, and how far I've come.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
@D_Kuehn @teasri @Econ_Marshall @JakeMGrumbach Holy fucking shit. I was kinda just joking above about finding out about uncle Milton in Rhodesia. Had no idea he actually wrote about it. Excellent find. This is wild.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
How to handle sexual harassment allegations like an abusive serial predator, exhibit A. I hope this creep gets what's coming to him. And GMU clearly needs to clean house of everyone at Scalia Law that covered for him as well.
@ChristaLaser
Law Prof. Christa Laser
1 year
Here, I redacted Wright's complaint to remove personal information of Elyse and Angela. Wright brings a defamation claim for $108MM against them for speaking out re abuse. Note: a reporter told me that additional accusers are coming out later today.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
8 years
One of my favorite Keynes quotes!
@michaelaoash
Michael Ash
8 years
Good thing we've put that behind us: Keynes (1933)
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
Proud to have a new op-ed out with @MarkVinPaul , discussing the pro's of the new Postal Banking bill.
@thehill
The Hill
6 years
"The poor need bank accounts, and USPS has the answer"
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 years
@AsherSchechter The fine might even be called, "profit-sharing"....
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
@OlufemiOTaiwo @evanewashington @economeager I know introducing researcher judgment into "Science" doesn't make many people feel good, but imho it's also one of the more interesting things to study in the history of science, and is similar to thinking of science as a creative process, or the "art" of science.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
@jdportes I guess you gotta laugh to keep from crying 😂😂😂
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
3 years
@OlufemiOTaiwo "Cash rules everything around me." - Karl Marx, Capital Volume 1.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
@OlufemiOTaiwo Ahh, I see your tactic here. Playing the negation of the negation of the negation card here. Pretty soon we'll arrive at the conclusion that the Prussian monarchy is the realization of the march of freedom through history.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
Nobody calls it cancel culture when it targets those at the margins.
@News4Mass
Wyatt Massey
2 years
News: Penn State has formally scrapped plans to establish its Center for Racial Justice, a key proposal in the wake of 2020 protests. This morning, President Bendapudi told the group searching for the center's director that Penn State would not fund the effort.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 years
@JHWeissmann Did they make the error in Excel?
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 years
@AtifRMian For convenience (or paywall limitations) here's the typology from the article. If interested in a formal treatment, Bowles micro textbook is a pleasure to work through:
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 years
@AtifRMian 2/2 In this sense, markets may not actually be fully separable from morality, and so the distinction in your definition might be too sharp. But, this need not be a flaw. Simply a recognition that regulation will always be required for these types of transactions.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
7 years
My new WP on the role of mortgage fraud in crisis is up. Any feedback greatly appreciated.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
If the NYT was actually trying to do a Marxist payout to make everyone hate the rich, I don’t think they could do better than this. Maybe lefty pubs should take note? Probably more effective than publishing yet another solution to the transformation problem.
@Kellen_Browning
Kellen Browning
1 year
On Friday, Elicia Stratton searched desperately through the wreckage of her Lahaina home for the Rolex watch her parents gave her when she graduated college. Suddenly, her fiancé pulled it from the ashes. “You found it!” she said, choking up. It was damaged but still legible.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
9 months
@Kumar_EconIneq @TheStalwart @LSCCountry It’s a G&L ASAT semi-hollow in sparkle orange a matching headstock and Bigsby! The MFD single coils pick ups on it have allll the juice too.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
7 months
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 months
@jdcmedlock holy shit. jfc.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
@causalinf Looking forward to teaching the chapter on DAGs in my adv UG metrics course. I think it will really help them understand core issues better. I'm pairing the mixtape with mastering metrics, and will let you know how it goes.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
7 years
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
This is what happens when you defund liberal arts education for a generation.
@Nantanreikan
Doug Aoki
1 year
Fox News anchor: "I remember, 20 years-old, going to Trier, Germany and trying to find the home of Karl Marx 'cause, you know, 1848, he wrote Mein Kampf. I wanted to know what was all about. So, that's part of the education in America."
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
There's a lot of things wrong in the world right now, but I just found a spot right down the street that has really tasty spicy chicken tamales for $2 a piece, which I already know is going to bring me a lot of happiness. Got to give thanks for the little things.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
@arindube "I ask you to judge me by the enemies I have made."
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
7 months
here’s a clip of a new @LSCCountry tune called Old Soft Tshirt! Will release the album version soon. @TheStalwart @PEWilliams_ @vebaccount
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
3 years
@benzipperer @ben_golub I use the mw debate as an example in my advanced metrics class for ug's, and have always loved using this exchange between Buchanan and C+K to motivate a discussion on what it means for econ to be a "science", and how the credibility revolution fits into this history of thought.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
11 years
Debunked: The Harvard study that Republicans used to push austerity http://t.co/o7wVTIk75w via @thelastword
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
@kelseyhuse30 Was super lucky to find @elham_saeidi in my 30s. We're happily married now and living the dream!
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
Come join our dept!
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
2 years
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
@MehrsaBaradaran "data-driven".... ooof. I'm having trouble cringing enough.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
@D_Kuehn @teasri @Econ_Marshall @JakeMGrumbach Fucking shit. "Suicide of the West." My mind is still blown. That's some Dylann Roof-level stuff here.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
Super important new piece from Elham on the payment system. Really important insights. Don't miss it!
@elham_saeidi
Elham Saeidinezhad
1 year
I am happy to share 2nd interview from @phenomenalworld Market Structure project with Tim van Bijsterveldt, Payment Solution Director, @jpmorgan . This is a must-read piece for anyone interested in payment & corporate finance (Tim is a fantastic financier)
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
@JohnHolbein1 Kindness, compassion, and empathy. Generally being a mature, well-adjusted human.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
@NathanTankus Me watching the comments
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
It's been a real pleasure for me to watch the overlap of econ and philosophy worlds online for me. Signal boosting this all day.
@economeager
early modern boy-actress (they/them)
4 years
This @Noahpinion interview with Liam Bright @lastpositivist fucking rules -- it's accessible and informative for wannabe philosophy nerds like me and yet it also goes incredibly hard
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
6 years
@D_Kuehn @teasri @Econ_Marshall @JakeMGrumbach @zeithistoriker If you get a chance, its worth checking out the economic history in Marshall's principals. The scientific racism in econ in that is jaw dropping (filled with cold climate references), but tbh I think the underlying ideas are still implicit in much of the profession.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
When even Blanchard is dunking on Summers, you know he's really lost the thread.
@ojblanchard1
Olivier Blanchard
1 year
Larry: Are you becoming chartist? 😀(I kind of remember that something happened at the end of the 1970s, like a trippling of oil prices, which might be vaguely relevant. Do u expect it to happen again?)
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
1 year
@economeager @USTechWorkers How high up on the cherry picker are they? Willie Nelson high.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
9 months
@wwwojtekk Calling this figure a regression is pretty generous, but I'll accept it.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
7 years
New WP up on loan mods increasing debt during Great Recession and aftermath by capitalizing punitive fees.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
@NathanJRobinson @SeanMcElwee I usually agree with what you write @NathanJRobinson , love CA, and even got my mom a subscription. But with all due respect, I think you're getting this take on the CFPB really, really wrong.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
Graeber's Debt really challenged a lot of basic definitions I used to analyze capitalism, and widened my aperture wildly. So sad to see his passing. Rest in Power ✊✊
@mtkonczal
Mike Konczal
4 years
David Graeber's Debt was just an amazing book, big ideas across history, insights from economic anthropology that were mind-blowing for those like me who had not encountered them before. For economics-minded readers, here's a great overview by @JWMason1 :
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
11 years
Cool interview I did in Sweden. @katrinekielos asked really tough questions! http://t.co/TXDasFyMbZ
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 years
@Noahpinion @dclingi 1/2 Thanks for the quick response. I guess this is where we differ. The "other systems do it worse" argument doesn't convince me, and feels more like a non-sequitur. Other systems also having pollution built-in doesn't mean capitalism doesn't also have pollution built in.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
8 months
@SHL0MS @tomwhoathere @TheStalwart @amicusadastra Been a @GandLGuitars fan for a long time, and was super lucky to visit the factory with a few of my old ones. Here's a pic in Leo's old office, with the fam sitting in his old chairs. Played the red one last night, because my SB-1 (p bass) is in the shop atm.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
💜💜💜💜💜
@MarkVinPaul
Mark Paul
4 years
Thrilled to have my article with @ThomasHerndon1 on "A public banking option as a mode of regulation for household financial services in the US" published in the Journal of Post Keynesian Economics!
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
5 months
@RousseauFTW @Andrew___Baker I respectfully disagree. Manchin was the one who stood up and closed the distance aggressively first. In fact, his security held Manchin back first, before addressing the student, indicating the student was not the immediate threat.
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
4 years
This happened to my plans too.
@paulgp
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
4 years
I HAVE NOT WORKED ON MY SYLLABUS TODAY
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@ThomasHerndon1
Thomas Herndon
7 months
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