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Ethan BdM

@ethanbdm

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Ethan Bueno de Mesquita. Studying conflict, accountability, and political economy @HarrisPolicy. "A tragic waste of intellectual potential." - R2

Chicago, IL
Joined June 2009
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
3 years
Friends, this is the promised thread about my and Anthony Fowler's just published: Thinking Clearly with Data: A Guide to Quantitative Reasoning and Analysis It has been a decade from conception to finished product. And we are very proud of it. 1/48
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
17 hours
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
20 hours
@JustinGrimmer @ahall_research Yes. Also $NAPP, our meme coin, is coming soon.
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
1 day
@ben_golub Not sure when (never?). But I believe the binding constraint comes from the political economy, not the tech.
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
1 day
@ben_golub As just a first impression, NYT stock price didn't budge on election day or on the day Biden dropped out.
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
15 days
New episode of the Not Another Politics Podcast for your listening pleasure!
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
21 days
@ben_golub *hear
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
25 days
@itaisher I'm wiling to bet $Trump isn't super liquid.
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
28 days
My first episode as co-host of Not Another Politics Podcast discussing work by @danmoskowitz.
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
28 days
@NAChristakis I don't that as undemocratic or bad. They weren't forced to vote for policies they don't like. They chose to vote for a policy they don't like on an issue they care less about as part of a democratic compromise to get a policy they do like on an issue they care more about. 5/5
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
1 month
@Nolan_Mc Looking forward to papers assessing whether these probabilities are a martingale.
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
1 month
W/o paywall:
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@ethanbdm
Ethan BdM
1 month
@nms_ucsd Sorry. Here: or here w/o paywall: Will repost
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