North Carolina Politics 🇺🇸
@NCPolitics2020
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Polls, news, and commentary about the politics of the Old North State. Find me on 🦋: ncpol.bsky
The good roads state
Joined January 2020
Maybe it turns out that Democrats shouldn’t have shunned Jeff Jackson when he tried to run for the U.S. Senate in 2020 and 2022.
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@Srirachachau The alpha male accounts can’t seem to decide if beer is great or if it is evil and a sign of a weak man. (Hint: if this was Tim Walz, beer would be bad).
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@Punished_Jess Those are two Democrats from the South, but they are not “Southern Democrats”.
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“unelected bureaucrats”
@donaldbryson The Constitutional framers never intended for the executive branch to have unchecked power. The legislative branch is finally taking power away from unelected bureaucrats. I can’t think of anything more democratic than that!.
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MASSIVE UPDATE IN WAKE COUNTY: THE RACE FOR SUPREME COURT HAS FLIPPED. Allison Riggs gains 5,105 votes. Jefferson Griffin gains 2,223 votes. That means Riggs nets 2,882 votes, enough to give her a lead of 129 votes statewide. #ncpol.
Wake County just canvassed. Supplemental absentees (mostly those received Nov 5) went 3,196 Riggs, 1,258 Griffin. Provisionals Riggs 1,942, Griffin 977. #ncpol image has some canvass info. Upload to #ncsbe shortly
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@LinkofSunshine The court went from a 4-3 Democratic majority in 2020 to a 6-1 Republican majority in 2025. Democrats have lost every single statewide judicial race over the last four years; it’s kinda crazy.
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@StatisticUrban Blaming the 64,000 green voters instead of the 3.8 million Republican voters?.
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@numfuksteinstan @smomwetgobam It’s actually shocking how much of Trump’s base does not take him seriously. I can’t think of anyone else in American political history who has this kind of effect.
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@dawginhim Me, a coin collector: this is fucking cool. One time I got like six presidential dollars from a vending machine.
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Now, NC hasn’t split a President/Senate ticket since *1968* but if he outran the Dem ticket in 2020 as much as he did this year, he’d be a U.S. Senator right now.
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@lib_crusher @PritzkerForPrez Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight predicts that our F-35 CAN WIN against their J-20 stealth fighter jet! But we NEED your support!.
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Saturday 1:15 PM. Since that bomb from Wake, several more counties finalized their vote totals last night. This narrowed the race further: Allison Riggs leads Jefferson Griffin by an incredible 24 votes in one of the closest elections this state has ever seen. #ncpol
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@StatisticUrban Dems should nominate a twenty-something fresh out of law school that can serve for 80 years.
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After a few hours of research, I have found the answer to this question!. The longest winning streak for a political party in one statewide office belongs to the Republicans for winning every single election for North Dakota State Auditor since 1894.
So this tweet inspired a question for me: what is the longest current streak of one party winning elections for a statewide office?. Got to be a tie between N.C. Attorney General and N.C. Secretary of State: Democrats have won every election for those offices since 1900. #ncpol.
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@BurntToast50 If Chuck wanted to control everything, he should have *actually* locked Cal Cunningham in a basement without a phone so he couldn't cheat on his wife or reveal that he doesn't know what barbecue is.
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@kampeas @ethanclynne @Redistrict I remember 3006. The Zorp Party swept all of the precincts on Mars. President Donald Trump XLV was very unpopular at the time.
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@StatisticUrban It’s worth noting that Democrats contested almost every seat while republicans left a ton uncontested (7 senate seats and 27 house seats). It’s likely that the popular vote number is a lot closer if the GOP ran more candidates. But, not enough to be close to a supermajority.
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@gilmxres I once read a post that said that Lane was what Rory would have ended up like if she hadn’t had all of the opportunities afforded to her by her grandparents.
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@AdamRackis If Firefox has a million users, I’m one of them. If Firefox has one user, then I’m THAT ONE. If Firefox has no users, that means I’m dead. If the world is against Firefox, I’m against the entire world. Till my last breath, I’ll use Firefox.
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UPDATE: there is a delay in reporting results from Mecklenburg. Only ~80,000 votes have been reported out of more than 800,000 registered voters. Cautioning everyone to HOLD OFF on calling NC.
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A CENTURY OF JIMMY!
HAPPY BIRTHDAY, PRESIDENT CARTER!!!!!!!.
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SB382 is classic NC politics - at its worst. - drafted in secret.- released and put up for a vote while giving the public and the media hardly any time to review all 131 pages.- bundles largely unnecessary political power changes with needed hurricane relief.(thread continues).
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If you ever wondered why the GOP inserted a bunch of nonsense into the “relief” bill, it’s so they could use this messaging.
🗣️Tell the NC House of Representatives to OVERRIDE @NC_Governor's shameful veto of HB 382 and stand up for Western NC Families! ..#NCPOL #NCGA
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The legend of the Biden 2020-Robinson 2024 county has officially ended.
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@SloanRachmuth @donaldbryson The governor and attorney general are unelected? You’re telling me!.
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NUMBERS TO KNOW.Outstanding absentee ballots: 15,176.Outstanding provisional ballots: 64,388.Jefferson Griffin's vote lead over Allison Riggs: 7,641. Not every one of these ballots will be counted (they're called provisional for a reason) but keep an eye on this. #ncpol
JUST IN: Had been requesting this over past week. Per North Carolina State Board of Elections, there were 15,176 outstanding mail-in ballots in the state, as of Saturday. #ncpol #Election2024
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Good news for NC Dems:.- Stein wins bigly.- Hunt legacy continues, Lt Gov flips.- Jackson wins AG by good margin.- Marshall holds on.- Green beats Morrow, SOPI flips.- Supermajority broken in House.- Davis holds on in NC01. Overall not bad considering how the rest of the US went.
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NCP RACE CALL: Democrats will flip the office of Superintendent with school administrator Mo Green, who defeats far-right homeschooler Michele Morrow. #ncpol
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@D_llack That "Socialists for Pritzker" account had like 2,000 followers a couple of days ago and now has 5,400.
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Today I learned that Rachel Hunt was born in Kathmandu(??). She may be the first NC Lieutenant Governor born outside of the U.S. #ncpol
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The BIGGEST surprise tonight?. State Superintendent Catherine Truitt, first elected in 2020, has been defeated by activist Michele Morrow in the GOP primary 52-48 tonight. Morrow, who homeschools her kids, unsuccessfully ran for the Wake County school board in 2022. #ncpol
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@alt_ccc Is everyone here too young to remember when they got hacked and it was national news? Tons of families were torn apart.
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@styt101 The last Republican to serve as North Carolina Secretary of State left office in 1876.
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Elaine Marshall is 78 and has been in office longer than Google has existed but somehow she's made it onto (the other site) before me. #ncpol
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@MattZeitlin This is why 538 went from “60% chance” to “3-in-5 chance” because people are stupid.
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@kenthecowboy_ And then you have the whole subcategory of people who think it’s a good idea to be hauling their kids around in a 1993 Honda Civic that would crumple instantly in an accident when they could easily afford a used 2022 model with airbags.
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"She doesn't have a clue." said former Auditor Beth Wood of the woman appointed to replace her, Jessica Holmes. In a shocking move, Wood, a Democrat, has endorsed Dave Boliek, the GOP nominee for auditor. #ncpol (1/4).
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@numfuksteinstan I think that in the scenario in which Texas goes blue, the very next year the Republicans in the state legislature will pass some law to award the state’s electoral votes to whichever candidate wins the most counties or some BS, effectively ending democracy in the state.
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@tf2godz @ettingermentum Yeah no one notices that MS is only like R+11. But I don’t see any Dem winning. GA has a sizable college-educated suburban white pop that MS doesn’t. There aren’t any ATL suburbs to swing in MS.
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@SpecialPuppy1 Lib ET is so burned after 2020 that they don’t trust any polls anymore. Ryan could win and they’d still say it’s likely R.
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This got me thinking. Cooper is the end of a line. None of the Democratic governors in the last 60 years have come from the big cities that are now the centers of power in the party. Stein's background is very different than that of Cooper, Perdue, Easley, Hunt, or Bob Scott.
@NCPolitics2020 @styt101 Roy Cooper was first elected in the 1980s as an agrarian populist. When he finally leaves the scene, the southern Democratic tradition will go with him.
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NC will have 7 candidates on the ballot for president this year:. Kamala D. Harris (Democratic).Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (We The People).Chase Oliver (Libertarian).Jill Stein (Green).Randall Terry (Constitution).Donald J. Trump (Republican).Cornel West (Justice For All). #ncpol.
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@nikicaga This was a terrible policy to begin with. Hope the UK doesn’t try to do the “generation ban” as well.
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Morrow has long been an far-right activist for education causes in Wake County, fighting against "CRT" and "DEI". It's just wild how she goes from losing a minor school board race to becoming a major party nominee to run all of the state's schools in two years.
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Part of what’s so interesting about this is that Sydney Batch had a very interesting way of moving up through the ranks. In 2018, she was elected to the NC House, beating an incumbent and flipping a district in southern Wake County by just 2 points…. 🧵(1/x) #ncpol.
NC Senate Democrats choose Sydney Batch to serve as next caucus leader
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We may never see a battle of this magnitude ever again
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@tex_238 Bush won Indiana by 20.7 points in 2004, so TX/FL/AK are all too close. In actuality, 2024’s version of this would be Harris winning Utah or Nebraska (statewide) and getting close in Tennessee.
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That makes two influential North Carolina Democrats that have official playlists on Spotify for some reason
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@UrbaneUrban @NickTagliaferro 15 seconds into the video above: the AP Stylebook recommends s-apostrophe in this case.
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NCP RACE CALL: While the race is headed to a recount, the 9800 vote lead for Jefferson Griffin is near impossible for Justice Allison Riggs to overcome, and she will lose her seat. Republicans will have an incredible 6-1 majority on the state's highest court. #ncpol
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@StatisticUrban It's actually a really funny scenario that challenging an electoral result became toxic among dems. Hart probably could've gotten a recount if this was 2018.
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It’s not every day that the governor’s Twitter account calls out one of this state’s senators. Just a reminder: Tillis is up for re-election in 2026. Cooper will leave office in January 2025, freeing him up for… whatever he wants to do. #ncpol.
Last week @ThomTillis voted against helping veterans exposed to toxic chemicals. This week when he had the chance to stop companies from charging hundreds of dollars a month for insulin when it costs around $10 to make, he votes to let them keep doing it. He needs a values check.
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@ChazNuttycombe There was like 1 day where people on ET were hyped about Mund and then everyone forgot about her.
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North Carolina's only competitive congressional seat this year is #NC13. Biden won the district by 1.7 points in 2020. @wileynickel and @BoHines face off in what could be one of the most watched house races in the country. #ncpol .
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In adiditon, Terence Everitt now has a 139 vote lead over Ashlee Adams in SD18.
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Morning Consult/Bloomberg Poll.July 24-28, 2024.706 RV / ±4.0%. PRESIDENTIAL RACE IN NC.Donald Trump (R): 45%.Kamala Harris (D): 44%.Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I): 5%.Chase Oliver (L): 4%.Jill Stein (G): <1%. 2-WAY RACE.Trump (R): 48%.Harris (D): 46%. #ncpol #ncpolitics.
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Fifteen MILLION dollars in the AG race….
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@number_pizza111 @TheAleksee Rubio only winning Minnesota for no clear reason (ok we won DC too but we saw that coming).
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@umichvoter It’s pretty funny how different ET is from the voting public. If you put this in a national poll of democrats you’d get Harris at 48%, Whitmer at 7%, Polis at 3%, and Shapiro at 2%.
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Mark Robinson is running a Twitter poll on whether or not Tillis should be primaried… 79% of respondents are saying “no” or “absolutely NOT”. (The story here is not that online Republicans want Tillis gone, but that Robinson is posting this) #ncpol.
Should Thom Tillis be the 2026 nominee for US Senate in North Carolina?.
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Wow. A giant of NC Democratic politics… OUSTED from leadership?? I did not see this one coming! #ncpol #ncleg.
BREAKING: NC Democrats have ousted Sen. Dan Blue, who has served in the legislature for more than 40 years, as the party's Senate minority leader. Senate Democrats instead elected a rising star in the party: Sen. Sydney Batch. #ncpol.
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Public Policy Polling.December 15-16, 2023.556 LV / ±4.2%. 2024 North Carolina Democratic primary polls. Governor.Josh Stein: 56%.Mike Morgan: 5%.Marcus Williams: 4%.Chrelle Booker: 3%.Gary Foxx: 1%.Not sure: 32%. Stein: 60% fav / 4% unfav.Morgan: 14% / 5% unfav. (1/3) #ncpol.
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With new reports from Forsyth and Craven, Allison Riggs' lead has jumped to 623 votes over Jefferson Griffin. While there are still three counties who have not made their results official, it doesn't seem like this margin will change much. until the inevitable recount. #ncpol
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Presidential Crosstabs.Men: Trump 51-41.Women: Harris 55-40.White: Trump 54-39.Black: Harris 90-4.College: Harris: 54-39.Non-col: Trump 49-44.Dems: Harris 96-3.Repubs: Trump 89-7.Indies: Harris 48-43.
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ATTORNEY GENERAL (change from May poll).Dan Bishop (R): 41.7% (+1.1).Jeff Jackson (D): 37.8% (-0.7).Undecided: 21.5%. SUPERINTENDENT.Michele Morrow (R): 41.5% (+0.7).Mo Green (D): 37% (-2.1).Undecided: 20.1%.
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@Shane_maps When he announced for president, it seemed like the only people who knew who he was were people in South Bend and people who argue over criteria for candidate inclusion on Wikipedia election articles.
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NCP RACE CALL #ncpol. Who will you see in elevators come 2025? Might be Luke Farley, who has won the GOP nomination for Labor Commissioner with 37% of the vote as of midnight. Farley, endorsed by Cherie Berry, beat Rep. Jon Hardister (28%) who was backed by GOP establishment.
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