North Carolina Politics 🇺🇸
@NCPolitics2020
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Polls, news, and commentary about the politics of the Old North State.
The good roads state
Joined January 2020
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Last Seen Profiles
@dawginhim
Me, a coin collector: this is fucking cool
One time I got like six presidential dollars from a vending machine
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@lib_crusher
@PritzkerForPrez
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight predicts that our F-35 CAN WIN against their J-20 stealth fighter jet! But we NEED your support!
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@StatisticUrban
Dems should nominate a twenty-something fresh out of law school that can serve for 80 years
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@kampeas
@ethanclynne
@Redistrict
I remember 3006. The Zorp Party swept all of the precincts on Mars. President Donald Trump XLV was very unpopular at the time.
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@AdamRackis
If Firefox has a million users, I’m one of them.
If Firefox has one user, then I’m THAT ONE.
If Firefox has no users, that means I’m dead.
If the world is against Firefox, I’m against the entire world.
Till my last breath, I’ll use Firefox.
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@D_llack
That "Socialists for Pritzker" account had like 2,000 followers a couple of days ago and now has 5,400
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The BIGGEST surprise tonight?
State Superintendent Catherine Truitt, first elected in 2020, has been defeated by activist Michele Morrow in the GOP primary 52-48 tonight.
Morrow, who homeschools her kids, unsuccessfully ran for the Wake County school board in 2022.
#ncpol
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@SpecialPuppy1
Lib ET is so burned after 2020 that they don’t trust any polls anymore
Ryan could win and they’d still say it’s likely R
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Morrow has long been an far-right activist for education causes in Wake County, fighting against "CRT" and "DEI". It's just wild how she goes from losing a minor school board race to becoming a major party nominee to run all of the state's schools in two years.
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@nikicaga
This was a terrible policy to begin with. Hope the UK doesn’t try to do the “generation ban” as well.
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@ChazNuttycombe
There was like 1 day where people on ET were hyped about Mund and then everyone forgot about her
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It’s not every day that the governor’s Twitter account calls out one of this state’s senators.
Just a reminder: Tillis is up for re-election in 2026. Cooper will leave office in January 2025, freeing him up for… whatever he wants to do.
#ncpol
Last week
@ThomTillis
voted against helping veterans exposed to toxic chemicals. This week when he had the chance to stop companies from charging hundreds of dollars a month for insulin when it costs around $10 to make, he votes to let them keep doing it. He needs a values check.
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North Carolina's only competitive congressional seat this year is
#NC13
. Biden won the district by 1.7 points in 2020.
@wileynickel
and
@BoHines
face off in what could be one of the most watched house races in the country.
#ncpol
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@umichvoter
It’s pretty funny how different ET is from the voting public. If you put this in a national poll of democrats you’d get Harris at 48%, Whitmer at 7%, Polis at 3%, and Shapiro at 2%
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@number_pizza111
@TheAleksee
Rubio only winning Minnesota for no clear reason (ok we won DC too but we saw that coming)
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@Shane_maps
When he announced for president, it seemed like the only people who knew who he was were people in South Bend and people who argue over criteria for candidate inclusion on Wikipedia election articles.
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Public Policy Polling
December 15-16, 2023
556 LV / ±4.2%
2024 North Carolina Democratic primary polls
Governor
Josh Stein: 56%
Mike Morgan: 5%
Marcus Williams: 4%
Chrelle Booker: 3%
Gary Foxx: 1%
Not sure: 32%
Stein: 60% fav / 4% unfav
Morgan: 14% / 5% unfav
(1/3)
#ncpol
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NCP RACE CALL
#ncpol
Who will you see in elevators come 2025? Might be Luke Farley, who has won the GOP nomination for Labor Commissioner with 37% of the vote as of midnight. Farley, endorsed by Cherie Berry, beat Rep. Jon Hardister (28%) who was backed by GOP establishment.
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ECU Poll
#ncpol
May 31-June 3, 2024
1,332 RV / ±3.1%
2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE IN NC
Donald Trump (R): 48%
Joe Biden (D): 43%
Other: 3%
Undecided: 4%
2024 NC GUBERNATORIAL RACE
Josh Stein (D): 44%
Mark Robinson (R): 43%
Other: 2%
Undecided: 11%
🧵⬇️MORE RESULTS⬇️🧵
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@MidwestListings
@DrewSav
I think that Joe Kennedy III had a lot of potential but he made a massive miscalculation in challenging Markey. Now his political career is kind of at a dead-end. Idk who takes up the Kennedy mantle now.
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Truitt raised $150,000 since 2023 to Morrow's $8,000 and had the backing of the state GOP establishment. Again, a wild outcome that few expected.
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Roy Cooper is set to be the last in a long line of Democratic Gov nominees from rural areas. Josh Stein and Mike Morgan both live in Raleigh.
Meanwhile...
- Cooper was born in Nashville and repped Nash County
- Dalton is from Rutherfordton
- Perdue is from New Bern
(1/?)
#ncpol
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Instead of listening to Kevin McCarthy, you could have been listening to Steely Dan. If you started at 8:38 PM ET, you would be somewhere around Two Against Nature right now.
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I’m not sure there’s any “winning” for him in this scenario. His original video could have been done better, but one look at the replies to this “apology” video will show that TikTok users are a hivemind.
TikTok zoomers don’t vote and don’t know what an AG does anyway
#ncpol
Jeff Jackson’s tiktok apology video is up
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@MaxMaaxMaaax
“Why are so many of them wearing masks? Are they about to do surgery?” *proceeds to dab*
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@xyzlojones
@BitecoferStan
to be fair, that's far better than any other statewide Democrat in Florida did in that blue wave
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Two North Carolina natives are now running the Republican Party
#ncpol
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Here's a thread with every person who has filed for a statewide office in NC so far:
The first week of filing is over. Filing closes on December 15.
#ncpol
(1/10)
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@umichvoter
ask them how they voted in downballot races to find out if they are a politically interesting split ticket voter
one day i hope to meet a Trump/Cunningham voter and ask them why
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East Carolina University
November 1-3, 2022
1,183 LV / ±3.3%
2022 NC US Senate election (change from October poll)
Ted Budd (R): 52% (+2)
Cheri Beasley (D): 46% (+2)
Shannon Bray (L): 1%
Matthew Hoh (G): <1%
Write-in: <1%
Undecided: 1%
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@maxtmcc
Mike Causey ran for NC Insurance Commissioner in 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2012, losing all four times. But then he won in 2016 and 2020! An inspirational story for all the kids who want to be insurance commissioner one day.
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@Garrett_Archer
@KariLake
@katiehobbs
@bgmasters
@CaptMarkKelly
@AbrahamHamadeh
@krismayes
@RealMarkFinchem
@Adrian_Fontes
Great news for Carl Hayden
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@aero0_0
@umichvoter
Jackson is visiting all 100 counties in NC, even the 80% Trump counties. I think it’s pretty important that candidates campaign everywhere. The margins matter and it’s good for the pols to get out among the public
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@ET_Californian
And yet, NC governors:
1980:🟦
1984:🟥
1988:🟥
1992:🟦
1996:🟦
2000:🟦
2004:🟦
2008:🟦
2012:🟥
2016:🟦
2020:🟦
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Public Policy Polling/Carolina Forward
October 7-8, 2022
606 LV / ±4.0%
2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election poll
Josh Stein (D): 44%
Mark Robinson (R): 42%
Unsure: 14%
#ncpol
#ncpolitics
#ncgov
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@ProgNewDealer
He doesn’t want liberals under 25 voting. He’s okay as long as they pass the Vivek Test
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Cygnal / Carolina Journal
March 6-7, 2024
600 LV / ±3.99%
NC general election poll
POTUS
Donald Trump (R): 45.2%
Joe Biden (D): 39.8%
Other: 9.4%
Undecided: 5.5%
Gov
Mark Robinson (R): 43.8%
Josh Stein (D): 39%
Mike Ross (L) 1.8%
Wayne Turner (G): 0.6%
Undecided: 14.8%
#ncpol
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Cygnal/Civitas
June 17-19, 2022
600 LV / ±3.95%
North Carolina Supreme Court elections (change from May poll)
Richard Deitz (R): 49% (+5)
Lucy Inman (D): 38% (-2)
Undecided: 13%
Trey Allen (R): 49% (+3)
Sam J. Ervin IV (D-Inc): 39% (-1)
Undecided: 12%
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@tencor_7144
What is it about being Governor of Louisiana that makes all of their US Senators want to quit their jobs
It’s already super rare to see people leave the senate to run for gov, but in LA they had Vitter, and now Kennedy and Cassidy
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Cygnal/Civitas
June 17-19, 2022
600 LV / ±3.95%
2022 NC US Senate election poll (change from May poll)
Ted Budd (R): 45% (+1)
Cheri Beasley (D): 40% (-2)
Shannon Bray (L): 3%
Mattthew Hoh (G): 1%
Undecided: 11%
#ncpol
#ncpolitics
#ncsen
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@SerJ_Bear
@LeonTrout
@MattZeitlin
One look at the 2024 US Senate map and you understand why Dems should be worried. They have to defend seats in West Virginia, Montana, Ohio, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, and Minnesota. Only pickup opportunities are Florida and Texas, both very unlikely.
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Welp, that’s all folks. North Carolina is now closed. The state government has been dissolved. It was a good run!
#ncpol
what do we do now
This account is no longer active or monitored. If you have questions about a state service, please contact the appropriate state agency directly. It's been a pleasure serving you.
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The Democrats’ propaganda machine seems broken. It’s almost as bad at Biden’s debate performance.
I mean, do you really think that if the roles were reversed, that Fox News would be talking about how internal GOP people want their nominee to stand aside?
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It looks like the
@LPNC
is putting forward a candidate for State Auditor: Bob Drach of Wilmington.
The Libertarians haven't contested a lower Council of State office since 2008 and no Libertarian has filed to run for Auditor since Robert J. Dorsey in 1996.
#ncpol
AUDITOR
Jessica Holmes (D)
Bob Drach (L)
Charles Dingee (R)
Jack Clark (R)
Jim Kee (R)
Jeff Tarte (R)
AGRICULTURE
Sarah Taber (D)
Steve Troxler (R) (Inc.)
INSURANCE
David Wheeler (D)
Mike Causey (R) (Inc.)
C. Robert Brawley (R)
(7/10)
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Something unexpected: with about 272k votes in, Michele Morrow leads incumbent State Superintendent Catherine Truitt 52-48% in the GOP primary. Truitt is in danger of being primaried from the right by Morrow, who has taken a hard line on education issues like CRT.
#ncpol
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@Taniel
The CA Democrats might be using the scenario to scare Dem voters in to turning out and voting against the recall. CA Democrats will be afraid of the (unlikely) scenario in which Governor Elder appoints a Republican to the US Senate and McConnell becomes Majority Leader again.
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Trying to watch the
#SpellingBee
. But it’s hard to do when it’s only 10% spelling and 65% commercials.
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@DrewSav
Raleigh did this recently. Increases turnout, but on the flip side, the issue it presents is that voters might be less informed about the local races they’re voting on because the news about the mayoral race is buried under stuff for president/senate/house/governor
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@ARandomDem1
Now foreign sites with even worse controls are going to gain market share. Good job, politicians!
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There will be no more Mehmet Mondays or Fung Fridays.
But Wiley Wednesday will continue until the end of time.
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Here's every candidate running for a NC Council of State office in 2024:
#ncpol
#ncpolitics
#2024election
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Lt. Governor
Rachel Hunt: 23%
Mark (H.) Robinson: 6%
Ben Clark: 5%
Not sure: 66%
Attorney General
Jeff Jackson: 34%
Satana Deberry: 8%
Tim Dunn: 2%
Not sure: 56%
Treasurer
Wesley Harris: 14%
Gabriel Esparza: 9%
Not sure: 77%
(2/3)
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NC state legislature generic ballot
Republican candidate: 51% (+3)
Democratic candidate: 41% (+0)
Unsure: 9%
NC Congressional generic ballot
Republican candidate: 52% (+3)
Democratic candidate: 40% (-1)
Unsure: 8%
(Change from Nov. 2021 poll)
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I KNOW THIS COOKOUT!!!!!!!
Biden is ordering milkshakes at Cook Out restaurant in Raleigh, NC
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Apparently Maryland has two US Senators. TIL
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Three hypothetical matchups for the 2024 NC governor's race
Mark Robinson (R): 44%
Josh Stein (D): 40%
Undecided: 16%
Josh Stein (D): 40%
Dale Folwell (R): 38%
Undecided: 22%
Josh Stein (D): 42%
Bill Graham (R): 39%
Undecided: 19%
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East Carolina University
October 10-13, 2022
902 LV / ± 3.8%
2022 NC US Senate election (change from September poll)
Ted Budd (R): 50% (+1)
Cheri Beasley (D): 44% (-2)
Shannon Bray (L): 1%
Matthew Hoh (G): 1%
Undecided: 5%
#ncpol
#ncpolitics
#ncsen
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“When thinking about the issue of abortion, would you consider yourself...”
Pro-life: 40%
Pro-choice: 43%
I don’t label myself on the issue of abortion: 15%
Would you like to see the Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade?
Yes: 34%
No: 51%
Doesn’t matter: 8%
Unsure: 7%
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"Lower" means not Governor or Lt. Gov. The Libertarians put up a candidate for Gov every year but rarely any other statewide office.
I don't know much about Drach but someone with a distrust of big government actually sounds like the perfect person to be a State Auditor...
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