FPL Theorist
@FPLTheorist
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@FFScout Affiliate/Community Writer
Joined November 2021
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🧵 HOW MUCH IS THE EXTRA POINT FOR MIDFIELDER GOALS & CS WORTH? 🧵
(1/5)
When deciding whether to pick an extra
#FPL
midfielder or an extra forward, it's important to consider the benefit of the extra point for goals and point for clean sheets for MIDs, which FWs don't get.
29
49
218
Son has been like an
#FPL
cheat code for Fabio Borges, providing him 186 points (including 50 from doubling for captaincy) in just 14 GWs.
Fabio is the 🐐. His opinion deserves a lot more weight than it receives.
7
4
184
🐐 FABIO BORGES MINI-THREAD 🐐
(1/5)
Fabio Borges is the
#FPL
🐐. I believe his model, which is not public but he's dropped a few hints, must be the best around.
Here I'll try to guess which premiums he will start the season with:
9
24
165
My main
#FPL
weaknesses that I need to improve on next season:
1. Slow starts
2. Captaincy
3. Wanting differentials for the sake of differentials
What are yours?
96
8
142
@FPL_Covid_Era
No, because non-Haaland owners also lose 6.5 points, whereas non-Kane owners only lose 0.8 points.
3
0
117
🐂 WAYS I’LL BE PLAYING MORE AGGRESSIVELY THIS SEASON 🐂
(1/9)
With the extra wildcard in this World Cup-affected season, 2022/23 is The Year of Yang Strategies. How will this affect my approach?
9
20
99
Sadly there has been an increase in nasty comments containing personal insults toward me and others lately.
Please refrain from this and keep the discussion civil, or you may be blocked. 🚫
To the person who called me "uneducated" last week, this is your last warning.
39
1
99
🇬🇧FIVE THOUSAND FOLLOWERS!🇺🇸🎆
🇪🇸cinco mil seguidores
🇫🇷cinq mille abonnés
🇩🇪fünftausend Follower
🇮🇹cinquemila seguaci
🇵🇱pięć tysięcy obserwujących
🇳🇴fem tusen følgere
🇮🇩lima ribu pengikut
🇬🇷πέντε χιλιάδες ακόλουθοι
خمسة آلاف متابع🇸🇦
Thank you all!!! Giant circle coming!
31
2
82
Unpopular opinion: International breaks aren't any better for wildcarding in
#FPL
than any other gameweek.
11
1
73
Here's the gigantic circle to celebrate 5,000
#FPL
followers!
Circle 1 🐐🐐:
@FplBeckford
@FPLPaz
@FPL_BlackWolf
@FplCrisis
@FPL_SP14
@FPLDChin
@necosynthesis
@FPL_Bateman
@FPL_Kante
@FplFaiz
#FPLUSA
28
10
83
To thank you all for 2,500 followers (from nearly 100 countries!), an extra-large
#FPL
Twitter circle!
@senojdw
@FPL_PatrickS
@PsychoFpl
@FPL_Kante
@FPL_BlackWolf
@FPL_Wrangler
@fpl_flair
@coinflipfpl
@FPL_Tamizhan
@analyzingfpl
17
1
74
Just had to unfollow a few people to make good on my promise to unfollow those promoting (and esp RTing) "500 likes and I'll mess up my
#FPL
team" rubbish.
If you promise to stop, I'll consider following you again next month.
6
0
72
Just to reiterate how difficult it is for forwards to score very high point totals in today's
#FPL
, TAA needs 13 points from Liverpool's last 3 games to match Kane's 2017-18 total of 217 points.
Kane scored 29 goals that season!
8
4
75
Is there an
#FPL
asset you picked for GW1 that you now consider to have been an error and you should have known?
If so, who?
156
0
73
I'm curious: Those who have decided you're done with this man in
#FPL
, who are you getting as a replacement?
81
2
69
🙏 7,500 FOLLOWERS 🙏
We're now 3/4 of the way to the big 10K! Thanks to all who have interacted and supported this account!
@FPLBelphegor
@FPL_Kante
@FPL_SP14
@UgoDeMan
@FplCrisis
@FPLPaz
@FPL_BlackWolf
@FplBeckford
@Prophet_FPL
@PsychoFpl
#FPL
#FPLUSA
29
4
71
No, I don't want to play my
#FPL
free hit by accident while making my free transfers, thank you very much!
Please take your stupid button and put it at the bottom so I can't click it by mistake. 😡
9
1
62
#FPLNewbie
Tip of the Day
#1
:
Your initial team is riskier than you think it is.
If you think it's somewhat risky, it's actually very risky.
If you think it's fairly safe, it's actually somewhat risky.
To actually make it fairly safe, you'll have to aim for "very safe".
9
15
63
Any old-timers care to share more about why the old way of keeping your
#FPL
moves secret until after the deadline broke down?
Revealing them ahead of time (in group chats, spaces, or whatever), esp to close rivals, feels like showing your hand to your opponent in a card game.
46
0
66
I just wanted to say I'm so glad I took the plunge and joined
#FPL
Twitter a few weeks ago. 🙏
This medium is really much better for FPL than I thought. Originally I just thought it would be a place to tell people I've written an article to read, but it's been much more!
3
2
62
Thank you all for making
#FPL
Twitter such a great experience this season! I'll go ahead and do this now before your TLs get taken over by it next week.
@FplBeckford
@FPL_BlackWolf
@UgoDeMan
@coinflipfpl
@FPL_Kante
@necosynthesis
@FplHedgehog
@FplCrisis
@PsychoFpl
@FPL_PatrickS
18
2
58
I don't usually post these, but 74k
#FPL
GW rank after hits, 31% gain, and no chip played?
Yeah, I'll take that!
11
0
58
It's amazing to have followers from/living in:
🇲🇺
@GoFPLTIPS
🇰🇲
@FPL_Covid_Era
🇲🇾
@teacher_fpl
🇳🇵
@Kaypee_FPL
🇮🇳
@FPL_Tamizhan
🇪🇨
@FPL_Ecuador
🇨🇷
@JulioFPL
🇯🇲
@JamrockFPL
🇲🇽
@BitacoraFantasy
🇦🇺
@fpldownunderr
🇳🇿
@FPL_96
🇸🇪
@FplVester
🇨🇾
@fplcyprus_
🇵🇹
@TropeliasFPL
🇵🇱
@FPLMarcin
21
5
52
☯️ WHY YANG STRATEGIES WILL DOMINATE 2022/23 ☯️
(1/6)
Last winter I wrote an
@FFS_Community
article defining
#FPL
yin and yang strategies:
Here we'll discuss the need for these in the 2022/23 season.
6
20
53
Seems like a lot of people who are good at
#FPL
captaincy say to plan it out, identify the ideal captain based on fixtures well in advance, and then ignore the noise as it gets closer to the time.
This was supposed to be the week for a Spurs captaincy. Too stubborn to stick?
27
2
52
This Sunday marks 3 months in the
#FPL
Twitter community. Time to thank my biggest supporters!
@PsychoFpl
@FPL_Kante
@FPL_Tamizhan
@senojdw
@FPL_Baldie
@FPLFutbolmetrix
@FPL_BlackWolf
@FPL_Wrangler
@coinflipfpl
@analytic_fpl
@fpl_flair
@FPL__Jack
@FplScientist
@FPL_PatrickS
14
6
49
🧠 FIVE COGNITIVE BIASES TO AVOID IN
#FPL
🧠
(1/13)
In this thread we’ll look at 5 cognitive biases that are very important to avoid this season. Big thanks to
@FPL__Raptor
and
@PsychoFpl
!
3
17
55
Can we just take a minute to appreciate how wonderfully EXCITING the last month of
#FPL
has been?
Different chip strategies, late WC decisions, diverse captain choices, massive hits, big rank swings.
I'm sure we'll look back at this as a very memorable season!
10
4
50
🔁 CHELSEA'S USE OF 5 SUBS IN UCL 2021/22 🔁
(1/8)
Next, to understand how Chelsea might use 5 subs in the PL/
#FPL
in 2022/23, let's look at how they did it in the Champions League last year.
Tuchel used all 5 subs 4/10 times (average: 4.2; total: 42).
3
20
52
The rest of the
#FPL
season is a sprint, not a marathon.🏃🏃🏃
There are no prizes for building a team that can go another 25 GWs before it needs another wildcard.
5
4
49
Newbies probably won't believe me when I say when I first joined
#FPL
Twitter (not so long ago), it took me over a month just to reach 100 followers.
It's a testament to the infrastructure set up by
@FPLarrows
,
@fpl_scotty
,
@FPLMattW
& others that new accounts now grow fast! 👏
19
5
53
So many
#FPL
managers beating themselves up after a bad GW. It's really sad to see. 😧
It's not morally suspect to say you had bad luck. Eg Son wasn't projected by models to score 21 points. He was projected about the same as other captain options.
10
1
49
If you want Son, then buy him.
If you don't, then don't.
It's your
#FPL
team, not someone else's!
5
2
52
🔁 LIVERPOOL'S USE OF 5 SUBS IN UCL 2021/22 🔁
(1/8)
Next, to understand how Liverpool might use 5 subs in the PL/
#FPL
in 2022/23, let's look at how they did it in the Champions League last year.
In contrast to Pep, Klopp used all 5 subs 10/13 times (average: 4.6; total: 60).
5
12
44
So who are the kindred spirits 🤝 that aren't making 500 gazillion
#FPL
GW1 drafts?
Reveal yourselves!
50
1
46
No more negativity!👍 Shout-out to:
@FPLTommyGun
@FF_Trout
@Jumpthewave
@ThreeFiveWho
@addicts_fpl
@FPL_MiNDED
@FPLMayor
@Rover_FPL
@FPL_Bateman
@FPLSeagull
@fpl_cantona
@FPLijah
@FPLTribbiani
@FPL_Teddy
@FPLEchidna
@FPLWan
@AndyChatsFPL
@Obay_Eid
@FplMuzzy
17
1
48
Some of my favourite
#FPL
accounts under 500 followers. Let's help them grow!
@analyzingfpl
@FPL_PatrickS
@FPLDChin
@diane_fpl
@fpltarby
@FPLFutbolmetrix
@KaptanFpl
@psb_punk
@NutmegFPL
@FPL_Pulga27
@GoFPLTIPS
@FPL_Economics
(cc
@fpl_scotty
)
16
8
44
I feel like such an
#FPL
old-timer now.
I confidently predicted most would use their WC by 1st int'l break as was always true in the past.
I was wrong. People now require permission from content creators to WC. Which hasn't been forthcoming.
8
2
44
So, lots of
#FPL
content creators WCing now and leaving their Liverpool assets in.
So then why bother WCing now? I thought avoiding their tough run (+ Arsenal's) was the whole point of WC9.
21
2
42
I don't expect to gain the full benefit of
#FPL
FH30 over non-FH teams in GW30 alone.
Part of the benefit is being able to load up on LIV/MCI/CHE/TOT players & own them before & after w/o worrying about GW30.
6
0
42
Chasing last week's
#FPL
points occurs not only in the commonly recognised sense, but also in chasing last week's formation and captaincy.
In my new
@FFS_Community
article, read about all 3 types of points-chasing and how to avoid them!
10
10
45
BREAKING NEWS:
Joao Cancelo has signed a new long-term deal with
#GrassFC
. 😉
In an interview with
@teacher_fpl
, Cancelo said, "I've loved grass since my childhood in Portugal and am looking forward to teaching those spreadsheet nerds a lesson."
#FPL
3
2
44
Thank you to all of you in the
#FPLCommunity
for getting me to 1,000 followers earlier today!
We have an amazing global community. From Mauritius to India, from Jamaica to Sweden, from Australia to Costa Rica, it's an amazing community! All your contributions are appreciated!
8
0
39
A part of me really wants my own
#FPL
model. Largely just so I can say, "My model says this," instead of just "I believe this."
Do you have to be good at programming to have your own model? Or do some people just process the numbers in Excel or something?
15
0
39
#FPLCommunity
, can we get these 4 wonderful lads to 2,000 followers by GW38?
@FPL_Wrangler
@FPL_Cody
@FPL_Olly
@FplFaiz
21
12
39
In case anyone needs a reminder:
Captain the player you think will score the most
#FPL
points.
Ownership, whether high or low, doesn't give you more points.
8
3
40
Post-fixture-release
#FPL
shout-out to
@FPL_Swe
@BelfiBB
@FPL_SP14
@Paulie_155
@FPL_Pup
@FPLPingreen
@ahopcroft13
@FplChandler
@FPLSaturn
@api_kakayou
@FPL_Mearsyy
@fantasyxfactor
@FPL_B9
@FPLBluesPodcast
@FPL_Gorilla
@bigSAM_FPL
@BBennie8
@hatem_kittana
#FPLUSA
16
9
40
Salah was the undisputed king of
#FPL
only two seasons ago. If you'd told ppl then that he'd have a game against Luton and nearly everyone would cap someone else, they'd say you're crazy.
Is Haaland so good that he's the automatic cap this GW? Not for me. Takes some thought.
24
0
41
The expertise of
#FPLUSA
isn't limited to the much in-demand
@FPL_BlackWolf
on Wolves.
Here are some others to know:
🔴
@FPLMaSalah
🔴
@FPL_Dallas
🔴
@sertalpbilal
🔴
@FMLFPL
(Alon)
🔵
@FPL_Kante
🔵
@BluesFPL
🔵
@Adam171221
🐓
@TottToTrot
🐓
@FPL_Masterpiece
🐓
@Futbolislifefpl
6
7
39
Have seen quite a few
#FPL
content creators telling newbies to never make early transfers.
Early transfers are a part of the game. They have their risks, but also benefits. And often they are fun.
Trying things out is important in your first year. Builds different skills.
19
1
36
Gotta savour
#FPL
while it's going well! Triple Spurs attack & double Leicester attack on FH: 🔥🔥🔥
6
0
38
🔴🔴🔴 TRIPLING UP ON TEAMS IN GW1: PROS AND CONS ⛵️⛵️⛵️
Collaborative
#FPL
thread by
@FPLTheorist
,
@FPL_BlackWolf
, and
@FPL_Wrangler
(1/18)
In this thread we’ll examine the pros and cons of starting with a triple-up on some of the best teams with good fixtures.
4
21
39
First
#FPL
#WC34
draft.
Will try a 2-premium-attacker version as well.
#FPL
#fffix
via
@FantasyFootyFix
9
0
35
🔁 MAN CITY'S USE OF 5 SUBS IN UCL 2021/22 🔁
(1/8)
To understand how Man City might use 5 subs in the PL/
#FPL
in 2022/23, let's look at how they did it in the Champions League last year.
A total of 43 subs (average 3.6) were made in 12 games.
7
15
36
Can Salah *please* get an
#FPL
price rise now?
Can't be letting all the late WCers get in for 12.5.
4
1
36
You guys deserve one of these for your support during a slow time for my
#FPL
account. Especially:
@karhumies
@UgoDeMan
@FPL_SP14
@PsychoFpl
@FplCrisis
@jonny_fpl
@FPL_Wrangler
@FPLMaSalah
@FPL_Rune
@FPLPaz
15
5
36
Global shout-out
#3
:
🇻🇪
@FPL_RONDON
🇮🇩
@FPL_Harder
🇹🇹
@FantasyPavilion
🇨🇺
@ConnyFpl
🇮🇹
@FPLPadrino
🇮🇱
@FplRabbi
🇱🇰
@SLFB_Fantasy
🇦🇹
@fpl_austria
🇹🇭
@ThaiPattra
🇭🇷
@FPL_Croat
🇺🇦
@FPLenin
🇧🇦
@AnelSemke
🏴
@NavyBlue_FPL
🇮🇷
@FPLAmirAnalysis
🇫🇷
@FPL_Kimpembe
🇦🇪
@FPLPeaks
🇺🇬
@rudeb0y_1
Also great to have followers from/living in:
🇵🇰
@thefplexperts
🇿🇦
@fpl_rabona
🇷🇺
@fpl_ruso
🇳🇱
@FPL_Sietse
🇧🇳
@fusion_511
🇸🇬
@Choonbyul
🇳🇴
@leviandreas
🇩🇰
@roneildinho
🇬🇷
@FPL_IronFoot
🇧🇷
@SimonR_FPL
🇫🇮
@LtrollFp
🇴🇲
@OmanFpl
🇲🇦
@nawfadib
🇪🇬
@fplHazem
🇪🇪
@FPL_Pororoca
🇱🇻
@FpLatvian
20
3
31
11
2
32
Although it's good not to book in
#FPL
transfers after GW1, that doesn't mean you shouldn't have thought about what you might do and under what conditions.
What does everyone say on this dilemma?
42
2
36
Who else wishes we could just fast-forward about 2 weeks and get the
#FPL
season started?
Running out of things to talk about. 🥱
12
0
32
Apologies for the lack of posting today. You'd find me grumpy anyway.
I was in a minor car accident this morning and the person who caused the accident had the gall to blame ME for the accident. So I've had to get that sorted.
22
0
33
Proof that you can turn things around quickly!
Was 2m OR before this GW.
11
2
36
St Patty's Day
#FPL
shout-out to
@Fpl_Eire
@fpl_tactician
@FplIrons
@Danno_2694
@FPL_Jurgen
@FPLNegan
@FPL_The_Reuben
@AmanTalksFPL
@Dr_Lecter_FPL
@FPL_Tsimikas
@FPL_Salah
@FPL_Anany
@PolishZOmbieFPL
@TedTalksFPL
@KaptanFpl
@santoscazicky
@TrophyFpl
@FplBeckford
10
4
34
So much hindsight with Bailey. "We all knew he would fail!"
The same people would be dunking all over the non-Bailey owners if he had done well.
We're not going to get every
#FPL
call right in GW1. We have transfers and WC to deal w/the problems.
4
1
36
Please,
@OfficialFPL
, let's have him start next
#FPL
season at 15.0 to give people a real decision to make.
6
0
34
Just to remind newer followers: I don't give
#FPL
team advice privately via DM.
Have occasionally broken this rule for very close friends, but in general I don't intend to do this. My limited Twitter time should be spent providing advice to all 6,000+ of you, not just 1.
1
1
35
Thirsty Thursday
#FPL
shout-out to:
@FPL_JianBatra
@audreysprayer
@nevergiveupFPL
@RhysFPL
@FPLChimpParadox
@adamwheelyfpl
@QuiksilvaFPL
@FPL_Borat
@SpiceFPL
@FplNewfie
@FPL_Centurion
@fpl_tutor
@samforfpl
@BigMikeFPL
@FplKaran
@FPLJesusSaves
@FPLFanaticAVFC
20
8
35
Anyone retweeting one of those posts, "X likes and I'll triple captain player Y" is at risk of being unfollowed -- by not just me, but a large fraction of the
#FPLCommunity
.
#FPL
5
2
34
TGIF🥳
#FPL
shout-out to:
@SkontoRigga
@FPL_Tim
@markemge
@FPL_Dags
@FplMaka
@Chrismartin1984
@MissMelina7
@FPLmirror
@Football_Fumble
@Reuser5
@FPLKSI
@GeoffreyDance
@420Fpl
@FplTobes
@Sam_Play_
@FPL_Taldy
@KingTimJames
@analyzingfpl
(Graphic 👏👏)
#FPLUSA
18
5
34
Ironically, the same crowd who rejected
#FPL
FH30 bc it didn't have a high enough ceiling are now largely playing it safe on FH33 with several SGW premiums and not going for the highest ceiling.
Just as I imagine
@FPL_Johnson
predicted.
12
0
32
I would take 75 minutes of Son (C) against Luton over 90 minutes of this week's other options every time. Don't regret anything.
Can't know there will be a red card.
9
0
35
Haven't done one of these in a while, and hate to do them during IB's when they are the thing!
Time to thank you all for great interactions!
@FplScientist
@FplCrisis
@NighthawkFPL
@FPL_BlackWolf
@fplgameweek
@FPLDake
@PsychoFpl
@FPL_Composer
10
4
34
Thank you to
@FplScientist
,
@FplFaiz
, the
#FPLUSA
crew, & the hero below (no joke!) who have helped me reach 3,000 followers!
Hopefully moving forward, I can provide more and better Spaces, as well as continued articles and tweets to help more people understand
#FPL
deeply.
13
1
30