Buying KDB was the worst decision of my
#FPL
season. It sprouted into multiple other bad decisions too. No reason to sugarcoat it or call myself unlucky.
Here is a look at the 10+ points hauls this season. This could potentially be helpful in making transfer decisions or making captaincy calls in the coming weeks!
If you find this interesting, please RT and Follow!
#FPL
#FPLCommunity
🧵Quick Look at how vulnerable the
#PL
teams have been against set pieces!
LEI and CRY just can't defend set pieces, specifically corner kicks. They have conceded a staggering 42% and 40% (respectively) of their total goals from set pieces!
#FPLBD
#FPLUSA
#FPLCommunity
The team that everyone will ignore now is obviously Newcastle. But they are done playing the Top 4 teams. Their toughest game left is TOT, that too at home. Fixtures will bring form.
Unless you are playing to protect your rank, there isn't a lot of time left to think 'long term'.
Attack what's imminent and if it doesn't work out, you can at least say "I tried!"
Unless you are World no. 1, defending in this time of the season feels 'boring'.
Attack! Attack!
#FPL
WC28 planning in full flow.
GW28- 6 doublers
GW29- Roll, 10 players
GW30- Bowen+ Barkley to Salah+ Palmer
GW31- Watkins to Haaland
Biggest downside, in GW31 team would still have 3 BOU and 2 LUT players. And Money is tight.
Tempted to start with Palmer instead of Barkley.
#FPL
is a game of pure luck. You can put yourself in a place to be lucky based on data, eye test and xMins. But that's it. You can't control the gamestate and variances.
I need to admit that I beat myself up too often for luck going against me. Need to improve that, next season.
I know, I know... 1 game left this GW. And it will all go down the drains tomorrow. But will you please let me have my moment in the sun, please?
Inside 5k 🌍. For the first time ever 🥺
#FPL
If Egypt are AFCON group B champions, they will play their 2nd round match on Jan 29th. If they are runners up, then on Jan 28th.
GW22 deadline is on Jan 30th. LIV's game is on Jan 31st, very late kick off.
If you can, delay the Salah transfer out until the GW22 deadline.
#FPL
#FPL
Goalkeepers!! 🧤
Based on Expected Cleansheet vs Saves data from last season, these are the GKs that I would consider in different price brackets:
4.0m: Areola (If Fabianski's contract ends)
4.5m: Flekken (if Raya leaves), Johnstone, Leno
5.0m: Kepa, Onana(?)
5.5m: 🚫
In GW17, Porro's price was 5.4m. Since then he has zero cleansheets and only 17 FPL points from 7 games. His price has gone up to 5.9m in the mean time. Amazing what being labeled "essential" on
#FPL
X can do to you.
I think I am there.
#FPL
DGW34
🏌♂️ FH active! Hopefully 🔒
🌍 10,017
Putting myself in a place to get lucky and all that! If I die, I die.
See you all on the other side. Good luck, everyone!
Quick look at the 8 to 8.5m mids.
#FPL
This data is from EPL 2021-22, and only considers games where they started in the first XI.
This is arranged as per their median (50 percentile) expected goal involvement (xGI).
Because of the doubles and blanks, completely going under the radar are Arsenal's tremendous fixtures. All 5 great match ups for their attack. May even have a game in GW29.
Narratives are dangerous.
You all remember the "Son is off form" narrative around GW28 time frame last season?
We all know what happened after that.
Don't just trust narratives. Study the numbers, watch the games. Make your own judgement.
#FPL
Pranto Protim Paul from Bangladesh is currently
#FPL
Global rank
#1
!!
What an achievement! 👏👏
While the season may end differently, but you are already a winner for us, Pranto!
Go Bangladesh, go
#FPLBD
!!
cc:
@PrantoProtimPa1
"Player 'x' is very highly owned, so I don't gain anything in buying him" is such a flawed logic.
You still overcome the negative gain that would incur for not having him.
You also gain mental peace, which is worth more than anything else 😅
Fixtures as it stands for GW31 to 35. Be aware that BUR vs AVL might get slotted into GW34 or GW35.
Will keep adding content to this thread throughout the International Break.
#FPL
#FPLUSA
#FPLBD
#FPLCommunity
Both Ramsdale and Pope are better FPL assets than Mendy, in the 5.0m price bracket. Unless he starts saving tons of penalties, it will be very unlikely that he will outscore the former 2 in the short term or throughout the season.
I will be ok if I attack the doubles, and it doesn't work out.
I will be miserable if I don't, and then the doublers go kaboom!
Sometimes, just sometimes... fun> math.
#FPL
Why we shouldn't overthink while making a GW1
#FPL
team this year.
This is fixture difficulty oriented discussion, and will be mainly useful for newcomers or managers who are taking FPL seriously for the first time!
#FPL
#FPLUSA
#FPLBD
#FPLCommunity
@OfficialFPL
Can we all acknowledge that this has been one of the best
#FPL
season's ever? So much drama regarding fixtures, postponements, doubles etc.
Try your best if you have a personal target within reach, otherwise just enjoy the last 5 GWs!
Cheers to the awesome
#FPLCommunity
!
The abuse the Big Man gets is unreal. These kind of passive aggressive comments are just not fair. It's his choice if he wants to pay $8 for premium benefits. He has more positive impact on the FPL community than most of you.
Looking at the expected attacking points return from players in all positions from last season's underlying data. 🧵
xPAtt = 3*xA + GP*xG
GP = 4, 5 & 6 respectively for forwards, midfielders and defenders, as per
@OfficialFPL
's rules.
#FPL
#FPLBD
#FPLUSA
#FPLCommunity
I love FPL and I love FPL Twitter. But sometimes there is just so much nuisance.
For example, if you wait for another 2 days, GW28/32 will become clear and thus your transfer/ chip plans. What's the point of making forty thousand different permutations, meanwhile? Just chill🤷♂️
I am playing
#FPL
very weirdly this season 😬
DGW29 🔒
🚽 Bench Boost active
🗑 Ward, White, Saka 😭
🤝 Alisson, Zouma, Maddison (-8)
🧢 MAC10
🌎 46k
🏦 💲5.1k
Good luck, everyone.
Everyone is so hung up on absolutely starting with 3 City and 3 Pool players. Don't think it's the worst thing in the world to keep a spot open and see who emerges as the 3rd best option from the 2 best teams in the league.
Just thinking out loud.
#FPL
At the end of the day, we are all losers who spend hours and hours on this stupid freaking game.
The real winners are who don't play
#FPL
. Change my mind. 😅😅
Unpopular opinion:
If you’re having a better FPL season than usual, it doesn’t automatically mean you got lucky this year.
It could mean… just maybe… that you’ve improved at FPL.
YOU DO NOT NEED TO WC ...
as long as you have 11 decent playing players this week.
The overreaction is unreal. Like what game(s) are you really targeting immediately with the WC this week?
Anyways, you do you!
If I did manage to get everything right, this is how GW31 to GW38 will look like, should LIV and MCI make it to the FA Cup final and the English teams progress to the next rounds in their respective European competitions.
Massive chunk of luck to finish the season off in style!
GW38 ✅️
Final OR: 5.5k 😍
Fantastic season! Thank you all for being here with me! Until next time 👊👊
Free Hit GW27 thoughts. A short thread 🧵
Will discuss:
🤺 Attackers to target
🔵 Close look at Man City attackers' numbers
🛡️ Center-backs to target for bullet headers!
#FPL
#FPLCommunity
#FPLBD
#FPLUSA
This season, I have seen successful
#FPL
managers, who used their 2nd WC in GW21/24/25/26/28/29/31/34/35.
TC26/ TC36.
FH19/FH26/FH30/FH33/FH36.
BB26/BB28/BB33/BB36.
There is no one right way of playing this game.
⚽️PLAY YOUR OWN GAME⚽️
This is absolutely the week you wait as long as you can, to make any
#FPL
transfer moves. All the big teams have Europe, and will potentially field their main players.
Information is so much more important than losing or gaining a little bit of team value.
When I had March and MacAllister, Mitoma was doing all the points.
Right now I have March and Mitoma, and MacAllister is doing the points.
Now that I will have Mitoma and MacAllister, pretty sure March will be playing on one leg to score 10 goals in 5 games 😑
Watkins and Saka are 2 of the very best assets in the game, imo. Not the time to transfer them out yet.
Remember that Europe is back in February. xMins going to be more critical than ever, and those 2 are xMins kings.
Don't let the recent form make your vision tunneled.
#FPL
Who are the top 5
#FPL
assets (excluding Haaland) right now, in your eyes?
Mine:
1. Mbeumo
2. Chilwell
3. Bruno F.
4. Maddison
5. Saka/ Son (cheating here since I can't differentiate)
Haaland, my boy... grateful for all the points so far. But today is the day, I want you to stay very very quiet. If you can get a yellow, and/or miss a penalty or two, I will be forever indebted. I promise that I will captain you in each of the remaining 19 GWs 🙏
#FPL
short 🧵
Box and Whisker is back! Looking at some team underlying data.
Firstly the xG data.
NEW: Surprisingly good
BHA: Consistent
CHE: Struggling
WHU/ LEI: Poor underlying. Bowen/ Maddi overperforming.
SOU/ WOL/ BOU: Very poor. Easiest CS potential for opponents
#FPL
GW24 🔒
🗑 Watkins, Palmer
🤝 Darwin, Jota (-4)
🧢 Haaland
🏦 $1.0m
🌍 258k
I have given up hopes of a good OR this season. Might as well have some fun (read "more misery").
Good luck, everyone!
#FPLCommunity
... it's "what can I do during the international break" time! 😅
Let's share some 'then vs now' photos of ourselves!
This is me at 5 and 35 😁
#FPL
GW29 ✅️
Decent bench Boost success without wildcard! Maddison the only player with no return.
149-8 = 141
🌎 46k ➡️ 22k
🃏wildcard and 🏌♂️freehit left. In to the last 9 GWs of the season!
Looking at the expected attacking points return from players in all positions from this season's underlying data. 🧵
nPxAtt = 3*xA + GP*nPxG
GP = 4, 5 & 6 respectively for forwards, midfielders and defenders, as per
@OfficialFPL
's scoring system.
#FPLBD
#FPLUSA
#FPLCommunity
Chilwell was a good pick. Jackson was a good pick. Sterling was a good pick. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise.
Hindsight merchants will pretend that they have deciphered football and
#FPL
after 7 Gameweeks.
You only live once.
My season will be over tomorrow. Will see you all next season 😅
Minus 8 done. BB on.
Kane to Ronaldo (C) happening tomorrow too if I can wake up and don't hear about any injury concern for Ron.
A quick 🧵, looking at how the teams have been performing over the last 10 matches using box plot and whiskers!
All data used here are from:
@fbref
#FPLUSA
#FPLBD
#FPLCommunity
We don't deserve this guy.
Lot of people don't understand but he has changed the way we see and analyze the game.
Imagine paying out of your own pockets to keep the server up and serve the whole community free of cost.
Captaincy is still so pivotal in
#FPL
, specially when Haaland doesn't play or doesn't have a double while plenty of others do.
If I had captained Saka in GW28, I would have been at OR 25k instead of 46k! And would have won against the field despite plenty using their WC/ FH.
#FPL
GW26 ✅️
🌍 29k ➡️ 14k
Almost everything went my way. Can't complain about missing out on Darwin and Reece points.
Genuinely feel sorry for the wildcarders. Very harsh variance.
Surely y'all will come back in GW27.
If AVL gets a DGW in GW23 or 24, their assets are going to be massively popular among
#FPL
managers. I am very inclined towards Digne as an immediate transfer in. Coutinho or Watkins are probably not too far either!
Thread ends here. Please RT, if you find this useful!
Hello all Bangladeshis 🇧🇩 on
#FPL
Twitter!! Have been thinking about assembling the fellow countrymen here. Have come in touch with some in the last few months; surely there are more. Gonna start a
#FPLBD
hashtag to gather everyone! Please RT this, and introduce yourself below!👇