FPL Research
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23/24 Massive Data (xMins) #1 "No matter how sophisticated our choices, how good we are at dominating the odds, randomness will have the last word."
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Pinned Tweet
🏆 23/24 FPL Manager Ratings 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@teffers82
🏴
🥉
@FPL_Barbossa
🏴
5.
@BenCrellin
8.
@FPL_Jan
9.
@FplHedgehog
10.
@MarkkuOjala_
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
14
11
151
2022/23 FPL Manager Ratings 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@JonBallantyne3
🏴
4.
@jorgenstenseth
7.
@FPL_Barbossa
9.
@FplGunz
👑
12.
@FPL_Jan
🇵🇱
27.
@BenCrellin
48. Lion King 🦁
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
45
57
364
2021/22 FPL Manager Ratings 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🐐
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@FPLCorbs
🏴
7.
@FPL_Badgers9
11.
@JonBallantyne3
24.
@MagnusCarlsen
👑
29.
@FPL_Salah
102.
@FPL_Barbossa
🤖
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
65
53
288
There is not a wrong way or right way to play FPL, but a better way.
18
16
140
2019/20 FPL Manager Ratings 🏆
1.
@StemaniaFPL
🥇
2. Fábio Borges 🥈
3.
@darrenwiles7
🥉
8.
@eivalm
🇳🇴1⃣
10.
@lateriser12
🇮🇳1⃣
388.
@MagnusCarlsen
Check the spreadsheet below to find your own manager rank (use ctrl+f).
27
21
119
2020/21 FPL Manager Ratings 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@FPL_Badgers9
🥉 Marc Yonkers
4.
@finn_sol
🇳🇴1⃣
6.
@ginger_assassin
8.
@FFScout_Mark
65.
@FPL_Salah
158.
@MagnusCarlsen
367.
@LetsTalk_FPL
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
42
16
116
🏆 Manager Ratings, February 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@FPLCorbs
🏴
9.
@BenCrellin
29.
@FPL_Salah
311.
@JEgersdorff
355.
@LetsTalk_FPL
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
12
16
114
🏆 Manager Ratings, September 2022 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🐐
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@FPLCorbs
🏴
🔼 141.
@SebWassell
🔼 173.
@LetsTalk_FPL
⏬ 774.
@FFScout_Mark
🔽 1061.
@ffscout_az
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
14
12
114
New season. Same outcome.
There is not a wrong way or right way to play FPL, but a better way.
18
16
140
6
21
107
🏆 Manager Ratings, March 2024 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@teffers82
🏴
🥉
@FPL_Barbossa
🏴
10.
@BenCrellin
36.
@haugsrud
68.
@SebWassell
110.
@elevenify
144.
@LetsTalk_FPL
1273.
@sertalpbilal
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
17
9
101
🏆 Manager Ratings, January 2022 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@finn_sol
🥉
@FPL_Badgers9
4.
@JonBallantyne3
28.
@MikkelTokvam
46.
@FPL_Salah
111.
@MagnusCarlsen
165.
@BenCrellin
348.
@LetsTalk_FPL
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
26
15
101
🏆 Manager Ratings, January 2024 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉 Mark Hurst 🏴
5.
@JonBallantyne3
7.
@FPL_Barbossa
8.
@MarkkuOjala_
9.
@FPL_Jan
12. Lion King 🦁
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
25
15
99
🏆 Manager Ratings, April 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@JonBallantyne3
🏴
🥉
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
7.
@BenCrellin
24.
@FPL_Jan
33.
@FPL_Barbossa
82.
@Hashtag_MEGA
110.
@analytic_fpl
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
20
13
98
🏆 Manager Ratings, January 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@FPLCorbs
🏴
5.
@JonBallantyne3
10.
@BenCrellin
29.
@FPL_Salah
45.
@MatrixFpl
166.
@Hashtag_MEGA
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
14
12
90
🏆 Manager Ratings, March 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@JonBallantyne3
🏴
10.
@FPL_Badgers9
12.
@BenCrellin
22.
@MarkkuOjala_
54.
@FPL_Barbossa
63.
@FPL_Salah
916.
@FFScout_Mark
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
4
15
86
🏆 Manager Ratings, February 2021 🏆
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2.
@darrenwiles7
🥈
3.
@FPL_Badgers9
🥉
6.
@mariusrobertsen
🇳🇴1⃣
14.
@FPLBaldEagle24
51.
@FPL_Salah
74.
@ahopcroft13
87.
@FFH_Will
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
10
11
77
🏆 Manager Ratings, February 2022 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@finnsollie
🥉
@FPL_Badgers9
7.
@JonBallantyne3
14.
@FPLBaldEagle24
17.
@FPL_Salah
51.
@FFScout_Mark
91.
@MagnusCarlsen
156.
@zophar666
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
7
16
72
🏆 Manager Ratings, November 2021 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@FPL_Badgers9
🥉
@finn_sol
64.
@MagnusCarlsen
👑
2305.
@wee_rogue
📉
2432.
@analytic_fpl
📈
7845.
@FplSigurd
🤖
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
12
13
67
🏆 Manager Ratings, September 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@JonBallantyne3
🏴
10.
@FPL_Barbossa
18.
@FPL_Jan
🇵🇱
21.
@FPL_Badgers9
25.
@MarkkuOjala_
🇫🇮
43. Lion King 🦁
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
8
6
70
🏆 Manager Ratings, May 2021 🏆
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2.
@FPL_Badgers9
🥈
3.
@darrenwiles7
🥉
4.
@FFScout_Mark
5.
@sporten123
🇳🇴1⃣
101.
@BenCrellin
143.
@haugsrud
🔥
156.
@MagnusCarlsen
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
10
13
67
🏆 Manager Ratings, November 2022 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@FPLCorbs
🏴
5.
@FPLBaldEagle24
7.
@FPL_Frank
10.
@JonBallantyne3
18.
@BenCrellin
34.
@FPL_Salah
52.
@MagnusCarlsen
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
4
12
64
🔮 GW36: CAPTAIN PROJECTIONS 🔮
Salah against Huddersfield is the best remaining TC option and a great differential for owners. Mané is the more popular pick though, arguably allowing a stronger team overall. I slightly prefer Mané in GW36 over Sterling/Agüero in GW37 as TC.
4
11
64
🏆 Manager Ratings, December 2020 🏆
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2.
@darrenwiles7
🥈
3.
@mariusrobertsen
🇳🇴1⃣
4.
@StemaniaFPL
16. Suzanne Brannigan ♀️1⃣
66.
@FPL_Salah
145.
@MagnusCarlsen
270.
@BenCrellin
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
9
4
63
🏆 Manager Ratings, April 2022 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@finnsollie
🥉 Brusdal Brusdal
19.
@FPL_Jan
34.
@FPL_Salah
76.
@JEgersdorff
79.
@FFScout_Mark
347.
@LetsTalk_FPL
360.
@ffscout_az
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
17
12
61
🏆 Manager Ratings, March 2022 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@finnsollie
🥉
@FPL_Badgers9
7.
@JonBallantyne3
8.
@FPLBaldEagle24
17.
@FPL_Salah
65.
@MagnusCarlsen
95.
@EirikJokerud
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
8
10
60
🏆 Manager Ratings, March 2024 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈 Mark Hurst 🏴
🥉
@FPL_Barbossa
🏴
4.
@FPL_Jurgen
7.
@FPL_Jan
8.
@MarkkuOjala_
9.
@JonBallantyne3
10.
@BenCrellin
12. Lion King 🦁
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
7
3
59
🏆 Manager Ratings, September 2021 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@FPL_Badgers9
🥉
@sporten123
7.
@FPLBaldEagle24
20.
@FFScout_Mark
74.
@MagnusCarlsen
93.
@FPL_Salah
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
6
14
58
🏆 Manager Ratings, October 2022 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🐐
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴1⃣
🥉 Brusdal Brusdal
5.
@JonBallantyne3
🏴1⃣
8.
@FPL_Badgers9
20.
@MortenTveito
24.
@FPL_Salah
🏴1⃣
30.
@BenCrellin
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
4
8
59
🏆 Manager Ratings, April 2021 🏆
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2.
@FPL_Badgers9
🥈
3. Alistair Hughes 🥉
6.
@mariusrobertsen
🇳🇴1⃣
68.
@FPL_Salah
79.
@zophar666
94.
@FFH_Will
103.
@ahopcroft13
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
8
7
50
After another spectacular GW for Analytics FC, 6 of the top 10 teams in my manager ratings are now managers known to rely heavily on
@fplreview
and optimization (blue). How long before one of them chase down Fábio and becomes the new
#1
?
8
4
50
🏆 Manager Ratings, Easter 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@JonBallantyne3
🏴
🥉
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
7.
@BenCrellin
10.
@FPL_Barbossa
11.
@FPL_Badgers9
12.
@FPL_Jan
20.
@MarkkuOjala_
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
5
3
51
🏆 Manager Ratings, October 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉 Mark Hurst 🏴
5. John Walsh 🇮🇪
11.
@FPL_Jan
🇵🇱
45. Lion King 🦁
50.
@calm_strategy
51.
@FplGunz
🇦🇿
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
2
8
50
🏆 Manager Ratings, November 2020 🏆
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2.
@darrenwiles7
🥈
3.
@StemaniaFPL
🥉
5.
@mariusrobertsen
🇳🇴1⃣
10.
@FPLCruyff74
27.
@lateriser12
🇮🇳1⃣
76.
@FPL_Salah
189.
@MagnusCarlsen
♟️
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
5
6
49
📊 GW1: Elite 1000 Spreadsheet
The Elite 1000 sample for
@fplreview
is close to ready, but I still have a few more manager histories from late signups to download. In the meantime I'm making provisional EO figures available, old-school style.
9
9
47
🏆 Manager Ratings, November 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@JonBallantyne3
🏴
6.
@FPL_Barbossa
8.
@FPL_Jan
🇵🇱
15.
@BenCrellin
25. Lion King 🦁
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
4
5
47
🏆 Manager Ratings, February 2024 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈 Mark Hurst 🏴
🥉 John Walsh 🇮🇪
5.
@FPL_Barbossa
6.
@JonBallantyne3
8.
@FPL_Jan
9.
@BenCrellin
10.
@MarkkuOjala_
12. Lion King 🦁
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
2
5
45
#FPL
5-Year Peak Ratings
The following is the season history of Elite 64 member
@NickTriggerlips
. His 5-year run from 10/11 to 14/15 is the best in recorded FPL history.
5
2
43
🏆 Manager Ratings, January 2021 🏆
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2.
@darrenwiles7
🥈
3. Rob . 🥉
4.
@mariusrobertsen
🇳🇴1⃣
8.
@StemaniaFPL
10.
@seantobin2
18.
@FPLBaldEagle24
21.
@FPLCruyff74
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
13
6
44
🏆 Manager Ratings, October 2021 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@FPL_Badgers9
🥉
@sporten123
4.
@jorgenstenseth
75.
@MagnusCarlsen
83.
@FPL_Salah
312.
@LetsTalk_FPL
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
6
8
44
@FPLMatthew
Because they were unaware he was likely to be benched. Bad decision, lucky outcome.
6
0
44
@lateriser12
@LiveFPLnet
Have been following Elite 1000 outcomes by strategy since last week. I've uploaded the data below. You followed the 7th most popular plan. People on it scored on average 3.2 fewer points than WC26/FH27/BB28/TC29 managers.
6
6
41
Which FPL pundits played best in 18/19? Ranked by
@fplreview
Odds xPts:
1.
@ffh_will
: 2411
2.
@hailcheaters
: 2367
3.
@JamesDrewery
: 2365
4.
@FFScout_Joe
: 2359
5:
@MarchSimon
: 2358
The average 10K Odds xPts score was 2311. Complete pundit list:
14
14
40
🏆 Manager Ratings, December 2021 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges
🥈
@FPL_Badgers9
🥉
@finn_sol
4.
@jorgenstenseth
5.
@sporten123
11.
@JonBallantyne3
58.
@FPL_Salah
61.
@MagnusCarlsen
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
5
8
39
📊 Elite 250: Final Report
Season review for 250 top-class managers, including
@MikkelTokvam
,
@darrenwiles7
,
@FPL_Salah
,
@rogue_wee
,
@AleksanderVN
,
@StemaniaFPL
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@drbenmcnair
,
@seantobin2
and
@JEgersdorff
.
8
12
37
🏆
@OffisiellESF
Hall of Fame 2022 🏆
🥇
@MGoslawski91
🥈
@D_Thon
🥉
@frodelilloien
17.
@OyvindGodo
19.
@TheRealNiemi
22.
@EspenNesse
30.
@haugsrud
37.
@EirikJokerud
54.
@ViaplayJonas
🤐
Finn ditt eget lag i regnearket nedenfor (ctrl+f for søk):
4
6
36
Only 3 managers in Elite 64 are top 10k. Over at Analytics FC meanwhile:
There are only 255 people in the Bullet Wisdom analytics league and 8 of them are in the top 50 in the world. 45 of them are in the top 1000.
5% of the top 1k/16% of the top 50 all being in the same league of 255 people is absolutely insane.
10
1
80
3
1
35
Manager Ratings Update 🏆
1.
@StemaniaFPL
🥇
2. Rob . 🥈
3. Marlen Rattiner 🥉
13. Eivind Almhjell 🇳🇴1⃣
26. Ville Rönkä
30.
@JEgersdorff
35.
@FFScout_Mark
41.
@lateriser12
524.
@MagnusCarlsen
Full details of the 10K top-rated managers:
10
6
36
📊 Elite Picks in GW7
These are the selections of 250 top-rated managers for GW7. Included in the sample are managers like
@seantobin2
,
@FFScout_Mark
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@AleksanderVN
,
@ffh_will
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@rogue_wee
and
@fplsalah1
.
1
5
35
🏆 Eliteserien Fantasy Hall of Fame 2023 🏆
🥇
@EivindTveter
🥈
@magle_23
🥉
@D_Thon
4.
@MGoslawski91
5.
@emilmjac
6. Tobias Simonnes
7.
@Skinnjakka
8.
@Ole_Jacob
9.
@Torflu
10.
@Heskibo_ESN
Finn ditt eget lag i regnearket nedenfor (ctrl+f for søk):
5
5
34
Earlier in the week I was busy planning my
#ESNFantasy
wildcard, but today I finally managed to set up my team/fixture model for the upcoming season. The model uses market odds to infer team strength and quantify fixture difficulty.
Spreadsheet:
3
8
34
Only 4.7 % didn't captained King or Dennis in the
@fplreview
Elite 1000, compared with 15.5 % in the top 10k. Despite the top 10k getting quite strong by now, the difference in skill is still obvious.
5
2
33
🏆 Manager Ratings, December 2023 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉 Mark Hurst 🏴
4.
@JonBallantyne3
6.
@FPL_Jan
9.
@FPL_Barbossa
17. Lion King 🦁
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
5
3
30
📊 GW26: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@seantobin2
,
@AleksanderVN
,
@harryhorse2
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@drbenmcnair
,
@DanBennett3
,
@ginger_assassin
,
@rogue_wee
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
3
5
31
🏆
@OffisiellESF
Hall of Fame 2021 🏆
🥇
@D_Thon
🥈
@emilmjac
🥉 Werner Storøy
4.
@CGjertveit
6.
@EivindTveter
7.
@Skinnjakka
8.
@oysteinwalle89
9.
@ESNJonas
🎙️
Finn ditt eget lag i regnearket nedenfor (ctrl+f for søk):
4
2
31
📊 GW12: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@FFScout_Mark
,
@GrantBarclay5
,
@ffh_will
,
@jawain04
,
@RichClarkeFPL
,
@qchardesign
,
@MattKearney92
,
@drbenmcnair
,
@zophar666
and
@fplsalah1
.
5
9
30
🏆 Manager Ratings, March 2021 🏆
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2. Rob . 🥈
3.
@FPL_Badgers9
🥉
6.
@mariusrobertsen
🇳🇴1⃣
12.
@FFScout_Mark
18.
@FPLBaldEagle24
342.
@LetsTalk_FPL
489.
@MagnusCarlsen
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
10
8
31
🏆
@OffisiellESF
Hall of Fame 🏆
1. Werner Storøy 🥇
2. Tobias Simonnes 🥈
3.
@D_Thon
🥉
6.
@EspenNesse
18.
@ESNFure
20.
@ESNJonas
22.
@TheRealNiemi
41.
@GeoffreyDance
66.
@FPLHeskibo
Finn ditt eget lag i regnearket nedenfor (ctrl+f for søk):
8
2
31
Bookmakers project at goal-fest in GW38! If you still have your TC chip, City are expected to score more goals in GW38, arguably making it the better option. In defence a Liverpool double up is looking terrifyingly strong.
2
5
30
KDB and Bruno Fernandes were not equivalent captaincy options this GW!? 😲 It's almost like these managers don't buy the narrative Bruno is better when playing away.
#GW13
Elite 1000 Captaincy Data:
De Bruyne 77.8% (92.4% Propensity)
Fernandes 17.5%
Salah 1.5%
Sterling 1.5%
Mahrez 0.5%
Vardy 0.3%
Grealish 0.2%
Aubameyang 0.2%
Jesus 0.2%
Son 0.1%
Kane 0.1%
Werner 0.1%
2
3
18
3
3
29
🏆 Manager Ratings, December 2022 🏆
🥇 Fábio Borges 🇵🇹
🥈
@finnsollie
🇳🇴
🥉
@FPLCorbs
🏴
6.
@JonBallantyne3
12.
@BenCrellin
14.
@FPL_Badgers9
24.
@FPL_Jan
25.
@FPL_Salah
235. Lion King 👀
Find your own team in the full spreadsheet (use ctrl+f):
1
5
29
The 10 countries with most top 1000 rated managers are:
1. 🏴 (367)
2. 🇳🇴 (148)
3. 🇮🇪 (50)
4. 🇸🇪 (34)
5. 🇫🇮 (33)
6. 🇦🇺 (29)
6. 🇺🇸 (29)
8. 🏴 (28)
9. 🇮🇳 (25)
10. 🇵🇱 (16)
Norway has about 4 times more FPL players with "elite" track records per capita than England.
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2
28
The Elite 250 made huge gains in DGW24, in part due to 63.6 % triple captaining Salah. The mean net score was 79.1 points (SD=17.6), resulting in a median rank increase of 231K to 139K. 16/250 managers are currently in the top 10K.
3
4
25
On their latest pod,
@wee_rogue
and
@analytic_fpl
briefly discussed if clean sheet probabilities differ between teams that tend to concede big versus small chances. To test this, I examined three scenarios, each of which was simulated 10 million times.
1
1
27
My sample of 250 elite managers did poorly between GW4 and GW5:
Mean Points: 238.8 → 287.7
Median Rank: 598K → 955K
They netted on average 48.9 points in GW5. In total, 120/250 of these distinguished managers are now ranked 1 million or worse.
4
10
23
📊 Elite Picks in GW4
The Elite 1000 page on
@fplreview
should become available again in September. In the meantime, here are their ownership figures in GW4, along with a few other elite samples and leagues:
1
3
24
5.3 times more managers captaining KDB in the Elite 1000 than the current top 10K (6.6 %). At times, they seem to be playing different games.
#GW10
Elite 1000 Captaincy Data:
De Bruyne 35.1%
Vardy 35%
Salah 10.9%
Fernandes 10.3%
Sterling 4.9%
Calvert-Lewin 2.4%
Mané 0.5%
Jota 0.2%
Aubameyang 0.2%
Kane 0.1%
Grealish 0.1%
Bamford 0.1%
Robertson 0.1%
Jesus 0.1%
2
2
20
4
1
25
📊 GW13: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@StemaniaFPL
,
@FPLBaldEagle24
,
@AleksanderVN
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@FFScout_Joe
,
@rogue_wee
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
2
7
24
🔮 GW37: CAPTAIN PROJECTIONS 🔮
Although Agüero is dominating the polls, Sterling is less likely to be substituted and my top pick. However, if you want to play it safe and cover EO, Agüero is probably your guy. I rate Hazard and Salah as the best differentials.
3
6
25
Liverpool apparently have the five best opening fixtures (attack) and are expected to score 11 % more goals than normally. At the bottom we have Norwich, who face Liverpool, Chelsea and Man City.
1
4
24
📊 GW14: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@seantobin2
,
@FFScout_Mark
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@FPLCruyff74
,
@hallstein82
,
@qchardesign
,
@drbenmcnair
,
@JEgersdorff
,
@rogue_wee
and
@fplsalah1
.
2
6
23
DEFENCE: 8 GWs FORECAST 📊
City and Liverpool defenders are expected to see the greatest defensive returns. United are being overlooked, but Shaw is their best option and currently suspended. For cheap defenders I would go with Wolves or West Ham.
2
7
22
📊 GW36+: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@StemaniaFPL
,
@FPLBaldEagle24
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@drbenmcnair
,
@JEgersdorff
,
@rogue_wee
and
@fplsalah1
.
2
5
24
Below is a mobile-friendly version with the 10,000 highest rated managers:
4
1
22
🔮 GW33: CAPTAIN PROJECTIONS 🔮
Due to home field advantage, Hazard is looking like the best captain shout this GW. Mané led the early polls, but Hazard's haul against Brighton meant he became the more popular choice. On current odds Salah should probably be dropped from GW34.
3
3
23
📊 GW22: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@FFScout_Mark
,
@FPLBaldEagle24
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@FPLCruyff74
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@RichClarkeFPL
,
@harryhorse2
,
@rogue_wee
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
2
8
23
Manager Ratings Update 🏆
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2.
@StemaniaFPL
🥈
4.
@darrenwiles7
7.
@jorgenstenseth
🇳🇴1⃣
9.
@seantobin2
55.
@MikkelTokvam
📊
196.
@MagnusCarlsen
♟️
320.
@FFScout_Mark
🔻
Full rating list:
8
2
23
📊 Elite 250 Picks 📊
GW3 saw huge player movements among top managers. On average, they used 1.71 transfers and took 0.30 hits. Many consider GW3 to be too early for a WC, but 19.2 % of these elite managers disagreed and used theirs.
Full spreadsheet:
2
2
23
David Silva significantly more like to score than the likes of KDB and Mahrez in GW38+ according to spread odds!
3
1
22
Brilliant interview with
@FPL_Salah
! For me, this is the best effort to date, trying to deconstruct an FPL process that leads to great results.
MERRY CHRISTMAS
As a present here's episode 5.
@rogue_wee
and
@analytic_fpl
are joined by
@FPL_Salah
and we get into:
- Keeping FPL simple
- The "infamous" FPL transfer hub
- Price points
- Wildcard strategy
- Staying sane playing FPL
8
16
93
2
3
22
📊 GW16: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@seantobin2
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@ffh_will
,
@FPLCruyff74
,
@KjartanDohlie
,
@FplSorcerer
,
@JEgersdorff
,
@zophar666
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
2
7
22
📊 GW23: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@StemaniaFPL
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@drbenmcnair
,
@FPL_Confidant
,
@JEgersdorff
,
@zophar666
,
@rogue_wee
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
1
5
20
🏆 Manager Ratings Update
1. Fábio Borges 🥇
2. Stephen Harrap 🥈
3.
@seantobin2
🥉
23.
@MagnusBjartnes
🇳🇴1⃣
26.
@jorgenstenseth
🇳🇴2⃣
28.
@hallstein82
🇳🇴3⃣
481.
@MagnusCarlsen
🔥
Full rating list:
8
4
21
Assuming Poisson, a team expected to concede 1 goal, is 36.788 % likely to keep a clean sheet. Unsurprisingly, the theoretical expectation is very close to the observed CS shares. In conclusion, if shots are Poisson distributed, so are goals.
5
2
21
Stronger teams tend to outperform xG. Every 100 Elo is associated with 3,8 % better finishing (±1.0 %). Man City is currently rated as 277 Elo stronger than the average PL side by , and is expected to outperform xG by 9.4 %.
4
3
21
📊 GW18: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@seantobin2
,
@FPLBaldEagle24
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@ffh_will
,
@FPLCruyff74
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@FFScout_Joe
,
@rogue_wee
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
1
4
21
📊 GW19: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@StemaniaFPL
,
@AleksanderVN
,
@jawain04
,
@hallstein82
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@qchardesign
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@drbenmcnair
,
@rogue_wee
and
@fplsalah1
.
2
6
21
📊 GW15: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@StemaniaFPL
,
@FPLBaldEagle24
,
@AleksanderVN
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@MattKearney92
,
@FFScout_Joe
,
@rogue_wee
and
@fplsalah1
.
2
6
21
📊 GW9: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@StemaniaFPL
,
@FPLBaldEagle24
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@AleksanderVN
,
@ffh_will
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@rogue_wee
and
@fplsalah1
.
2
5
21
Loved this interview with the brilliant creator of
@fplreview
! Never before has a more insightful trio discussed statistical, model-based approaches to playing and understanding FPL. 🤓
🚨 EPISODE 4 IS LIVE 🚨
@analytic_fpl
and
@rogue_wee
were joined by modelling legend
@fplreview
We get into review's model, modelling minutes, manager skill, WC strategies, Bruno Fernandes (again!), Diogo Jota...
And much more. It's a long one.
Links:
8
16
59
1
1
20
The
@FFScout
Career HOF top 100 this season () is having a much harder time than the top 100 last year. The mean rank is currently 403K versus 83K at this stage last year. Clearly not every season is created equally.
0
7
20
📊 GW17: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@StemaniaFPL
,
@AleksanderVN
,
@jawain04
,
@hallstein82
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@qchardesign
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@drbenmcnair
,
@rogue_wee
and
@fplsalah1
.
1
5
20
📊GW38+: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@StemaniaFPL
,
@FPLBaldEagle24
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@FPLCruyff74
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@FPLPriceChanges
,
@rogue_wee
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
5
5
19
📊 GW31+: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@seantobin2
,
@StemaniaFPL
,
@ffh_will
,
@jawain04
,
@RichClarkeFPL
,
@DarrenWiles7
,
@FPLPriceChanges
,
@rogue_wee
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
1
5
19
Which site do you rate as having the more accurate FPL points prediction model?
#FPLCommunity
FFScout
385
FFFix
238
FFHub
163
FPL Review
123
12
5
19
📊 GW32+: Elite 250 Spreadsheet
In-depth selection stats for 250 top-class managers, including
@FFScout_Mark
,
@FPLBaldEagle24
,
@matthewpenycae
,
@FPLCruyff74
,
@ahopcroft13
,
@FPL_arndff
,
@qchardesign
,
@MikkelTokvam
,
@fplsalah1
and
@FPL_Heisenberg
.
2
8
17
📊 Skill Ratings, September Update
During the international break I've updated my manager skill ratings. Some top ranked managers on Twitter:
2.
@seantobin2
5.
@FFScout_Mark
14.
@AleksanderVN
16.
@matthewpenycae
32.
@hallstein82
44.
@ffh_will
4
7
19