Lib Dem leader
@EdwardJDavey
has taken to the water once again as part of his party's general election campaign.
Today, the Lib Dems are campaigning about children's mental health.
📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube
I went through each seat from the election to see how the results would change if Reform UK hadn't stood any candidates and the result (to my surprise) didn't change quite as dramatically as I thought they would:
LAB: 384 (-27)
CON: 162 (+41)
LDM: 64 (-8)
SNP: 7 (-2)
Really the best time for Rishi to call the election would've been last autumn whilst Farage was in the jungle because could you imagine how much he'd have been seething if he got out only to realise he'd missed the election by like a day
do not photograph volunteers like this omfg, not least seeing as this person probably would've been canvassing for you just a few days ago, there esp wasn't any need to add a photo of them when you'd already taken your grievances out/made your point clear enough
Compare and contrast the leadership of the UK & US Green Party.
They are on different planets.
We need to make the English version like the American one. Fast.
🚨 NEW: I'm launching a fundraiser to poll Islington North (Jeremy Corbyn's seat), so we can get some clear data on the contest.
But polling is expensive, so I need YOU 🫵
We need to raise £7,000 by 17 June to make it happen.
LINK:
IF YOU’RE JUST WAKING UP- the latest from the wall
The Tories have won the Hartlepool by election and have won it handsomely. Majority of nearly 7000. First time the seat has been won by a Tory since 1959. Only third time a govt has won a by election off an opp since 1982
Badenoch's first exchange with
@AngelaRayner
starts sweetly, but spirals to "I know what we should have done, that we didn't do" and "riots in Leeds" being down to "sectarian violence".
Concludes with "Labour have a tough act to follow" at which the House erupts in laughter. ~AA
CCHQ apparently chipper tonight, I’m told.
As the polls close, they’re “utterly convinced” Susan Hall has won London, whilst Andy Street keeping his job in the West Midlands is on a “knife edge”.
NEW: First Westminster voting intention from the campaign period.
23 point Labour lead.
LAB 47 (-1)
CON 24 (-3)
LD 11 (+3)
GRN 3 (+1)
RFM 8 (-)
SNP 3 (-)
OTH 4 (-)
F/w 24th - 27th May. Changes vs. 22nd May 2024.
Am I mistaken or hasn't Keir Starmer spoke in the past about how his wife's got anxiety over coming out with him on events, etc/doesn't particularly like the spotlight? I'd happily just ignore her and pretend she doesn't exist tbh, I don't think we don't need this
A future First Lady? With prime ministerial power in reach for Sir Keir Starmer, his wife Victoria could emerge from her north London cocoon into the global limelight. But who is she?
scenario:
>ben houchen wins
>andy street wins
>the tories do better than expected because of reform not standing many LE candidates
>rishi misinterprets this as them improving and calls the GE for summer
>total wipeout.jpeg
“That would be something astonishing”
Could Reform UK be the biggest party in opposition after the election?
Listen to Laura Kuenssberg, Chris Mason and Paddy O’Connell discuss on the latest
#BBCNewscast
…
Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey is visiting Somerset today as part of his election campaign.
The rain didn't seem to get in the way as he tried out the 'Ultimate Slip N Slide' in Shepton Mallet.
He's just been told he is not allowed any more goes.
The main results of there being no Reform candidates are:
a.) a reduced Labour majority of 120
b.) a lot of LAB/LDM v CON races become significantly tighter
c.) Penny Mordaunt retains her seat
d.) Tories aren't wiped out in Wales and make net gains in Scotland
Kemi Badenoch now only has a majority of 2,610 votes in North West Essex, it's not implausible that in a scenario where she ends up as Leader of the Opposition, she ends up doing a Jo Swinson and loses her seat
My benchmarks:
<40 - disappointing night
40-49 - about expectations
50-62 - good night
63-69 - fantastic night
>=70 - absolutely unbelievable, knight ed again. sir sir ed davey
It’s finally official ….. 👏 👏 👏
I will be standing in Hayes & Harlington against John McDonnell.
My message to the people of Hayes is
“Vote for Labour is a vote for Genocide”
Let’s go for the change in Hayes. It’s about time, We need a new MP in Hayes. I love my
Sky News > BBC News for definite now
Sky's been reporting on these riots comprehensively and bringing updates in ASAP, their reporters are in the line of fire, just in general, the reporting on a lot of stuff lately has been x10000 what we've seen from BBC News - appalling
🚨 NEW: Former Tory minister Chris Skidmore says will vote Labour for the first time because Rishi Sunak has been “siding with climate deniers”
[
@PippaCrerar
]
Really ugly scenes during
@jessphillips
‘ acceptance speech. Absolutely appalling; men shouting down a woman when she’s legitimately won an election is disgraceful and a bad look for our democracy.
EXCLUSIVE
Rishi Sunak ordered to publish a secret analysis showing impact of removing Universal Credit support
The Information Commissioners' Office has overruled the Treasury - which refused to release info on Covid-era uplift
Deadline 21 June
TVA4 - the code sending chills down spines of Tory canvass teams.
It's what their Vote Source software says are Reform waverers.
But hearing endless reports that when those doors are knocked they are not just wavering but almost always GONE.
South is very, very bad for the
My kids are crying , we come here so I could spend some quality time with them . Now they are scared people are coming here to get them. The daily Mail have purposely doxxed the exact location of my family . How can they be allowed to do this.
🚨 NEW: Nigel Farage confirms he will take part in the 7-way debate on Friday
Confirmed names so far:
- Labour: Angela Rayner
- Tories: Penny Mordaunt
- Reform UK: Nigel Farage
Sky News can't speak to their reporters on the ground because the rioters are turning against media on-site and at least two cameras have been smashed, actually insane
LAB: 496 (+294)
LDM: 44 (+33)
CON: 43 (-323)
SNP: 42 (-6)
a result which would be absolute scenes, the opposition changing every other month thanks to the latest defection, suspension or by-election win
‘When you lose an election in a democracy, you deserve to. You don’t look at the electorate and ask them: ‘What were you thinking?’ You look at yourself and ask: ‘What were we doing?’ - Keir Starmer, 2020
New MP Sarah Dyke thanks Labour voters in Somerton and Frome who lent their votes to the Lib Dem. Isn’t it a pity that Lib Dems in Uxbridge didn’t lend their votes to Labour. So much for the progressive alliance cobblers !
@FinnWhiteGPEW
I mean we can argue all we want about how unfair the monarchy as an institution is, etc, etc - but irrespective of that, he is still the head of state so it makes sense he'd want updates on something like this occurring
BREAKING:
Nigel Farage announces that he will stand in the election in Clacton
He's taking over Reform UK
Makes the uphill battle for Rishi Sunak even more challenging
Now there's a thought, the election being in July means we'll end up with at least a few months where both the UK Prime Minister and the US President are centre-left/social democrat-leaning for the first time since Gordon Brown and Obama in 2010
Sorry but Beth Rigby going off on a long tangent about there potentially being a hung parliament is so annoying, like, actually stop gaslighting us, Labour are 20 points ahead, this is so irritating
‘It was incredible, but it just ran over. Apologies for keeping you’
@RishiSunak
sits down for an interview with
@PaulBrandITV
last week after leaving D-Day events in France early
Watch full interview on the Tonight programme on ITV at 7pm
was anyone going to tell me that UKIP elected a new leader *last week* and they're now led by... a woman who looks like she'd manage the *fuck* out of a primark-
you'd go in to her store looking for a refund, then come out half an hour later traumatised-
A campaign which considers a seat like this where you lost by a maj of just 3k last time "unwinnable" enough that not standing a candidate is fine, is probably just a little more cooked than they're letting on