Britain Elects
@BritainElects
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Est. 2013, the UK's largest poll aggregator. Most accurate forecaster of 2024. Co-founded by @BNHWalker and Lily Jayne Summers.
Joined June 2013
Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 54% (+9).CON: 21% (-7).LDEM: 7% (-2).GRN: 6% (-1). via @YouGov, 28 - 29 Sep.Chgs. w/ 25 Sep.
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North Shropshire, parliamentary by-election result:. LDEM: 47.2% (+37.2).CON: 31.6% (-31.1).LAB: 9.7% (-12.4).GRN: 4.6% (+1.4).REFUK: 3.8% (+3.8). LDem GAIN from Con.
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Liberal Democrat GAIN North Shropshire from Conservative.
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UKIP Leader Gerard Batten has lost his London seat.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 38% (+1).CON: 28% (-5).LDEM: 13% (+3).GRN: 7% (+1).REFUK: 4% (-1). via @YouGov.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 42% (+3).CON: 39% (-3). via @OpiniumResearch.Chgs. w/ 11 Sep.
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 39% (-2).LAB: 33% (+5).LDEM: 13% (-5).GRN: 5% (-).BREX: 4% (+1). via @BMGResearch, 27 - 29 Nov.Chgs. w/ 21 Nov.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 43% (+4).CON: 30% (-5).LDEM: 9% (-3).GRN: 7% (+2).REFUK: 4% (-). via @RedfieldWilton, 17 Jan.Chgs. w/ 10 Jan.
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Westminster voting intention:. LDem: 24% (+6).Brex: 22% (+4).Con: 19% (-5).Lab: 19% (-5).Grn: 8% (+2). via @YouGov.Chgs. w/ 17 May.
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London, Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 47% (+8).CON: 30% (+1).LDEM: 15% (-4).GRN: 4% (-1).BREX: 3% (-3). via @YouGov, 28 Nov - 02 Dec.Chgs. w/ Nov.
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West Auckland (Durham) council by-election result:. LAB: 56.3% (+12.2).CON: 32.6% (-10.2).IND: 11.0% (+11.0). No other Ind (-13.0) as prev. Votes cast: 1,697. Labour GAIN from Conservative.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 41% (+2).CON: 33% (-7).LDEM: 7% (+1).GRN: 6% (+2). via @focaldataHQ, 09 - 10 Dec.Chgs. w/ 30 Apr.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 38% (+2).CON: 36% (-1).LDEM: 10% (-).GRN: 6% (-). via @RedfieldWilton, 10 Nov.Chgs. w/ 08 Nov.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 45% (+5).CON: 39% (-3).LDEM: 7% (-).UKIP: 3% (+1). (via @Survation / 10 Jun).Chgs. w/ GE2017.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 40% (+5).CON: 34% (-4).LDEM: 10% (-).GRN: 5% (+1). via @SavantaComRes, 11 - 12 Nov.Chgs. w/ 07 Nov.
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Castle (Tonbridge & Malling) by-election result:. GRN: 59.3% (+36.0).CON: 36.8% (-7.3).LAB: 3.9% (-5.0). Green GAIN from Conservative. No LDem (-23.6) as prev. Votes cast: 1,233.
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Tiverton & Honiton parliamentary by-election result. LDEM: 52.9% (+38.1).CON: 38.5% (-21.7).LAB: 3.7% (-15.9).GRN: 2.5% (-1.3).REF: 1.1% (+1.1).UKIP: 0.6% (-1.1). Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
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Old Bracknell (Bracknell Forest) council by-election result:. LAB: 61.1% (+23.2).CON: 38.9% (-9.3). Labour GAIN from Conservative. No LDem (-13.9) as prev. Votes cast: 710.
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On who came across as more trustworthy in #BBCDebate:. Jeremy Corbyn: 48%.Boris Johnson: 38%. via @YouGov.Representative survey of viewers.
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BREAKING: Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn is to resign and will not lead the party into a future general election.
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 32% (-4).LAB: 41% (+3) .LDEM: 9% (+1) .GRN: 5% (-1) . via @OpiniumResearch.Chgs. w/ 25 Nov. Largest Lab lead with pollster since 2014.
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(Chesham & Amersham) result:. LDEM: 56.7% (+30.4).CON: 35.5% (-19.9).GRN: 3.9% (-1.6).LAB: 1.6% (-11.2).REFUK: 1.1% (+1.1).BP: 0.5% (+0.5).FA: 0.4% (+0.4).REU: 0.3% (+0.3). Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 40% (+3).CON: 32% (-1).LDEM: 8% (-1).GRN: 7% (-).REFUK: 7% (+1). via @YouGov, 09 - 10 Dec.Chgs. w/ 09 Dec.
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Lyme and Charmouth (Dorset) council by-election result:. GRN: 43.8% (+27.0).CON: 26.5% (-13.7).IND: 23.6% (-6.7).LAB: 6.1% (-6.6). Votes cast: 1,355. Green GAIN from Conservative.
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 42% (-1).LAB: 39% (+3).LDEM: 7% (-2).UKIP: 4% (-). (via @YouGov / 30 - 31 May).
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Preference for Prime Minister:. Keir Starmer: 37% (+3).Boris Johnson: 35% (-). via @OpiniumResearch.Chgs. w/ last week.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 40% (+1).CON: 34% (-2).LDEM: 10% (+1).GRN: 4% (+1).REFUK: 3% (-). via @Survation, 08 - 09 Dec.Chgs. w/ 01 Dec.
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Public opinion towards. May:.Favourable: 29% (-13).Unfavourable: 63% (+16). Corbyn: .Fav: 46% (+10).Unfav: 46% (-4). (via @YouGov, 11-12).
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Jeremy Corbyn MP has been suspended by the Labour Party.
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Does the UK have a moral obligation to offer asylum to Ukrainian refugees fleeing the Russian invasion?. Yes: 50%.No: 32%. via @YouGov.
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Regarding yesterday's revelations, the Prime Minister. Should resign: 66%.Should not resign: 24%. via @SavantaComRes, 11 Jan.
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❗ Reform GAIN from Labour. Bilston North (Wolverhampton) council by-election result:. REF: 34.8% (+34.8).LAB: 25.1% (-38.0).GRN: 23.4% (+11.4).CON: 13.7% (-11.2).LDEM: 2.9% (+2.9). /- 2023.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 35% (+1).CON: 33% (-5).LDEM: 10% (+2). via @YouGov .Chgs. w/ 03 Sep.
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Warton (Lancaster) council by-election result:. GRN: 65.7% (+32.8).CON: 24.6% (-22.7).LAB: 6.4% (-13.5).LDEM: 3.3% (+3.3). Votes cast: 688. Green GAIN from Conservative.
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Highfield (Ashford) council by-election result:. GRN: 40.0% (+21.2).CON: 34.1% (-7.0).AIND: 21.1% (-7.4).LAB: 4.8% (+4.8). Green GAIN from Conservative. Votes cast: 478.
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 43% (-1).LAB: 38% (+3).LDEM: 10% (+1).UKIP: 4% (+1). (via @YouGov / 24 - 25 May).
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Marine (Worthing) by-election result:. LAB: 50.2% (+17.6).CON: 39.4% (-1.6).GRN: 5.9% (-3.7).LDEM: 4.5% (-3.8). Labour GAIN from Conservative. No UKIP (-8.4) as prev. Votes cast: 2,468.
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Bisley and West End (Surrey Heath) council by-election result:. LDEM: 66.0% (+48.8).CON: 34.0% (-0.8). No Ind (-31.8), UKIP (-9.3) and Lab (-6.9) as prev. Votes cast: 1,948. Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 36% (-).CON: 35% (-4).GRN: 11% (+5).LDEM: 9% (-). via @IpsosMORI, 29 Oct - 04 Nov.Chgs. w/ Sep.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 42% (+5).CON: 37% (-3).LDEM: 8% (-).GRN: 5% (-). via @IpsosMORI, 22 - 28 Oct.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 40% (+2).CON: 29% (+1).LDEM: 11% (-2).GRN: 6% (-1).REFUK: 6% (+2) . via @YouGov.
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 39% (-4).LAB: 38% (+3).LDEM: 9% (+1).GRN: 6% (+2). via @Survation, 27 - 29 Apr.Chgs. w/ 10 Apr.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 40%.CON: 32%.LDEM: 10%.GRN: 7%. via @focaldataHQ, 01 - 21 Dec. MRP projection on these numbers would give. > Lab majority of 26.> Defeat for Boris Johnson in Uxbridge & South Ruislip.
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Wakefield parliamentary by-election result. LAB: 47.9% (+8.1).CON: 30.0% (-17.3).IND (Akbar): 7.6% (+7.6).YRK: 4.3% (+2.4). Labour GAIN from Conservative.
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Scottish independence voting intention:. Yes: 55% (+3).No: 45% (-3). via @PanelbaseMD, 12 - 18 Aug.Chgs. w/ 05 Jun.
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Liberal Democrat GAIN Tiverton & Honiton from Conservative.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB 41% (+3).CON: 27% (-3).LDEM: 11% (+1).GRN: 8% (-2).REFUK: 5% (-2). via @FindoutnowUK, 13 Jan .Chgs. w/ 15 Dec.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 41% (+5).CON: 36% (-7).LDEM: 7% (+1).UKIP: 7% (+2). via @DeltaPollUK.Chgs. w/ 23 Feb.
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"To what extent would you support or oppose a policy providing free broadband internet to all UK homes and businesses by 2030?". Support: 62%.Oppose: 22%. via @YouGov.
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Ryhall & Casterton (Rutland) council by-election result:. GRN: 51.2% (+32.1).CON: 48.8% (-7.5). Votes cast: 549. No LDem (-24.6) as prev. Green GAIN from Conservative.
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On whether Dominic Cummings should or should not resign from his job as advisor to the Prime Minister:. Should resign: 52%.Should not resign: 28%. via @YouGov, 23 May.
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 40% (-6).LAB: 39% (+5).LDEM: 8% (-).UKIP: 5% (+2). (via @Survation / 03 Jun).
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Scottish independence voting intention:. Yes: 53% (+4).No: 47% (-4). via @YouGov.Chgs. w/ 14 Feb.
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City of Chester parliamentary by-election, result:. LAB: 61.2% (+11.6).CON: 22.4% (-15.9).LDEM: 8.4% (+1.5).GRN: 2.8% (+0.1).REF: 2.7% (+0.2).REU: 1.0% (+1.0).UKIP: 0.6% (+0.6).MRLP: 0.6% (+0.6).FA: 0.3% (+0.3).
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 43% (-4).LAB: 39% (+4).LDEM: 6% (-).GRN: 3% (-). via @OpiniumResearch.Chgs. w/ 22 May.
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The Littletons (Wychavon) council by-election result:. GRN: 39.1% (-6.3).CON: 36.8% (-17.8).LDEM: 24.1% (+24.1). Votes cast: 744. Green GAIN from Conservative.
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On who would make best Prime Minister:. T. May: 39% (-4).J. Corbyn: 39% (+7). (via @YouGov & @ShippersUnbound / 09 - 10 Jun).Chgs. w/ 07 Jun.
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Brecon & Radnorshire, result:. LDEM: 43.5% (+14.3).CON: 39.0% (-9.6).BREX: 10.5% (+10.5).LAB: 5.3% (-12.5).MRLP: 1.0% (+1.0).UKIP: 0.8% (-0.6).
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Conservative GAIN Leaderdale & Melrose (Scottish Borders) from SNP.
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Tories gained seven seats from Labour; Labour gained 27 seats from the Tories.
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Horndean Downs (East Hampshire) by-election result:. GRN: 49.2% (+33.3).CON: 44.7% (-8.0).IND: 6.1% (-12.6). Green GAIN from Conservative. No LDem (-12.8) as prev.
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Rutherglen and Hamilton West parliamentary by-election, result:. LAB: 58.6% (+24.1).SNP: 27.6% (-16.6).CON: 3.9% (-11.1).LDEM: 2.9% (-2.2).GRN: 2.0% (+2.0).REF: 1.3% (+1.3). Labour GAIN from SNP.
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European Parliament voting intention:. BREX: 27%.LAB: 22%.CON: 15%.GRN: 10%.LDEM: 9%.UKIP: 7%.CHUK: 6%. via @YouGov, 15 - 16 Apr.
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Ellel (Lancaster) council by-election result:. GRN: 39.7% (+19.5).LAB: 30.4% (-1.2).CON: 27.4% (-14.4).LDEM: 2.5% (-4.0). Votes cast: 1,377. Green GAIN from Conservative.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 39% (+3).CON: 35% (-5).LDEM: 10% ().UKIP: 5% (-). via @Survation, 15 Mar.Chgs. w/ 18 Feb.
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Net approval of Prime Ministers on/near day 100 into the job:. Tony Blair: +50.Gordon Brown: +26.David Cameron: +27.Theresa May: +19.Boris Johnson: -3. Rishi Sunak: -18. BE's @BNHWalker analyses on the worst start for a PM in recent history:.
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Welsh Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 44% (+9).CON: 34% (-7).PC: 9% (-2).LDEM: 6% (-1).UKIP: 5% (+1). (via @YouGov / 18 - 21 May).
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Liberal Democrat GAIN Chesham & Amersham from Conservative.
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Storrington and Washington (Horsham) council by-election result:. GRN: 47.9% (+47.9).CON: 35.2% (-16.1).LDEM: 16.9% (-13.5). No Lab (-18.2) as prev. Votes cast: 2,677. Green GAIN from Conservative.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 45% (+1).CON: 37% (-1).LDEM: 6% (-1).UKIP: 4% (-).GRN: 1% (-). via @Survation, 30 Nov - 01 Dec.
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 41% (-2).LAB: 40% (+3). (via @Survation / 02 - 03 Jun).Chgs. w/ 27 May.
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On who would make best Prime Minister:. J. Corbyn: 35% (+3).T. May: 34% (-9). (via @YouGov / 21 - 22 Jun).Chgs. w/ 07 Jun.
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Owen Paterson MP (Con, North Shropshire) has resigned.
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Labour GAIN Cambridgeshire & Peterborough mayoralty from Conservative.
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Moor View (Plymouth) council by-election result:. LAB: 53.2% (+23.9).CON: 33.0% (-30.5).IND: 6.9% (+6.9).GRN: 3.3% (-1.1).LDEM: 2.9% (+0.6).TUSC: 0.7% (+0.2). Votes cast: 2,658. Labour GAIN from Conservative.
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Westminster voting intention:. CON: 40% (-2).LAB: 40% (+1).LDEM: 6% (+1). via @OpiniumResearch.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 37% (+4).CON: 33% (-3).LDEM: 9% (-).GRN: 7% (-2).REFUK: 6% (-). via @YouGov, 08 - 09 Dec.Chgs. w/ 02 Dec.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 40% (+1).CON: 31% (-3).LDEM: 13% (+2).GRN: 9% (+2). via @IpsosMORI, 19 - 25 Jan.
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Pound Sterling now at its highest point against the Dollar in 12 months.
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Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 46%.CON: 38%.LDEM: 6%.UKIP: 4%.GRN: 1%. (via @YouGov / 05 - 06 Jul).
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London Westminster voting intention:. LAB: 50% (+9).CON: 33% (-3).LDEM: 11% (-3).UKIP: 3% (-3).GRN: 2 (-1). (via @YouGov / 26 - 31 May).
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Bourne (West Sussex) by-election result:. LDEM: 49.7% (+20.7).CON: 37.6% (-13.4).GRN: 7.5% (-3.4).LAB: 5.3% (-3.9). Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
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On whether Britain should rejoin / stay out of the European Union:. Rejoin: 45.0% (+6.3).Stay out: 38.7% (-1.6). Chgs. w/ last year. Detail:.
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On who would make best Prime Minister:. Keir Starmer: 34% (+3).Boris Johnson: 32% (-1). via @YouGov, 04 - 05 Aug.Chgs. w/ 31 Jul.
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