Dan O'Brien
@danobrien20
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Chief economist, Institute of International and European Affairs, senior fellow at UCD. Speaker/presenter: conferences, management teams, etc. https://t.co/saKV3o9GRu
Dublin, Ireland
Joined July 2011
Usually it’s the economics of programmes for government I watch most closely. Now it is national security - Europe is no longer at peace. Hoping that big changes will be committed to. Ireland is almost unique in that it has abundant resources. No excuses for further neglect.
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RT @karldeeter: @danobrien20 With new AIs like Deepseek that may change. The processor market will stay strong, divided between Intel & AMD…
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Great analysis here. Raises an angle I hadn’t considered before: would EU avoid retaliatory tariffs on US pharma imports in order to maintain WTO compliance? Worth adding that Intel is in deep trouble, having missed the mobile phone and AI boats. Could go the way of Nokia.
Intel invested €17bn in its Leixlip plant. Is it realistic that US multinationals like that will uproot? Probably not. But Trump’s regime makes it much more challenging for US corporations to establish new operations in Ireland. Analysis via @rtenews
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RT @danobrien20: Reminder. Ireland has the second biggest trade surplus with the US among EU counties. Buying more American LNG and arms wo…
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RT @danobrien20: Ireland's spends less of its government budget on defence than any other EU member. Being incapable of deterring cyber and…
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RT @danobrien20: Employment growth across the EU in the past five years has been mixed. Ireland's 20% jobs growth is astonishing, particul…
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RT @danobrien20: Some in Europe may overestimate its relative position in a trade war with the US. * EU is twice as dependent on exports t…
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RT @danobrien20: A referendum on neutrality would bring focus on an issue that the moderate majority don’t fret much about. The arguments o…
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RT @danobrien20: Today's column. However regrettable, Ireland will have to spend more to defend itself as our neighbourhood becomes more da…
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RT @danobrien20: Interviewee says he is staying below the radar while giving a long and extensive interview to a world-leading newspaper. T…
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Folks at @irishexaminer @Elaine_Loughlin, think @MichealMartinTD might have been referring to ‘Baltics’ not ‘Balkans’.
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If politicians and the media had been focusing more on the tectonic shifts in security on our own continent than on one of the Middle East’s conflicts…
From yesterday - a lot of people are not copping what is going on in Defence here and the pressures on from abroad. Taoiseach: There will be 'pressure' from EU to increase defence spending but neutrality secure (via @thejournal_ie)
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This post was a mere thought exercise. Huge thinking will be needed for a change that would be 100 times bigger than Brexit, for instance. Grim to see aggressive majoritarian responses. Crude majoritarianism didn’t work in NI in the past. It won’t work in a 32 county state.
Some unionists say that nato and commonwealth membership would be basic demands in return for a new state of 32 counties. Another demand would be British monarch as head of state-eg Canada/Aus/NZ. Would republicans trade a republic for unity?
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@fmod1 @SK_00001 @SimonHarrisTD @mark_mellett @BerryCathal @donlav It should have acknowledged the 2022 invasion as a turning point for moving immediately to LAO 3
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Interviewee says he is staying below the radar while giving a long and extensive interview to a world-leading newspaper. Then tells interviewer on the record that he and his paper can ‘f**k off’. Great read.
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Today's column. However regrettable, Ireland will have to spend more to defend itself as our neighbourhood becomes more dangerous.
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RT @danobrien20: Just started an account on this site's competition for those interested. Same handle @danobrien20
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RT @thecurrency: Ireland's neighbourhood is more dangerous, but it has yet to invest in a stronger lock or good alarm, writes @danobrien20…
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@EamonDelaney10 @928640 Our friends and allies who know Russia best have long warned that Russia wants a ‘sphere of influence’ not peace. They’ve were condescended to too often. They’ve been proven correct.
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