"When you're that paranoid, and that isolated, that's when leaders make mistakes. Personalist leaders are the most prone because they surround themselves with sycophants and yes men," said
@AKendallTaylor
. Watch:
"Over the last four years,"
@CISAKrebs
writes for the Bolstering American Democracy series, "there has been an unprecedented all-of-nation effort to ensure that the 2020 election is as secure as any in U.S. history." Read more:
"The Chinese method of war is never having to fight. If you have to physically fight, it means you miscalculated [...] We don't realize that China's been at war with the US for five years in the South China Sea," - CNAS's Robert D Kaplan to
@bsurveillance
:
A disappointing element of Tillerson’s legacy will be his mismanagement of the State Department, a cautionary tale for anyone who believes that private sector experience directly transfers into government, writes
@ilangoldenberg
in
@ForeignPolicy
:
"Neither the African Union nor the U.N. prevented Ethiopia’s descent into civil war and the war crimes that followed," writes
@SWilkins11
. "This collapse of collective action portends a dismal future trajectory for peace and security on the continent."
"President Trump’s shift away from the Trans-Pacific Partnership had a “corrosive effect” on the standing of the U.S." Hear more of CNAS' Robert Kaplan's remarks from
#Davos
here:
NEW: CNAS names
@paul_scharre
Vice President and Director of Studies!
As a member of the CNAS executive team, Scharre will be responsible for managing the Center’s research agenda, publications, and research staff. Learn more:
NEW: The next generation of national security leaders is here. Learn more about the 2021 class of the Shawn Brimley Next Generation National Security Leaders Fellowship:
What does U.S. military spending say about America's national security priorities? Watch as
@SusannaVBlume
explains how U.S. strategic principles should drive key decisions in defense spending:
Robert Kaplan: Trump's withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) may have been the greatest self-inflicted American foreign policy blunder in Asia since the Vietnam War. Read his latest in
@thehill
:
NEW: CNAS has launched The Gaming Lab, a major initiative leading innovative, unclassified games and exercises to help policymakers and military strategists gain critical insights into key national security problems. Learn more:
A NEW report from
@carriecordero
,
@klkuzminski
,
@joshscampbell
, and Arona Baigal reviews military, veteran, and law enforcement efforts to counter domestic violent extremism in their communities. Read the full report 👇
China's Belt and Road has equipped governments worldwide to conduct surveillance and limit dissent. How could China's high-tech illiberalism shape the twenty-first century? Learn more:
The Trump Administration's drone policy to wage a secret war on terror has created a dynamic where "unmanned now means unmanaged, un-overseen, and unaccountable." -
@CNASdc
's
@LorenRaeDeJ
&
@gwcchs
's Daniel Rosenthal write in
@TheAtlantic
:
NEW: CNAS released a major independent assessment today with nearly 100 specific, actionable policy recommendations for a comprehensive approach to strategic competition with China. Read more:
"Russia will face new and more significant constraints on its ability to modernize its military. But it is too soon to count Russia out." More from
@KofmanMichael
, Richard Connolly,
@jeffaedmonds
,
@AKendallTaylor
, and
@SamBendett
in a new report:
"Even if NATO planners determine that a Russian blitzkrieg against the Baltics is only a low-probability scenario, it would be a mistake to underestimate Russia in the coming years,"
@HoansSolo
writes in
@ForeignPolicy
.
“There is a whole lot more to this than gaining ground,”
@MarkHertling
observes. Listen to this conversation on the latest Brussels Sprouts with
@AKendallTaylor
and
@jteurope
.
NEW: CNAS is accepting applications for the 2021 class of the Shawn Brimley Next Generation National Security Leaders Fellowship, a bipartisan group of 20-25 emerging voices in national security. Learn more about how to apply:
"For the first time in decades, it is possible to imagine the United States fighting—and possibly losing—a large-scale war with a great power." Read more from
@C_M_Dougherty
's June report:
According to
@WarintheFuture
: “The Ukrainians have the initiative in this war, and they have momentum going into winter.” Listen to his conversation with
@AKendallTaylor
on the latest episode of Brussels Sprouts:
NEW: The Center has been selected by the Department of Defense to conduct a study on the future of U.S. policy in the Indo-Pacific. We’ll examine key vectors of the U.S.-China competition, including economics, diplomacy, technology, defense, and more.
CNAS is proud to announce the next generation of national security leaders! Learn more about the 2023 class of the Shawn Brimley Next Generation National Security Leaders Fellowship:
"Neither the African Union nor the U.N. prevented Ethiopia’s descent into civil war and the war crimes that followed," writes
@SWilkins11
. "This collapse of collective action portends a dismal future trajectory for peace and security on the continent."
"The money taken from U.S. military construction in Europe takes weapons out of the hands of the U.S. military where it is needed most." -
@jteurope
writes in
@ForeignPolicy
:
"The U.S. must offer Saudi Arabia’s leaders a choice: no further intervention in Yemen, no more fighting with Qatar, and no more surprises—or face a significant downgrade of the relationship." -
@ilangoldenberg
and
@derekchollet
write for
@ForeignPolicy
:
NEW: CNAS is launching its new Indo-Pacific Security Program today under the leadership of
@LisaCurtisDC
. This new program will address opportunities and challenges in the region that have global implications for the United States:
CNAS has announced the launch of a major, multi-year initiative: Countering High-Tech Illiberalism. This effort will examine how democracies are threatened by illiberal regimes armed w/ cutting-edge technologies & how the US can defend itself. Learn more:
Over 80% of all American casualties since World War II have been in the infantry, a community that makes up just 4% of the force. A new CNAS series, "Super Soldiers," explores the emerging technologies that can help improve soldier survivability:
.
@CNASdc
launches the second chapter of its
#WomenInNatsec
podcast series: The Last Word.
@JenGriffinFNC
joins to share lessons from her life and career as a journalist and the last word she'd want to have on being a woman in national security. Listen:
"If Trump's team allows Erdogan to move his forces into northeastern Syria, it would be like inviting the fox to guard the henhouse." -
@NicholasAHeras
tells
@NatashaTurak
of
@CNBC
:
“If Russia’s economic dependence on China continues to grow,”
@jteurope
and
@AKendallTaylor
find in a new CNAS report, “it will be increasingly difficult for Moscow to chart a course independent from Beijing.” Read more:
"Sanctions and brain drain have had a massive impact on Russia's high-tech economy, and the effects may linger for years,"
@SamBendett
notes in
@DefenseOne
. Read more:
Vladimir Putin's orchestrated referendum is "a sign of weakness, not of strength." -
@McFaul
tells
@AKendallTaylor
,
@jteurope
, and fellow guest
@vkaramurza
on the latest episode of Brussels Sprouts. Listen:
In less than an hour, watch live on
@CSPAN
-2 as
@usairforce
Asst. Secretary Will Roper discusses the Digital Century Series and more with
@SusannaVBlume
:
“The 🇷🇺 army is not unbeatable,”
@HoansSolo
in
@WSJ
..."There is a gradual realization in 🇪🇺 that this could go south, and that if it does go south, it’s really going to have tremendous consequences for the entire security architecture of the continent.”
@dankliman
@IskanderRehman
@kristinejlee27
@fitt_joshua
While India has adapted its competitive posture toward China, its advantages in the land and maritime domains are eroding.
Here are maps of the Indian Navy's organizational structure in the Indian Ocean Region and the force laydown in the Himalayan Theater:
Russia’s current account surplus soared to a record $58bn in the first quarter of 2022, and could climb as high as $250bn for the full year unless new sanctions halt oil and gas exports, according to
@elinaribakova
. Read more from
@FT
:
CNAS congratulates its experts and alumni chosen for positions of responsibility in the Biden administration, including Victoria Nuland,
@elyratner
, Susanna V. Blume,
@RosenbergEliz
. . .
As the downsides of Chinese investment have become apparent to a growing set of countries, Beijing’s vision of global infrastructure connectivity has been tarnished. Read more from
@dankliman
,
@RushDoshi
,
@kristinejlee27
, and
@ZackCooper
's new report:
And now a special presentation by CNAS CEO
@RHFontaine
of the CNAS 1LT Andrew J. Bacevich Jr., USA Award.
Congratulations to the
#CNAS2021
winners: Jasmine Butler and
@CarisaNietsche
!
Today, CNAS delivered an independent assessment—Rising to the China Challenge: Renewing American Competitiveness in the Indo-Pacific—to the Department of Defense. The study takes a comprehensive approach to long-term competition with China. Learn more:
"Pakistan’s behavior in past China-India border conflicts is instructive because it suggests that Islamabad might exercise caution before taking the bold move to open a second front against New Delhi," read
@LisaCurtisDC
and
@DerekJGrossman
's full report:
According to
@vanceserchuk
, "The United States’ setbacks in places such as Syria and the South China Sea should remind U.S. policymakers that it is possible to compete with an objectively weaker hand and still come out on top." More:
"NATO enlargement is a fake pretext to excuse Russian aggression against its neighbors. This argument does not comply with the timing of expansion: when Russian leadership was more pro-Western, enlargement was not a problem," said
@MSnegovaya
. Read:
“The sanctions have turned out to be quite unprecedented,” said
@MSnegovaya
in a recent
@nytimes
article. “Everybody in Russia is horrified. They’re trying to think of the best way to preserve their money.”
"It's not like a secret that these things were going to show up," says
@C_M_Dougherty
, surprised that the Russians didn't plan for the Himars. "It's another instance in which the Russians have been really slow to adapt to battlefield issues." Read more:
NEW: The next generation of national security leaders is here. Learn more about the 2022 class of the Shawn Brimley Next Generation National Security Leaders Fellowship
.
@NicholasAHeras
tells
@reason
's
@matthew_petti
that the president "is leaking [the executive branch's] internal discussions. . . to test the water of public opinion." Read more:
“The Russians have understood, just as a lot of analysts have, that the major disadvantage that Ukraine is currently suffering from is manpower,”
@HoansSolo
tells
@nytimes
. “By thinning out the front line, you are increasing the odds of a breakthrough.”
“The war in Ukraine could end up being bad for the pivot [to Asia] in the short-term, but good in the long-term,”
@RHFontaine
notes. Read more from
@Bloomberg
:
From
@BusinessInsider
, "
@MSnegovaya
suspects that the children of Russia's political elites, many of whom have spent a good deal of time traveling and living abroad, probably do prefer the cultural and democratic values they encountered elsewhere." More
"CNAS will be at the forefront of envisioning American leadership for a new era.” The Center for a New American Security's Board of Directors has selected
@RHFontaine
as the Center’s new Chief Executive Officer. Learn more:
NEW: CNAS is launching its U.S. National Technology Strategy project, a U.S. government–supported initiative to bolster American innovation and technological leadership. Learn more about the project:
According to
@vkaramurza
, "Vladimir Putin would never have won an honest referendum, and that is why we didn’t have one." Listen to his full conversation with
@AKendallTaylor
,
@jteurope
, and fellow guest
@McFaul
on the latest episode of Brussels Sprouts:
TONIGHT: The Defense Team at CNAS will run a Taiwan contingency tabletop exercise for
@committeeonccp
. With
@becca_wasser
and
@kcirtem
playing the role of China, committee members will act as advisors to the President and analyze possible U.S. courses of action.
Over 80% of all American casualties since World War II have been in the infantry, a community that makes up just 4% of the force. A new CNAS series, "Super Soldiers," explores the emerging technologies that can help improve soldier survivability:
And congratulations to Grace Kim, the first-ever winner of The Pitch, the Center's premier event to elevate emerging voices in national security!
#CNAS2020
Learn more:
Congratulations to the four heat winners at
#CNAS2020
's The Pitch:
Session One: Alan McQuinn
Session Two: Grace Kim
Session Three: Khyle Eastin
Session Four: Luke Chen
Learn more:
WATCH: As the situation between Russia and Ukraine in the Sea of Azov continues to develop,
@AKendallTaylor
offers her assessment to
@CNN
's
@BrianToddCNN
:
"Although China’s and Russia’s approaches are different and seemingly uncoordinated, taken together, they have a more corrosive effect on democracy than either would have single-handedly." - CNAS experts find in a new report. More:
NEW: CNAS is seeking applications for The Pitch, the Center's second annual premier event to elevate emerging and diverse voices in foreign policy at the CNAS 2021 National Security Conference.
Learn more about the event and how to apply:
“You can’t have a local Syrian partner as the only force to fight ISIS, and at the same time you won’t protect them from being attacked on their flank by a country you’re calling your ally.” -
@NicholasAHeras
tells the
@nytimes
. Read more:
As
#bitcoin
continues to climb, it's worth considering its national security implications. Read
@esaravalle
's thread below and CNAS' report on terrorist use of
#cryptocurrency
here:
Both China and India "retain high numbers of troops along the disputed frontier, and there are several flashpoints that could erupt into another border crisis at any time," find
@LisaCurtisDC
and
@DerekJGrossman
. Read their full report👇
Today, President-elect Biden and Vice President-elect Harris announced staff members for the National Security Council. These leaders will work relentlessly to safeguard Americans, defend our interests, and advance our democratic values.
"This system gives Russia absolutely no prospect for the future, and we have to change that. We have got to bring a future back to our country." -
@v_milov
tells
@AKendallTaylor
and
@jteurope
. Hear more from the latest episode of Brussels Sprouts:
"The focus on decisive battles orchestrated by a brilliant military leader such as Napoleon has been poisoning Western military thinking for centuries by suggesting that great power wars can be short affairs," writes
@HoansSolo
in
@ForeignPolicy
.
At 10:30am this Friday, join CNAS for an address by Senator
@MarkWarner
about the need for a U.S. cyber doctrine in the face of growing threats from traditional cyber attacks and information operations. Watch the livestream here:
“Cyber will be a significant part of what the Russians do. You can almost be certain there will be spillover and collateral damage.”
@general_ben
tells
@AKendallTaylor
and
@jteurope
on the latest episode of Brussels Sprouts. Listen:
"The breadth of China’s malevolent actions during the past three years has only increased the recognition that the United States is in a strategic competition." - Mark Montgomery and
@DEricSayers
write in a new issue of the Next Defense Strategy series:
"Within this year, we will see the effect on Russian economy as companies start to run out of parts or equipment and have to start laying people off or putting them on unpaid leave,”
@elinaribakova
states. Read the full conversation from
@gridnews
:
"Some Russia watchers conclude that Putin is getting weaker and his position as Russia’s leader is growing more vulnerable. This is almost certainly wrong—Russia’s autocrat is more secure than most people believe."
@MSnegovaya
argues in
@JoDemocracy
:
NEW: CNAS has announced the selection of the 2020 Shawn Brimley Next Generation National Security Fellows! Learn more about this talented group of future national security leaders: