@DavidSacks
Cool, but publishing jet info isn’t doxxing. It’s public, easily accessible info. Plus, does not guarantee Elon is actually present in jet. By that standard—does not meet definition of doxxing.
@YankeeMetrics
My guy. When was the last time in baseball you had a guy hit 30+ HRs and also have a sub 3.30 era?? I will absolutely not normalize Shohei, hes an aberration in the modern era. You won’t see this probably ever again.
Bet glitched line on shady book ✅
Arb said glitch line ✅
Publicly post said arb ✅
Shill product ✅
Farm for engagements ✅
Get glitch line voided ✅
Delete post ✅ ✅ ✅
@DMVskinsgtown
@PeteHaileyNBCS
You joking right? No chance that team is better than us except in one department—coaching. Ref calls took a total of 11 potential points off the board.
@Krabs_Bets
Assuming these are all -110 standard odds you’d need a 52.38 win% to cover the vig. You’re at 52.78%. So congrats on your ten bucks or whatever—get yourself a bowl at chipotle to celebrate
@AhaanRungta
@Nelson81_
Wrong. This is the correct way to create a better hop/pick for the 1B. Pls don’t talk as if if you have the credentials on a subject you clearly don’t have.
Books will limit you for getting CLV but I just witnessed a guy who was down 40u last month give out a play to his 6 figure following base and steam the line by 2 points.
@lilwagontrain
@toomuch2100
@dos14_
@BuffaloBills
I mean there’s clear evidence of CC occurring in young adults. Also these are the 1% of humans who move faster/hit harder than anyone else in the world. All indications point to CC and to neglect that to push some conspiracy theory is ignorant.
Betting trend you NEED to know heading into WC weekend 👇🏽:
The Buffalo Bills are 5-0 since it became publicly known that Sean McDermott supports Al-Qaeda
@heyitsmiller
@bwhitty1993
@NateBradySteele
No cmon why aren’t there hundreds of guys in the minors throwing 100 mph off the mound and hitting 400 ft nukes the next day? What are these milb execs doing!!
@CentennialConf
Maybe if you spent as much time working on a solution as you did that mediocre Mother’s Day graphic, the boys would be playing right now.
@DiojiBarkerK9
@BAshbyMD
This isn’t the first time it’s ever happened in football. The window for this occurring is so extremely rare—20th of a millisecond, that there simply may not be a big enough NFL sample size. Don’t make this about anything else, cuz it’s not:
@BarstoolNate
@Commanders
Bro what? You’d also be paying 50 mil a yr for him. Goodbye Payne, forget stocking up the OL and providing depth on D. Meanwhile you have a guy on a 5th round TEAM FRIENDLY contract with real potential—a cheat code to freeing cap space. Save your money for Payne and OL/LB FA.
@kflorenz1
@JeffPassan
If you swapped judge with Ohtani this season, do you think the angels make the playoffs and the Yankees miss the playoffs? If anything-Ohtani on the Yankees probably provides a better record because he’d help the rotation which has been lackluster the back half of the season
@losing_bettor
@J_rich_10
@robpizzola
As George Carlin used to put it: Think of how stupid the average person is, then remember half of them are stupider than that.
Totally unrelated but Fanduel gifted out a bottle of champagne (and Super Bowl tix?) to users who lost over a $1,000,00. You’re not gonna believe who FD sent one to.
@Scott7news
50 mil/yr and 2 first round picks? Nah. Howell on a 5th round contract with money available to go to Payne/Allen/Curl/Dotson/OL seems way more viable to me
@libsoftiktok
This is literally the backfire effect. The internet exists. Teenagers* watch* porn. Making sex and gender taboo subjects simply hurts development and understanding down the road. If you normalize something it takes away it’s allure. Weird take if you ask me.
With only 1.5 months left, the race for “Worst gambling Twitter account of the Year” just got pretty tight. Can’t wait to see how it all shakes out.
(award name needs work).
@BlueCheckSRM
@DavidSacks
Can you provide source where it says passenger ID is being published? Based on my research, it was simply the jet—not flight manifest. Thx
@Gcarmi21
You can legitimately sign in him on a 5-8 mil deal as a back up and it would be a win—especially if Scott Turner somehow avoids the axe. He’s actually got the 2nd highest winning% as a WSH QB since 2008 (Alex Smith is 1st) he’s a premier QB2.
@JoshTaylorFB
Yeah pal cuz the ACC is the same as the NFL. Love the promise Howell is showing but you and I both know college and NFL defenses are not comparable.
CLV is the most pointless metric used in comparison to “success” in the sports betting industry, obtaining CLV indicates you were on the right side, and is just essentially a “pat on the back” that you’re at least competent at selecting the correct position… I firmly believe
@EldricBagman
@CooperKupp
So I’m confused? You don’t want players to make millions of dollars but will happily give your time/attention/money to the league that pays them?? Weird. You Can’t fault the players for getting what the market seems they’re worth.
@win_st22
@lildickytweets
I think you’re looking at it the wrong way. In a lot of ways, Dave the character is likeable. He’s an underdog that we root for. But he has a drive to be a great rapper and to be successful, and sometimes being confident can get confused with arrogance. So it may push ppl away.
@Frank_Yourself
@BWDBWDBWD
Yeah because for 10 years we never had an elite 2 way player. It was easy to compare because it was a “one way” stat used on “one way” players. Then along comes Ohtani-who doesn’t fit the normative one-way player. WAR becomes flawed.
I have a PhD in Computer Science.
I've used my skills to build Algorithm's dedicated to finding winning sports bets.
Interested? They're all free. Drop me a follow.
@EVbetsKS
Disagree here KS. Some of the best edges/angles are simple. Here’s a great thread of one such example (a great read, but notice what he says here in the 2nd post).
A good bettor doesn’t let that screenshot become public in the first place. Just my take.
Quick aside. Why share this now?
Rule: Never make an angle like this public if it can be bet somewhere. Someone is betting it. Don't ruin it for them.
I've seen this discussed enough on public-ish forums and podcasts to believe it's finally safe to talk about.
2/x
@SmokeTheBooks
I’m noticing a lot of new +EV bettors hold the belief that steamchasing is the only way to make $$. Hey guys—what do you think caused the initial line movement?
Totally unrelated but Fanduel gifted out a bottle of champagne (and Super Bowl tix?) to users who lost over a $1,000,00. You’re not gonna believe who FD sent one to.
@MLBRandomStats
@PointsBetUSA
Fun fact: I messaged their help center after I couldn’t place more than $2 on a wager—come to find out they do it for EVERYONE, meaning they have zero confidence in their lines. At that point just shelf the whole operation
Big time gamblers mad about public release for openers meanwhile there’s a guy in the +EV community exposing everybody’s bench press and BMI
#realproblems
#ibench225
#plusevepenguin
@SooEffinAWEsome
My man. This makes a lot of sense. Think of the opportunity cost. 5th round QB with tools on an extremely team friendly contract. Money saved that can go to Payne/OL. Take a QB late in the draft for camp competition. If Howell clearly isn’t NFL material, 24’ is loaded with QBs.
A couple updates:
The “Pitcher K prop unders vs Nats” experiment is currently 4-1 👀
I backed the trucks up for the US open this weekend. Will likely determine my month 😬.
@lebronisafraud1
@YankeeMetrics
Another issue-current metrics don’t quantify the value of having ONE player both pitch and hit. Yes there is WAR, but that doesn’t account for the value created by Ohtani with one less roster spot in use. The nature of Ohtani’s abilities creates value far more than just WAR.
With only 1.5 months left, the race for “Worst gambling Twitter account of the Year” just got pretty tight. Can’t wait to see how it all shakes out.
(award name needs work).
@RyanOnTheRight
@MoneyPuckdotcom
Well when you come out with a statement claiming to love and accept everyone and then directly contradict that statement, you kinda deserve it.
@StoolBaseball
@ChrisKlemmer
Wow. Incredible analysis. You are so far off the mark. Will they be good? No? Could they lose 100 games? Maybe. But I’d it obvious? Hell no. Underlying metrics suggest this isn’t even the worst team in the MLB
@LukePersiani
@JeffPassan
If you swapped judge with Ohtani this season, do you think the angels make the playoffs and the Yankees miss the playoffs? It’s this reason that we can’t really include team performance for an individual award.
@HoodieMaybin
Josiah Gray practically matching Trea Turner’s output in WAR, Gore is good, Wood is the 13th best prospect in all of baseball (Hassell is 28th) and Abrams is 22 years old. Nats are winning both deals and it’s not close right now.
@lilwagontrain
@toomuch2100
@dos14_
@BuffaloBills
Show me peer reviewed medical data that shows significant spike in cardiac events post Covid. Myocarditis was the listed side effect for the jab, which clearly is NOT occurring here. That’s like saying I drowned because I have asthma, not because there was water filling my lungs.
difference between edges eroding over time vs exploitable edges being killed for clout. There’s other likely other people betting the edge—don’t be the guy that splits 10s at the table.
The most +EV thing you can do with an exploitable edge (besides betting it) is shutting up.