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Swish Theory's Final 2024 NBA Draft Board is live! Dive into our top prospects with detailed insights from both high and low perspectives. Whose analysis do you agree with? Check it out!
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"What's up with Klay Thompson's shot?" is a question top of mind for the Golden State Warriors.
Swish Theory's Warriors-expert
@klaytheist11
hand-tracked and analyzed 1,300 of Klay's shots to answer just that.
Full piece linked below with his conclusions!⬇️⬇️
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Zach Edey is the most polarizing player in the entire draft.
@100guaranteed
takes on the Edey enigma, systematically refuting the 10 most common arguments against the talented big.
In defense of Zach Edey, for skeptics.
🔗
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In the NBA, not all star paths are direct. With Patrick Williams, the
#4
pick in the 2020 draft,
@_LarroHoops
sees more than a role player with potential still untapped.
On why the Chicago Bulls should prioritize Pat's development ASAP. Check it out below!
👇👇👇
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Pascal Siakam has had historically impressive development, going from an energy big to one of the best on-ball scorers in the NBA.
@DraftPow
studied his tape to apply the lessons from Siakam's progress to Creighton's Arthur Kaluma, 2023 draft prospect.
Check it out below! 👇👇
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🚨 Swish Theory NBA Draft Guide 1.0 is out now! 🚨
-Consensus rankings from 9 of our draft analysts
-Filterable rankings to cater the list to the positions/skills your team needs
-Perspective from our most optimistic and hesitant analyst on each prospect
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The
@DraftPow
Big Board, 2024. Enjoy a Top 40 ranking with 20,000 words, far from consensus takes, archetype tags and custom metrics.
🔗
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Defensive playmakers don't just react: they bend the offense to their will.
This is a primer on cognitive athleticism and its impact on defense, viewed through the lens of elite disruptor Alex Caruso. Let
@klahoops
guide you through the what, why and how to identify what makes
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Whether it’s his contract, defense, availability, or impact on winning, a lot has been said about Zach LaVine this past year. Perception is king, but what’s behind it?
@klahoops
uses film and data to separate fact from fiction on one of the league’s most polarizing players.
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Johnny Furphy: NBA Draft's hidden gem?
@PickAndRo
believes the Kansas freshman is among the best in class due to his rapid development, shooting prowess and adaptability. Learn all about Furphy with a look into the importance of role malleability in prospect evaluation.
READ:
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Why is
@100guaranteed
so high on Leonard Miller?
From statistical precedents, to shooting touch biomechanics, to age curve analysis, Avinash goes deep on the "creative, dynamic, reckless" Ignite prospect. On the benefits of new evaluation paradigms:
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Tomorrow night we find out where Victor Wembanyama starts his career. But...which landing spots are actually the best *for* Vic?
Swish Theory writers represented the 9 teams with best Wemby odds to make the case.
Who answered best? Link to piece and question winners below!👇👇
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Moses Moody's defensive development deserves your attention.
In this all-encompassing rundown (6k+ words & 60+ clips!),
@klaytheist11
tracks the on- and off-ball progress of the young Warriors wing.
READ: The Defensive Growth of Moses Moody🏀📈
🔗:
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The Wizards didn't even make the playoffs, so why is
@JoeHulbertNBA
so blown away by their offense?
Swish's playbook expert goes deep on the Washington scheme, detailing how Wes Unseld Jr. has become one of the NBA's most creative play-callers.
READ👉:
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By ignoring the principles that guide successful franchises, the Chicago Bulls are further from a championship now than when they started their rebuild in 2017.
@klahoops
explains how they got here and why all signs point to them choosing the road to nowhere all over again:
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Peyton Watson has quickly ascended the ranks of best wing defenders in the league.
@klaytheist11
breaks down his impact and where there is potential for more for the Denver Nuggets' second-year player.
READ🔽Finding a Role - Peyton Watson 🔽
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All hustle, all heart...All-Defense🔒
Jalen Suggs has turned a corner in his third season for the surging Magic as their defensive cornerstone.
He spoke exclusively to
@JustEsBaraheni
about his progress and what makes him excel.
🔗:
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Swish Theory's 2024 NBA Draft Guide is here! Browse our consensus Big Board 1.0, featuring the top 60 prospects in this year's draft. Find a quick pitch for each player, as well as the Disagreement Meter which indicates our level of ranking variance.
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NBA basketball is won on the margins.
@PickAndRo
explains how outliers create their own development through developmental margins. Features three 2024 draft sleepers - Isaiah Crawford, Ajay Mitchell and Jonathan Mogbo.
✍️
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𝑨𝒓𝒄𝒉𝒆𝒕𝒚𝒑𝒆: initial role and pathway to minutes
𝑷𝒓𝒐𝒕𝒐𝒕𝒚𝒑𝒆: a unique, individual outcome
Brandon Miller and Jett Howard both make a TON of threes. But what makes them unique beyond that primary trait?
@ProspectingNBA
answers that and much more, read below!👇
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Advantage creation means putting the defense in rotation, whether post mismatches or getting two feet in the paint.
Ron Holland excels at this, reaching unprecedented self-creation rates for a wing. Read about how he does it from
@PickAndRo
!
🔗:
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Jonathan Kuminga's improvements driving to the basket have made him a real scoring threat for the Golden State Warriors.
@klaytheist11
watched all of his drives to show how Kuminga has progressed and can make the star leap.
⬇️READ: Kuminga's Drive to Stardom⬇️
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Evaluating a prospect's shooting potential is more complex than meets the eye.
In his deep dive into what separates the great shooters,
@slipthescreen
uses three examples from the 2024 NBA draft class: Ja'Kobe Walter, Melvin Ajinca and Rob Dillingham.
⬇️READ: The Shooting
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Garwey Dual may be the most interesting prospect in the 2024 draft, writes
@slipthescreen
in his Swish Theory debut.
Ahmed breaks down all things Dual, including his selling points:
○ Advantage creation
○ Defensive playmaking
○ Experimentation
READ👉:
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We know guarding Steph Curry is hard but...how hard exactly?
@klaytheist11
looks at years of playoff data to show the more you check Steph on defense, the harder it is to score on offense.
Check out full piece in tweet below👇‼️
(relevant to one Austin Reaves, in particular)
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Swish's
@nicktharula
argues for a surprising strategy against Steph: drop defense.
"High drop" with Anthony Davis free to roam just might work, Nick writes, predicting the Lakers' physicality to be too much for Golden State in a tense, 7-game series. Article in tweet below!👇
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With the draft order officially set we asked our draft team what they would do in a full 1st round mock draft!
How would you grade your teams haul?
Ask our contributor why they picked who they did below!
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Announcing the official Swish Theory 2023 NBA Draft Big Board:
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Introducing the Swish Theory Lottery Board 1.0.
🔗:
Featuring contributions from:
@slipthescreen
,
@_LarroHoops
,
@PickAndRo
,
@ProspectingNBA
,
@corbannba
,
@NBA_Jeremy1
,
@100guaranteed
,
@findingneema23
and
@DraftPow
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Patrick Williams has been given a huge task this season. Defend the best opposing player each night, AND become a consistent offensive contributor behind the Bulls stars.
But... it's working. Learn how PWill is becoming more than just a role player:
Interesting stat I stumbled upon today: Patrick Williams has allowed the fewest points this season when guarding a ball handler in direct isolation (at least 100 possessions).
The fewest points allowed in the ENTIRE league, defending the opponents best scorers. The Paw.
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2K
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Lost in the maze that is amateur basketball? Let
@ProspectingNBA
show you the way. In this beginner's guide, Tyler breaks down what is what, and where to find it.
Read & Bookmark: A Beginner's Guide to Amateur Hoops 🏀
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Some NBA draft prospects are matchup-proof; others are what
@DraftPow
dubs "Whiteboard Prospects" who saw their production decline as competition increased.
Check out who fares best within the tape as Matt looks for patterns in this first of three pieces:
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The NBA draft is too complex for a single Big Board, writes
@mneff3710
. Michael instead outlines his bolded takes in his One-Size Fits All Draft Strategy for the 2023 draft.
Want a board full of hoops theory AND mock draft analysis? This is for you!
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Demar Derozan deserves his flowers. Now in his 15th season, the multi-time All-Star has adapted to a new playstyle.
@_LarroHoops
explains how he has expanded his game to accommodate his Chicago Bull teammates.
⬇️READ: Demar Deserves His Flowers ⬇️
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Nikola Djurisic is a polarizing prospect, viewed as anywhere from a lottery to late second round pick. But most importantly, how will his abilities translate to an NBA floor?
@JoeHulbertNBA
breaks it down in his X's and O's based scouting report.
🔗
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Nickeil Alexander-Walker has had a short, strange journey so far in the NBA, considered a "throw-in" for not one but three separate trades. But he has found a role and home in Minnesota, a key part of the Wolves'
#1
defense.
@klaytheist11
explains how:
READ: Finding a Role -
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Houston's Joseph "Jojo" Tugler is a unique prospect, not the least due to his +12 wingspan.
With a deep dive into the tape, biomechanics and draft philosophy,
@slipthescreen
breaks down why Jojo represents the ideal modern PF pre-draft candidate:
READ👉
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Is Jonathan Kuminga poised for a shooting breakout?
@klaytheist11
dissects the shooting leaps by three wings before him - Brandon Ingram, Jerami Grant and Tobias Harris - to answer that question.
READ: 📝Jonathan Kuminga, Future Shooter?
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Introducing The Pure Hooper Index 🔥🏀by
@gannon_rice
.
Using
@SynergySST
's Shot Quality metric, Gannon visualizes the toughest shotmakers (JHS!) in the 2023 NBA draft class.
Check the full post below 👇 for his takeaways, historical precedents and shotmaking by archetypes!
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Over the last two games, Trayce Jackson-Davis has proven he belongs in the Golden State Warriors' rotation.
@LucasKaplan_
breaks down how TJD has been so impactful with a ready-made toolkit.
⬇️READ: Finding a Role - Trayce Jackson-Davis⬇️
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Explore Swish Theory's 2024 NBA draft sleepers, carefully chosen by our team to spotlight players overlooked by the mainstream.
Learn all about the hidden talents in our latest draft analysis!
⬇️Roundtable - 2024 Draft Sleepers ⬇️
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Go Beyond the Big Board✏️📋
With long-form scouting reports, Swish Theory goes deep into how draft prospects fit in today's NBA.
First 4 🧵:
Cam Whitmore by
@gannon_rice
Cason Wallace by
@joshaber_sports
DaRon Holmes by
@JoeHulbertNBA
Coleman Hawkins by
@NBA_Jeremy1
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From the brink of obscurity to crucial role player, Goga Bitadze has found his role entering 2024. His defensive prowess and revamped offense have made him one of the best pickups in the entire league, writes
@klaytheist11
.
Read: Finding a Role - Goga Bitadze ⬇️
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Introducing the Swish Theory 2024 WNBA Big Board. We rank our top twenty prospects with write-ups from six writers.
Learn all about the top prospects' games before tomorrow's draft!
🔗
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What do Reed Sheppard and Jonathan Mogbo have in common? Both provide unique but stable solutions to modern NBA problems.
@slipthescreen
writes on overcoming archetype bias in explaining why both are in his top 10:
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The Boston Celtics have unlocked a new weapon for their offense: Kristaps Porzingis post-ups.
@klaytheist11
breaks down how KP has hit incredible levels of post production and what it means for Boston’s title hunt.
🔽READ: Porzingis' Post-Up Excellence🔽
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Former lottery picks often need adjusted expectations. Aaron Nesmith is one of those cases, adapting to a new system and responsibilities.
In his Finding a Role series,
@klaytheist11
analyzes players where they're at, rather than supposed to be.
⬇️READ⬇️
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After 13 years, Klay Thompson is a Golden State Warrior no more. Revisit Klay's best moments in the Bay Area with a reminiscent
@klaytheist11
. On Klay the competitor, goofball, champion.
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Want to learn The Art of Board? Just adopt Kevon Looney’s ways.
@klaytheist11
breaks down how Looney outsmarts his opponents utilizing the whole rebounding package.
READ: Kevon Looney's Art of Board🎨
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While the 2024 draft has passed, there is always room to improve our scouting process.
In this draft philosophy piece,
@DraftPow
decides to change things up with a new methodology for the 2025 cycle.
Read here ⬇️ ⬇️ ⬇️
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📈NBA draft prospects our team is highest on compared to consensus boards:
+40 spots: Jonathan Mogbo
+36: Isaiah Crawford
+20: KJ Simpson, Ajay Mitchell
+14: Zach Edey
+11: Johnny Furphy, DaRon Holmes II, Jaylon Tyson
+9: Ron Holland, Isaiah Collier, Tyler Smith
See our full
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The G-League Ignite season kicks off tomorrow. Swish Theory’s
@findingneema23
previews their 2022-23 season with an in-depth look at the program’s history, process and team philosophy with exclusive interviews from GLI coaches.
Check it out below! ⬇️⬇️⬇️
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Learn more about underrated grassroots prospects with Ahmed's latest Starting Five! As the season approaches its midway point,
@slipthescreen
breaks down the games of five players from the shoe circuits:
Featuring:
- Braylon Mullins (Indiana Elite)
-
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🆕 from
@DraftPow
!
Who will improve the most for the NBA's 2023-24 season? Matt dives into the wide range of ways to catapult one's game, whether a star scorer, sophomore or mid-career journeyman.
READ: Seven Ways to Break Out 👇
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"How do prospects produce?" is a more complex question than meets the eye.
@DraftPow
outlines his draft philosophy by answering this question with 5 2024 draft examples.
Learn how prospects make things happen, and how they can continue to win in the pros.
🔗:
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Mid-major prospects may be closer than they appear. Andrew Rohde (UVA from St. Thomas Tommies) and Aly Khalifa (BYU from Charlotte 49ers), are likely to burst onto the scene in 2023-24 with their deep bags of tricks.
READ: Becoming Primary by
@DraftPow
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With a ready-made skillset of threes and on-ball defense, Melvin Ajinca is a hidden gem for the 2024 NBA draft. The type of role player every good team covets, Ajinca is one of the most intriguing wings in his draft class.
Learn all about his game from
@NBA_Jeremy1
⬇️⬇️⬇️
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It can be easy to miss the human in our analysis, so our team wanted to take a step back and, simply, Remember Some NBA Guys:
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In honor of the start of the 2022-23 NBA season, we asked our contributors to write about a player who inspired their love for the game.
Link to the full article ⬇️⬇️⬇️
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The Indiana Pacers have the league's best offense with Rick Carlisle playing all the hits. With Tyrese Haliburton leading a multitude of intelligent ballhandlers, Indiana's scheme allows for a complex simplicity.
⬇️Read all about it from
@JoeHulbertNBA
⬇️
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First big prospect game of March Madness from Gradey Dick, Swish Theory's
#12
prospect in the 2023 NBA draft:
‣ 19 points
‣ 11 rebounds
‣ 5 assists
‣ 3 steals
‣ 7-13 shooting (3-5 from three, 2-2 the line)
The freshman helps the Kansas Jayhawks take down Howard, 96 to 68
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Nikola Topic is a unique player, and not just due to the wide range of opinions on his game.
With outlier feel for an 18-year-old pro, Topic has to overcome athletic limitations to reach a lofty ceiling.
@LucasKaplan_
explains in his scouting report:
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Meet Tamin Lipsey. Iowa State's underrated, lightning-fast sophomore is one of the NCAA's most dynamic and productive players. Learn all about the NBA draft prospect with insights from
@DraftPow
. ⚡️
⬇️Scouting Report - Tamin Lipsey ⬇️
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What makes a lead guard? The criteria has changed writes
@ProspectingNBA
: Cason Wallace and Nick Smith Jr. are very different prospects but both have what it takes to serve the role.
Find out why, how, and where it can work in The Lead Guard Fallacy:
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While the Utah Jazz have been flush with assets, they’ve lacked a clear plan for building around a future superstar.
On why Danny Ainge needs to make moves fast to right the rebuild, from
@klaytheist11
:
🔗
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It is time to have a conversation about player comparisons, writes
@2REDJUrl
.
Josh looks into the shortcuts we use in player analysis and why they harm more than they help, including:
📊Data on draft success rates
🧠The biases we lean on
📏How to make comps helpful
👇Link below
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The best high school seniors in the country gathered for the Jordan Brand Classic in Brooklyn, and Swish Theory's own
@PickAndRo
was on the scene to scout.
Take a look to see what he had to say about the best of the best in the country and their NBA potential below!
⬇️⬇️⬇️
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OTE is a league stacked with big name young talent. However, it's currently being dominated by a player you may not have heard of. Let's dissect Jaylen Martin's electric start to the 2023 season!
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What type of player is a Presti player? That's what
@bjpf_
researched and answered in his OKC draft retrospective. Learn about what the Thunder prioritize in their prospects and who matches the criteria in the 2024 NBA Draft.
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Dereck Lively II is both the simplest and most complex evaluation of the 2023 class.
Let
@ProspectingNBA
make sense of it all, comparing his game to other traditional bigs while waxing philosophic on what this means for Duke's 1-&-done 7-footer.
Full breakdown in tweet below!👇
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Despite being absent from most 2024 draft boards, Deshawn Harris-Smith could make waves quickly as a freshman, writes
@DraftPow
.
On why the sky is the limit for the Maryland commit with bruising athleticism and rapidly improving guard skills: 👉
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Swish Sleepers😴 Vol. 1
Meet Justyn Mutts. First, in his own words.
From low-major to mid-major to ACC champ, Mutts was one of the most versatile, high-feel athletes in the NCAA for Virginia Tech.
@DraftPow
sees him as worthy of a T-60 pick: find out why in full report below! 👇
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🚨With the NBA draft officially complete, a thread of draft picks or signings deemed "perfect fit" by Swish Theory's grading tool (based on impact, archetype & team priorities)🧵:
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Signs of life in LA? 🌱
Lakers expert
@nicktharula
✍️ breaks down how - even without LeBron - Los Angeles has finally found stability.
On the
#1
defense since the trade deadline, and a surprisingly dominant trio. Check it out below!
⬇️⬇️⬇️
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Moses Moody has fallen out of the Warriors’ rotation (DNP-CD last night) with Steve Kerr explaining why.
@klaytheist11
breaks down the tape on the second-year Moody to investigate these claims.
Check it out below! ⬇️⬇️
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Part two of a series on draft philosophy,
@DraftPow
looks at who he considers the highest feel prospects in the 2024 NBA draft class. Learn about how these players read the game with a film room breakdown.
🔗
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In the world of scouting, nobody's perfect, but we can learn from our worst Big Board mistakes. In our newest roundtable, Swish Theory contributors take an honest look at our "favorite" past misses that taught us more about the game.
Read here! 👇👇👇
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The Denver Nuggets took their defense to the next level with a dominant half against the Warriors on Sunday. It's a movie we've seen before.
@LucasKaplan_
explains how they do it, and why Nikola Jokic is in the center of it.
⬇️READ: How Denver's Defense Dominates⬇️
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The NBA pre-draft process is officially underway!
@ChipJNBA
was there in person and has the breakdown on who helped their draft stock and everything we learned from the Portsmouth Invitational Tournament. Including 3 standout players you need to know!
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“Two Timelines”
Swish Theory’s
@klaytheist11
checks in on the Warriors’ young core in the first of a monthly series on how the reigning champs are building for the future, piece by piece.
Link below! ⬇️⬇️⬇️
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Link to full piece:
Best Immediate Basketball Fit
Winner: Detroit Pistons, answered by
@joshaber_sports
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Robert Horry was the master of clutch plays, but his game was about so much more. In this retrospective,
@EmilianoNaiar8
dissects the journey that made 'Big Shot Bob' a legend: a story of big plays and innovative strategy.
⬇️READ: Filling Gaps⬇️
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The
@madehoops
Midwest High School Academy camp last weekend featured some of the best talent across the country.
@joshaber_sports
was in attendance to cover the standouts. Check out his scout's notebook from the event here!
READ: Midwest HSA Standouts🏀📝
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The San Antonio Spurs were supposed to be tanking.
Jakob Poeltl has had other ideas.
@JoeHulbertNBA
debuts with Swish Theory to explain how the veteran big has proven himself to be a core piece of the rebuild.
Check out Joe's breakdown on exactly how: link below!
⬇️⬇️⬇️
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In case you missed it!
In The Fountain of Youth,
@davidsajdak8
explores the reasons teams have been able to find success (or not) in not only selecting talent in the NBA draft but by nurturing it.
(Thank you everyone for the overwhelming support!)
Link to full article ⬇️⬇️⬇️
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The Atlanta Hawks have had ups and downs to start the season - Jalen Johnson is not one of them.
@LucasKaplan_
breaks down how the third-year wing has adapted seamlessly to a new starting role.
⬇️READ: Jalen Johnson, Finding a Role⬇️
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Preparing for NBA opening night? Make the Swish Theory pod a part of your pregame!
In their first episode, Kris and Larro chat Knicks with
@Oscar_Hoops
. Follow
@swishtheorypod
as they cover the league top to bottom this year!
Available everywhere you get your podcasts
links ⬇️
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The NBA draft is in the books but things are far from determined. Many 2023 one-and-dones came off of high-profile HS/AAU careers to then be limited by either role or injury.
@DraftPow
offers up some home remedies for how their drafted teams can make up for the missed time:
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It has been rough sledding for the NBA's top point-guard prospect so far, but should we be concerned?
Swish Theory's
@LucasKaplan_
breaks down where Scoot Henderson is struggling and assesses how that shapes his future.
⬇️ READ: THE SCOOT REPORT ⬇️
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How does one develop flashes of shooting touch, defensive instincts and versatility all at once?
That answer lies with Jaren Jackson Jr., now a full-fledged 🌟 for the
@memgrizz
.
In his Swish debut,
@beyondtheRK
📝 presents the JJJ development story:
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Victor Wembanyama with a huge game vs. Limoges:
33 points
12 rebounds
4 assists
10-17 shooting (3-8 threes, 10-12 FTs)
Learn more about 2023's top, generational prospect via
@DraftPow
's scouting report below! ⬇️⬇️⬇️
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