Paul Connor
@paulrconnor
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Quantitative Social Scientist. Senior Research Analyst @cloudresearch . Half Back Flank for @newyorkmagpies .
Brooklyn, NY
Joined July 2009
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Academic timeline:
14 grad school
19 postdoc (Oxford)
21 assistant prof (Harvard)
26 tenure (Harvard)
29 discovered to have faked all my data
30 won $25m in lawsuit (said it was my RAs)
31 Began investing in AI
32 Sold shares, started work on room temperature super-conductivity
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Thanks
@Northeastern
for notifying me that I didn't get the job I applied for in September 2022. The suspense was killing me.
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Thrilled to announce that I have formally accepted a position as assistant parenting fellow at the Hugo Xavier Lozada-Connor school of cuteness and adorableness.
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I can't stress enough how good it is this person got caught.
But a serious question now is 'what is the punishment?'
The more I think about it, the more I am convinced that social science has a large vested interest in their being some pretty extreme consequences for fraud🧵
The whole Francesca Gino falsified papers story is bonkers but I can't get past the fact that her speaking fee is between $50-$100k. Same as Weird Al Yankovic, Alan Cumming and Alastair Campbell lol. Some nice side gig change besides a Harvard Business School salary.
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The basis of the lawsuit seems to be (a) it was all honest mistakes, and (b) gender bias. I very much doubt either holds up in court, but more than anything I think this underscores how courageous the Data Colada guys are, and how risky it is to take on powerful, rich academics.
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Excited to finally announce that in the fall I’ll be heading over* the Hudson to start as Assistant Professor of Psychology at
@FollowStevens
. Let’s go Ducks! 🦆
*under, technically
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@kittypurrzog
@CJFerguson1111
@thomaschattwill
Personally I’m still waiting for the signatories of the Harpers’ letter to reflect, even a little, on the role they played in my car’s coolant leak in December. It cost me like 2.5k to fix.
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If you don’t see that ‘we demand extra rigor from papers we deem harmful’ is in practice equivalent to ‘we censor views we don’t like’ I don’t know what to tell you. No scientific paper is without flaws. There will *always* be some ‘methodological’ reason available for censors.
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@jessesingal
I think at this point you have to see folks like this simply as products of social forces and human psychology. I can see how hurtful this would be, but this behaviour is probably etched into our DNA. Some day she may regret it. I don’t know. FWIW I think you’re a decent guy.
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In a new paper I'm deviating from a pre-registration for (I believe) sound methodological reasons, but am flagging the deviation in the manuscript and presenting the results of exactly following the pre-registered plan in the supplement. Kosher enough? Any objections?
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Excited to share my new paper: 'Intersectional Implicit Bias: Evidence for Asymmetrically Compounding Bias and the Predominance of Target Gender,' which is now in press at JPSP 🧵
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Wait. We confuse the heck out of students with logistic regression models and odds ratios because with binary outcomes we don't want models predicting values outside of [0-1], but if we're predicting a 1-7 likert scale we're fine with models that can predict outside of [1-7]
🤔
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I'm making some of my experimental stimuli publicly available, based on some previous interest from other researchers. Please feel free to share with anyone who might be interested, and add to lists of available stimuli, etc.
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Pretty good example of how progressives do misinformation. Obviously not on a par with right-wing lunacy, but still biased and dishonest. We (I am a progressive!) should be better than this.
Important story. That study claiming police treat left-wing protests/riots more harshly than right-wing ones? Yeah... it's almost certainly B.S.
@justindeanlee
deconstructs, at
@ArcDigi
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Excited to announce that (a) I’m now a running stroller guy , and (b) I’m joining
@PTetlock
and
@ImHardcory
at UPenn to help with their brilliant adversarial collaboration project.
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Whew. Culmination of about six years work right here, and (I think/hope) my first genuine contribution to our field. Will post a pre-print and a thread when I find the time and energy.
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Deleted a snarky tweet about social science and NIH funding because life is too short and it’s nearly Christmas. Here is my beautiful boy instead. Happy holidays everyone ♥️
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How many papers do you have to publish for it to no longer be really exciting to get proofs and see your work in a journal's format? Because whatever the figure is, I feel like I'm a LONG way away from it. Such a buzz for an ECR🍻
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@jessesingal
No one who is upset at her harassment, it seems to me, would care in the slightest about the harassment you or
@kittypurrzog
have experienced, which would just be waved off as you being "held accountable."
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New paper in PSPB with Jordan Varney, Serena Chen, and Dacher Keltner. We found that when participants are exposed to greater socioeconomic inequality in groups, they increasingly stereotype high/low SES targets as competent/incompetent, respectively.
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Excited to announce that I will be joining
@freemanlab
this September as an NSF postdoctoral fellow. An American friend once told me that New York would "eat me alive." I guess we're going to find out!
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Hi friends. I have a new paper published at JESP, which is also my first ever registered report
Open access version:
Here is a brief summary:
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@poetcharles
@ShellenbergerMD
I didn't feel he was demonized at all. We just got to hear his perspective. We can't solve problems unless we're willing to fully understand all the different perspectives.
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@RTRSPodcast
Seriously, though. Respect is due to the Celtics. They competed really hard given their lack of talent and sub-par coaching.
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@MDeBoltC
If you ever review a paper of mine I will save you the time right now: it’s a gem, accept without revisions. 👍🏼
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Just wrote and deleted "Interestingly, ..." from a manuscript due to tweets I've seen from people who hate it. Also now never use "while" to mean "although" for the same reason. Improving my writing one pet peeve at a time, keep 'em coming
#AcademicTwitter
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@danengber
@uri_sohn
@jpsimmon
If this suit is successful it’s hard to imagine what level of evidence would be enough for anyone to feel safe going public.
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I'm disappointed to see some of the reactions on here among social psychologists to
@ImHardcory
's adversarial collaboration project. I think everyone could profit from working collaboratively with researchers possessing a different perspective. (1/10)
1. Science often contradicts other science. When this happens, disputant scholars tend to work separately, designing their own new studies to launch at their opponents. These new studies rarely persuade the other side, and contradictory claims live in on for years or decades.
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I know my puppy. When she’s hungry. When she needs to go potty. When she has questions about the ecological validity of manipulations.
#SPSP2019
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And then, in academic twitter’s darkest hour, he returned.
Many have been asking.
So it’s time to announce.
I earned early tenure at the University of Tennessee.
I’m now Associate Professor of Sociology.
It’s a joy to work with students, write, and conduct research. I appreciate everyone who helped along the way.
Love y’all.
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It seems logical to me that if a particular kind of criminal is rarely caught, the punishment for that kind of criminal needs to be high, to dissuade others from committing that crime, while knowing there is little risk of being caught (i.e., small risks of extreme punishment)
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Would anyone else be interested in a professional society dedicated to eradicating manuscripts with Figures and Tables at the end of the document?
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It really doesn't seem sufficient if her punishment is simply 'you don't get to be an academic any more'. If she keeps her fortune, and can go buy a castle in Italy and make money from real estate or whatever, then there is insufficient disincentive for others to follow her path.
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@theferocity
@thomaschattwill
It's not madness to share someone's words and critique them. It *is* getting a little mad to mine six years worth of tweets for something, anything, you can use to damage someone's reputation because they wrote a letter defending the open exchange of ideas. No?
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@jessesingal
For the last two days I've seen a lot of people promoting the view that online pile ons represent the *true* free marketplace of ideas, and the letter's signatories are just upset that people are free to publicly disagree with them and hold them accountable.
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I hope the
@OSFramework
is recording data on who has been quietly removing or replacing excel files over the past couple of days.
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Others have made this point, but given the incentives and lack of oversight academic fraud is unsurprising.
Thankful for the self-appointed data police (we need them) and the open science movement in general (we need it) for increasing fraud detection to more than zero.
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Season’s greetings! The Lozada-Connors hope you are having a wonderful holidays focused on joy, love, connection, and kindness. 🎄❤️
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First day of daycare, and he was ready. As soon as we put him down he strutted off and never looked back. Very proud dad here ♥️
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It was fun while it lasted!
This podcast made me some lifelong friends, and may have ultimately even saved my academic career.
Thank you so much to everyone who listened, and thanks especially to my co-hosts
@smreeteemehta
and
@RachelXHartman
.
🚨 Final pod alert!🚨
In this, our last pod, we make some final comments and send out some final thankyous as we cast MOACTAQ gently down the river. Be well, everyone, and thank you for listening 🙏
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So as unpleasant as it might sound, I think it is important for the scientific community that there be fairly extreme consequences for anyone caught falsifying data at the level Gino seems to have done.
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Baby shark has a power over toddlers that I don’t think modern science fully comprehends. We’re banning it in our house because the nineteen month old is reduced to tears when the song ends.
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@jessesingal
Hard to overstate the pressure to conform to a unitary worldview in those circles right now. I imagine it must be as intellectually stultifying as being raised in a fundamentalist religious community.
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Happy to say that a project I worked very hard on is finally out in the world: Income Inequality and White-on-Black Racial Bias in the United States: Evidence From Project Implicit and Google Trends. By myself,
@VasEconometrics
, Mike Zyphur, Dacher Keltner, and Serena Chen.1/n
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New paper in Perspectives on Psychological Science with
@squig
: The Bias of Individuals (in Crowds): Why Implicit Bias Is Probably a Noisily Measured Individual-Level Construct (OA version: ) (1/n)
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So I could be wrong, but my guess is Gino was likely making 300-400k at Harvard. Plus 50-100k speaker fees. Plus book sales. Plus grant money, or whatever else superstar professors get. Over a number of years her fraud likely helped net her tens of millions of dollars.
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Impressive paper from
@tcarpenter216
providing more evidence that IATs measure stable individual differences “Using latent-variable models, we found that half of the variance in IAT scores reflects individual differences.”
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Hi everyone. Help me out with a debate I’m having. What social psychological research has had the most positive impact on society, and how? Looking for real, tangible, measurable ways the field has had the world a better place. Thanks!
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It’s important to read to them, but equally important is *what* you read to them
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This kid can wear $4 sunglasses and a hat we found on the street and look cooler than I have ever looked in all my years of trying
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Apparently we now retract papers for imperfect measurement. Good to know! Will definitely free up space on the lap top.
🤦🏻♂️🤦🏻♂️🤦🏻♂️
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I want to go on the record as saying I'm EXTREMELY skeptical of this finding. Nothing predicts another thing at r = 0.99. Generally, nothing even predicts ITSELF at r = 0.99. Someone with time on their hands needs to check the code on this one.
This graph is amazing. It shows that measuring
#SARSCoV2
levels in municipal sewage almost perfectly predicts forthcoming
#COVID19
cases with a full week's notice (R=0.994). It's one of several discoveries in this new study from
@Yale
: . C-19 is
#InThePoop
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Clarification from
@Jake_Elder52
.
$484k US is so much money.
@paulrconnor
Someone else shared its $484k salary and that’s not considering books, consulting, speaking, etc
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But I have no idea what those consequences can even be? Loss of employment and paper retractions seem certain.
But is that it? I don't know Gino's salary from HBS, but I do know from public data that professors at Haas business school make 200-300k per year.
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Chairing a symposium at SPSP for the first time. Any tips I should know?
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@paulgp
@AlexZevelev
I do not think my supervisors at Berkeley knew of every RA working attached to their lab and what they all did. However, I also know they would have ZERO problem finding this information if they urgently needed it.
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This is an interesting critique of a project I was involved in that sought to do a 'replication audit' of studies focused on the psychological effects of scarcity.
While the critique raises good points, all in all I think even with these issues the project was a good one. 🧵
In our Letter to PNAS, we show that O’Donnell et al.'s empirical audit of the scarcity literature includes studies that are not about scarcity, fails to implement its own selection criteria, contains analysis errors, and is untrue to some of the original studies, affecting at
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Interesting. Reviewing a paper where the design was pre-registered (i.e., 'we will manipulate this IV and measure this IV) but no directional predictions were pre-registered. Paper is full of statements about predictions being supported. WWYD?
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@xygalatas
@ericneumannpsyc
Relateable. I suspect the people who complain the most about how awful PhD life is are the people with the least experience of what life in the non-PhD workforce is like. I worked for seven years as a security guard. Give me the "hardships" of grad school any day!
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@MicrobiomDigest
"These papers are from different authors, different hospitals, and describe different patients groups, different cancers, and different proteins."
WTF is going on
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I can't understand giving a talk about your research to other researchers and never mentioning effect sizes. What am I supposed to take from your talk when as far as I know the effects could range from large and important to basically meaningless?
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Nearly 1/5 of sociologists surveyed are 'undecided' or find it 'implausible' that genetics affects intelligence.
Majority of responses to this:
"Yes, there's lots of them! I talked to them once. You don't know them though, they're from a different school in Canada".
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@automataetc
Americans use the phrase ‘excuse me’ to mean ‘I’m going to get quite close to you’, not ‘I need you to move’ as Aussies use it.
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So I'm curious what others think? What is going to happen? What should happen? I honestly don't know.
Interestingly, Diederik Stapel did face some minor legal consequences for his fraud, but got away with 120 hours of community service
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@jennfrey
Anyone trying to argue that this statement is purely about physical safety is either ignorant or disingenuous.
Here the Students Society at McGill University calls for stricter limits to academic freedom to promote safety and well-being among students
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@SEthanMilne
Reminds me of this banger that found iq is unrelated to wealth*
*if you control for educational attainment and occupation
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@GarrettPetersen
Congratulations! In about a month he/she will start smiling and it’s about the best feeling in the world
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Why should you learn data simulation?
I decided I want to flesh this out a bit more to really underscore how unexpectedly important data simulation has turned out to be in my work. So here is a thread! (1/16)
I might add an open science class first, but this might be second. Simulation has been instrumental in nearly all of my published work.
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I want a rational, well-calibrated view of the trustworthiness of behavioural science. But with Ariely as senior author, perfectly theory-aligned results, and an (arguably) implausibly large effect size, I don’t know what else to think here. Talk me off the cliff anyone?
google scholar says 827 citations - drinking discount iced tea can be almost as hazardous to your brain as behavioral econ!
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@RachelXHartman
@timgill924
I think I've heard of him, he's the guy who writes only 4000 words per day? I guess that'll fly in Tennessee. Not where I'm from, bub.
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Looking forward to decorating an office for the first time since Berkeley psychology left Tolman Hall ♥️
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@JSheltzer
Why is the x axis not linear? Feels like an attempt to make this seem like an exponential phenomenon when it is not?
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@Super70sSports
You can’t always be right. Will forgive this one lapse from an otherwise stellar account.
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Sex is cool, but have you ever had a pre-registered analysis turn out exactly right? *deep exhale*
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@millerben33
@ZaidJilani
Police do not stop crime? What evidence are you relying on here. Most of what I've read or heard suggests the opposite.
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Every so often you see a graph that blows your mind. Look at how closely correlated the male and female trend lines are here. Even down to yearly dips and spikes.
Incredible visual proof of the power of broad social factors over even the most personal of behaviors.
The 1995-2000 decline in teen suicide rates was driven almost entirely by boys. What happened?
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No one understands
A power analysis
But it is required
- unknown author, circa 2020
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@shidume
Congrats to the people getting righteously offended that someone took a photo of a fire from a restaurant miles away. You are the very best people in the world.
#calloutculture
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I really think social science is at its worst when the research question is in the form of ‘what are the effects of X’ and X is a policy social scientists are positively predisposed to.
Doesn’t look like any of the pre-registered effects are significant in the analyses that correct for multiple comparisons. The biggest effect - which was also not sig. after the correction - was not pre-registered. Great the authors reported everything. But the evidence is weak.
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Just submitted a Registered Report for the first time. The prospect of strong criticism from editors and reviewers is much less scary when we still have our funding and the ability to alter the methods. I love this format.
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If you discover a real but small effect, say r = 0.1, but then communicate only its direction (e.g., we found that X led to Y, or that X people were more likely to Y), my bet is that you’ve likely made people more inaccurate in their beliefs about the world.
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@AndrewYang
is the only political figure I've ever known, left or right, who takes a completely non-divisive, technocratic approach to social problems, without any assignment of moral blame to individuals or groups, or any division of the world into good and bad actors. (1/4)
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@RLeePaterson
Highly recommend this for bridging the gap between how statisticians and social scientists think about stats
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