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James
@jambarree
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Founder of @IntentionalSociety in unfolding service of who we are called to be
Seattle, Zoom, Bluesky
Joined April 2011
@stephsoussloff We haven't ended up working together much but your introductions were pivotal in leading to my closest collaborations
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Heyyy friends it's @Limicon2025 time! I was such a big fan last year, I joined the organizing team for the sequel. Register now to start connecting and ideating with old and new friends ahead of the March 5 kickoff...
Announcing Limicon 2025! Back for a 2nd year of open space emergence, you're invited to the "fan-made convention of the liminal web", attracting enthusiasts of liminal, integral, metamodern, game b, bildung, regen, and related scenes. March 5 through April 2 - register now!
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@kilmarnok1285 @melissajenna You are being wrong on the internet. (This is not identical to the original Monty Hall scenario.)
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The earnest compassion and truth-seeking of Scott @slatestarcodex continues to be an inspiration and role model to me, for (in my case) almost a decade now. Thank you.
Hi Marc. I know the heatmap meme, but I think the study it comes from ( ) is saying something really interestingly different from the meme version. The study finds (see Figure 1) that liberals care about their friends more than conservatives do*. However, the moral circle question later on, which produced the heatmap, asks people to rate the maximum boundary of the moral circle. So if you said you cared about self/family/friends only, you landed in circle 4. But if you said you cared about self/family/friends/acquaintances/countrymen, you landed in circle 7. There's no implication that the people in 7 cared about their family *less* than the people in circle 4. It just meant that, in addition to caring about their family, they also cared about countrymen. The heatmap showed a higher percent of liberals in circle 7 compared to circle 4 (ie caring about countrymen+friends, rather than only friends) but it still isn't making any claims about whether liberals care more/less about their friends than conservatives. And again, in the raw data, we find they care more. (@-ing @JonHaidt, co-author of the study, who can check if I'm understanding it correctly) I realize that study methodology is boring, but my tweet was trying to make the same point. People act like this is a zero-sum game, where caring about family means you can't care about friends, or caring about friends means you can't care about strangers. But it's not true - in most cases, there's no tradeoff. If you see a stranger drowning, you can jump in and save them, with no effect on whether you're also kind to your friends and family. In the types of government situations that I'm sure we're both thinking of, there theoretical tradeoffs - money spent on one budgetary item won't be spent on another - but in the real budgetary regime, these are so weak as to be meaningless (I owe you an ACX post on why this is true). So I think the data presentation error is the same as the philosophical error and (to tie it back to current events) the error involved in this weekend's tariffs - the world isn't so zero-sum that hurting foreigners necessarily implies you're helping people close to you. (*) I can't tell whether I'm making the same mistake here - the study doesn't mention that this is relative, but it presents it close enough to love of family that it's possible these are relative values in some kind of friend-vs-family construct.
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Disempowerment by Moloch rather than "super" ASI, reminiscent of @robinhanson 's Em world economics
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@RichDecibels and you are by no means alone in that opinion. Yet I see that it is already starting
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Yikes @ Smoot-Hawley analogy to today
As someone trained as a trade economist, it is my duty to share the 1929-1933 Kindleberger Spiral, showing the month-month decline in global trade due to the combined factors of the (global) Great Depression and retaliatory tariffs. Smooth Hawley is implemented mid-June 1930.
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@QiaochuYuan @Jeanvaljean689 @visakanv @m_ashcroft @RichDecibels ditto to QC in opinion and divide-sensing. This chain reminds me of the "nothing ever happens" meme - like, great heuristic most of the time, except for the rare times something actually happens. Similarly, the Martingale betting method - great until you get unlucky
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RT @justavagrant_: Fiery attacking as a defense mechanism can be an effective defense, stopping what you don’t want (pain), but doesn’t act…
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