@joshbegley
@zhihuachen
"Rashid Khalidi (left) speaks on the history of Palestine in a conversation with Ta-Nehisi Coates (right) and moderator Michelle Alexander (middle) at a PalFest event on Wednesday, November 1."
@abierkhatib
A few days ago Eric Saade and a couple of other Swedish artists released "Vi bär alla barnen" (We Carry All The Children).
All profits go to UNRWA.
Eric Saade and a couple of other Swedish artists released a new song on Spotify "Vi bär alla barnen" (We Carry All The Children in English)
All profits go to UNRWA, listen to it on Spotify:
"This is textbook science in action."
Kristian Andersen, a co-author of a paper explaining the origins of COVID-19, debunks allegations that he and his team tried to cover up a lab leak theory.
Full video here:
@angie_rasmussen
That's too harsh. One should be careful not to euthanize people's pets unless necessary. I note that
@Boghuma
took a different position snd hoped the emu would recover.
@KhalilJeries
I think some mistakenly think Hamas is like the ANC, who were labelled "terrorists", yet had a just cause with the interests of its people at heart. I remember my surprise years ago at my Palestinian friend criticizing Hamas, it seemed to me, no less harshly than he did Israel.
@jljcolorado
WHO acknowledged aerosol transmission by October 2020. "Aerosol transmission can occur in specific settings, particularly in indoor, crowded and inadequately ventilated spaces, where infected person(s) spend long periods of time ... such as restaurants, choir practices ..." 1/2
Dr. Alina Chan, a molecular biologist at the Broad Institute of MIT & Harvard, is an expert SARS2 origins conspiracy theorist. NYT publishes some nonsense.
A lab-related origin is highly unlikely as I've summarized in this Physics Forums post (atyy):
1/2
Ahead of today's hearing in Congress: my opinion piece with the
@nytimes
on why Covid-19 was likely caused by a lab accident.
My hope since 2020 has been for leaders, especially scientists, to lead the charge in investigating a plausible lab
#OriginOfCovid
- as opposed to
@still_francesca
I wrote to President Kornbluth to suggest that MIT (1) undo disciplinary actions against peaceful student protesters, and (2) divest from companies that help Israel's oppression of Palestinians (text of my email in the linked tweet).
I wrote as an alumnus to MIT President Sally Kornbluth to share thoughts related to the student protests.
I suggested that MIT (1) undo disciplinary actions against peaceful student protesters, and (2) divest from companies that help Israel's oppression of Palestinians.
Harrison and Sachs's PNAS opinion is nonsensical for many reasons. Here's one. They make the far fetched argument that ENaC experts might have input into furin cleavage site selection, accounting for the non-canonical RRAR sequence in SARS2. However, 1/n
@kdrum
"[The "other thing" is a furin cleavage site in this bat genome.]"
That's not accurate. It's an insertion in RmYN02 at a similar location & of similar length to the insertion in SARS2 of a furin cleavage site, but the RmYN02 insertion doesn't form a furin cleavage site.
@autovate
@NobelPrize
Nonlocal hidden variables, or local hidden variables if we allow other things like superdeterminism or retrocausation etc. Terminology varies, but I like this conceptual review
@peterstaley
Proximal Origin was correct then, & remains so. That it left a lab leak unlikely but open, & had loopholes like Gilson assembly were apparent then. But its key claim SARS2 is almost certainly not engineered was correctly judged. Now almost all US intelligence agencies agree.
Eban's Mar 2022 Vanity Fair article used an account later markedly qualified. Her article also correctly said sequences were withdrawn from a database, but didn't say they'd been available elsewhere for months. Her article was used by some in congress to harass Andersen. 1/n
@Dave99117584
@EricTopol
If neutralizing antibodies bind less well, but still bind, then a higher level of antibodies can compensate for less binding. The 3rd dose increases antibody levels substantially.
@KhalilJeries
If I understand correctly, Yezid Sayigh suggests it may also be that without a concrete path to Palestinian independence, there are no other workable possibilities than having Hamas govern Gaza.
Proposals by the Biden administration to deploy Arab peacekeepers in Gaza without a concrete path to Palestinian independence set the stage for violence among Palestinians and also between them and Arab troops.
My latest:
Setting Up An Arab Civil War
@mbeisen
I strongly disagree. Proximal Origin was correct in all its major points. Note PO left the possibility of a lab leak open, & I cited it in April 2020 at Physics Forums as support for not prematurely dismissing a lab leak (link in tweet
#5
of this 🧵). 1/3
Chairman Wenstrup will hold a hearing with Proximal Origin authors including
@K_G_Andersen
and
@edwardcholmes
.
Wenstrup suspects that PO was a "cover-up", which is untrue.
PO correctly left open and did not downplay the possibility of a lab leak.
1/10
@halvorz
measurement
Landau & Lifshitz highlight this, say it's an interaction between a classical and a quantum system. "Thus quantum mechanics occupies a very unusual place ... contains classical mechanics as a limiting case, yet ... requires this limiting case for its own formulation."
“Only one of the 14 samples with at least a fifth of the chordate mitochondrial material from raccoon dogs contains any SARS-CoV-2 reads, and that sample only has 1 of ~200,000,000 reads mapping to SARS-CoV-2.”
“1 of ~200,000,000” got headlines. If not for Jesse, might’ve stood.
"I am here because I, together with a large network of international experts, published peer-reviewed studies that go against a preferred political narrative."
Kristian Andersen's written testimony to the Select Subcommittee
h/t
@BenFPiercePhD
Ahead of this week's
@COVIDSelect
hearing with
@K_G_Andersen
& other authors of the Proximal Origin paper, Dr Alina Chan, Scientific Advisor at Broad Institute of MIT & Harvard, summarizes her conspiracy theory that the paper was dishonestly written. 1/5
@MarionKoopmans
@MichaelSFuhrer
Michael Fuhrer isn't referring to Mina's post (which is correct), but to the post and the community note that suggest that covid wipes out immune memory like measles, which is not substantiated by any current evidence.
A. By Jan 2020 WIV submitted to Nature RaTG13, likely their closest virus in context, & too far from SARS2 at 96% similarity [1]. By July WIV confirmed RaTG13 as their closest, & reported more data making a lab leak improbable [2]. Multiple lines of evidence corroborate that. 1/n
@angie_rasmussen
Elderly eligible for the bivalent should take it, but maximal boosting with the original vaccine will also likely be highly effective in reducing severe disease risk, as shown by these data from the XBB wave in Singapore before the bivalent was available.
@GYamey
Vinay Prasad has said recommendations like the UK's or Germany's are fair, even if he disagrees. Also, that recommendations should be evidence-based was practised in a different context by 🇸🇬 which at one stage recommended a 4th jab for 80+ but not <80, saying it lacked evidence.
@hamzeAwawde
As Yehudi Menuhin, the great violinist, said:
"Whatever the choice of solutions: that of two separate states or the one federated state ... there must be absolute reciprocity, absolute equality ...
This offer can only come from the stronger."
@Nancy_Kanwisher
These students are a credit to
@MIT
. MIT must make it right to them. And the parents. And the Palestinians for whom the students were speaking (eg. consider actions like Trinity College Dublin or UC Berkeley)
For the record, I'm Class of 1998, Course 7 & 8.
@KhalilJeries
I think Standing Together understand that. Here Itamar Avneri says: "The problem right now is that even if we change the Israeli government, the policy is not going to change."
A way to see Dr Alina Chan's NYT piece rehashes conspiracy theory is it highlights the SARS2 furin cleavage site may be deliberate, known to be highly unlikely since 2020, as the SARS2 fcs isn't canonical, thus atypical for lab-introduced fcs, including a 2019 China example.
Dr. Alina Chan, a molecular biologist at the Broad Institute of MIT & Harvard, is an expert SARS2 origins conspiracy theorist. NYT publishes some nonsense.
A lab-related origin is highly unlikely as I've summarized in this Physics Forums post (atyy):
1/2
@K_G_Andersen
@stuartjdneil
@alchemytoday
By the time of Relman's Nov 2020 PNAS article, we had Shi's RaTG13 paper, Cohen's Science interview with Shi, Latinne prepandemic novel CoV submissions, & Kupferschmidt's report of Wang Linfa's visit to Shi's lab, imo enough to render a lab leak very unlikely, even for skeptics.
Jeffrey D. Sachs is a University Professor at Columbia University, and a UN SDG Advocate.
Professor Sachs is also a conspiracy theorist & crackpot on SARS-CoV-2 origins.
I've summarized evidence against a lab leak in this Physics Forums post (atyy):
It's hard to hear lab leakers complain about being silenced b/c of their nonstop conspiratorial screaming over 4 yrs.
Here's Sachs, the leader of The Lancet's
#COVID
Commission, again with a misleading account of all we "know".
#OriginsofCOVID
@TortugoRM
@Samuel_Gregson
"Quantum field theory arose out of our need to describe the ephemeral nature of life."
"Which I feel more and more as I get older."
"Life is just clouds and smoke passing in front of our eyes."
h/t
@davidlye70
HK analysis suggests 3xSinovac and 3xBNT have similar VE against severe disease and death for Omicron. Is it possible the gap between Sinovac and Pfizer is smaller with 3 doses?
Preprint:
Summary below:
@ireallyhateyou
I think most of the world has long understood this, except many of those with the power to influence things.
Here's a related thread: "Only when justice for Palestinians becomes an integral part of Israel's thinking will a genuine path toward peace open."
Right now, most Israelis are in full-fledged war mode: on the right, people are calling for outright ethnic cleansing and genocide in Gaza; those on the center and left say that civilian deaths are unfortunate but inevitable.
But it wasn't always like this:
1/22
@DiseaseEcology
The data from Sandra Ciesek shows that 3 months after the booster, many have negligible neutralization against Omicron. So why does this analysis still show the booster helps? It could help, but it seems not by using antibody titers as VE correlate?
For vaccine hesitant individuals Omicron can be severe if you not vaccinated: My second ventilator unvaccinated patients with chronic condition with severe ARDS with confirm Omicron variant.
The virus might be mild on children& vaccinated.
@stuartjdneil
@PaulBieniasz
@Rossana38510044
@NaomiOreskes
PiTou (in SARS2 context)
RRAR: 9.196
RSRR: 12.962
RKRR: 13.511
ProP (in SARS2 context)
RRAR: 0.664
RSRR: 0.793
RKRR: 0.820
So they'd have had to insert the ENaC fcs predicted to be least effective.
Previous expt RRSRR at SARS1 S1/S2 (Follis, 2006) Pitou: 15.827, ProP: 0.841
@ScouseMicrobe
Wut? Of course there's value in you saying this paper has valuable new conclusions fully supported by the data and needs no revision 😄 You can think you are saving the environment by not giving them extraneous concerns to address 😆
David Fisman, Professor at the University of Toronto's School of Public Health, recommends what he thinks is Jamie Metzl's "outstanding summary" on SARS2 origins. h/t
@CburgesCliff
Metzl's summary is outstandingly poor.
A lab-related origin of SARS2 is very unlikely.
1/9
The disinformation from the "Official Twitter account for the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Republicans" referred to by
@stgoldst
appears to have been reposted, so here is a screenshot of the tweet for reference.
@angie_rasmussen
South Africa is estimated to have 70-80% immunity from infection or vax, which may be another reason besides virulence why most cases are mild so far. Also have to remember that infection+vax gives hybrid immunity, which is resistant to mutations.
@peteralphonsas
@snj_1970
@BallouxFrancois
Accounts of international visitors at the WIV, and WIV staff attendance at international conferences is not easily consistent with any outbreak the the WIV from Nov 2019 to mid Jan 2020, nor with the WIV knowing about any leak from their collection.
@kareem_carr
Neural networks do have something to do with the brain, and they help us understand brain function. The cortex is a hierarchical network. It's less clear whether backpropagation is biological, which remains an area of research. Here's an example.
1/2 Excited to share the preprint for my
#cshlNeuroAI
#NAISys
oral and
#cosyne2022
poster. We apply deep learning theory to study generalization properties of bio-plausible temporal credit assignment rules from a geometric perspective
@edwardcholmes
"40 points for claiming that when your theory is finally appreciated, present-day science will be seen for the sham it truly is. (30 more points for fantasizing about show trials in which scientists who mocked your theories will be forced to recant.)"
@thebadstats
@Samuel_Gregson
I've been ignoring John Campbell for months (I'm bad that way, just construct my echo chamber 😇 by unfairly assuming it's nonsense), but sometimes one does need the details, and this analysis by
@thebadstats
was very useful. Thanks!
@PetrovADmitri
@OdedRechavi
The idea that some dopamine neuron activity represents temporal difference errors has had triumphs, & links biology with machine learning. But the idea has problems, which experiments in this paper further show. The paper also proposes a fix to the theory.
Very excited to post our lab’s first paper where we propose a new theory of learning and dopamine function . Here’s a few folks in our lab being taught by my daughter to dance to a “dopamine” song to celebrate 1/30
The time is past for asking if SARS2 started as a lab leak. IMO LL <0.1%. A different prior will give another probability, but evidence has moved almost entirely in 1 direction (DEFUSE included). The question remains: how did the Huanan-associated animal trade start the pandemic?
@nour_odeh
Adam Gaffney has also discussed the death toll being an undercount, "not only because it doesn’t include bodies lying under the rubble, but because it appears to largely neglect “indirect” deaths ..."
I have an article in
@thenation
on the Gaza death count “controversy”: whatever uncertainties there may be, it is clear that it is civilians who are overwhelmingly the victims of the Israeli military - and highly probable that the actual death toll is even worse than reported.
@MarionKoopmans
But given that scientific errors are on a continuum, and distinguished scientists have misled the public, eg. David Baltimore on lab leak - wouldn't the labelling of something as "anti-science" depend on an arbitrary line in a continuum?
@K_G_Andersen
@past_is_future
The "strongest evidence" 😆 is a research document that supports Proximal Origin's assessment that known backbones would probably be used for engineering.
The Where’s Daddy? program that allowed missile operators to wait till targets arrived at home (where it easier to kill them) entailed killing their families at a 15-20 to 1 ratio, far above usually accepted proportionality principles. 1/
@martinmbauer
But LIGO wasn't sold as confirming GR or gravitational waves (which Taylor & Hulse already did) - it was sold as opening up GW astronomy.
@TAH_Sci
The mathematician is asked, what he'd do if he woke to find a fire in his waste paper basket. He says he'd throw water on it to put the fire out.
Then he is asked what he'd do if there is no fire. He'd set the basket on fire, reducing the problem to one previously solved. 3/3
@Samuel_Gregson
@KMichaelPollard
@stuartjdneil
@past_is_future
Eg.
@K_G_Andersen
's Proximal Origin argued engineering was unlikely as it'd likely use a known backbone. The natural reading of DEFUSE is all engineering in the grant application would use backbones explicitly mentioned in references cited by PO, exemplifying PO's point. 3/n
@taipan168
My guess is the author is right, as I'd already thought Deepti's tweet dubious when I glanced at the paper after seeing her tweet a couple of days ago.
@stuartjdneil
@PaulNuki
The irony is this one is canonical, so we wouldn't have been able to tell just from the sequence it's natural, whereas with SARS2 the non-canonical amino acid sequence told us it's not likely due to planned sequence manipulation.
@MonicaLMarks
@israelispeaceny
@TamarGlezerman
Other language is possible too. I'm pro-Palestine. Israel is the oppressor that has enacted colonial occupation, apartheid, ethnic cleansing and genocide, so I'm not pro-Israel.
To be fair to Dr Chan, distinguished scientists (co-authors of the Bloom Science letter & "The Lancet Commission on lessons for the future") have helped the conspiracy theories.
Many such theories are debunked in Flo Debarre's collection of threads.
2/2
SARS2 as a lab leak is imo extremely unlikely.
I placed little weight on Pekar (2022), as it was too technical for me to check.
Pekar's results needed quantitative (but not qualitative) correction as
@nizzaneela
found errors.
Peter Miller's 🧵 is another interesting check.
I tried simulating the early covid epidemic in Wuhan to better understand a few questions:
When did covid start?
Did it start with 2 introductions of the virus, or only one?
@lindabrooke6
@Michal45945708
@EckerleIsabella
This was in a dish with unusual cell combinations. They don't know if this occurs in people. "These results also pave the way to further investigations of the role of cell-to-cell communication in SARS-CoV-2 spreading to the brain in more physiological contexts".
😂 I predict a disappointment. I presently give a lab leak <0.1% chance, & think there was enough evidence by Dec 2020 that the WHO origins report correctly judged a lab leak extremely unlikely. Important to note a lab leak remains possible even if all WIV has said is true, 1/n
Get the popcorn out, it's showtime!
In the next 48 hrs US Intelligence must, by law, open its kimono and reveal everything it has on the alleged Wuhan lab leak - the one its hinted at for yrs
Will be a stonker or a disappointment? We took an early peak
SARS2's non-canonical fcs is why we've known since early 2020 that fcs is almost certainly not engineered, as it differs from the canonical sequences of almost all previously published fcs insertions. Harrison and Sachs's arguments against this reasoning are invalid. 10/n, n=10
@emilyakopp
@flodebarre
(these are in sequence, you might need to click to expand)
tl;dr: this "threat" never happened, and in fact *is not possible*. Eban &/or Bloom grossly misrepresented Kristian. Bloom later publicly acknowledged Eban's Vanity Fair characterization of what happened was not true. 🫠
@elonmusk
Wang Linfa (professor at a Singapore university) visited the WIV coronavirus lab, mixed with lab members, & they went to restaurants. NY Times published this photo of them at a restaurant ~15 Jan 2020. This isn't easily consistent with a lab leak in Dec 2019 or Jan 2020. 8/n
@flodebarre
@zeynep
"reports that three researchers from her institute had sought treatment ... for flulike symptoms"
""The Wuhan Institute of Virology has not come across such cases," she wrote. "If possible, can you provide the names of the three to help us check?""
@peteralphonsas
@snj_1970
@BallouxFrancois
For example, Danielle Anderson was at the WIV in November 2019, and all seemed normal to her. Then WIV staff visited her in Singapore in early Dec 2019 when they attended a conference.
@KhalilJeries
Daniel Barenboim has been a Jewish citizen of Palestine since 2008. When he received Israel's Wolf Prize in 2004, Israel's education minister accused him of attacking Israel (for what I thought were uncontroversial remarks).
@angie_rasmussen
His prefaced his comment with "sadly", which likely means he knows this route to immunity came with many more deaths than if people had been vaccinated before infection. He didn't say further action is not needed, but that circumstances have made the original goal unachievable.
@MuntherIsaac
@newrepublic
Christians elsewhere in the world should care about Israel's ethnic cleansing and genocide in Gaza, but it shouldn't matter whether those suffering are Palestinian Christians or Muslims or atheists (or Buddhists, Bahai etc).
@BallouxFrancois
without evidence, and despite much corroboration of what they've said.
I've summarized evidence against a lab leak in this Physics Forums post (atyy): 2/2
@stuartjdneil
@angie_rasmussen
Conspiracy theory was also promoted here ☹️ "Megyn Kelly is joined by ... MIT and Harvard scientific advisor Alina Chan to discuss ... COVID-19 origins, why she questions the transparency and ethics of scientists who flipped their opinions ..." [YT clip description]
Israel carried out a bombing attack on the Singaporean food kitchen in Jabalia. 9 men were killed, another 10 injured. It has gone out of service.
can't wait for all those monsters to get Nuremberg'd.
What do you need more to acknowledge it’s a genocide?
@KayPerr95696420
@i_petersen
The line is turning a color for a different reason. This is why there are specific instructions that do not include putting tap water or soda or anything else on it. But rather only the well calibrated buffer that comes w the test. It’s clear, yes, but very different than water
@past_is_future
Even if unknown meetings occurred, it's irrelevant to the fact public data indicates engineering implausible, and a lab leak unlikely. When non-experts like me agree with experts like Andersen, it's not blind trust in expertise, but that my reasoning reaches similar conclusions.
@BL_Balthaser
Yehudi Menuhin to the Knesset in 1991 on receipt of the Wolf Prize: "this steady asphyxiation of a dependent people, should be the very last means to be adopted by those who themselves know too well the awful significance, the unforgettable suffering of such an existence."
Ethan Iverson: "Many jazz masters played a substantial amount of old-school rep. It’s part of a certain kind of American worldview: First you know the tradition, then you deface it."
@sehof
@wanderer_jasnah
Sachs also wrote with Prof. Neil Harrison an opinion in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences on how US labs may have contributed to engineering the virus. I've written a few tweets as to why Sachs's scenario is nonsensical. 1/n
@aLilNightMusing
@PeterHotez
It doesn't matter whether the authors are "experts" or not. What matters is whether they wrote sense or nonsense. And there they wrote nonsense. In addition to the arguments
@PeterHotez
gave, even if you allow their far fetched argument that ENaC experts might have input ...
@Samuel_Gregson
@KMichaelPollard
With respect to the idea "ooo Andersen changed his mind = corruption", the way I would argue that that isn't true is by defending the reasoning in
@K_G_Andersen
's Proximal Origin. My admittedly non-expert evaluation of PO is that it's a sound paper. If I had to criticize, 1/n
@BallouxFrancois
A lab leak (including a field accident) can't be ruled out even with negative serology, as sensitivity isn't 100%. But "largely agnostic" suggests ~50% chance for a lab leak. I don't understand why you think it's ok to cast aspersions on the integrity of scientists 1/2
ICYMI, Biden supplemental asks for $$ to support Palestinians kicked out of Gaza, now & in the longer term. Hard to see how this is anything other than the Biden Admin giving a green light to an outcome that will amount to direct ethnic cleansing. See:
Not sure this is a good outcome. The optics: millions of
@joerogan
viewers watch in horror as
@Spotify
+ advertisers force a retraction. There’s a better way to do this. As a nation we have to ask ourselves if we’re serious about halting COVID19
@theresphysics
@angie_rasmussen
@Samuel_Gregson
@stuartjdneil
My position is the first WHO origins report correctly judged a lab leak extremely unlikely based on evidence, remained opened minded to the possibility of a lab leak by stating that it should be revisited if new evidence arose, and recommended appropriate further studies, 1/n
@itamann
If it becomes clearer there is a single apartheid state, could that not lead eventually to a single binational state? A Palestinian friend told me years ago he thought Israel would never allow a 2SS, & he hoped for one state with fair treatment for all.
Rereading Sari Nusseibeh’s little book, What Is a Palestinian State Worth?
This little book makes a persuasive argument for why Palestinians need a state as a means and not a goal and how if one state offers the Palestinians their needs, then perhaps we don't require a state.
@apsmunro
One of the things 🇸🇬 was lucky in is public health retained the public's trust with room to make mistakes it corrected reasonably rapidly.
We are lucky to have few anti-vaxxers, who can spur an overreaction that paradoxically reduces room for reasonable disagreement.
Robert Garry is right: "The evidence remains clear: SARS-CoV-2 emerged via the wildlife trade".
My view is the 1st WHO origins report rightly judged a lab leak highly unlikely, & was open minded by suggesting studies that could point back to the lab. 1/n