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Dep Editor Dripping Wet One Nation Cameroon Tory, currently politically homeless. Talk about politics, polls, betting & 80s music, love LFC
Joined January 2013
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*Exclusive*
A source in Number 10 has sent me the original, unphotoshopped photo of the phone call.
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New
@IpsosMORI
poll what really should scare the Tories as much as PM's dire ratings is the combined Lab/LD/Green vote share of 62% which is double the Con vote.
That sets up the mother of all potential anti Tory tactical voting.
Lab 40 (+1)
Con 31 (-3)
Lib 13 (+2)
Grn 9 (+2)
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2K
Some bad polling for the PM in The Times.
Nearly two thirds of Britons want Boris Johnson out if he gets more party fines YouGov finds.
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A month ago, May had a circa 50% lead over Corbyn in the net favourability ratings. Now that lead is circa 15%.
She's lost 35% in a month
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The last year was a horrible nightmare, I've woken up and Dave is still Prime Minister.
Delighted to meet new Korean president
@moonriver365
to discuss UK trade which has doubled in recent yrs & the worrying situation in N Korea
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Crossover time
YouGov/The Times Euro poll
BXP 35% (+1)
Lib Dems 16% (+1)
Lab 15% (-1)
Greens 10% (-1)
Tories 9% (-1)
CUK 5% (nc)
UKIP 3% (nc)
Fieldwork notes
YouGov interviewed 7,192 British adults between Sunday and Thursday this week.
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Quite the poll here.
22,000 respondents/MRP by Focaldata.
Would see the following seat distribution
Con 284
Lab 282
SNP 57
LD 2 (Yes 2).
Oh and the PM to lose his own seat.
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Well, paging all those who said Trump would be good for the UK and our post Brexit future.
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Blimey, this does not make for pleasant reading for David Davis or Theresa May. Front page of the Telegraph via
@hendopolis
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Well that's the film Dunkirk permanently banned in the UK.
"Under a further change to the bill, video footage that shows people crossing the Channel in small boats in a “positive light” will be added to a list of illegal content"
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Jesus wept, I can think of at least one better contender for worst German Chancellor in history.
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Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his country for his career. Super story by
@ShippersUnbound
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I believe this is the first time YouGov have the Labour leader ahead of the Tory leader on the best PM question since the summer of 2007.
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Sorry to ruin the fun
@toadmeister
but that market you've just bet on is not the President market, but the winner of the 2020 election, as per the T&Cs, this bet will not payout for you.
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2016 just gets weirder, I'm having a conversation with a friend who thinks Honey G is in fact David Cameron, here's her evidence
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New
@IpsosUK
poll.
Labour is on 41 per cent, up two points, the Conservatives 30 per cent, down three points, and the Liberal Democrats up three to 15 per cent.
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So Boris warned that Brexit would lead to economic shock, Scottish Independence, and Russian aggression 2 days before he backed Brexit.
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New
@OpiniumResearch
Labour is on 40% (unchanged compared with a week ago), while the Conservatives are on 20% (also unchanged). Reform UK is up 1 point on 17%, the Liberal Democrats up 1 point on 13% and the Greens down 3 points on 6%.
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Stoke is only the 6th time in a by election in England since 1970 that the government has seen their share of the vote rise - John Curtice
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I'd bet against it.
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I'm loving the irony that it was somebody else's sex scandal that forced Boris Johnson out.
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Nadine Dorries is a huge F1 fan, her favourite moment was Damon Hill winning gold in the rowing in the 1996 Olympics.
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Corbyn bounce in Wales YouGovpoll. W'minster VI Changes since June
Lab42% (+5)
Con26% (-2)
UKIP: 16% (+1)
PC10% (-2)
LD5% (+1)
Grn: 2% (-1)
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If you're not watching the Simon Danczuk interview on newsnight this is a precis in pictorial form
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Who wrote that fucking shit?
I mean what was the fucking point of that statement?
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This story embarrasses us as a country, this poor woman and her family.
Grandmother Irene Clennell has been deported today with just £12 in her pocket after nearly 30 years in Britain
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1/2
It emerged that Boris Johnson has nominated as many as eight serving Tory MPs for peerages in his resignation honours list, prompting efforts by Truss to avoid a series of damaging by-election defeats
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If you're not watching the Diane Abbott interview on newsnight this is a precis in pictorial form
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I owe Iain Duncan Smith an apology.
Turns out you're not the worst Tory leader of my lifetime.
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By
@ShippersUnbound
in tomorrow's
@thesundaytimes
. Team Corbyn really are a disgrace to the Labour party.
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5 days before the Oct 1974 general there was the Guildford pub bombings, and the election still went on
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Just a reminder that when Mrs May called a COBRA meeting to deal with Salisbury poisonings Boris Johnson skipped that meeting so he could be photographed writing his resignation letter.
He's unsuitable to be PM as Corbyn is.
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Can anyone tell me why a why a white supremacist and former KKK Grand Wizard is endorsing Nigel Farage?
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A great loss to the Tory party.
It’s over: Jon Lansman standing down as chair of Momentum
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Are we missing the most obvious deal.
Con & LDs - Supply and confidence in exchange for a third referendum/referendum on the Brexit deal
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For the first time in his life, Boris pulls out before it causes real problems.
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David Cameron took the Tory party from fewer than 200 MPs to a majority government whilst destroying the Lib Dems and driving Labour mad.
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Corbyn set to win Labour leadership contest with even bigger mandate than last time YouGov poll finds.
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If she is Home Sec at the GE then I am voting Lab for the first time in my life. As
@prospect_clark
says Imagine clocking the explosion of tents on the streets & concluding that real probs that needed solving were the charities providing tents & ppl resorting to sleeping in them
🚨NEW. Suella Braverman pushes to restrict tents for rough sleepers, and proposes making it a civil office for charities to give tents to homeless via
@FT
with
@LOS_Fisher
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873
1K
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New
@techneUK
poll
Labour: 41% (-1)
Conservatives: 19% (=)
Lib Dems: 12% (=)
Reform UK: 17% (=)
Greens: 5% (=)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Others: 3% (=)
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If you've not heard it, here's a pictorial representation of Diane Abbott's interview this morning.
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For the next Presidential election I propose sending the counters from Sunderland to all the key states to train, conduct, and oversee the vote counting.
We can count 32 million votes in a few hours, so get your fingers out America.
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So that's the fourth consecutive Tory PM and every one since 1979 to have their Premiership/destroyed by EC/EU affairs
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I'm feeling quite depressed, as a Yorkshireman, and as someone of Pakistani heritage.
Today made me doubt my love for cricket, losing 5 nil in The Ashes (twice), being an England cricket fan in the 90s, and being shit at ODI cricket for 23 years, didn't break me, but today did.
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New
@Survation
MRP poll
Labour landslide could leave Tories with just 72 seats, MRP poll finds
The Conservatives face an unprecedented battering with Sir Keir Starmer’s party set for a majority of 262, according to a detailed analysis by Survation
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This MP is not fit to be an MP, this is worse than misleading the house.
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Why don't we get the people from Sunderland to count all by election votes?
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Ed Balls is rolling his eyes so much at Nicola Sturgeon he has just seen his own optic nerves.
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Im so old I remember when Ed Davey was suspended from the Commons after protesting against the Speaker's decision not to allow a vote on a referendum on European Union membership. (From 2008.)
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An extremely reliable source has leaked to me the result of SNP leadership contest and the winner is.
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I'm calling it now, this run ends with Nick Clegg.
Sir Nick Clegg's knighthood means that he is the fifth MP for Sheffield Hallam in a row to either be knighted or ennobled, following Sir Roland Jennings, Sir John Osborn, Sir Irvine Patnick and Lord Allan of Hallam
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As the grandson of Pakistani immigrants, this is complete and utter bollocks.
Only Labour can be trusted to unlock the talent of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic people.
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In hindsight, this is a hoot. From 2008. Gordon Brown has taken Labour to the edge of extinction says John McDonnell
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I know ICM just gave the Tories a 16% lead but Labour took a parish council seat from UKIP, that's what's important. Honest.
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2/2
Anxiety among Truss’s supporters will be deepened by YouGov polling for The Times that shows a majority of voters believe the government is to blame for spiralling mortgage costs. Labour has maintained a substantial poll lead.
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OMG. My very Muslim mother has asked me what a golden shower is & why should that stop Trump being President because a golden lift didn't?
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America take note.
This is how you do a transfer of power from one party to another.
No rancour, no violence.
Our constitutional crises involve lettuces.
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Panelbase poll of Scotland for The Sunday Times
Westminster (changes since September)
SNP 36% (-5%)
Con 28% (+1%)
Lab 27% (+3%)
LD 6% (nc)
Greens 2% (nc)
Seats: Conservative 13 (no change), Labour 13 (+6), Lib Dem 4 (no change) and SNP 29 (-6)
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So more people have resigned from the shadow cabinet today than there are Lib Dem MPs.
Crazy, crazy times
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David Davis really is a poor negotiator, it wouldn't surprise me if in the final Brexit deal he signs the UK up to the Euro and the Schengen agreement.
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I see Sir Vince Cable and Sarah Olney have done a huge favour for Theresa May and Zac Goldsmith.
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This means for the entirety of Nicola Sturgeon’s tenure so far as the leader of the SNP and First Minister of Scotland her party have never been behind in the polls which quite frankly is astonishing for a party which has been in power for over 14 years at Holyrood.
3/4
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So Corbyn is speaking in Gateshead tonight. A seat with a near 15k Labour majority. Read into that you will.
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Actually it does tell us something very interesting.
In one of Labour's safe seats there's a Lab to Con swing of 3% which means there's much bigger Con to Lab swings in the marginals if the national polls are right.
NEW Constituency Poll in Holborn and St Pancras for
@38degrees
LAB 54% (-12)
GRE 14% (+11)
LD 9% (-3)
CON 9% (-6)
IND 6% (new)
REF 5% (+3 from Brexit Party)
OTH 4% (+4)
F/w 19th - 21st June. Changes vs. Notional 2019 result
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Why this isn't 2013 all over again. Dave always led Ed Miliband on best PM ratings throughout that Parliament.
There is now clear daylight between Johnson and Starmer in terms of who the public think would make the best PM.
Starmer 40% (+2)
Johnson 30% (-4)
Don't know 29%
(5/n)
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I interrupted a Valentine's Day dinner for that 'story'.
May a camel ejaculate in the ears of all the journalists that hyped this story.
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