$TSLA My thought on Q4 earnings:
1. ~$30B cash on hand
2. Near no debt
3. Energy storage 125% growth
4. Auto margin: 17.6%
5. FSD v12 to all in US in weeks
6. Next Gen platform making great progress
7. Gross profit of Services & Other biz increased from ~$500M loss in 2019 to a
Total Addressable Market(TAM):
TAM for EVs $0.5T
TAM for Robots $25T
That’s 50x between both markets.
If Tesla can grow their Robot business just as good as their EV business. No need to be better.
Then, you are looking at a $40T Market Cap company! $12,500 per share!!
This is
Coworker: “I hate my EV (Bolt). Charging sucks.”
Me: “Consider a Tesla. Charging doesn’t suck with Tesla.”
Coworker: “I already order a new EV.”
Me: “A Tesla?”
Coworker: “Fisker Ocean.”
People don’t fucking learn. They keep looking for the next Tesla not knowing: $TSLA is the
I counted 17 Teslas in my neighborhood today, including my own Model 3 & Y. There were 9 on my street and 8 on the cross-street, and not a single other electric vehicle in sight.
No Rivian, no VinFast, no Ford F-150 Lightning, no VW IDs, no Hyundai Ioniq. 100% ALL TESLA.
If
Unpopular opinion:
There are 3 types of people who buy a non-Tesla EVs. The Uninformed, the Stupid, and the “I am better than y‘all” crowd.
The Uninformed: “I’m told all EVs are the same. It doesn’t matter, right?”
The Stupid: “My Ford dealership told me I can charge at
6 good friends. 4 of them have pre-ordered the
#Cybertruck
. All 4 of them intend to take delivery.
Friend 1: No intention to tow. Use it for camping. Recreational purposes. Car guy. Hauling car parts.
Friend 2: No intention to tow. Use it for camping. Recreational
Ford & GM: "Why should we spend R&D dollars when we know for sure we can't catch up with Tesla? We shouldn't. The logical thing to do is to milk the gas car business until the end. And then, we buy Tesla's technology to build our EVs. That's the plan."
I will be surprised
A bit of a long tweet below:
I studied Computer Science (major) and Economics (minor). As someone who has worked in big tech for over 20 years, it's easy for me to recognize the uniqueness, excellence and 'untouchability' of Tesla within the tech industry. The things Tesla can
In the past, I invested in $TSLA solely to make money (long term). I did. I'm very happy about it. However, going forward, it's also about making sure The Good Guys Win.
@elonmusk
stands for freedom, innovation, & hard-work! This is exactly the quality we need to make our
Hmm… I‘m seeing several colleagues & friends selling their R1Ts. I asked one, he said: “CCS really sucks for road trips; it’s such a headache, my family can’t stand it. I’m gonna sell it before Rivian announced the use of NACS. If they don‘t, I’m getting a Cybertruck.” 🤷♂️
You often hear: “It’s RISKY to go all in $TSLA.”
Well, the truth is: It is not ‘risk’ that people worry about. It’s the ‘volatility’. People often confuse the difference between the two.
For example:
1 - “It’s RISKY if the company doesn’t make money”.
> Well, Tesla
I don't understand why bears find it so difficult to see the growth potential of Tesla. Tesla is not a get-rich-quick scheme. The company is working hard to build factories, innovate battery technology, revolutionize car manufacturing, develop self-driving software, and create
Dear News network, (
@CNBC
@YahooFinance
)
Every time you invite a guest analyst for an interview, please show their performance ranking BEFORE letting them speak. That will help to put things in perspective. Thank you!
The Math Is Simple.
Amazon:
Total revenue: 22 % YoY
Q4 net income: $2.5B (ex. RIVN Profit)
Market Cap: $1.6T
Tesla:
Total revenues: 61 % YoY
Q4 net income: $2.9B (ex. Stock based comp)
Market Cap: $0.9T
$TSLA grow faster and earn more than $AMZN. $TSLA is CHEAP. 💎🙌🪑
Why 'people' hate
@elonmusk
?
1. Oil/gas industry (More EV = less gas use)
2. Space industry (More SpaceX rocket = less income for them)
3. Legacy auto (Obviously, Tesla is killing them)
4. Military contractors (SpaceX/Starlink and other high tech threatening their positions)
Down ~$1.6M yesterday. Not sweating even for one min. 🥱 Tesla is doing everything right to grow its business. Mr Market is being stupid. $TSLA is as strong as ever! 📈💯🤷♂️🖤💚💎🙌😀🐂
@WallStreetSilv
So Cal:
$50k for a decent wedding
$200k student loan
$1M for a decent house (+tax/interest/insurance/maintenance)
No wonder people are depressed.
It becomes my daily routine now to visit the park, watch a movie, drink a cup of coffee while handling some work duties. Life is good when I spend time with my Tesla Model 3. 🚗🍷🪑🔋🙂🎶
I, for once, agree with
@realMeetKevin
. Lower FSD to $5,000, it will increase Take Rate significantly. The more cars with FSD activated, the faster FSD mature. The cheaper FSD is, the more people are willing to purchase it and then promote it! We need more cars out there
If you don’t believe the
#Cybertruck
is super popular…. Well, I just came back from the airport picking someone up, I’m literally surrounded by people with phone cameras taking photos and videos of my CT. Even the traffic control officers are doing the same instead of directing
Long tweet: Someone asked me to share about my investment journey. Sure thing. It’s quite boring but here you go:
I started investing around year 2000 while I was still a college student. Worked a part time job making $1,200 per month, after paying rent/food/car, I saved
@PaulSkallas
RVs look terrible?! I don’t think my RV looks terrible. This is my Leisure Travel Van (Rear Twin Bed) 2024. Not all RVs are terrible, you know.
I'm anon here so I can speak the truth. Here's the list of friends and family members I convinced to buy $TSLA. Here's what they got so far:
Friend 1: $750k
Friend 2: $1.2M
Friend 3: $650k
Friend 4: $70k
Fam 1: $200k
Fam 2: $900k
Fam 3: $2.5M
Fam 4: $3.2M
Fam 5: $570k
🪑🍷🚀
Friend 1: Took delivery of a M3P 2 wks ago.
Friend 2: Took delivery of a X LR last week.
Relative 1: Ordered a Y LR. Waiting for delivery.
Neighbor 1: Sold 1 Lexus & 1 Toyota. Got 2 Y LR!!
Friend 3: Selling his Mustang, ordering a S Plaid!!!
$TSLA is the only wise choice.
Let’s go, $TSLA. We are in the clear:
- rate hiked (.25) - done.
- recession? What recession?! - done.
- twitter overhang - done.
- political concern? Nothing in the near term. - done.
- FSD v12 mind-blowing.
- Superconductor at room temp? Looks promising!
- WW3? Not likely.
To tell you a little secret. The only reason I have $2M in $NVDA is because I want to use it to buy more $TSLA stocks when it dips. As much as I enjoy the Nvidia's gains, I think Tesla has a bigger grow potential long term.
(True) story time:
Family member A:
- Pharmacist. Graduated with $140,000 in student loan.
- Paid off debt in 4.5 years
- Rented a room near work
- Saved and invested $65,000
- Bought $TSLA. 17x later.
- ~7 years as a W2 employee
- Net Worth: $1.1M+
- A clear path to
I'm buying the
#Cybertruck
because:
1. Saving on gas
2. Near zero maintenance
3. Tough, no door ding
4. Moving big items
5. Safety
6. Roof top tent compatible
7. Off-road camping
8. Road trips (Superchargers)
9. FSD
It's never about the look. Also, I don't intend to tow
If you think Cybertruck will not outsell F150 Lightning, you are badly mistaken. The only limiting factor will be Cybertruck production rate. $TSLA 🚀🚀🚀
Down ~$1.6m today with $TSLA. Continue to buy and hold as usual. Good quarter, bad quarter. We will experience lots of ups and downs along the way. It’s a simple path but, at times, it’s a difficult path. Long term, it’s all part of the gam journey. Enjoy the ride! Stay healthy,
GM, Ford - Dividend stocks. "Pay me my dividends or I bail." It's never about growth into EV sector. They do it 'cos they have to.
Rivian, Lucid - Start-up. Wannabes. "I'll catch Tesla. I'm the 2nd Tesla. Buy my stock."
Tesla - King of the Hill. Real growth in EV,
Bought my 1st house in 2002 (Before price climb)
Sold my 1st house in 2006 (Before the crash)
Bought 2nd house in 2010 (After the crash)
Bought a rental in 2011 (At housing bottom)
Bought $NVDA in 2013 ($4)
Bought $TSLA in 2019 ($15)
Pure luck + A Little Gut Feeling. 🫡
Nothing
I don’t hold cash. I don’t buy gold or silver. I don’t speculate on cryptos. I have no interest in pure dividends plays. I like to interest in great companies, especially disruptive, rule-breakers with big goals, big vision and strong ability to execute. That’s $TSLA to me. I
I predict $RIVN to be the 2nd carmaker to make the Tesla Supercharger partnership (if
@RJScaringe
is smart). That‘s my prediction.
Think about it, who in the right mind will buy a R1S/R1T while he can get the F150 & charge at the Tesla Supercharging network nationwide?!?! RJ
Down $2.4M today. Not feeling sad even a little.
Short-term, it's a slot machine. People panic sell and buy. Long-term, Tesla is as solid a company as ever. $TSLA 📈💎🪑💯
Gary is speaking as a PM who “lost money for their clients”.
I am speaking as a private investor who never lost my initial capital in my 24 years of investing. We are built differently. Indeed we are. I rest my case. Keep on talking to us Tesla investors like we are stupid. I
I am buying every week. $TSLA future is super bright. It’s way, way, way undervalued. People have no clue of the full potential. When the bot happens, it’ll be too late.
$TSLA Gen 3 vehicle (My Prediction):
1. 2-3 seaters
2. No big motor
3. In-wheel brake and small motor fully integrated. Easy to install or replace.
4. Modular (Components are interchangeable between variants)
5. Body (Outer shell) is interchangeable for passengers,
This message is from one long term Tesla investor (me) to another.
Best daily gain: $2.8 million. Worst daily loss: $1.8 million. Not for the faint of heart. A highly concentrated portfolio can be stressful when the daily fluctuation swing is so high. This is just EV.
Imagine
LinkedIn is dead. I haven't touched it for years.
Facebook is dead. I haven't touched it for years.
Instagram is dead. I have no interest in prostitutes.
@X
is the future. I spend more time here than any other social media.
It's becoming clearer and clearer to me, as $TSLA grows >50% yr over yr. It's not gonna be long for the public to realize PE will go below 100 real soon. Exponential growth will push share price to $3,000 sooner than 2025. Oh my... we shall witness the squeeze up really soon.
I took me 12-13 yrs to save & invest before reaching a $1M portfolio. From $1M to $2M, it took a little less than 3 yrs. From $2M to $20M+, it took me 2.5 yrs. Thanks to $TSLA. 💎🙌📈🪑🖤💚💯
Unpopular opinion:
At some point in the near future, I think $TSLA should stop reporting quarterly auto production and delivery numbers. Just like $AAPL stopped reporting iPhone sales numbers.
My portfolio is down 16% (-$2.67 million) in one month. I haven't mentioned this because it's not always fun to talk about paper losses. After all, it's not real money yet.
However, I think it's important to remind ourselves that this is part of the game. The stock market is
I intend to buy as many $TSLA shares with my fellow Tesla investors and supporters here. The rest of you haters, TSLAQ and doubters can GO FUCK YOURSELF. Cheers! 🍻🥳💯👍📈🪑🖕
I vow to sell all my $MSFT position next Monday. I don’t care a big tax bill incoming. “I am done with Microsoft.” Former employee here & I cherish my time there. But, I can no longer support them when $TSLA is doing the most for humanity. It’s important to take a stand.
Fun Fact:
It took me about 13 yrs to reach $1M in investable asset. Today, 1 daily gain = $1.04M. 1 day. Do Not Underestimate The Power of Compounded Growth. It is, without a doubt, magical. $TSLA
Note: Anytime you are making any portfolio move(s) that work against the law
@libsoftiktok
Men have never been loved unconditionally. We are loved because we provide security, safety, comfort, and a better quality of life, among other things. We learn this as we grow up. It's a hard truth, but we accept the cards we are dealt. We become better because of it.
At 45, I thought I was a bit old.
9-5 until I'm 65?! That's just plain fucking cold.
I almost accepted my destiny's hand,
Until $TSLA comes along, I didn’t know where I’d land.
I had a dream, to travel and explore, you see,
But it always felt like it was not meant for me.
Now
Why FSD licensing is a good thing for Tesla Shareholders?
Well, licensing FSD to other manufacturers is extremely profitable. SW margin is high. Cost is fixed. FSD is likely 80%+ margin.
Copy & paste money, essentially.
As Tesla, you want as many people to use your FSD