B Burnworth
@bburnworth
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Civil Engineer - Making your community a better place. My Tesla referral code for your use: Thank you for all you do for the world!
Joined September 2010
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Wedding. Broadcast Glory and Bruce
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Ironically Ross Gerber is an example of why Elon feels he needs 25% of the voting rights at Tesla. Just saying.
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For me my aggressive investments in Tesla were NOT gambling. I anticipated the future. I researched and studied the probabilities of success. I worked hard for two years before I invested aggressively in Tesla in 2019/2020. I did VERY well. I see a similar set up now!
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It’s official, I lost $2.5 million invested in January 2022 $1000 strike call options that expired worthless today. Risky business. Invested mostly as LEAPs a year ago. Pesky macro and Netflix did me in. There’s always the next set of options . . . At one time it was up to $7m
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@elonmusk
I feel like my picture was just put on the cover of the Rolling Stones. Gonna buy 5 copies for my grandkids!😁😁😁
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From a reputable source: Fremont made 17 Model Ys with 4680 Tech today getting ready for Berlin production. 😁😁😁
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Tesla split: In 2020 the split was announced when the stock was in the $1,300 range. My estimate is that $1,300 will be reached in the next 3 months and another 5:1 stock split will be announced! 🚀🌙 JMHO
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10% of Elon’s stock is about equal to his 22 M shares in options expiring soon. Net result of selling 10% & getting 22M in option shares is close to net zero. Elon’s Tesla shares stay even & he has the cash to pay taxes on his options. What is Elon’s next chess move?
@heydave7
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I listened to the Q3 Tesla call again. One take away:
4680 cells in Texas: one line produced 20 m cells over the last year. 3 more lines are ramping now. 4 more lines under construction ramping in late 2024. That’s a total of 8 lines producing more than 160m cells a year -
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Cybertruck order confirmed!
Dual motor AWD.
Now I just need to figure out how to pay for it.
DM me if you want to buy a 2022 Model X Plaid (FSD, Blue with 30k miles, no accidents, like new, best offer over trade in value of $62,500) or a 2018 Model 3 Performance (FSD, white
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Now I've hit the big time! 😁😁😁
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The next year is going to be amazing for TSLA (end of chip shortage, in-house lower-cost battery production, 2X car production capacity, Increasing demand for Teslas, new Tesla trucks). Other companies that are not innovative enough will shrink. Money will pour into TSLA. JMHO
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Tesla is like Apple/Google. Each has a clear lead in areas. Google’s search engine propels them higher. Apple’s easy to use phones propel them. Tesla has EV tech that propels them. Soon FSD will propel them, then Optimus. NO company will catch any of these three propellants!
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@CelentyStan
The not so simple 3 steps- 1. KNOW how much TSLA will go up and when, 2. KNOW how call options work and react to market moves, 3. DEMONSTRATE to yourself on paper that you can consistently do 1. & 2. Then try TSLA call options. No get rich quick scheme. Practice 10,000 hours
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Tom Zhu says Giga Nuevo can be built in less than 9 months. I agree 💯 . I speak from 40 years of large project management experience as a civil engineer ($100m plus projects). Some factors that allow Giga Nuevo to be completed faster than Shanghai:
- Soils. Shanghai was
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Tesla 2021: 935,000
80% growth per year. Tesla 2026: 18M per year. Massive scaling from here would have Tesla making way more than 20 M vehicles in 2026! Just saying.
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The market appears to be having less and less indecision about TSLA. The volatility over the last few weeks is decreasing. The market appears to be looking for data to support going higher - but they aren’t seeing the data yet. This is a broad market outlook and stronger at
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Yesterday someone asked me about Tesla. He was mad at himself for not investing in stock. I told him I expect TSLA to increase from $1k to $2k+ by March. But likely there would be a 5:1 split so $400/sh. He asked me if I had any tips. Then I understood why he was mad at himself.
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I look at Teslas stated 20 m vehicles by 2030, like their stated 50% growth per year. 😁 This last year Tesla did over an 80% increase WITH SEVERE SUPPLY CHAIN PTOBLEMS! I see 20 m by 2026. Fits with 80% per year. 😁😁😁
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I remember just a month ago people thought I was crazy to think Tesla would be above $2000 by March 2022 😁😁😁 Now this thinking is pretty common.
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Tesla to disrupt hotel industry! When FSD is in full swing, people can get a sleeper Robotaxi to travel from one place to another while they sleep! No need to stop in a hotel!
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I have a flat tire on my Model X westbound on Highway 80 west of Truckee. Trucks zooming past me.
I called Tesla emergency roadside service. There are no mobile tire techs available in this area (lots of Teslas here!)
My ONLY option is to be towed to the Reno service center
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My reply to somebody that blames Elon for the drop today: I think Tesla Bulls are shooting themselves in the foot through their head by focusing on rumors that paint Tesla as bad. They blame Elon. Elon is NOT the problem. Doubting/fearful/uncertain Tesla Bulls are the problem.
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Twitter could become like Yahoo after Elon sells all his stock and start another platform.
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One trigger no one is talking about: Ark last updated their Tesla estimates one year ago! Their update will be coming soon. Cathie has much more credibility now than a year ago. HUGE!
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The curved flag trend over the last three months is clearly broken upward. Now imagine this sharp decline as the short part of a checkmark recovery - a long upward recovery - like in 2020 with Tesla once again doubling capacity - with clearly more than enough demand!
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8.5 mile hike this pm. 1,500 ft up. Ready for another Tesla up week! 😁😁😁
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I see Tesla FSD as feature complete 2020, March of 9s 2021, Robotaxis limited jurisdictions 2022, worldwide Robotaxis 2023. $25k FSD Tesla in 2023 will disrupt ENTIRE transportation industry. Tesla solar/battery will disrupt ENTIRE energy industry. 2023: year of TOTAL DISRUPTION!
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Giga Shanghai: 54k in one month with a week of downtime? Crazy! That points to run rate of over 800k per yr just for Shanghai! This is one of Elon’s 4D chess moves. He knew this when he started his sell Twitter poll. Without the poll Tesla 🚀🌙 today. 😁😁😁
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Morgan Stanley price target raise from $250 to $400 is the news that likely will allow TSLA to break upward!
BREAKING: Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas has increased his $TSLA price target by 60% to $400 per share (from $250), and upgraded his rating to Overweight (from Equal-Weight). $TSLA is now their "Top Pick"
"We believe that Dojo can add up to $500B to
@Tesla
's enterprise value,
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Tesla dipped below $700 so I bought another 100 contracts of March 2023 $1,725 call options.😁😁😁
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Look at March 2020. The stock dropped 50% before recovery. Before people realized Tesla long term was not impacted by Covid. Similar now with inflation, recession, rising interest rates. Demand still far exceeds production. Profits are rising.
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Others will NOT have FSD by 2025. Too hard to perfect. JMHO. Their egos are too big to buy from Tesla and Tesla will have vehicle safety standards for use of Tesla FSD. Tesla will be the only mass produced EV with FSD in 2025! The demand will be ginormous (my new favorite word).
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This sentence from Ark Invest sums up the difference between Tesla and VW: "Tesla's stated goal for 2030 is three terawatt-hours of annual production, 12.5 times more than VW's 240 gigawatt-hours."
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Did Amazon slow down when it got as big as Tesla is now? Spoiler alert!
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Huge week coming!
🚀 FSD V12 (neural nets all the way baby) release (to Tesla employees)
🚀 Grok to X Premium + subs (let’s Grok & roll baby!)
🚀 Delivery of first Cybertrucks - Just WOW‼️
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Market is looking up for Tesla. Large bets on Tesla reaching $800 by Friday. Exciting week!
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To be clear: Elon said his money was first in and would be last out. This applies to the money he invested. It does not apply to the stock options that he has earned since. The options are his only income. He must sell some of the options he has earned to have income.
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@PeteButtigieg
You mean like Trump wants the war in Ukraine to end.
Harris on the other hand says she wants the war to continue for us.
I support Trump. Negotiation and peace - not war.
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I’m calling it now: 2021 will be a bigger year for Tesla stock than 2020! So far Tesla is up 630% in 2020. By the end of 2021 Tesla will be up another 700%. About $1000 after a second 5:1 split. How? . . . See my other tweets and interviews.
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I’ve had the same $TSLA $10k/sh in 2026 estimate for years. Now it seems more realistic to other people 😁😁😁
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I find it interesting that when Tesla stock is going up, many come out and say how great Tesla is. When it drops it seems like many crawl in their basement and hide. 😳😳😳😬😬😬
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Just got my health report. Intermittent fasting, meat/veggies (no sugars or processed carbs), supplements, exercise, sleep & exciting life are paying off. No signs of cancer, brain deterioration, heart disease. My biological age is 9-15 years < my chronological age🎉🎉🎉😁😁😁
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Bouncing off $800. When Tesla goes up, the momentum is going to be huge. As I’ve been saying we need substantial deliveries from Berlin/Austin combined with Shanghai/Fremont breaking away from their chip constraints. Could take several months. Then another 5:1 split. HUGE!
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Tesla needs to go up to over $1,200 by Jan 21, 2022 for me to be able to exercise my 160 call option contracts with a $1,000 strike. Do that math. 😁😁😁 I see a 90% probability for that event. Tell me I’m crazy. I’ve been called crazy before.
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BTW my overall account (99.6% Tesla) is up 55% this week and the $1000 strike 1/21/2022 call options I bought early in the week are up 3.6X. Tesla shares up 5.5% today. Options up 26% and overall account up 17%. So far. 😁😁😁 Santa rally . . . Merry Christmas!
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$TSLA clearly breaking out! With low volumes and little news, this breakout is likely to grow much faster with good news about FSD, Berlin/Texas! JMHO
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Elon said he would offer to license FSD. I think due to legacy auto arrogance and unions, none of the legacy auto companies will sign up to license FSD. Also for Tesla to insure legacy autos with FSD, the vehicles would need to be as safe as Teslas. Not going to happen. JMHO
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Yep - heading for over 2m Teslas to be produced in 2023! Continued ramping at GigaTexas and GigaBerlin! Model Y to be best selling vehicle in the world in 2023! Cybertruck deliveries to shock the world (features, price and badassness)! Margins heading back to 25%+! TSLA $300+ in
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Rear and front castings, structural battery tying the two castings together. This prototyping will allow Tesla to refine the equipment and methods to hit the ground running fast in Berlin in early 2021!
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Worst case: mid-2022 Tesla reaches $1,000 - all my call options are worthless and I'm up only 25%. Good case: mid-2022 Tesla reaches $2,000 and I'm up more than 500%. That's how I roll. 😁😁😁
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@SawyerMerritt
Bullish! Tesla no longer needs to focus on end of quarter deliveries! Demand is huge. Focus on getting more cars produced!
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Elon: Without introducing any new models, Tesla can sell every single vehicle they could possibly make! WOW! Why spend a lot of effort on new vehicles if spending time on new vehicles will reduce the number of vehicles Tesla can make. THIS IS IMPORTANT!
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If this is meant to mean I am underestimating Tesla, we are in for one heck of a ride! My estimates include $2k in March 2022 and $10k in March 2026. These estimates would provide $1B to solve climate change, food scarcity, farmer economics and world peace through living soil 😁
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Stock split pre-announcement today! Then actual announcement of a stock split proposed (with date), then voting by shareholders to allow the stock split, then the actual stock split. This is going to likely go into summer! Going up! 🚀🌙
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Tesla momentum. Bottom arrow $1.50/day => $300 reached mid June. Top arrow $1.80/day => $300 reached late May. Thoughts?
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Seems like TSLA will rise more after GM and Ford announce earnings showing how badly they are doing compared to how great Tesla is doing. Thoughts?
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@GerberKawasaki
@GerberKawasaki
I love you Ross but your platform for a run for the board is a distraction from the mission of Tesla! The mission is to accelerate sustainable energy. The mission is NOT to try to make everyone happy. Increasing the area under the happiness curve requires some
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This is exactly what will happen to legacy auto - Tesla volume production is the trigger. 2025/6 will be the collapse of legacy auto. JMHO
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@rhensing
Potus is scared to be viewed as supporting billionaires. He's also scared that Elon will be perceived as doing more good for the world than government (clearly this is the case). As far as I'm concerned, I appreciate that Biden was able to get Trump out of office. Nothing else.
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This next week will be exciting! TSLA likely to go way up with Q3 data (30.5% GM is still amazing), Elon no longer selling, Q4 numbers coming in even better than Q3. Investors loading up for 2022. $1250+ by end of week. JMHO
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1/3. Tony Seba is THE strongest pillar in my 20x annual return on Tesla. This guy has studied disruptive tech for 15 years. He is spot on. FSD will be solved in 2022. Robotaxis will be ubiquitous worldwide in 2023.
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What other company besides Tesla innovates continuously with the sole mission of making the world better? This is why I invest in Tesla. The best people in the world driven by love for the world! 😀😀😀
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I love it! The world’s largest oil company is Tesla’s biggest rival! That’s the competitive spirit we need!
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Lately I’ve noticed a lot more negative Tesla tweets. I’ve had to block more nonsensical accounts over the last couple of days than I have over the last several years. I take this as a bullish sign. Fear that Tesla will succeed seems to be at an all time high (they will).
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Here's the way I heard it: Texas will ramp Model Y using 4680 tech from the start. No second line for 2170 in Texas. This fits with Berlin ramping with 2170 until there are enough 4680 cells. Biggest news from the meeting! This is fantastic news for 4680 tech! 😁😁😁
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Any new Teslanaires today? If not today, what stock price needed?
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Green arrow to the far right is Tesla going to Mars. . . . For those not in the know.
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Generally, shorting is not good. I'm in the research phase right now specifically related to companies like GM/Ford that will be disrupted long term by Tesla. I'm 99% certain that by 2025 GM/Ford will be bankrupt once or twice depending on government bailouts.
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Ark TSLA PT and model update. We are at the timing Cathie hinted at previously - about a month out from mid January and a couple of months from mid Dec. And today she said “Ark's price target will follow at some point” Soon. Patience.
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The competition has arrived! Plaid Model S. Tesla has outdone itself. Hands down best car ever!
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No other stock has the TAM (all energy, all transportation, all labor) that Tesla has - along with the technical, financial and business ability to develop/converge the needed innovative technology. “Resistance is futile!”
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4680 tech is NOT just the batteries. It impacts many other systems in the next generation Model Y! Think structural, HVAC, electrical, all change with 4680 tech!
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Here’s a fun prediction. 2022 will the year of 2s! Another 2 Gigafactories will be started. More than 2.2 million Teslas will be sold. Stock will exceed $2,222. 😁😁😁
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@KoguanLeo
Tesla buyback of shares at these low low prices is a much better investment than having excess cash sitting in a bank account! I support a buyback with excess cash.
@MartinViecha
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EV USA registrations Jan -Apr 2021:
Tesla Model Y: 53,102
Tesla Model 3: 35,468
Chevrolet Bolt EV: 13,611
Ford Mustang Mach-E: 6,104
Nissan Leaf: 5,023
Audi e-tron: 4,321
Porsche Taycan: 3,002
Hyundai Kona: 2,192
Tesla Model X: 1,730
Tesla Model S: 1,633
😁😁😁
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Tesla will have a combined ChatGPT and Nvidia moment. The market will realize that Tesla has the real world AI and the vehicle/bot hardware production to dominate both the software and hardware markets associated with vehicles and bots.
Then TSLA 🚀🌙
When?
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“
@elonmusk
will make one of the most significant Tesla announcements in many years at Investor Day on March 1st.” Many years. . . A new vehicle announcement? A new non-vehicle product? Or . . . Your thoughts?
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Elon Musk Urges Tesla Employees to Take ‘Shot at Record Quarter' - I'm doing my part. Today I pick up a Model Y that I am giving as a surprise to my daughter in law - shhhh 😎 I'll be wearing a Santa suit for the surprise delivery in Boise Tuesday 🎅
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Elon won’t sell ANY Tesla stock. He can just borrow at margin to pay taxes. He likely pays <2% margin interest while Tesla stock goes up hundreds of % a year. Selling Tesla stock is dumb (for anybody). The ONLY good reason to sell Tesla stock is to buy Tesla LEAPS. JMHO
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Observations/assumptions for Berlin phase 1: 8 foundations for gigapresses. 1000 castings/day for each. 20% down time. 270 operating days. 3 castings per car. Result: enough castings for 1.3m cars/yr. Where am I wrong?
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@MartinViecha
Thank you for reaching out to various retail investors AND to analysts AND rating agencies. Your sharing and reinforcement of information that Tesla has already shared is extremely helpful to people that don’t do as much research as some. 1/
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From Ark: "Tesla’s Model 3 production ramp provides some clues to its plans to scale battery production. After troubleshooting the process in one factory, we believe Tesla should be able to “copy and paste” in similar factories around the world much more rapidly than expected."
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@jonastsla
@jasondebolt
In 2008 I got divorced, borrowed to pay my ex, then lost my job. I was underwater w/ loans, living in a garage. Took 10 yrs to recover. Now I'm using my Tesla wealth to eliminate climate change, bring abundance to farmers, reduce water pollution & increase food nutrient density.
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I agree with
@garyblack00
. There are a lot of funds that while not tied to the SP 500 state that they beat the SP500. Benchmarked funds. Lots of these did not buy Tesla positions when SP 500 inclusion happened hoping for a big dip in price. No big dip. Now they are buying.
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A friend was in Russia when Ukraine was invaded. He got out - barely. His observation: 90% plus of Russian people he came into contact with did not want Russia invading Ukraine.
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I broke down and bought a few Jan 2025 $600 strike call options. DON’T DO WHAT I DO - TOO RISKY. I share for entertainment only.
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Recap: Giga Texas will start production with front-rear castings and 4680 structural pack. Giga Berlin will start with front/rear castings and 2170 cells in a structural frame. Giga Berlin will transition to 4680 structural pack in 2nd half of 2022.
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@heydave7
It sounds like Tesla could have a facility that puts floor mats in the vehicle by union workers before delivery and qualify for the $4,500 credit. Crazy.
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@elonmusk
@AndrewYang
@Fwd_Party
@heydave7
- How about an interview with both Elon and Andrew Yang? Epic, two world changing and humanity loving people!
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