Scarlett Maguire
@Scarlett__Mag
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🇬🇧🇺🇸 politics / polls | director at @JLPartnersPolls | smaguire @jlpartners .co.uk
Joined March 2018
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Bizarre interaction this morning just before going into an interview at the BBC.
Was asked *how I voted* at the last election as a precondition for coming on air. Is this standard practice for guests now??
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*Some professional news*
Beyond excited to start work tomorrow launching and producing the new Andrew Neil show on Channel 4
@afneil
@Channel4
My stint on
@itvpeston
has been my favourite yet, mostly because of the brilliant team, some of the best (and loveliest) in tv.
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9
239
George Osborne on the Andrew Neil Show:
* “touch and go” whether Kwarteng can survive
*he would scrap 45p tax cut
*bring forward budget
* the mess of the last week is “entirely self inflicted”
*Labour odds on favourite to win the next election
@afneil
#AndrewNeilShow
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NEWS: I’m really looking forward to starting as a Director at
@JLPartnersPolls
next month.
It’s time for a change, but I’m grateful for the bulk of my twenties spent in political TV/radio. I’ve loved it - especially launching and producing the inimitable
@afneil
’s C4 show
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7
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@JonAshworth
tells
@afneil
he was happy to campaign for Corbyn in 2019 because he knew he “wasn’t going to be Prime Minister”
“Jeremy Corbyn wasn’t going to be Prime Minister, the polls showed that consistently and I wanted to help Labour MPs get across the line and not lose their seats. Sadly many of them lost their seats.” -
@JonAshworth
on the
#AndrewNeilShow
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George Osborne not holding back on Boris Johnson...
Accuses him of trying to ‘bring down Rishi Sunak.' Says he's only ‘interested in becoming PM again’ and won't do the ‘grown up sensible thing’ if there’s ‘political opportunity in causing trouble’
@AFNeil
#AndrewNeilShow
‘Boris Johnson is interested in becoming Prime Minister again… he wants to bring down Rishi Sunak and he will use any instrument to do it.’
Watch
@George_Osborne
on Boris Johnson’s latest intervention
@AFNeil
#AndrewNeilShow
C4, 6PM
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2K
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George Osborne backs Gary Lineker saying “some of the language used on immigration by some Conservatives” is “not acceptable”
@afneil
Gary Lineker’s had a ‘good week’ according to
@George_Osborne
He tells
@AFNeil
that ‘some of the language used on immigration by some Conservatives… is not acceptable’ but
@GaryLineker
‘should help the BBC find a ladder down which to climb’
#AndrewNeilShow
C4, 6.15pm
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Former Conservative Chancellor
@George_Osborne
not pulling any punches on a potential 2nd Johnson premiership
#AndrewNeilShow
@afneil
‘Britain’s mortgages will go up in cost’ & ‘you will have a version of what we’ve seen over recent weeks’
Former Chancellor
@George_Osborne
warns against a Johnson return, saying the ‘markets will vote’ and
@RishiSunak
must be the next PM
Watch
#AndrewNeilShow
, 6.15pm
@AFNeil
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It was bound to happen at some point
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That’s a wrap on the third series of the Andrew Neil Show 👏
@afneil
@GillPenlington
@edballs
@George_Osborne
@IJRumsey
@louisa_compton
#AndrewNeilShow
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Talking about gamble-gate cut through in Sunak’s own constituency on
@SkyNews
with
@AliFortescue
The scandal had cut through for Conservative voters in
@JLPartnersPolls
@38degrees
@mcgregormt
latest focus group in Richmond and Northallerton
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Excited to say today is my first day at
@JLPartnersPolls
Drop me a line on SMaguire
@jlpartners
.co.uk for any polling, politics questions or media bids
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5
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Why the darts is the best thing on TV
(apart from the Andrew Neil Show ofc)
11
11
59
George Osborne
@George_Osborne
compares
@BorisJohnson
's premiership to a Greek Tragedy. He 'wanted it all his life' but 'in the end, couldn't deliver'
@afneil
#AndrewNeilShow
5
13
56
On the back end of an all-nighter talking to
@bbcone
@bbclaurak
about the damage Reform UK are currently inflicting on the Conservatives and the potential mirror image of a headache the Greens could give Labour in the years to come for
@JLPartnersPolls
⬇️
2
10
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David Davis
@DavidDavisMP
tells
@Afneil
he has been asked to stand again as Tory leader, and doesn't rule out doing so...
#AndrewNeilShow
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Went on last night’s
@BBCNewsnight
to talk about the Rwanda scheme and Conservative 2019 voters for
@JLPartnersPolls
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Quite a day for the return of the Andrew Neil Show with
@George_Osborne
@edballs
@Madz_Grant
@soniasodha
+ more
tonight at 6pm on Channel 4
@afneil
Andrew Neil is back, on another momentous day in Westminster.
For all the fallout from Nadhim Zahawi’s sacking, join
@AFNeil
,
@George_Osborne
and
@EdBalls
at 6pm on Channel 4.
#AndrewNeilShow
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George Osborne blames Brexit for Britain's bleak long-term economic forecasts but says no one - the Conservatives, Labour and 'national broadcasters' -is prepared to talk about it...
@afneil
#AndrewNeilShow
‘What he can’t talk about, indeed no one in the political establishment will talk about, is Brexit.’
@George_Osborne
tells
@GrantShapps
Brexit is the reason ‘Britain is stagnating’ but that Conservatives, Labour and national broadcasters won’t talk about it. |
@AFNeil
C4, 6pm
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Would say this is the WTF election but strength of anti-politics and underlying chaos in electorate been very clear for months
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The Andrew Neil Show is back for a second series with
@George_Osborne
and
@edballs
. Watch our first show back this Sunday evening on channel 4 - we’ll be in Liverpool for Labour conference
@afneil
@Channel4
@ITNProductions
5
12
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Who knew all I ever wanted was
@SebastianEPayne
@CharlotteIvers
and Scarlett drawing cows on tv
7
1
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Really enjoyed speaking to
@nicholaswatt
@BBCNewsnight
about Boris Johnson
⬇️
Why is a Boris comeback not happening? He’s less popular than Phillip Schofield and Xi Jinping.
@Scarlett__Mag
on
@BBCNewsnight
👇
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George Osborne responds to the Hancock WhatsApp leaks for the first time on the Andrew Neil Show
@afneil
‘Handing over your entire WhatsApp library over to Isabel Oakeshott is not actually a particularly sensible idea’
@George_Osborne
says he ‘won’t defend’
@MattHancock
giving 100,000 WhatsApps, including some of his own messages, to Isabel Oakeshott
#AndrewNeilShow
C4, 6pm
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Business Minister Paul Scully
@scullyp
tells
@afneil
that there ‘may well be’ a vote of no confidence coming down the track
#AndrewNeilShow
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9
34
George Osborne says Rishi Sunak being 'pulled down by a series of scandals' and might meet the same fate as John Major 'unable to escape the downward pull of the Tory party.'
Watch the
#AndrewNeilShow
tonight at 6pm on Channel 4
@afneil
Former Chancellor
@George_Osborne
says
@RishiSunak
is being ‘pulled down by a series of scandals’ and ‘needed to act more quickly than he did’ on Nadhim Zahawi.
Channel 4, 6pm
#AndrewNeilShow
@AFNeil
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George Osborne says Prime Ministers should have to publish their resignation honours *before* they leave office anticipating trouble coming down the track…
“Prime ministers should publish their resignation honours before they leave office rather than leaving it to their successors as we’re about to discover with Boris Johnson and Liz Truss”
@George_Osborne
predicts another political storm on the horizon…
@AFNeil
#AndrewNeilShow
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On
@BBCNews
talking about some of the latest
@J_L_Partners
@DailyMailUK
@robcrilly
🇺🇸 polling after Biden’s NATO gaffes
Only 1 in 4 (24%) think Biden could stay up for a Cuban Missile Crisis situation.
Only 3 in 10 (31%) think Biden will stay alive for the next four years
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Summer news cycle, tryint to get back on Rachmaninoff (with mixed success)
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Caroline Nokes makes a good point, the media can still be pretty bad for this stuff too
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The Conservatives lost nearly 3 million voters to 'the sofa' this election
* 1 in 3 of those who stayed at home in this election voted in 2019
*Of those, HALF voted Conservative in 2019
New
@JLPartnersPolls
@Policy_Exchange
poll of non-voters in this morning's
@politico
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15
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Great to be back on Never Mind the Ballots with the
@JLPartnersPolls
worm
@MrHarryCole
@kateferguson4
@jamesjohnson252
🪱 Worm is back!
Never Mind the Ballots post-match analysis of Election Showdown
With
@JLPartnersPolls
—
@Scarlett__Mag
and
@jamesjohnson252
And our
@kateferguson4
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Great to be back on Newscast with
@adamfleming
@jburnmurdoch
and
@robfordmancs
Talking some of the interesting results you might have missed on election night
@JLPartnersPolls
Link here:
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When asked whether Boris Johnson should go now,
@carolinenokes
says "absolutely"
Wow what an attack from
@carolinenokes
- she says a political party is bigger than one man- but that man is dragging us (the Tories) down.
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Thanks to
@Channel4News
for helping me show the devastating effects the recent London floods had on my community
@Liam_O_Hare
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15
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Former Deputy PM
@DamianGreen
tells
@AFNeil
the cabinet should 'take some action' against Boris Johnson now, but that 'many of them are setting up leadership campaigns' and don't want to wield the dagger for fear of losing the crown...
#AndrewNeilShow
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4
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Up bright and early for BBC Newscast by-elections coverage with
@bbcpaddy
@adamfleming
@peterkyle
and
@hzeffman
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6
26
wrote about the London floods that left me homeless and the need for a total overhaul of our infrastructure/drainage systems for the
@NewStatesman
We need a radical and immediate overhaul of our infrastructure to help reduce the risks from the damage already caused by climate change, writes
@ScarlettMagu1re
.
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Spoke to
@SkyNews
@markaustintv
from DC about where the last 24 hours leaves the Democrats and whether Harris has a better chance than Biden
@J_L_Partners
1
8
26
The DUP will be tabling two amendments to the IM bill, one on state aid, including NI within UK arrangements, and a second one exempting NI businesses from export declarations on shipments where the goods are for consumption in NI and not at risk of being sold in into EU
5
8
25
Foreign office Minister Andrew Mitchell tells
@afneil
contrary to reports Govt is not considering leaving ECHR saying it would be an “extraordinary thing to do” doesn’t rule out resigning over it either …
‘I think it would be an extraordinary thing to leave the ECHR’
Foreign Office Minister
@AndrewMitchMP
says that, despite reports, leaving the ECHR is not ‘on the table’ and it’s ‘not being seriously considered’ by the government.
@AFNeil
#AndrewNeilShow
C4, 6pm
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Great to speak to
@ChrisMasonBBC
on
@BBCr4today
this morning about culture war issues + their electoral significance
0
3
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George Osborne’s warning of a “Tory wipeout” on the
#andrewneilshow
on the front page of the i
@afneil
Monday’s i - “PM scrambles to save her premiership as Tories warn of ‘wipeout’ “.
#TomorrowsPapersToday
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Michael Gove refuses to guarantee to
@afneil
that HS2 will *ever* reach Central London
Watch: Levelling Up Secretary
@MichaelGove
refuses to guarantee that HS2 will ever reach Euston and central London
#AndrewNeilShow
@AFNeil
C4, 3.15pm
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Thank you
@nicholaswatt
@tombrookspolloc
for having me back on
@BBCNewsnight
to talk about next week’s by-election in Selby
@JLPartnersPolls
0
4
25
On Danny Kruger’s Small Boats amendments George Osborne tells
@afneil
leaving ECHR would be a “disaster” for the Tories and would “blow it all up” rather than solve the problem
‘It would be a disaster for the Tory Party.’
With a backbench rebellion brewing on the government’s Small Boats Bill
@George_Osborne
tells
@AFNeil
that leaving the ECHR would be a ‘disaster,' and a ‘complete red herring’
#AndrewNeilShow
3.15pm
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Really enjoyed my first time on Newscast
@BBCOne
talking Rwanda bill, by-elections and Starmer for
@JLPartnersPolls
with
@ChrisMasonBBC
@BBCJamesCook
@MaryCreagh_
and
@edvaizey
Watch here: …
2
4
23
The race is still Donald Trump’s to lose but the Democrats might as well take a chance on Harris rather than Biden
Back on
@SkyNews
outside the Capitol for
@J_L_Partners
2
9
23
Andrew Mitchell can’t bring himself to fully back the Rwanda scheme and tells
@afneil
the benefits would only be “marginal”
What does Foreign Office Minister
@AndrewMitchMP
think of the government’s Rwanda asylum plan?
He tells
@AFNeil
that ‘cost is a serious issue’ and that the scheme would only be of ‘marginal benefit’ when it comes to tackling channel crossings.
@AFNeil
#AndrewNeilShow
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3
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Dominic Raab tells
@afneil
the DUP won’t get a veto on Sunak’s Brexit deal
Will the Government proceed with a Brexit deal without the DUP’s support?
Deputy Prime Minister Dominic Raab tells
@AFNeil
‘There’s no de facto veto’ for the DUP
#AndrewNeilShow
C4, 6pm
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5
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Speaking as a former Chancellor
@George_Osborne
tells
@afneil
Nadhim Zahawi was “bang to rights on this right from the beginning”
“He was bang to rights on this right from the beginning”
Watch
@George_Osborne
’s verdict on Nadhim Zahawi’s sacking
Channel 4, 6pm
#AndrewNeilShow
@AFNeil
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53% think UK should support Ukraine for as long as it takes
Only 15% think Chinese tech companies like TikTok should be allowed to operate in the UK
41% Lab voters back Illegal Migration Bill
@JLPartnersPolls
polling for
@TheBFPG
annual report in this morning’s
@politico
4
11
17
Subbing in the most unpopular VP in recent history just a few months before the election election was an extraordinary move - even more extraordinary it was in all likelihood the right decision
@J_L_Partners
3
4
17
New
@JLPartnersPolls
analysis showing that voters are mow more likely to vote Labour than Conservative until they are *70 years-old* in today’s
@POLITICOEurope
@JulianGallie
More details on Bloomberg
@alexwickham
2
11
16
Watch the Andrew Neil Show at 6pm this evening for George Osborne’s first response his own messages being made public in the Matt Hancock WhatsApp leaks
@AFNeil
#AndrewNeilShow
👇👇
Does
@George_Osborne
agree with
@AFNeil
that ‘It seems quite easy to get on [his] front page’ when he was editor of the Evening Standard?
Watch
@George_Osborne
’s first public response to *those* WhatsApp messages exclusively on the
#AndrewNeilShow
, C4 at 6pm
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New
@JLPartnersPolls
local elections poll
We asked people what would determine their vote today: Local issues inc hospitals and road maintenance came out top.
Despite significant news coverage, the handling of sewage disposal and migrant accommodation ranked last
4
9
16
Andrew Neil Show is back tonight, 6pm on Channel 4 with
@George_Osborne
@edballs
@grantshapps
@thatginamiller
@CharlotteIvers
and
@stephenkb
@afneil
#AndrewNeilShow
tonight on C4 at 1800
@george_osborne
predicts
@DominicRaab
will go in an imminent reshuffle & tackles
@grantshapps
on the Brexit white elephant
@edballs
Truss column is“delusional, utter nonsense, garbage”
Plus
@TheGinaMiller
@stephenkb
@CharlotteIvers
@afneil
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10
21
5
5
16
JLP
@JLPartnersPolls
in top 3 most accurate pollsters for UK election
ahead of all traditional polling firms in the country …
2024 Pollster Scores (Regular Polling, Not MRPs):
🥇
@NorstatUKPolls
🥈
@VerianGroup
🥉
@JLPartnersPolls
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2
5
16
Thanks
@PronouncedAlva
for having me back on
@politico
Westminster Insider podcast. This time talking about immigration and its electoral significance on behalf of
@JLPartnersPolls
0
3
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0
3
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Talking about Rishi Sunak’s D-Day disaster this morning on
@SkyNews
with
@WilfredFrost
@LeahBoleto
and
@MhariAurora
for
@JLPartnersPolls
Biggest gaffe of the campaign so far…
0
2
16
Bad news for the PM in new
@JLPartnersPolls
report: share of Conservative 2019 voters sticking with Sunak is now lower than with Truss + the party has shed 500,000 votes since Tory conference…
Exclusive
— Rishi Sunak is now polling **worse than Liz Truss** with the key voters who decided the last election
— Sunak has presided over a “year of decline” that’s caused an “implosion” in the Tory vote, according to a major study by
@JLPartnersPolls
143
647
2K
2
10
15
Good to be on last night’s
@Channel4News
talking to
@PGMcNamara
about Reform and the Lib Dems
0
3
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The voters the Tories need back the National Service plan. But ‘time for a change’, the dominant mood in the country, matters a lot more to what happens on July 4th.
On
@SkyNews
for
@JLPartnersPolls
earlier this evening
2
7
15
I wrote up the latest
@TimesRadio
@JLPartnersPolls
focus group for
@LabourList
on why apathy might be the biggest winner in 2024
"Apathy may well end up being the biggest winner in 2024, with both parties potentially struggling to persuade people to turn out to vote at all."
@Scarlett__Mag
on the findings of
@JLPartnersPolls
' latest focus group for Times Radio: 👇
0
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Our
@JLPartnersPolls
@38degrees
research implied voters will be unlikely to change their mind after last night’s debate
Sunak seen as “smarmy” and “out of touch”, Starmer as “dull but honest” but once again a pervasive mood of frustration and anti-politics
@BBCNews
2
5
13
What do Americans think of Harris and Vance?
NEW
@J_L_Partners
wordclouds for Breaking Points
We asked a nationally representative sample of 1,000 people what they think about Kamala Harris and JD Vance 👇
3
9
13
61% of Brits including *58%* of leave voters say they want to reduce trading barriers with the EU
New
@JLPartnersPolls
for
@TheBFPG
annual report
0
3
13
@LINT_UK
@BorisJohnson
@grantshapps
Would you be interested in speaking to Times Radio? scarlett.maguire
@times
.radio
1
1
11
As a student I inadvertently sat down for lunch next to Peter Hitchens’ wife. It came up that her husband was a journalist. When I asked what he wrote about she answered with just one word.
“Decline.”
"Declinism about Britain is just wrong — it's always been wrong in the past and it's wrong today"
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt attacks the "gloom" around the UK economy, saying that since Brexit, "we've grown at about the same rate as Germany"
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3
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0
5
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Spoke to
@PGMcNamara
on
@Chann4News
for
@JLPartnersPolls
whether Rishi Sunak will reap any dividend from today’s inflation figures
(I think not…)
1
4
13
J.L. Partners election event *this evening* at 6pm
@JLPartnersPolls
as in
@politico
with
Will Dry
@PronouncedAlva
@TomBaldwin66
@tmlbk
and
@jamesjohnson252
1
9
13
Crispin Blunt becomes the first MP to break cover and call for Liz Truss to go now
Watch the
#AndrewNeilShow
in full tonight at 6.15pm on Channel 4
@afneil
‘The game is up’ for Liz Truss
Former Minister
@CrispinBlunt
becomes the first Tory MP to break cover since Kwasi Kwarteng was sacked, telling
@AFNeil
the PM has got to go
Watch a special edition of
#TheAndrewNeilShow
: Can Liz Truss survive?
Tonight,
@Channel4
, 6.15pm
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Tune in to
@Channel4
tonight at 6.15pm for a Labour conference Andrew Neil Show
@afneil
special from Liverpool with…
@edballs
@George_Osborne
@wesstreeting
@cmcanea
@stephenkb
@Madz_Grant
0
0
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Discussing the latest
@JLPartnersPolls
@RestIsPolitics
on
@BBCNews
Reform UK down 3 points over the weekend…
4
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12