Join scientists, policy wonks and Labour staffers (and sometimes MPs) at
@Scientists4Lab
's next Science Policy Drinks event on Wednesday 4 September from 6pm to 8pm.
Link to sign up with location details here:
We should scrap the REF.
We could save universities £430 million, improve research financial sustainability, increase support for spinouts and drive technological diffusion to support regional productivity growth by switching to a system focused on “external research income”. 🧵
“Foundations” chose to focus on how the planning system blocks private investment.
But the planning system blocks this kind of state investment too (or makes it far more expensive).
Planning reform isn’t “market fundamentalism” - it’s also a way to unshackle the state.
'The right still leads the policy discourse in the UK today. Its nostrums are the common currency not only of the Conservative Party, but also the Labour government.' Thoughts on the continuing significance of market fundamentalism and bad Tory history
Excited to be joining
@UKDayOne
as Science Policy Lead.
Hoping to bring my first-hand experiences from the lab, the clinic and Parliament to the development of implementation-ready policies which drive innovation and growth.
🚀🇬🇧
The new Chancellor could boost UK GDP by 4.4% with this one simple trick...
In our latest briefing,
@luciacoulter
@leecrawfurd
& Tammy Tan highlight the economic and social cost of childhood lead poisoning, a hidden epidemic which costs the UK 4.4% of annual GDP.
Rob is right.
REF is a disaster, I wanted to bin it - no way it happens under NPC Starmer, Treasury hatred for building long term capabilities will win every big fight
I’m excited to have recently been re-elected onto the National Executive Committee of
@Scientists4Lab
!
This year we plan to host monthly science policy networking drinks events in Westminster.
Sign up to the mailing list here:
It's rare that spending cuts are good for research.
But under pressure to close a "£22bn fiscal black hole", here's how Labour could save £30 million while improving research impact, quality and dissemination.
The Government could save £30m, boost scientific progress and economic productivity by reforming academic publishing.
Our latest briefing from
@SanjushDalmia_
@JACoates
argues for publishing taxpayer-funded research before going to journals.
Labour is worried about R&D tax credit fraud, but more private R&D investment is vital for growth.
Could complementary policy tools minimise fraud, crowd-in *more* private R&D investment, align this to industrial strategy and shape markets to maximise social benefits? Yes.
It was great to hear that the first edition of Science Policy Drinks with
@Scientists4Lab
was such a success, with a drop-in from
@ChiOnwurah
!
If you'd like to attend in the future, sign-up to the mailing list here:
Such a great turnout at
@Scientists4Lab
’s Science Policy Drinks.
Thanks in particular to three of our new Labour MPs with science and tech backgrounds for joining -
@DanAldridgeWSM
,
@steveyemm
and
@adamthompson111
. We look forward to supporting your work in Parliament!
@thomasforth
I promise it isn't! (I also live in Leeds!)
I don't expect our proposal to have a large effect on the geographical distribution of QR funding, but I do expect it to improve regional growth via increased university-industry collaboration.
Before my first job in science policy, I went through everything Tom has written and said on making an impact in this space.
I think it was all great advice!
Especially the prompt - “If your minister had to implement the policy idea, who are the people they need to ring up?”
My words in the Spring Fabian Review 🥳
I argue for investments in R&D *proportionate* to the threat future pandemics pose to our economy, which could also improve Labour’s image on national security.
Super exciting!
In a
@Scientists4Lab
report earlier this year, I recommended that govs complement these initiatives with “regulatory pull” to incentivise R&D in safety tech for deepfakes.
This would benefit UK safety tech start-ups and be *cost-free*.
Trust in digital infrastructure and in the information it provides is a cornerstone of our society. Yet, with the advances of AI anyone can generate synthetic content at unprecedented scale and quality. Today, the
@SPRIND
Challenge "Deepfake Detection & Prevention" starts to
Some highlights from
@ChiOnwurah
's speech in Parliament on tech in public services today:
Mentions
@collect_intel
's work - safety, participation and progress can and must go hand-in-hand when it comes to AI. (
@divyasiddarth
)
Worried about the potential impact of deepfakes on elections? Same.
I'm quoted here discussing a new
@Scientists4Lab
report, looking at what a Labour government should consider doing on this issue:
Throughout 2023,
@Scientists4Lab
focused on making pandemic preparedness a priority for the Labour front bench.
While it's true that the UK focused too much on flu pandemics, we *still* aren't even prepared for those! (despite current concerns around bird flu)
If we think Bell Labs-style corporate labs are key, gov should just directly make new ones via public-private partnerships (similar to
@AnEmergentI
's Lovelace labs)
(rather than cutting public spending / tightening competition law and hoping these labs slowly reemerge)
"when it came to delivering productivity gains, the old, big-business model of science worked better than the new, university-led one."
Hard to overstate how serious the implications of this argument - if it's found to be right.
Excited to see what comes next.
IMO, James’s work at TBI (and before that in gov) was key in taking ‘metascience’ from a niche corner of academia I came across in 2019 to the centre stage of science policy.
Today was my last day at TBI
@InstituteGC
.
I have only very fond memories of a wonderful group of people, willing to think and work ambitiously to lay out how to reimagine the state to place science and technology at the centre of progress. We produced three Blair-Hague New
What many conversations about long-term sickness and economic inactivity miss, is that by default, our ageing population means things will get worse. 🧵
They last cycle of the REF cost £471 million - annualised, this is *five per cent* of the budget which Research England distributes every year on the basis of the REF.
Many expect the next cycle to cost more.
If you work in politics, reading social science papers is a very easy way to add a lot of value to policy debates.
We should all be trying to get this down to <1 year!
Alternative proteins offer a fantastic opportunity for regional export-led growth - so great to see the Science Secretary backing lab-grown meat!
Map from
@GoodFoodInst
“We can’t fight this tsunami of technology that is engulfing the globe. But we can shape and steer it and that’s what I’m in this business to do.”
Read my interview in the
@Telegraph
today:
In Liverpool for Labour conference from 7th to 10th October.
Drop me a message if you want to chat about science and tech policy, public health, international development or global health over coffee!
@TheIFS
has argued that Rachel Reeves needs to raise an additional £25 billion worth of taxes to avoid austerity.
No tax rises are popular, and many could be bad for growth.
But these taxes are politically smart and would support growth, reduce NHS costs + even reduce crime.
🚨 NEW BRIEFING
Ahead of the autumn budget,
@aveek18
of
@SMFthinktank
has set out one way the Chancellor could raise money for investment while boosting public health and economic growth.
Arts and humanities researchers are currently less able to obtain external research income.
To ensure we support these types of research, instead of relying on the REF, which wastes £471 million, we argue it is far more efficient to increase the budgets of
@ahrcpress
and
@ESRC
.
Thinking about Britain’s tax system is a strong reminder that we haven’t achieved
@gamblingondev
’s “development bargain”.
+1 for
@s8mb
’s “UK needs to do catch-up growth” argument.
If we're serious about ending the cycle of NHS winter crises, tackling respiratory viruses like influenza must be a key element. This would be a great step in that direction.
(Influenza causes heart attacks, not just a runny nose!)
🚀 NEW BRIEFING 🚀
The UK could become the global centre for Human Challenge Trials, argues
@AFraserUrq
. This would supercharge UK pharmaceuticals & life sciences + support global health.
Today, I asked my first question in the House of Commons, focussing on pandemic preparedness following on from COVID-19. I hope it is a very long time until the next pandemic hits us, but it is absolutely vital that we are better prepared for it when it does.
I struggled to find timely, relevant evidence synthesis when working for
@UKLabour
, and having done evidence synthesis with
@cochranecollab
I know how tedious and time consuming it can be.
Perfect opportunity for LLMs, and a potential revolution for evidence based policy. 👏👏
Over the weekend, we
@ESRC
made a big announcement about an investment that I hope will be of interest to anyone who cares about using evidence to make better public policy, or about harnessing AI for social science.
I wanted to tell you a bit more about it, so here's a 🧵
The promised benefits of the REF in terms of research quality have not materialised.
Recent research suggests that some European countries are seeing similar increases in research quality without any form of “performance based research funding”.
🚨NEW: US poised to invest millions in mRNA bird flu vaccine amid H5N1 scare.
Officials at the
@WHO
welcomed the move.
It comes as the virus continues to spread in mammals, threatening a new pandemic if it makes the jump to humans.
Join scientists, policy wonks and Labour staffers (and sometimes MPs) at
@Scientists4Lab
's next Science Policy Drinks event on Wednesday 4 September from 6pm to 8pm.
Link to sign up with location details here:
BREAKING NEWS
The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences has decided to award the 2024
#NobelPrize
in Chemistry with one half to David Baker “for computational protein design” and the other half jointly to Demis Hassabis and John M. Jumper “for protein structure prediction.”
Nice to put a name to this idea.
We should be able to use citation networks to work out how much "strong" researchers / "disruptive" research papers rely on the research community as a whole.
Then metascientists can work out whether to prioritise system-wide change.
today on macroscience - the strong researcher hypothesis, or, does metascience mostly spend its time devising interventions that will fail to influence the best researchers?
Great illustration of how regulation is not *inherently* pro-social.
In Britain, our planning system is being captured by private interests to block our transition to net-zero.
In this week's Investment Summit, Keir Starmer committed to “getting rid” of regulation which blocks growth.
In a new paper for
@UKDayOne
,
@gabriel_moberg
and I find that Judicial Review has been used to block key transport & energy infrastructure projects across the UK.
They had iMacs when I went here.
If private schools manage their finances better (like state schools have over the last 14 years) they could minimise the passing on of VAT to parents.
We argue it would be more efficient, and more effective, to incentivise greater research quality through existing competition for grants and jobs, the “publish-review-curate” publishing model, grassroots efforts by
@ukrepro
and the new DSIT-UKRI Metascience Unit.
@karthiktadepall
I think the “Publish-review-curate” model + preregistration essentially avoids this trade-off.
This abstract presupposes that we can’t eliminate the pre-publication peer review system.
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨
Today we publish 'The power of prevention'
Setting out practical steps to boost vaccine uptake and keep the UK protected against preventable disease
🔗👇
4. Secondment pipelines to bring in talent
5. HR support for hiring managers
6. A whole of govt organogram (!)
7. Cross-govt collaboration platform
8. Centralised induction guidance
These recommendations include adopting “partial randomisation”, or funding lotteries, as a *default* approach to grant allocation.
We also propose a 10 A4 page cap on the length of grant applications.
@ARIA_research
already uses this length for some grants.
An Academy for Mathematical Sciences could have been funded *15* times over by cancelling the pot of taxpayers money we spend to help academic publishers worsen our research quality and impact
Another penny wise pound foolish decision. At some point we have to stop sweating relatively small amounts of money and lean into things the UK is good at. Like mathematics.
Looking forward to a busy Tuesday in London at the
@CSciPol
Annual Conference, followed by the
@DefenceFabians
event on Tech Governance under Labour.
Drop me a DM if you're around at either event - I'd love to meet and chat!
CSaP’s Annual Conference is 2 weeks away! The conference allows academics & policy professionals to explore issues at the interface of science & policy like
🧑💼Productivity
⛈️Climate
🖥️Emerging tech
👩⚕️Health care
🍃Nature recovery
For details & reg 👉
Have you heard of Tempsford?
At the junction of the East Coast Mainline and the planned East-West Rail line, Tempsford could be the perfect place for one of the new government's New Towns.
@KaneEmerson
and
@SCP_Hughes
make the case in our latest briefing
Great to see Lord Vallance highlight this weakness of UKRI.
In a
@UKDayOne
report,
@AW_Baker
,
@andrewgraves80
and I recommended that Lord Vallance explicitly mandate Innovate UK to experiment with funding approaches:
Interesting to hear Patrick Vallance set out his aim for UK Research and Innovation to become a “strategic organisation”, while outlining concerns that the funder currently cannot manage innovative funding approaches.
Academic publishers failing completely to enforce academic rigour has harmful, real-world consequences.
Beyond absurd to claim “autism reversal” without a comparator group
There are some articles in the news today about research that claims autism can be ‘reversed’.
This is deeply insulting to the more than 700,000 autistic people in the UK. We are completely baffled why this has even been published by UK papers. This is a case study of a single
This is a very interesting contribution to policy thinking on AI, particularly in the context of the government's new Green Paper on Industrial Strategy.
The AI race is on, and the UK is falling behind.
Our latest report
@UKDayOne
outlines what’s at stake and what we must do to stay competitive.
Buckle in for a long 🧵
TLDR; the situation is not exactly rosy, but there are concrete actions we can take to gain ground.
The time for change is now.
No funding allocation system for universities will be perfect.
But this system (and probably many other alternatives!) would be better than the REF.
A clinical trial has found a psoriasis drug to be effective in treating the early stages of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents.
More:
@NIHRresearch
Open-access revenue triples: 6 companies saw revenues from author fees surge over 5 years. The growth is driven by two factors: The number of open-access articles published is increasing, and authors are also choosing to publish in more expensive journals.
@paulnovosad
B-H Criteria are widely taught in public health and great for when a large time lag between exposure and outcome makes experiments infeasible (as in smoking and lung cancer)
But I think for SM and mental health we can just do better abstinence RCTs!
Really thought we'd have better RCT evidence on the effects of social media abstinence by now (longer + larger + intervention groups abstaining from all SM platforms, not just one + trials focused on adolescents)
Argues for role of
@EvidenceQuarter
amid hype, to trial, evaluate and scale up cost-effective AI solutions.
Makes the case for "fair, open and transparent" procurement giving British AI start-ups a shot at gov contracts (cf:
@nathanbenaich
@chalmermagne
)
@Scientists4Lab
will be hosting our next Science Policy Drinks event on 17 July, from 6-8pm at Walkers of Whitehall.
Join us to celebrate our new Labour MPs with backgrounds in science and tech, including
@DanAldridgeWSM
and Dave Robertson MP!
RSVP:
Great to see more engagement with our REF report, but I feel this piece misinterprets our proposal in places.
We recommend setting a funding floor *in proportion to full-time equivalent research staff*, eg - this many £000s per FTE researcher.
Proposed REF replacement ripe for abuse, argues Rachel Persad (
@rachel_persad
).
"The proposal would do nothing to challenge questionable research practices or change behaviour...we should be careful not to dismantle something just for the sake of change."
Delighted to be asked by
@RachelReevesMP
to lead a Pensions Review to deliver a better deal for future pensioners and boost investment and economic growth in every part of the UK.
@alf_collins
The "compression of morbidity" hypothesis.
"the burden of lifetime illness may be compressed into a shorter period before the time of death, if the age of onset of the first chronic infirmity can be postponed"
The Forestry Commission now maps "low-sensitivity areas" where tree planting would be most suitable.
Under the "fast-track" process for these areas, it takes *12 weeks* to get approval to start planting trees.
The existing planning system is bad for biodiversity too.
Interesting tidbit on Rory Stewart's experience as minister in DEFRA. Plan to plant 500 million trees, at minimal cost to the public, opposed by environmental groups on the basis that they wanted to micromanage "the right trees in the right places". Sounds familiar!
List of prominent Alzheimer’s researchers credibly accused of fraud:🧵
1. Marc Tessier-Lavigne, president of Stanford, co-authored "several" papers with doctored images. When concerns were raised, Marc wanted to “keep it quiet”.
Recommendation from a Science and Technology Select Committee report the government never responded to, *4 years* before the DSIT-UKRI Metascience Unit was created
The ruling class insist mass migration is the only solution to our demographic “crisis”.
But after the Black Death cut the population in half, wages and living standards rose.
In modern conditions, labour shortages would lead to technical innovations which are uneconomic at
A majority of researchers believe the REF discourages “blue sky” research.
A massive reduction in bureaucracy will give researchers more time and space to pursue this type of research.
I am really excited to share my Job Market Paper "Public R&D Spillovers and Productivity Growth". ()
I investigate the consequences of the large decline in publicly-funded R&D on productivity growth in the US.
Short summary below 👇 1/15
We present lines of evidence which suggest that overall allocations of “QR” funding (core, flexible public funding to universities currently allocated on basis of the REF) would remain similar.
But allocations wouldn’t be *identical*, and there would be winners and losers.
En route to Oxford for the
@PSIOxford
annual meeting that starts tomorrow.
Always irritates me that I have to go via London to travel via train from Cambridge to Oxford!
To avoid a net increase in time spent applying for grants, we recommend that
@UKRI_News
adopts recommendations from the “Review of Peer Review” they commissioned, which would cut bureaucracy in the grant-making system.
I agree we should "start by automating dull, back-office processes, of which there are plenty to fix in the health service and local government", but I think this will be significant enough to massively transform public services.
'Tech has the power to create a better society, but it’s unlikely to happen if AI is unleashed upon us. Taking the time to do things right isn’t anti-innovation: it's what is required to get deep-rooted change in social systems' My piece for
@NewStatesman
"If H5N1 turns into a full-blown pandemic, we are currently in chapter one. To prevent chapter two from becoming a reality, the most important tool in our arsenal will be widespread testing," write Janika Schmitt and Michael Mina
@benwansell
Under our proposal, academics would be allowed to publish closed-access after a preprint is published (so no APC).
A few may choose to pay APCs anyway for personal prestige benefit, but I think most of us will agree that the taxpayer shouldn’t finance this so directly.
Seems like a good idea to build awareness of the government's "Areas of Research Interest" amongst final-year undergrad / masters students for potential thesis topics ()
@AnnetteBoaz
@stianwestlake
@NJ_Davies
@wesstreeting
I think the best explanation for frontline staff wanting fewer managers, even though policy analysts are saying we have too few managers, is that the major problem is management *quality*.
I think systematic reviews are one of the best use case for LLMs, and I'm excited about .
Great opportunity to help overcome the "growing burden of knowledge" () and speed up innovation.
Research has shown that first-borns earn more than younger siblings.
Scientists aren't sure why. Do older kids learn executive functioning when they act as co-parents? Maybe?
New theory: Older children bringing home disease —> younger siblings have 2-3x hospitalization rates
Really important work.
Public health and health creation investments need to not only increase, but catch up to and then *outpace* population ageing, or we’ll continue to get poorer and sicker.
🚨 | New report: The UK is getting poorer and sicker. This paper sets out to quantify whether better health is the best medicine for our most deep-rooted economic challenges.
Read the full
#HealthAndProsperity
report here:
@BeaconRosie
As an example, I think the R&D sector thought we had won when Lab committed to 3% R&D spend in the industrial strategy so stopped pushing as much, but then it was it dropped from the manifesto.
@BeaconRosie
I think there’s still a large range with the degree to which you choose to liberalise planning reform + there’s a risk gov backs off as they come across the reality of it being politically unpopular in the short term, including with Lab MPs in marginals.
Discusses digital exclusion and the effects of poor digital gov services on constituents.
Emphasises importance of satnavs in saving marriages, and cat memes in spreading joy.
Watch here:
Why improve research impact for free by reforming academic publishing and funding higher-risk innovation and preregistering hypotheses when you could instead bin one billion pounds of taxpayer's money and achieve nothing?