tylercowen
@tylercowen
Followers
243K
Following
1K
Media
78
Statuses
38K
new book *Talent: How to Identify Energizers, Winners, and Creatives Around the World*, https://t.co/7bU5cUdOBc, Conversations with Tyler, Bloomberg Opinion.
Joined August 2007
Am I wrong to think that the Peloton ad ended up being a bigger story than the Afghanistan war documents?.
144
966
5K
It does seem to me at this point that the UFO footage is not of the Russian military.
64
290
4K
They promised me riots and a military coup, and all I got was a fluctuating prediction market.
56
262
3K
I've grown not to entirely trust people who are not at least slightly demoralized by some of the more recent AI achievements.
126
78
2K
Amazing how many people think "debate" has to mean an oral interchange with no third-party evaluation or verification. Written culture, with lags and verification, is often the best means of substantive debate.
63
187
2K
I've read a lot of older books, most of all from the 17th century. I'm here to tell you that almost everything in them is wrong.
130
86
1K
Not pleased, but more of you argue like this than you might like to think.
37
149
1K
The word hasn't gotten out yet just how good Claude 3 Opus is for economics and economic reasoning. So here's the word.
27
80
1K
FDA approves new test that can detect coronavirus in 45 minutes:
21
322
1K
How about "As the daughter of a cancer researcher, Kamala Harris would bring a lifelong familiarity with science to the presidency, children of experts say"?.
46
76
1K
Argentina should in fact dollarize, it is the hyperinflationists who are the radicals:
49
213
992
Why don’t they just board all of the people in window seats first?.
91
95
965
I too fail to reason "out of distribution," and that is one reason to try to read a lot, travel a lot, movies, and so on.
10
54
963
The world as a whole underrates "elasticity of supply" as an essential concept:
21
129
888
Sorry to say this was the America I expected as a kid, it's the 45-year detour in between that took me by surprise.
32
54
813
Amazing how hard people will work, and how many (false) arguments they will cite or create, to avoid the simple conclusion that they ought to bet *something* on their unusual, market-deviating beliefs.
48
43
844
No, tariffs did not drive the 19th century industrialization of America:
44
192
813
It's amazing how many people think you should have the right to kill yourself, but no right to borrow money at high rates of interest.
76
367
773
With the new o1 model, often the best strategy is to get a good history book, to help you generate questions, and then to ask away. How long will it take the world to realize a revolution in reading has arrived?.
40
51
783
If you've ever watched *Goldfinger*, you have to wonder if the real ploy isn't somewhere else, such as auctioning off DMs, blackmail, etc., and the bitcoin thing just proof of concept.
26
108
676
“Not only is the food terrible, but the portions are so small!”.
25
52
656
I woke up at 12:40 a.m., concerned that I had placed too many of my assets in institutions covered by deposit insurance, and thus yielding subpar returns.
19
23
592
Maybe tipping is not to induce "good service," but rather to give servers the incentive to get customers out the door and turn the table over (to get more tips).
62
35
571
If you say your political opponents deserve to burn in hell, in fact everyone should be horrified, not praising you.
45
54
528
Library of Congress to archive Marginal Revolution as important historical and cultural artifact:
19
57
542
7
42
537
9
42
535
I know many of you must have these same thoughts and questions:
147
137
504
My surprise pick for which country has had the best response to the coronavirus pandemic:
50
127
512
If you read a criticism of Facebook, try subbing in the word "printing press" and see if it still makes sense.
175
174
497
Am confused that for the Left "guns" are a big issue, but apparently "crime" is not, #help.
Still boggled at the notion of crime as an electoral issue (chart ends at 2013, but no significant change since)
74
283
432
"The real contributions of Harvard, MIT and Stanford to the world are not the food-service workers they hire."
990
85
471
It is useful for people to know that reforming their views (and actions) will be rewarded, and that there is a statute of limitations in the non-legal sense too.
17
85
484
@Elonmusk: Are you as happy to do an interview/podcast as Paul Graham was? Conversations with Tyler.
I just got interviewed by Tyler Cowen. It was exhausting. He kept asking me questions that were interesting but so hard they'd take an essay to answer.
10
25
480
We can thank Elon Musk for keeping Twitter from evolving into a single-issue platform.
9
53
458
Hope you all enjoy that clean fusion power coming down the pike.
14
18
456
On the extreme overreaction to the British macro situation:
41
138
437
I guess you can believe both "the shutdown causes temporary hardships for govt. employees," and "payday lending is bad," but it ain't easy.
399
61
410
Alex Tabarrok and I have a new podcast, Marginal Revolution Podcast, here is episode one on the monetary policy breakdown of the 1970s: recommended.
17
76
438
The new committee to re-elect Donald Trump has some surprising members:
65
91
365
Twitter, on the whole, never has been more impactful. At the same time, complaining about others on Twitter never has been less impactful.
32
43
418
My new project, 100,000 words written by me, a "generative book," the first published inside GPT-4, *GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter?*.
28
79
402
My (earlier) Conversation with the great Daniel Kahneman: RIP.
5
91
408
Economic substance is the main issue. But if you do want to consider the politics, every time a moderate Democrat toys with taxing unrealized capital gains, wealthy and influential people are scared away from Harris. I just don't see why Democratic economists should be wanting to.
46
23
406
China was going to test Trump soon anyway, not obviously bad to troll them in advance and disrupt their strategy with some tactics.
44
130
292
If you are still willing to get your hair cut, do get it cut shorter than usual #economics.
19
25
393
Yes people, if you believe in AI, Web 3.0 is underrated, it will provide their money, law, and property rights:
31
72
370
Let's have house arrest for more convicted mothers, some fathers too,
8
116
344
Whoever wins, I don't think this will be taken as a vote for more lockdowns.
10
13
354
Let's face the truth: Alice Wu was the most important economist of 2017,
4
129
312
It turns out that writing a column on Bitcoin increases the quantity of email you receive.
13
23
317
OH: "We were promised flying cars, and all we got was a large-scale alien drone invasion in New Jersey.".
15
29
342
The financial case for real estate is stronger than I had thought:
20
62
304
GPT-4 Turbo today was announced as improved. I tried some tough economics questions on it, and this is definitely true.
10
13
319
Those of us who supported "Free College" are now willing to repudiate the idea, right? No way state governments can make up those revenue gaps.
283
18
301
"Aesthetics and travel are the kryptonite of the rationalist movement.".
28
13
324
Vitalik interviewing me, starts at about 7:00, about crypto and tech most of all:
26
96
288
On Twitter, otherwise remarkably intelligent people will be taken in by "argument by photograph." The corruption of the proper use of images is one of the worst features of this medium.
32
51
284
Market failure that the little bottles found in hotel showers have print too small to read without glasses on: "which of these is the shampoo?".
24
33
284
You might think that *during a pandemic* people would recognize the primacy of the supply side, but I guess not.
18
33
291
The real lesson of the bubble is that there are too many NBA teams relative to the amount of available talent.
55
17
293
Remind me again why the U.S. economy cannot tolerate a real interest rate as high as zero?.
31
56
283
"That's a "GPT-3 standard" essay" or "GPT-4" is a new metric for evaluating human contributions. Heaven forbid GPT-2.
17
17
275
Every day on Twitter I learn that the Stoics really did not have such an enduring influence.
13
68
280