Proverbs 3:5-6: “Trust in the lord with your heart and lean not on your own understanding; in all your ways submit to him, and he will make your paths straight”
Significant tornado damage west of Webberville, MI on I-96. Cars and semis thrown, significant tree damage. Contact
@JordanHallWX
@SevereStudios
for licensing.
#miwx
Intense tornado intercept earlier from outskirts of Clarksville, TN. Loud roar with debris in air…praying everyone’s okay. Licensing contact
@JordanHallWX
at
@SevereStudios
.
#tnwx
First time I’ve ever been seriously nervous during a storm chase. High end Moderate or High doesn’t matter….this is setting up to be a dangerous day across IL/IA as well as down south in S MO/E AR
This right here is a BIG Problem for tomorrow, this is the bulk shear on the HRRR. Those vectors are almost perfectly parallel to the front even out across the warm sector. With no cap as well, this just spells instant cluster/linear storm mode….
With that being said I’m not chasing this setup tomorrow; I would highly advise first time Dixie chasers to NOT chase this unless you are with someone that has a lot of experience…make smart decisions y’all.
CSU’s new forecast continues to remain bullish for Tuesday & especially Wednesday across the Midwest -> OH Valley. SPC mentioning an upgrade to a 30% contour in future outlooks for Wednesday as well.
LIVE west of Fort Dodge, IA waiting for supercell initiation later this evening, all hazards possible with strong long track tornadoes not out of the question. Stay tuned to watches/warnings!
#iawx
Vortex Dynamics in hilly / mountainous terrain is something I’m very interested in & would love to do research on throughout my meteorological career. This tornado was captured in just a couple miles south of Athens, OH. Notice the parent tornado weaken & broad out as it rides up
Ensemble agreement for the beginning of April is quite scary across the Ohio Valley. While we have 5-7 days and a lot of things to digest as we get closer, this is sounding of all alarm bells for a potential big time event (IF things fall in the right place). A lot can / will
Scary new HRRR run as it shows prefrontal supercells ahead of an ongoing squall with on going embedded supercells in the line. Tuesday is definitely shaping up to be scary, I’ll have a video posted tonight discussing this upcoming setup
HRRR proximity sounding from the Wapakoneta, OH tornado from yesterday. Unbelievable. Still would say that’s one of the most intimidating tornadoes I’ve ever seen next to Bremen/Hartford, KY from Dec 10, 2021.
In addition to this two-story home being completely swept away from its foundation near Bremen, part of the concrete foundation has disappeared. Notice how part of the driveway is literally scoured away. This is as extreme as tornado damage gets.
Dude I’m worried for my good friend
@marcusreynold19
…his dot was right over the CC and it hasn’t updated..tried calling him and went straight to voicemail
Environment is looking unreal across NE MO/W IL & SE IA….any supercell that can get going would have a shot at producing long track/strong - violent tornadoes if this environment holds.
After talking about solar eclipses in Astronomy lecture today, this has gotten me very hyped for the next Solar Eclipse on April 8th, 2024. Just imagining a shot of a total solar eclipse on Lake Erie....gives me chills.
Wouldn’t be shocked if Tuesday got the red sharpie for S OH / N KY / SE IN for the risk of strong, long-tracked tornadoes. Favorable shear vectors off of a diffuse cold front should favor semi-discrete supercells until the overnight hours as the trough advances east
Jaw is on the floor…full unedited drone video of the Athens, OH tor will be published tonight! A high based, lp, multi vortex tornado over rolling hills?! Can’t get any better than that. Full chase video coming out Monday! CANT MISS content
Really worried for the populated areas that will be under the gun on Sunday. While dealing with the bigger cities/suburbs, you also have a lot of towns in between the regions. Feel excited to get a chance to get a tornado in my region but also worried for people. Please stay
Dynamics for the 28th look extremely concerning across the OH Valley / MS River Valley on Wednesday. 15% contour was just added by the SPC but could definitely see this getting upgraded pending how models keep resolving this solution of the trough
You know somethings up when the owner/builder of the home has issues with the rating of his structure (btw this was the home that was well-built and swept with his foundation damaged and tossed….
Picture of the Gary, IN tornado from last night as it knocks out transformers. Beautiful LP supercell w/ textbook RFD cut wrapping around as the tornado was underway.
@NWSChicago
#ilwx
That was seriously the most random tornado I’ve ever seen in my 3 years of storm chasing. Somehow this small supercell managed to produce a cone - bowl multi-vort for 3-4 minutes near Castine, Ohio. Wanted to get a closer vantage & when I got passed a tree line it had a huge
Heres my thoughts....any semi discrete supercell that we can get will have the chance to produce strong-violent tornadoes & likely be long track.....15# looking more likely with the recent trends on RAP/HRRR
Later this month, I will be collaborating with
@ConvChronicles
for an upcoming video on Tornado Forecasting for Spring - Summer of this year using ENSO, PDO, AO, NAM, etc. Stay Tuned!
NEW Outlook/Target map for Friday! Best severe weather chance is further north along the WF/TP across KY/OH River Valley...VERY strong shear with ample low-level thermodynamics could result in a STRONG tornado threat. More conditional severe weather threat could materialize
Going to get backlash from this….may lose followers. Oops. Make your own list here. Really curious to see y’all’s results. (P.S Waffle House would be S Tier).
STRONG SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS here on Jekyll Island GA WOW! Waiting for isolated supercells approaching this area. Tornado watch is in effect
#gawx
Looking at this morning it is tough to ignore the dryline in N IL….probably imo one of the best environments overall so far this year. Very good instability profiles mixed with more backed southerly surface winds. Don’t typically throw this word around a lot but I’m highly