Mark Dankenbring
@MarkDank
Followers
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Following
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405
Statuses
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Player Projections & Props @EstablishTheRun and @EstablishRunNBA
Joined September 2010
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Last Seen Profiles
If this play didn’t exist, I’m pretty sure Zack Moss would be going at least a round ahead of Chase Brown in fantasy drafts
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Close your eyes and just listen, then tell me this doesn’t sound exactly like Andre from The League
how did Mr. Unlimited allow himself to be limited in an offense so long this vid 😂😂
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Jared Goff and the Lions will play 8 of their final 9 games in a dome after their Week 9 bye.
Nice boost to their offensive floor as we enter November and start to have more weather impacts across the league.
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Today marks 15 years since I lost my brother, John, in a car accident. Every year is different, but this one hits a little harder as I’ve now lived longer without him than with him. Pretty wild.
Although I lost a brother too soon, I am thankful for all the love and relationships
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Running backs who have a larger share of team carries than Dameon Pierce since Week 2:
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Final 2022-23
@EstablishRunNBA
Player Props Stats:
* 700-455 (60.61%)
* +$18,770 profit (assumes $100 unit)
* 13.90% ROI
* Profitable in 8/8 months (May/June combined)
Shoutout to another great year for our NBA Projections & Props team! The grind was well worth it.
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10
107
Biggest Risers🔼 and Fallers🔻in
@EstablishTheRun
's Rest of Season Top 150 Rankings entering Week 10
RISERS
Justin Fields🔼63
David Njoku🔼42
Jaylen Warren🔼41
TJ Hockenson🔼37
Jeff Wilson🔼29
CPatt🔼23
Dalton Schultz🔼22
Terrace Marshall🔼21
Kenneth Walker🔼18
Greg Dulcich🔼17
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Started full-time
@EstablishTheRun
two years ago today. It’s been an amazing couple years and I can’t wait to keep grinding and learning as we continue to grow.
Very blessed to work in my dream job alongside some awesome role models.
#EstablishIt
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0
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Just landed following an 8-day Jamaican honeymoon and my first order of business is to grind training camp reports and update kicker projections for
@EstablishTheRun
Not sure a bigger gap exists between captaining team sex and going back to full-blown spreadsheet virgin in 1 day
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4
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Would really love to know why Sean Payton refuses to play Marvin Mims, his first draft pick in Denver.
#Broncos
WR routes run on 39 Bo Nix dropbacks in Week 2:
37 - Courtland Sutton
30 - Lil'Jordan Humphrey
29 - Josh Reynolds
7 - Troy Franklin
5 - Marvin Mims
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Excited to announce I’ve officially started full time as the Operations and Projections Lead
@EstablishTheRun
So pumped to be a part of this talented team and continue my career in the fantasy and sports betting space.
#EstablishIt
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RB Leaders in % of team's routes run in Week 1:
Travis Etienne 83% 🚀
Christian McCaffrey 79%
James Conner 79%
Bijan Robinson 77%
Kyren Williams 72% 👀
Raheem Mostert 70%
Jamaal Williams 63%
Deon Jackson 62%
Tony Pollard 60%
Austin Ekeler 60%
2
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Made my debut on the main ETR pod today and was quickly mocked by Levitan. Dreams do come true, folks
New free pod up. Discussed our Rest of Season Top 150 rankings with
@2Hats1Mike
&
@MarkDank
. Let us know if you want this to be a weekly episode going forward, tyty.
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Filled in for the 🐐
@evansilva
on this week's team-by-team podcast. Talk about imposter syndrome.
Can't come close to filling the big dog's shoes, but it was a huge honor to step in with
@adamlevitan
and help record my favorite weekly pod.
#EstablishIt
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Caesars currently has Christian McCaffrey priced at -700 to score a touchdown tomorrow against the Commanders.
Never seen anything like it.
Implied probability at -700 is 87.5% 🤯
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Biggest Risers🔼 and Fallers🔻in
@EstablishTheRun
's Rest of Season Top 150 Rankings entering Week 7:
RISERS
Tua🔼38
Dak🔼32
Wan'Dale Robinson🔼27
Joe Burrow🔼21
Darrell Henderson🔼20
Van Jefferson🔼17
Travis Etienne🔼15
Allen Lazard🔼14
Nico Collins🔼14
DeAndre Hopkins🔼13
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Jordan Mason has no idea how much drama he just caused revealing he was told Friday night that he'd start...
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Big shoutout to the
@ETRGolf
team.
Projections have been on point this season and I ended up taking down the small Club Twirl this weekend.
Watched Establish The Green, spent 15 minutes building lineups on
@TheSolverSports
, and happened to come out on top.
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65
On a Delta flight with Gerald McCoy from Detroit to Cleveland.. Could he be signing a deal with the Brownies today? Heard it here first
@evansilva
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Removing the Week 14 game where he played just 31% of snaps due to a neck injury, Saquon Barkley has seen 15+ touches in all 14 games and 20+ touches in 10 of 14.
He's currently the RB5 in PPG for both half and full PPR, even including Wk 14. Great bounceback season for Saquon.
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Two weeks into pledging I had a pledge brother ask me:
"Hey Dank, what's your last name?"
"It's Dankenbring"
"Wait... So your name is Dank Dankenbring??"
Ever have a nickname so strong your own teammates forget your first name? 🤣
#Beachum
#Beach
#WhoIsKelvin
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Would prefer to see what Sam Howell has over Taylor Heinicke, but Heinicke as QB1 should be good news for Terry McLaurin.
McLaurin had a 25.5% target share in Heinicke's 15 starts last season.
It's been just 15.9% this season with Carson Wentz under center.
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Biggest Risers🔼 and Fallers🔻in
@EstablishTheRun
's Rest of Season Top 150 Rankings entering Week 11:
RISERS
Christian Watson🔼58
Marquise Brown🔼49
K. Toney🔼40
Parris Campbell🔼40
D. Montgomery🔼35
Cole Kmet🔼33
Trey McBride🔼31
Eli Mitchell🔼27
D. Schultz🔼22
A. Robinson🔼20
1
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56
Should just flip the Kyren Williams and Rico Dowdle ADPs with this news if we're being honest
Mike McCarthy said Rico Dowdle will get fewer special teams snaps this season because of his expected increased work load on offense.
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Biggest Risers🔼 and Fallers🔻in
@EstablishTheRun
's Rest of Season Top 150 Rankings entering Week 8:
RISERS
Travis Etienne🔼33
Michael Carter🔼32
Daniel Jones🔼29
Gus Edwards🔼28
Tyler Boyd🔼25
Robert Tonyan🔼25
Chuba Hubbard🔼23
Kenneth Walker🔼20
Wan'Dale🔼20
Josh Palmer🔼19
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54
Hilarious that one of the best offensive minds in the NFL with the league’s fastest players runs two fullback dives in the first half
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Rhamondre Stevenson has a 20% target share or higher in each of his last five games. Guy is absolutely feasting in the passing game.
His 50 receptions rank 3rd among RBs, behind only Austin Ekeler and CMC and ahead of Alvin Kamara and Aaron Jones. Elite role.
1
6
54
Used some fantasy football winnings to purchase my first NFL jersey in a decade. Shoutout to
@evansilva
for pointing out
@Mr_Ogunjobi
as one of the premier DTs in the league. Quickly became my favorite player on the Brownies. Can’t wait to rep 65 in the playoffs next year!
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Just left my first appointment with a new eye doctor in Denver. Turns out he loves fantasy football.
He scheduled my follow up for the day after his league’s draft order is decided so we can talk through draft strat.
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Biggest Risers🔼 and Fallers🔻in
@EstablishTheRun
's Rest of Season Top 150 Rankings entering Week 9:
RISERS
Jeff Wilson🔼57
D'Onta Foreman🔼55
Allen Robinson🔼31
Devin Duvernay🔼29
Dak Prescott🔼24
Peoples-Jones🔼24
Greg Dulcich🔼23
Kadarius Toney🔼22
Tua🔼20
DJ Moore🔼17
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Tucker Kraft has now eclipsed a 90% route share in each of the last two games for Green Bay.
George Kittle and Cade Otton lead all TEs with 88% route participation on the season.
With Jayden Reed and Christian Watson potentially out in Wk 16, Kraft is a legit plug-and-play TE.
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Biggest Risers🔼 and Fallers🔻 in
@EstablishTheRun
's Rest of Season Top 150 Rankings entering Week 6:
RISERS
Kenneth Walker🔼53
Brian Robinson🔼53
Taysom Hill🔼29
Eno Benjamin🔼28
Jakobi Meyers🔼25
Alec Pierce🔼25
JOSH JACOBS🔼24
David Njoku🔼24
Geno Smith🔼23
Tyler Lockett🔼22
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11 more targets for Sam LaPorta in Week 6
His current ranks among TEs:
* 3rd with 42 targets
* 4th with 29 receptions
* 2nd with 325 yards
* T-1st with 3 TDs
* 4th with 1.93 yds/route run
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Honestly I'm not interested in drafting any Colts RB right now in fantasy. I'll gladly let my league mates get headaches over who to take.
* Moss broken arm likely back Week 2-3
* Early downs w/o JT figure to be mix of Deon/Moss with Hull as 3rd down back (not very valuable role
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My 69 year old dad just finished his 33rd marathon. What a legend!!
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If you want a glimmer of hope for your Dallas players with Dak out, it's worth noting they didn't alter the gameplan *too* much for Cooper Rush's Wk 8 start last season.
*66.2% pass rate (-1.2% PROE)
*428 air yards were 4th-most of season
*Amari 8-122-1
*CeeDee 6-112-0
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I'm old enough to remember when D'Andre Swift played more than 20% of snaps and was one of the most electric players in football. Ah, those were the days.
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If planning out your DST schedule for the home stretch in fantasy leagues, I love Miami and Houston. They are good solo and pair great together.
Dolphins next 5 games:
Wk 11 vs. LV
Wk 12 @ NYJ
Wk 13 @ WSH
Wk 14 vs. TEN
Wk 15 vs. NYJ
Texans L5 games:
Wk 13 vs. DEN
Wk 14 @ NYJ
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Damn 2 less plays in a rack got y’all concerned 💀 I’ll see you all Sunday🤞🏽
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RIP to whoever drafted Taulia Tagovailoa in Best Ball Mania thinking they got an absolute steal on Tua.
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Growing up playing Madden I was always the Rams and my brother was the Bengals. If those matchups were any indication of how the Super Bowl will go, Cincy will run Under Smoke on defense every play, force a few costly turnovers, and win by double digits.
Bengals 31, Rams 17
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Evan broke this news to me last summer on our intro call after I got hired at ETR.
Needless to say, it's been a long year and I feel light as a feather now that this news bomb is public knowledge.
#EstablishIt
Here at ETR, we managed to avoid scandal for our first three years in business. Pains me to say that ended last week.
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Drafted a $2,000 FFPC Main Event team with fellow projection nerds
@JackMiller02
and
@2Hats1Mike
I think drafting with other people is a great exercise, otherwise I get stuck in my own tendencies and end up with same players/roster builds every time.
Jack logged our thought
6
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Set the flies killed record in Northport,
MI today. Had to get a pic to commemorate the moment
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Since Joe Brady took over as OC in Week 11, James Cook's routes run have actually fallen compared to his seasonal average, but his targets have spiked.
Wks 1-10: 48% routes, 8% tgt share
Wks 11-14: 37% routes, 14% tgt share
Cook's targets/route run has jumped from 14% to 31% !!
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Each week
@EstablishTheRun
, we release a fresh set of Rest of Season Top 150 rankings for fantasy football players.
Every Wednesday, I'll highlight the top Risers and Fallers in the rankings and drop notes on why we made those changes.
Thread to follow👇
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9
41
This is so, so good.. Levitan saying Achane 13 secs in kills me every time.
Our content team is second to none.
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Love everything about my job and life until I sit down to do waivers for 8 FFPC teams on Wednesdays.
Really makes me question my will to survive.
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First
@evansilva
matchups column of the season
Content note for In-Season subscribers: Matchups from
@evansilva
are starting to roll in!
First up, Evan's take on every relevant player in Thursday's opener.
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Went 0-for-5 on advancing BBM teams, but had some luck in other contests.
Have 6 total teams in the finals across DK & UD
UD:
- Dalmation 2 ($101 entry, 3 max)
- The Hound Dog ($10)
- The Puppy 2 ($5)
DK:
- Millionaire ($10)
- Four Technique ($44)
- Fourth Down ($15, SE)
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Davante Adams has seen 38% of Derek Carr's targets over the last five games.
It's resulted in:
10-146-2 (17 tgts)
9-126-1 (14)
7-141-2 (13)
7-74-0 (11)
8-177-2 (12)
Just an unbelievable stretch from Davante.
1
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32
This is probably my favorite offseason article we have
@EstablishTheRun
In depth, unique analysis you can only find on our site thanks to the great
@BrandonThornNFL
A must-read every year.
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Welp the JJeff to IR and Achane multi-week injury is tough news to wake up to.
Thankfully had a warm hoodie to throw on straight out of the dryer, otherwise would've been a shit morning
2
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31
Honestly don't care where Jonathan Taylor might end up by next Tuesday. I can't even guarantee any of us are going to be alive come Sunday
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The Chargers dropped back to pass on 53 of 64 plays in Week 12, good for an 82.8% pass rate. That's their third game above 80% this season, no other team has more than one.
They now have 3 of the 6 highest single game pass rate marks on the season.
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Biggest Risers🔼 and Fallers🔻in
@EstablishTheRun
's Rest of Season Top 150 Rankings entering Week 13:
RISERS
Foster Moreau🔼38
Zay Jones🔼32
David Njoku🔼29
Zonovan Knight🔼25
Ezekiel Elliott🔼22
Van Jefferson🔼22
Marquise Brown🔼21
Treylon Burks🔼19
Garrett Wilson🔼18
TDP🔼18
2
3
31
One aspect I haven't seen touched upon much when addressing the league-wide decline in passing numbers and scoring early on...
There are FIFTEEN new play callers in the NFL this season compared to last.
Tons of factors at play here for sure, but think we should give some time
2
0
31
Rooting for Davante Adams to score fantasy points tonight has been one of the most frustrating viewing experiences of my life
2
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Setting up to be an awesome slate of NFL football this weekend.
Talked through some Grade A stone cold lead pipe locks with
@adamlevitan
and
@evansilva
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"Burrow added that he and Chase have kept their connection sharp by throwing together despite the fact Chase wasn’t practicing.
“We’ve had work days all offseason into camp into the last couple weeks,” Burrow said. “We got the work in we needed.”
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Who you got in Man vs. Machine???
All I know is
@2Hats1Mike
hasn’t seen the sun since the eclipse
My opening line is Mike the Machine -200
Show schedule for this week:
TODAY: Market Monday with
@adamlevitan
TUESDAY: Polarizing WRs with
@MattHarmon_BYB
,
@evansilva
, Adam
WEDNESDAY: Man (
@evansilva
) vs. Machine (
@2Hats1Mike
) Rankings Debate
THURSDAY: News Fallout and Rankings Changes with Adam & Evan
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Week 3 Rec basketball update:
Dropped 27 on 9-11 shooting, 8-10 from deep.
Some will say it was Caitlin Clark inspired, others will acknowledge I was put on this Earth to dominate 5’8 out of shape men who leave their hand down on the catch
3
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29
Rest of Season Top 150 rankings and podcast are out!
Was great to be back on the show chopping it up with
@adamlevitan
,
@JackMiller02
, and
@notJDaigle
Pumped with the upgrades we’ve made to our rankings process. In-season trade calculator coming soon!
6
6
28
New year, new batch of
@EstablishTheRun
gear
Super high quality stuff, especially loving the Champion tie dye hoodie early on
Go get yourself some ETR Merch!
2
1
28
As a fellow fat kid, hoodie season never came soon enough.
FAT KID STORIES. You better believe
@FieldYates
and I did five minutes on how we dressed as fat kids. I wore huge hockey jerseys. He wore the same waffle shirt over and over and an orange fleece (?) to distract people. See you tomorrow on This Is Football.
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Zach Charbonnet is in line for a MASSIVE workload against the 49ers on Thanksgiving.
Pete Carroll has been gushing about Charbonnet's versatility for a while now, and we should see it on full display with Kenneth Walker (oblique) expected to miss.
s/o
@CoachspeakIndex
for vid
5
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So... Week 4 is here and not a peep about the current status of Cooper Kupp or Jonathan Taylor, who are both eligible to return in Week 5.
Sure would be nice if we got a status update here soon.. Just sayin!
1
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Been a deflating season for injuries in the NFL.. Really, really sucks.
Certainly am invested now more than ever in fantasy/the NFL, but can't remember a season like this in the past decade or so. Brutal stuff
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Justin Fields watching the Bears load up Caleb Williams with DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, and Rome Odunze before Caleb even takes a snap
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Joe Brady's first order of business...
Funnel Diggs targets? ❌
Gabe Davis renaissance? ❌
Feed James Cook? ❌
MORE TY JOHNSON ✅
5
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Taysom Hill has now played at least 40% of the snaps in each of the Saints' last 5 games and has handled 25 carries over the last 4.
If the forecast holds in Cleveland, I could see Taysom rumbling, bumbling, and stumbling his way to a meaningful fantasy performance.
0
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Austin Ekeler's target share in Wks 2-10 with Keenan Allen injured ---- 21.9%
Austin Ekeler's target share in Wks 11-18 with Keenan Allen active ---- 14.6%
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tough to believe I'm the same species as these grown ass men
The Seahawks seem unfazed by the 10-degree weather 🥶
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Anyone who wagers on a coin toss at -105 will be getting a boatload of promotional emails from books in the near future
Five most-bet
#SuperBowlLVII
props at
@BetMGM
by ticket count
1. Travis Kelce 1st TD (+650)
2. Kelce anytime TD (-125)
3. Result of coin toss: Tails (-105)
4. Eagles 37-Chiefs 34 correct score (80-1)
5. Miles Sanders OVER 59.5 rushing yards (-115)
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Go out and vote today. It’ll be good practice for the most important vote of our lives in two short years.
#EstablishIt
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We've seen New England utilize 12 personnel packages at an 84% (outrageously high) and 57% clip in previous games where they were thin at WR.
Without Douglas and Boutte, I'd expect to see plenty of Hunter Henry and Mike Gesicki on Sunday.
The Patriots have ruled out WR Kayshon Boutte (shoulder/illness) and WR Pop Douglas (concussion).
With the two WRs out, veteran Jalen Reagor likely returns to the game-day roster, and it is also anticipated that QB/WR Malik Cunningham will sign to the 53-man roster.
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Each week
@EstablishTheRun
, we release a fresh set of Rest of Season Top 150 rankings for fantasy football players.
Every Wednesday, I'll highlight the top Risers and Fallers in the rankings and drop notes on why we made those changes.
Thread to follow👇
6
4
24
Initial thoughts on Cam Akers to the Vikings:
- Obvious downgrade for both Mattison/Ty Chandler
- Mattison RB3/flex option initially, Chandler easy drop
- Likely evolves into two-way backfield split with Akers/Mattison splitting early down work and Mattison handling obvious
6
2
24
Each week
@EstablishTheRun
, we release a fresh set of Rest of Season Top 150 rankings for fantasy football players.
Every Wednesday, I'll highlight the top Risers and Fallers in the rankings and drop notes on why we made those changes.
Thread to follow👇
2
3
24
Side note - I joined the ETR NBA team part-time 1 year ago yesterday.
Today, I was on an NFL show with two of the most influential people in my fantasy football life/career sharing my own analysis. Very cool moment for me to say the least & I'm extremely humbled.
#EstablishIt
2
0
23
We've adjusted Bills' projections after news that Curtis Samuel (turf toe) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (neck) are week-to-week.
So far today, we've tweaked projection inputs
@EstablishTheRun
for 9 different teams.
Can find details on those tweaks here 👇
1
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24
We all need someone to hype us up as much as Jim Harbaugh is hyping up Justin Herbert. Elite potential bromance brewing in LA
Jim Harbaugh said he went to the
#Chargers
equipment staff earlier this week and asked for a pair of the same sneakers Justin Herbert wears. Harbaugh was wearing them today.
“There’s not a gene in his body I wouldn’t immediately trade for,” Harbaugh said of Herbert.
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Another positive sign for Ty Chandler as the RB2 in Minnesota.
Also reinforcement that the Vikings view Alexander Mattison as a clear workhorse back. He’s in line for a ton of volume.
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Puka Nacua target share by week:
Week 1: 39.5%
Week 2: 36.4%
Week 3: 21.2%
Week 4: 25.0%
Week 5: 29.7% - (Cooper Kupp returns)
Week 6: 29.2%
Week 7: 41.4%
Unreal role for the 5th-round rookie.
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Demario Douglas playing nearly 2/3rds of his snaps outside in Week 9 is HUGE for his fantasy viability.
Had been over 80% in slot coming into the game. He's the only Patriot WR I'm interested in rostering at this point
In the wake of Kendrick Bourne's ACL tear,
#Patriots
showed they don't view Rd 6 rookie WR Demario Douglas as a mere slot. Pop yesterday:
* 53-of-64 snaps
* 34 WIDE, 19 slot (previously was in slot on 82% of snaps)
* 38 routes on 46 Mac Jones dropbacks
* 7 targets for a 15.9%
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