Enough already.
It's time.
The Seasonal Draft Kit is ready to go featuring
@MikeSGallagher
Top 150, seasonal projections from the ETR crew including
@DrewDinkmeyer
Can also purchase a DFS seasonal package and get the draft kit thrown in!
Our
@MikeSGallagher
went on the
@AdamSchefter
podcast today to talk about sleepers, busts and players to target in fantasy hoops drafts. Can catch the replay here.
Blocks per 36 in the preseason (min 40 minutes):
Chris Boucher - 4.7
Mitchell Robinson - 3.6
Kevin Durant - 3.5
Isaiah Hartenstein - 3.4
DeMarcus Cousins - 3.4
Bruno Caboclo - 3.1
Anthony Davis - 3.0
Daniel Gafford - 3.0
Jakob Poeltl - 3.0
Jonas Valanciunas 3.0
The Props team keeps piling on units after a 7-1 night.
An interesting comparison between where we were last year on Nov 22 and where we are this year through Nov 22.
Content schedule for today's 5-game slate. Lock is 730pm ET:
*
@MikeSGallagher
's 3-Ball (already on YouTube)
* Injury Breakdown Noon
* First Run of Projections 3pm
*
@DrewDinkmeyer
's Leverage 4pm
*
@adamlevitan
Player Props 4pm
* Dink and
@AndrewWiggins
Live Show 530pm
Happy All-Star Break to all! Huge thanks to everyone who has been grinding with us this season, we appreciate you. Enjoy the time off, see you Wednesday.
We will be covering NBA preseason DFS on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday. A Live Show and our Top Plays article. No extra charge -- anyone who has purchased our Draft Kit or In-Season Package will have access.
Nikola Jokic is almost even money for MVP on some books.
In Episode 159,
@Adam_Mares
joins
@DrewDinkmeyer
and
@MikeSGallagher
to talk the reigning MVP, the development of Bones Hyland, the Denver role players, playoff matchups, and all things Nuggets.
Ja Morant just played his second 12-minute first quarter of his career (2/29 vs. Lakers). In the first today, he put up six points, two boards, five assists, two steals and no turnovers.
During tax season, you never want to be even one day late. We are filing for an extension to catch up to last year's record.
Apologies for those who are impacted.
Draft Kit week is here! We've released our season long projections for 8-cat, 9-cat, pts-based leagues, rankings for Underdog & DrafKings best ball tournaments, & all the content you need from
@MikeSGallagher
(Top 150), Early Round Targets, Sleepers and undervalued, etc
$34.99
Update to our content schedule that we dropped in our discord this morning:
We appreciate everyone's patience while we make a temporary change to Top Plays to accommodate the current NBA environment.
Disney leaders in touch time per minute (min. 20 mpg):
1. Luka Doncic (by a lot)
2. Markelle Fultz
3. Damian Lillard
4. Ja Morant
5. De'Aaron Fox
6. Chris Paul
7. Chris Chiozza
8. D.J. Augustin
9. Ricky Rubio
10. LeBron James
11. Goran Dragic
12. Malcolm Brogdon
13. James Harden
Assists per 36 leaders in the preseason (min 40 total minutes played):
Ja Morant - 13.6
Chris Paul - 12.0
Nikola Jokic - 10.6
T.J. McConnell - 10.4
Bam Adebayo - 9.8
Ben Simmons - 9.7
James Harden - 9.7
De'Aaron Fox - 9.2
Fred VanVleet - 9.2
Derrick Rose - 8.8
John Wall - 8.4
16 teams have played so far. Here are the very, very early usage rate leaders (min. 10 minutes):
Lou Williams - 40.5
Luka Doncic - 36.8
Jordan Clarkson - 36.0
Buddy Hield - 33.3
Caris LeVert - 33.3
Giannis Antetokounmpo - 32.7
Nickeil Alexander-Walker - 32.7
Devin Booker - 32.7
Monday content sked. Main slate locks 7pm ET:
*
@MikeSGallagher
3-Ball (on YouTube now)
* Gallagher Matchups 2pm
* Injury Breakdown 2pm
*
@adamlevitan
's Props 2pm ET
* First run of projections 3pm
* Top Plays 5pm
*
@DrewDinkmeyer
&
@AndrewWiggins
Live Show 5pm
After 10 teams played on Friday, the depth charts have been updated.
Lots of changes, but the headlines are Serge Ibaka, Alec Burks and Delon Wright may have the inside track for the starting jobs.
Blazers below, rest of the league here (free):
Understanding which contests to play is a simple way to improve your expectation in DFS. Our
@adamlevitan
gives gives a detailed framework of game selection for NBA. FREE link.
Content sked for today's 730pm ET lock:
*
@MikeSGallagher
3-Ball (on YouTube now)
* Injury Breakdown 2pm
* Gallagher's Matchups 2pm
*
@adamlevitan
's Props 3pm
* First Run Projections 3pm
* DFS Top Plays 5pm
*
@DrewDinkmeyer
&
@AndrewWiggins
Live Show 530pm
Our projections team works 24/7 to keep up with the news. Constantly adjusting minute projections and usage rates. Incredibly difficult, but only way to be successful in NBA DFS and props.
Fortunate to ship in NBA tonight.
Honestly can’t say enough about the
@EstablishRunNBA
team, it’s tough to describe how much work it is to have the best projections every single day. So many moving parts.
Top Plays for tomorrow's Christmas Day Slate will be released this afternoon for subscribers
Live Show from 4-5 PM ET Today and we'll have it FREE on our YouTube Channel
Make sure to subscribe!
Episode 120: Special Guest
@jphanned
joins
@MikeSGallagher
and
@DrewDinkmeyer
to talk over Win Totals for the upcoming NBA season.
- Differences in approach between last year & this year?
- Our favorite totals to attack this season.
Wednesday's big slate was a fun one for our subscribers!
The post trade deadline rotation analysis should be important again tonight. Join us at 5 PM ET behind the paywall as
@DrewDinkmeyer
and
@MikeSGallagher
break down the slate.
Content schedule for today. Slate locks at 7pm ET:
* Gallagher's 3-Ball (already on YouTube)
* Injury Breakdown 1pm
* Gallagher's Matchups 1pm
* First Run of Projections 3pm
* Levitan's Player Props 4pm
* Top Plays 5pm
* Dink and Wiggins Live Show 5pm
NBA LAUNCH SALE: We're offering 50% off our weekly subscription only. Just $12.50 for the full first week of coverage for the NBA Restart. Use promo code "LAUNCH" at checkout:
Yesterday morning, our
@DrewDinkmeyer
discussed optimal DK Showdown Strategy for NBA here. Then he chopped the POR/MEM Showdown with 2 different lineups for $13K.
We're working to restore our site and apologize for the inconvenience. For subscribers looking to access projections as well as the DFS show we have dropped information in our subscriber discord for both. We hope to have the situation resolved soon.
Tuesday's content sked. Main slate locks 7:30 ET:
*
@MikeSGallagher
's NBA Matchups (on site)
* Injury Show with
@DrewDinkmeyer
and Gallagher 2pm (on YouTube)
* First run of projections 3pm
* Top Plays 5pm
* Live Show with Dink and Gallagher 5:30pm
Content schedule for Aug 3. Note FD main slate locks at 130pm ET, DK at 4pm ET.
*
@DrewDinkmeyer
Tiered Top Plays
*
@MikeSGallagher
Matchups
* Noon ET Live Show with Drew and
@AndrewWiggins
* Injury Blog with fallout
* Continuously updating Depth Charts
It's time.
NBA Draft SZN is upon us.
Our Draft Kit has you covered:
@MikeSGallagher
Top 150
Projections and Rankings for all formats from
@DrewDinkmeyer
& team
Loads of content on how to draft.
- Sleepers
- Undervalued
- Early Rd Targets
- Shy Away
Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to all our subscribers!
Jimmy Butler good to go per Spo, so no big updates to Top Plays but we did just push a projections update with line movement (small moves for player projections)
Episode 290 with
@MikeSGallagher
and
@DrewDinkmeyer
was our Props Year in Review podcast.
We finished the 2022-2023 NBA season with a documented 700-455 record (60.61% hit rate, 13.90% ROI, +187.7 units).
The duo talks about the process that went into that record.
Schedule update for this week:
@MikeSGallagher
and
@DrewDinkmeyer
will be adding two live shows to the calendar for subscribers:
Saturday 11 AM ET
Sunday 11 AM ET
First round openers require some special programming.
The 76ers are expected to run more pick and roll, we should see more of a two-man game with Ben and Joel, and there will be a lot of action for Seth Curry.
Here's their depth chart:
The Wizards used an Ish Smith and Shabazz Napier combo for 2.4 minutes on Wednesday (all in the third quarter).
They also went with a two-center lineup for 7.5 minutes (Pasecniks-Bryant for 1.8 and Pasecniks-Wagner for 5.7, all in the first half).
Our own
@ghartman314
with the Bing Bong Bink last night!
Catch him on our NBA Injury report analysis show at 2 PM ET with
@MikeSGallagher
today recapping last night and reviewing today's injury report
In today’s NBA 3 Ball,
@MikeSGallagher
talks the Kings' injuries, Trae smashing the Celtics, Boogie’s minutes bump, the Wolves' rotation (again), Steven Adams’ ankle, season-long adds, and a lot more.
Free link:
We are less than a month away from NBA regular season.
Best ball drafts in full swing. Tonight at 830pm ET, our
@MikeSGallagher
&
@chrislafakis
will stream a live draft on
@UnderdogFantasy
.
Will be free here:
Top Plays is in editing, we'll have it shortly, wanted to update after the 5:30 injury report. We appreciate your patience!
We'll always have Top Plays if there are NBA games going on.
Monday content sked. Main slate locks 7pm ET:
*
@MikeSGallagher
3-Ball (on YouTube now)
* Gallagher Matchups 2pm
* Injury Breakdown 2pm
*
@adamlevitan
's Props 2pm ET
* First run of projections 3pm
* Top Plays 5pm
*
@DrewDinkmeyer
&
@AndrewWiggins
Live Show 5pm
In today's GPP leverage,
@DrewDinkmeyer
goes over how projection fragility can affect your approach, some recent data on DFS points scored vs. expected points, and how continuity is a bigger factor at this point of the season.
Top players in FD points per minute so far in Disney (min of 20 total minutes played):
Brook Lopez- 2.15
Giannis Antetokounmpo- 1.99
Luka Doncic- 1.81
Anthony Davis- 1.80
Jusuf Nurkic- 1.71
James Harden- 1.67
Norvel Pelle- 1.67
Boban Marjanovic- 1.57
Ben Simmons- 1.57
Big 11 game slate tonight. Make sure to tune into Establish the Show tonight at 5 PM EST with
@drewdinkmeyer
and
@ghartman314
!
Will the flagplant magic continue?
In Episode 305,
@jphanned
joined
@DrewDinkmeyer
and
@MikeSGallagher
to talk their favorite win total bets to make right now. Plus, they went over a handful of bets that almost made the cut.
Here's today's edition of our brand new YouTube series NBA 3 Ball.
@MikeSGallagher
is talking James Harden (0:41), LaMelo (2:14), Christian Wood going off (4:34), Ja Morant's passing (7:24) and a lot more in just 11 minutes.