Maine Politics
@ME_Politics_
Followers
757
Following
381
Media
632
Statuses
2,088
Tracking Maine politics. Formerly 2022 Maine Governor’s Race. RTs ≠ endorsements
Joined September 2021
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
SAROCHA X SKECHERS NEW STORE
• 231179 Tweets
#iQIYIiJOYTH2025
• 202811 Tweets
Happy New Month
• 120710 Tweets
LOFFICIEL TH X LINGLING
• 74930 Tweets
YINWAR X iQIYI
• 66639 Tweets
علي النبي
• 57930 Tweets
Hayırlı Cumalar
• 44752 Tweets
UPPOOM NEW JOURNEY
• 38924 Tweets
Botswana
• 34842 Tweets
TAEMIN
• 33272 Tweets
AL GREEN CARPET
• 32590 Tweets
iQIYI x MANDEEWORK
• 28756 Tweets
JOONGDUNK x iQIYITH
• 27189 Tweets
キティちゃん
• 26814 Tweets
#يوم_الجمعه
• 26688 Tweets
LMSY AFFAIR X IQIYI IJOY
• 24694 Tweets
ミリオン
• 24032 Tweets
キャラクリ
• 23730 Tweets
モンハン
• 20504 Tweets
KICC
• 20407 Tweets
PRABOWO Wujudkan NKRI Maju
• 20032 Tweets
Kompak Bekerja Majukan Negeri
• 19235 Tweets
ヴェノム
• 16475 Tweets
スペック
• 16402 Tweets
スーパーカブ
• 13755 Tweets
Bibek Debroy
• 12621 Tweets
BOUNPREM x iQIYITH2025
• 12402 Tweets
Toussaint
• 12011 Tweets
Pinned Tweet
Maine Legislative Ratings Update 9/30
ME House: Leans D -> Likely D
ME Senate: Leans D -> Likely D
Presidential polling and individual race analysis points to a 2024 landscape very similar to 2020. It's going to be difficult for Republicans to win either chamber
#mepolitics
0
2
8
New Pine Tree State poll from UNH shows Kamala Harris opening up a huge lead in Maine
Harris: 55% (+17)
Trump: 38%
RFK: 2%
Last poll was Harris +8
#mepolitics
11
48
471
After LePage calls Mills “one hell of a bad economist,” Mills responds by saying “I have spent the better part of my career listening to loud men talk tough to disguise their weaknesses” in last nights debate televised by News Center Maine
#mepolitics
17
90
387
Maine has certified the election results. Here are the final numbers for the Governor’s race
Mills: 376,934 (55.7%)
LePage: 287,304 (42.4%)
Hunkler: 12,581 (1.9%)
Janet Mills wins by 13.3 pts and 90k votes
#mepolitics
17
31
307
CD breakdowns have been provided for the UNH July poll
CD1
Full field: Harris +20
2-way: Harris +21
Harris net favorability: +7
Trump net favorability: -28
CD2
Full field: Trump +4
2-way: Trump +2
Harris net favorability: -15
Trump net favorability: -14
#mepolitics
15
27
258
Harris now leading in both CD1 and CD2
CD1 Full Field
Harris +29
Harris Fav: +19
Trump Fav: -31
CD2 Full Field
Harris +5
Harris Fav: -5
Trump Fav: -17
#mepolitics
New Pine Tree State poll from UNH shows Kamala Harris opening up a huge lead in Maine
Harris: 55% (+17)
Trump: 38%
RFK: 2%
Last poll was Harris +8
#mepolitics
11
48
471
6
23
128
Unofficial results from Waterville show that pro-life incumbent State Rep Bruce White has LOST the democratic primary to pro-choice candidate Cassie Julia. White's views on abortion were a focal point for this primary.
Julia: 64%
White: 36%
#mepolitics
5
21
115
This one took a while, but here is how many cumulative votes each party has received in Maine gubernatorial elections since the first election in 1820
#mepolitics
3
21
106
The second tweet in this thread makes me think this person spent exactly 0 minutes in Portland
We are spending the day in Portland, ME. I WANT to love this place. It seems perfect on paper. Small city, coastal, great food, great location, and I remember loving it as a kid.
But now, it might be one of the most depressing cities I’ve spent time in.
Homelessness everywhere,
1K
2K
17K
17
5
87
A new poll from Pan Atlantic Research shows Jared Golden with the lead over Bruce Poliquin and Tiffany Bond.
Golden: 47% (+8)
Poliquin: 39%
Bond: 8%
Undecided: 7%
#mepolitics
8
10
78
Who wrote this and why did he sign off on it?? Even if this is what he believes it’s obviously not the right way to convey the message
#mepolitics
I've always held the opinion that working class Mainers shouldn't foot the bill for someone else's choices. Once again, radical leftist elites prove they don't understand Maine.
#mepolitics
1K
114
776
10
10
64
New Pine Tree State Poll from UNH
Harris: 48% (+8)
Trump: 40%
RFK Jr: 4%
The first test with Harris in Maine shows an 8-point lead for the Democrat
#mepolitics
6
12
64
Here's an update from the election rating sources:
Tossup: 5
Tilt D: 1
Lean D: 6
Likely D: 1
Median Rating: Lean D
At this point Mills seems to have the slight advantage with a lead in polling and fundraising along with her incumbency boost
#mepolitics
2
6
45
I must remind people that Biden was leading the CD2 polls by 3pts on average in 2020 and lost the district by over 7…
7
3
44
We have a new poll from Pan Atlantic Research showing Janet Mills with a double digit lead over Paul LePage.
Mills: 49% (+10)
LePage: 39%
Hunkler: 2%
Undecided: 10%
#mepolitics
8
5
40
Putting “Tiffany Bond” in quotations is such an odd way to present this information
#mepolitics
A new poll from Pan Atlantic Research shows Jared Golden with the lead over Bruce Poliquin and Tiffany Bond.
Golden: 47% (+8)
Poliquin: 39%
Bond: 8%
Undecided: 7%
#mepolitics
8
10
78
4
2
31
Digital Research released their Fall Critical Insights Poll
Presidential Election
Statewide
🟦Harris: 48% (+7)
🟥Trump: 41%
CD1
🟦Harris: 56% (+23)
🟥Trump: 33%
CD2
🟦Harris: 40%
🟥Trump: 49% (+9)
604 RV from Sept 10-Oct 7
#mepolitics
5
4
28
Pan Atlantic Research released their 64th Omnibus poll of Maine. The poll shows Harris with a commanding lead in Maine (with leaners)
Harris: 50% (+9)
Trump: 41%
812 LV | Sept 5-Sept 15
#mepolitics
0
7
27
DRIs Fall Critical Insights Poll of the CD2 House Race
🟦Golden: 38%
🟥Theriault: 38%
Sept 10-Oct 7
21% of voters are still undecided. One interesting note is that Theriault is winning 2/3rds of independents in this sample
#mepolitics
4
3
23
The results from Scarborough just dropped and they are a doozy, per the BDN.
Mills: 8269 (+4113)
LePage: 4156
Hunkler: 190
Mills won Scarborough by 1193 in 2018
#mepolitics
1
6
21
The Digital Research Inc survey for Spring of 2022 has now been released. Let's take a look at some of the biggest takeaways. First, Mills has a 3 point lead over LePage for the general election
#mepolitics
3
8
23
Net Approval for Maine politicians from the DRI poll:
Gov. Mills (D): +23
Sen. King (I): +22
Rep. Pingree (D): +14
Rep. Golden (D): +8
Sen. Collins (R): -15
#mepolitics
5
8
21
There were 676,819 total votes in the Maine Governor’s race. That accounts for (as of 10/21):
60.2% of all registered voters
And
74.8% of all active voters
Well done Maine voters!
#mepolitics
1
3
21
The race has officially been called by CNN, Janet Mills defeats former Governor Paul LePage and wins re-election to the Blaine House
#mepolitics
0
2
20
Libby ran uncontested last year after the Dem candidate dropped out and was not replaced. This year she will face Dan Campbell who won the John Jenkins award in Auburn for a lifetime of service. This is a tossup seat that was Biden +3 in 2020
#mepolitics
On the house floor today Laurel Libby (R-Auburn) stated "Let’s talk about the nazis…I would like to know what they did that was illegal." We won't stand for this MAGA extremism in Maine. Check out who we have running against her:
#MAGACult
#MEpolitics
415
366
683
3
13
20
Below is the net favorability for Maine politicians according to the Pan Atlantic Poll. Jared Goldens favorability (+1) has dropped by 19 pts since the last omnibus in February. Also, Austin Theriault debuts with a +14
#mepolitics
6
4
16
It looks like the LePage campaign has hired Lauren LePage as a consultant. They paid her new consulting firm, FYRE Strategies, over $16k in the month of October
#mepolitics
9
2
15
👀👀👀 $80k isn’t much but it shows that the Harris campaign still thinks ME-02 could be in play.
2016: Trump +10.3
2020: Trump +7.4 (Trump +6 after redistricting)
#mepolitics
#MEPol
: Pro-Harris group, Future Forward PAC, is reserving fall air space in the Bangor, ME market. So far, they've reserved $80K with possibly more reservations to come.
2
13
89
1
2
15
Didn’t LePage hire his daughter when he was governor?
If LePage was handing money out to his family,
@MainePublic
,
@PressHerald
, and
@bangordailynews
would be stationed outside his office for a week.
With
@RTalbotRoss
, they’re too scared to even whisper about it.
Wonder why?
#mepolitics
14
31
95
4
1
14
Split Ticket is moving ME-02 from a tossup to Leans D
#mepolitics
Our new
@SplitTicket_
House model suggests that Democrats have a 58% chance of winning the chamber, with a median outcome of 219 Democratic seats.
When we first released it in June, their odds were 44%.
16
101
492
2
2
15
In the last 2 Morning Consult polls, Mills has shown 57% and 54% approval among Maine voters. LePage never reached a number above 50% during his governorship in Morning Consult or DRI polls, leaving office with a 39% and 40% approval, respectively
#mepolitics
1
4
14
According to a new Morning Consult poll, Biden is now 11 points underwater in Maine which is a ~23 point swing from a year ago. Biden also went from +11 to -21 with Maine independents in that time
#mepolitics
1
9
15
We have our final RCV results for ME02
1st Round
Golden: 48.5% (+3.8)
Poliquin: 44.7%
Bond: 6.9%
2nd Round
Golden: 53.1% (+6.1)
Poliquin: 47.0%
Golden wins by 6% after the 2nd choice of Write-ins and Bond voters are allocated
#mepolitics
1
1
15
Maine was the only state to split the ticket between president and senator in 2020. Around 7% of Biden voters selected Collins for Senate
#mepolitics
Crystal Ball:
@JMilesColeman
on the history of postwar Senate/presidential split ticket voting. Nearly 200 split outcomes since 1948 with Ds benefiting more than Rs, but total has dwindled in recent years. Part one of a two-part series
3
23
81
3
3
14
Going through some of the rejected flag designs and I kinda like this one. I don't think it met the criteria though
#mepolitics
3
0
15
ME01
Pingree: 57% (+17)
Thelander: 40%
Write-in: 3%
ME02
Golden: 41% (+8)
Poliquin: 33%
Bond: 26%
A real 3-way race in ME02!
#mepolitics
1
2
15
2020 exit polls show that Mainers in age groups between 18-64 vote similarly to the rest of the nation, but 65+ is a different story.
USA: R+5
Maine: D+19
#mepolitics
10
3
13
@_fat_ugly_rat_
I could be wrong, but I think there are only 2 actual cities in the totality, Caribou and Presque Isle. Each only has like 8k people living there year round. There are people up there!
1
1
14
ME02 NRCC internal
House (change since Oct 1)
Theriault: 47% (+2)
Golden: 45% (-2)
President
Trump: 50% (+4)
Harris: 41% (-3)
411 LV from Oct 17-20
Republican internal shows Theriault taking the polling lead against Golden
#mepolitics
2
1
14
The Pan Atlantic Research Omnibus Poll was released in late October. Below is the net favorability for ME politicians (Change from Oct '22):
King (I): +37 (-2)
Golden (D): +28 (+16)
Pingree (D): +27 (-12)
Mills (D): +17 (-5)
Collins (R): +1 (+6)
Biden (D): -11 (-4)
#mepolitics
2
5
14
For 37 years, the Governor of Maine has received the same salary, $70,000. This has been the lowest in the nation for over 14 years.
Starting with the next administration, the Governor will earn $125,000 which will be ~38th in the nation
Data from Ballotpedia
#mepolitics
3
0
13
@gavinbena
One poll nailed it, but it was taken in June and was the last to show Collins leading
0
0
10
Additionally,
@RacetotheWH
is currently showing the ME02 House race as the most competitive race in the country. In this analysis, the race is a virtual tie with the slightest of advantages going to
@AustinTheriault
, who still has to secure the Republican nomination
#mepolitics
Crystal Ball moves ME02 from Leans D to a TOSSUP. The change is mostly due to a higher projected margin for Trump in the 2nd CD
#mepolitics
0
0
2
0
6
11
If Golden truly believes Biden has no chance of winning, he must feel awful about his own election chances. He would likely need to outperform Biden by 20+ points on the Dem ticket in ME02 if he thinks current polling is accurate
#mepolitics
NEW
In an op-ed, DEMOCRATIC Congressman Jared Golden writes:
“Donald Trump is going to win the election and democracy will be just fine.”
226
292
1K
0
1
12
A new poll from the Maine People’s Resource Center (MPRC) shows Mills leading LePage in the race for Governor.
Mills: 49% (+11)
LePage: 38%
Other: 2.8%
Undecided: 9.7%
#mepolitics
2
1
12
Final ME Gov Race Prediction
Mills: 52.2% (+6.8)
LePage: 45.3%
Hunkler: 2.5%
I see Mills winning re-election comfortably as LePage gains back 1 margin points from 2018
What is your prediction?
#mepolitics
6
1
11
One of the largest shifts towards Mills was in Gorham. Shawn Moody won Gorham, his home town, by 4 pts in 2018. Mills won it in 2022 by 24 pts. Below are Maine's largest 20 cities/towns by population and how much they've shifted toward Dems since 2018
#mepolitics
0
3
10
Golden answers why he’s running as a Dem as opposed to an Indy: “last I checked my party is for workers' rights and fair wages, women's reproductive freedom, campaign finance reform and anti-corruption laws, civil rights and good governance”
#mepolitics
I have received a request for comment on the following from a Portland Press Herald reporter:
“Endorsement aside. Does Golden plan to cast a vote in the presidential election? If so, who does he plan to vote for?"
"Why is Golden still registered as a Democrat? He’s trying
108
35
294
4
0
10
As it turns out, this is not the first time we’ve heard this comment from Mills. She used the same line when discussing Trump back in 2020
#mepolitics
After LePage calls Mills “one hell of a bad economist,” Mills responds by saying “I have spent the better part of my career listening to loud men talk tough to disguise their weaknesses” in last nights debate televised by News Center Maine
#mepolitics
17
90
387
5
0
9
In the last 30 seconds or so Janet Mills makes the case that Biden is not too old to be President. She references Mick Jagger, who is 80 years old, “dancing like a fool” and says that age brings experience that is valuable for a president
#mepolitics
I sat down for an exclusive interview with 7 of the nation’s 8 Dem female governors for a wide-ranging conversation on this week’s IVF ruling, Biden’s age and the economy. Pt. 1
@GovLauraKelly
@GovJanetMills
@GovMLG
@GovKathyHochul
@TinaKotek
@MassGovernor
@GovernorHobbs
73
179
531
10
3
10
CD breakdown for the presidential election
CD1
Harris: 58% (+26)
Trump: 32%
CD2
Trump: 49% (+7)
Harris: 42%
Trump is leading in CD2 by 7 points for the 1 EC vote that is up for grabs
#mepolitics
Pan Atlantic Research released their 64th Omnibus poll of Maine. The poll shows Harris with a commanding lead in Maine (with leaners)
Harris: 50% (+9)
Trump: 41%
812 LV | Sept 5-Sept 15
#mepolitics
0
7
27
1
1
10
Final race thoughts below. Tried to keep it as short as possible. Thanks to everyone who followed along over the last year and engaged with this account. Please excuse the poor grammar
#mepolitics
6
3
10
Maine Referendum Q2 which would prohibit foreign govs from spending to influence elections won 86%-14%. Drew Township (pop. 26) in Penobscot was the only municipality to vote against it (7-1). Coincidentally, Drew twp is the location of a Russian Orthodox Church
#mepolitics
2
2
9
Just for reference, here was the 538 polling average for CD2 in 2020. Biden led most of the way and finished with a 2.8 pt lead. He ended up losing by over 7 pts
#mepolitics
CD breakdowns have been provided for the UNH July poll
CD1
Full field: Harris +20
2-way: Harris +21
Harris net favorability: +7
Trump net favorability: -28
CD2
Full field: Trump +4
2-way: Trump +2
Harris net favorability: -15
Trump net favorability: -14
#mepolitics
15
27
258
3
0
8
Right now these are probably the top 5 flip opportunities for each party in the Maine Senate.
Troy Jackson being term limited makes District 1 very winnable for Rs. On the flip side, Eric Brakey leaving District 20 should make it more winnable for Ds
#mepolitics
4
3
7
Mike Soboleski is quickly making his return to Maine politics. He will run for reelection in his current district, HD73, after Republican Kevin Scott withdrew. He will likely only face independent Tiffany Bond in November as Democrat Vincent House also withdrew
#mepolitics
7
0
9
Posted on Facebook, here is what LePage believes are Janet Mills’ biggest failures. Really wish politicians would include their sources, but let’s look at some of the claims below
#mepolitics
6
6
8
Maines unemployment rate dropped .1 points down to 3.2%, which is tied for 21st lowest in the country and below the national average of 3.6%
#mepolitics
1
2
8
Another rating change for ME02 in favor of Theriault
Tilt D -> Toss Up
#mepolitics
🚨Bunch of big ratings shifts in today's
@InsideElections
:
🔴TX-Sen: Likely R to Lean R
🔴FL-Sen: Solid R to Likely R
🔴NE-Sen: Solid R to Likely R
🔵WI-Sen: Lean Dem to Tilt Dem
🔴IN-Gov: Solid R to Likely R (plus a new poll!)
And 7 House changes...
27
115
290
1
0
9
With 70% of the vote in, here are the results, sourced from the BDN
Mills: 250,127 (54.7%)
LePage: 198,193 (43.3%)
Hunkler: 9368 (2.1%)
The lead continues to grow for Mills
#mepolitics
0
3
7
Finally, Joe Biden's approval numbers continue to decline. He has 34% approval and 57% disapproval among Mainers, lower than that of Donald Trump
#mepolitics
1
3
7
UNH Granite State Poll shows Harris with a similar lead from July in New Hampshire
Harris: 50% (+7)
Trump: 43%
RFK: 4%
New Pine Tree State poll from UNH shows Kamala Harris opening up a huge lead in Maine
Harris: 55% (+17)
Trump: 38%
RFK: 2%
Last poll was Harris +8
#mepolitics
11
48
471
0
1
9
Interestingly enough, outside of New England, West Virginia is the most similar to Maine demographically. However, their politics could not be more different.
2020 Presidential Margin
Maine: Biden +9
West Virginia: Trump +39
#mepolitics
yeah IDK why everyone wants Jared Golden to be primared. ME2 is very solid republican seat. only someone like Joe Manchin can win it. In fact the demographics of West Viriginia and ME2 are very similar!
8
3
47
3
1
9
Crystal Ball keeps the ME Gov race as Lean D and moves ME02 from a tossup to Lean D
#mepolitics
FINAL CRYSTAL BALL 2022 RATINGS
GOP gains in all 3 categories
R +24 in House (237-198)
R +1 in Senate (51-49)
R +1 in Governorships (29-21)
All here:
206
234
784
0
2
9
Maine is the fastest growing of all New England states since 2019!
#mepolitics
New GDP by state data just got released today—and all states except Hawaii, Louisiana, North Dakota, and Delaware have now seen their GDP fully recover from COVID!
Fastest growers have been Florida (+20%), Idaho (+18.2%), Arizona (+16%), Tennessee (+15.5%), & Washington (+15.2%)
51
173
632
2
3
6
Better numbers for Mills here compared to 2018. She won by 2.6k votes in 2018 and is now winning by 3.4k
#mepolitics
Bangor voters have backed both Janet Mills and Jared Golden in their reelection bids.
-- Mills (7,714)
-- LePage (4,266)
-- Hunkler (250)
***
-- Golden (7,283)
-- Poliquin (3,904)
-- Bond (896)
#mepolitics
5
12
87
0
1
7
You can fit more Rhode Islands into Maine than Maines into Alaska
ME-RI: 29:1
AL-ME: 19:1
Maps via mylifeelsewhere
0
1
7
I feel like the only interesting questions for tomorrow are:
Can Haley win Cumberland County?
Can Biden get >95%?
Will Cumberland approve the affordable housing referendum?
Who will win the HD122 special election?
#mepolitics
5
1
7
A reminder to all of those that will be watching the results tonight. In 2018, the election was called for Mills around 12:30am and that was a 7+ point win her
#mepolitics
0
1
8
Maine saw the highest net and % change in population of any New England state from Apr '20-Jul '23. Rhode Island and Massachusetts were the only two states to see population loss during that period
#mepolitics
1
3
8
Although there has been very little talk about it, Janet Mills and Paul LePage are expected to meet again tonight for a televised debate during the Maine State Chamber's annual meeting, which will be broadcast live by News Center Maine
#mepolitics
2
0
7
Crazy to think we are just about to 2 weeks away from Election Day. I will be doing a deeper dive into some of the more consequential races in the ME House and ME Senate. Comment below if there are any races you want me to feature!
#mepolitics
1
1
7
With 19% of the vote in, here are the results, sourced from the BDN
Mills: 41,364 (51%)
LePage: 39,025 (48%)
Hunkler: 1493 (2%)
#mepolitics
0
0
7
@JacobRubashkin
@NoblePredictive
Considering its electoral impact as well as its tight house race, ME-02 would be great!
0
0
7
It’s official! Former Maine Republican chair Demi Kouzounas is the first Republican to challenge Angus King for U.S. Senate this cycle. She said that Susan Collins encouraged her to run earlier this week
#mepolitics
Make that 147 days from the primary and just under 2 months from the party filing deadline. Who is most likely to run for US Senate in Maine on the Republican side?
#mepolitics
1
2
3
4
2
5
Contributions for major candidates running for federal office this cycle.
Kouzounas has half the money Eric Brakey had at this point in 2018 against King. She is going to need a lot more cashflow to run a serious statewide campaign
#mepolitics
5
0
7
Covid is now the least of Mainers concerns and the Economy is once again back on top. Mainers claims oil/utility prices, general cost of living and inflation are their biggest economic concerns
#mepolitics
1
1
6
Here are around the percentages I think each candidate will need to secure in each county to win the election
#mepolitics
0
0
7
There’s the call from DDHQ. Piantidosi was campaigning for significantly longer than Russell but it wasn’t enough to convince Republican voters in CD1. And all of this just for Russell to lose by 20+ to Pingree in November
#mepolitics
Decision Desk HQ projects Ronald Russell wins the Republican primary for Maine's 1st Congressional District.
#DecisionMade
: 10:56pm ET
Follow live results here:
0
6
15
2
1
7
All of this is great news of LePage. Mills is leading in the poll by only 3% (within the MOE) and Mainers attitude towards Biden and Mills seems to be getting worse. A lot can change over the next 180 days, we will see who comes out ahead on election day
#mepolitics
2
1
6
Janet Mills' approval has dropped significantly. In the fall poll, she sat at 55% approval and 31% disapproval. Mills is now showing 46% approval to 41% disapproval. A -19 point swing
#mepolitics
1
1
6
Despite what Golden says in the beginning though, these are fair questions and I would imagine his constituents do want to know who he’s voting for
0
0
7
Almost exactly 1 year after Susan Collins endorsed Paul LePage for Governor, Angus King will endorse Janet Mills
#mepolitics
Today at 11am at Moderation Brewing, in his hometown of Brunswick,
#Maine
, Independent
@SenAngusKing
will endorse Democrat
@GovJanetMills
for re-election. Both won 3-candidate races in 2018, King with 54%, Mills with 51%.
#mepolitics
@WMTWTV
@ABCPolitics
@CNNPolitics
@MaineDems
9
11
38
2
1
7
Below is a map of Mainers 18+ with a Bachelor's degree or higher.
This map lines up well with the 2020 presidential election. By county, the % of people with a Bachelor's degree or higher and the 2020 Biden vote % are very closely correlated, with an r of .94
#mepolitics
1
1
5
The graphic designer on the Theriault team must be getting paid the big bucks for these elaborate designs
0
0
7
8 days before the election, here is the % of votes that we’re returned by party over the last 3 elections
2018
Democratic: 45%
Republican: 29%
2020
D: 52%
R: 22%
2022
D: 52%
R: 23%
2022 is looking very similar to 2020
#mepolitics
0
1
7
No faith in John Martin!
#mepolitics
📊📈FORECAST LAUNCH📉📊
Our state legislative forecast for the Maine legislature is out now! In the classic model, each chamber is Lean D. In the expanded, the House is Lean D and Senate Likely D.
3
6
59
4
0
5
The Pan Atlantic 64th Omnibus gave a rare look into the ME02 house race showing Jared Golden in trouble (with leaners)
Theriault: 47% (+3)
Golden: 44%
#mepolitics
1
2
6
With 4% of the vote in, here are the results, sourced from the BDN
LePage: 6119 (57%)
Mills: 4372 (41%)
Hunkler: 228 (2%)
#mepolitics
0
0
6
Average % change in Real GDP from Q12019 to Q12022 (BEA)
Maine: 10th in the nation
Unemployment rate In June (NCSL)
New England Average: 2.92%
Maine: 3%
Total Non Farm employment (FRED)
Feb 2020: 640.1k
June 2022: 632.5k
#mepolitics
Maine is one of the top states in the nation for job recovery. Under my Administration, our economy has grown at the 11th fastest rate in the nation, our unemployment rate has dropped below the New England average, and we've recovered nearly all jobs lost during the pandemic.
12
25
145
1
0
4
Update from the election rating sources.
Changes since 8/16:
@Elections_Daily
Tossup -> Lean D
@PollProjectUSA
Tossup -> Tilt D
@RacetotheWH
Tossup -> Lean D
@CNalysis
Tilt D -> Lean D
Median Rating: Lean D
All 4 changes in Mills' direction since August
#mepolitics
1
2
6
On the one hand, it seems Collins actively recruited someone to run again King. On the other hand, she recruited someone who has little to no chance of beating him.
This race moves from Solid I -> Solid I
#mepolitics
#NEW
:
@SenAngusKing
"disappointed" that
@SenatorCollins
encouraged former
@mainegop
chair Demi Kouzounas to run against him.
@NEWSCENTERmaine
#mepolitics
3
4
12
0
0
6
We are less than 24 hours from the filing deadline for party candidates to make the June 11 Primary ballot and Republican Demi Kouzounas has yet to successfully file
#mepolitics
Democrat David Costello is the first person to successfully file for the U.S. Senate in Maine. He will be on the ballot in November likely against Demi Kouzounas (R) and Angus King (I)
#mepolitics
1
2
5
1
3
6
2024 Maine State Legislature Elections Breakdown. We have passed the filing deadline so here is how I see things as of now:
Maine Senate: Leans D
Maine House: Leans D
Read a detailed breakdown of a few key races below:
#mepolitics
2
3
6
We have our first poll in a long time. Here are the results:
Mills 42%
LePage 39%
Other 6%
Undecided 13%
#mepolitics
1
1
6
Maine Presidential Polling Averages (3 most recent polls)
Statewide:
Trump: 36.5% (+0.5)
Biden: 36%
Other: 15.3%
CD1
Biden: 41.7% (+11.4)
Trump: 30.3%
Other: 17.7%
CD2
Trump: 42.7% (+12.7)
Biden: 30.0%
Other: 16.3%
#mepolitics
4
0
6
The House GOP is spending another $2M to unseat Jared Golden
#mepolitics
Scoop: CLF makes $14M in new ad reservations
FL-27 - $2M
ME-02 - $2M
NY-19 - $1.8M
OH-13 - $1M
IL-17 - $1M
NY-22 - $870k
PA-17 - $850k
OR-04 - $700k
NE-02 - $650k
OR-05 - $625k
CT-05 - $600k
CO-08 - $500k
NM-02 - $500k
CA-13 - $400k
AZ-06 - $300k
@Axios
8
26
49
4
1
6
A new Pine Tree State Poll, conducted by the UNH Survey Center, shows Mills with a considerable lead over LePage.
Mills: 53% (+14)
LePage: 39%
Hunkler: 1%
Other: 1%
Undecided: 5%
#mepolitics
0
3
5