"The
#Syrian
Regime's Combat Losses in Spring 2020 & What Lies Ahead"
-
@MEI_Syria
's
@GregoryPWaters
found 600+ *reported* pro-
#Assad
deaths between March-May & suggests a persistent but slow attrition is likely through Summer in
#Idlib
,
#Deraa
& Badiya.
"
#Syrians
on the Move"
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Karam__Shaar
just published a huge amount of data -- inputted into interactive graphics, detailing the displacement of 13 million Syrians & where they've gone...
Very valuable research:
From '17-20, ~88% of artillery & air strikes in
#Idlib
have been traced back to pro-
#Assad
forces, which themselves are responsible for ~92% of civilian casualties.
@nick_grins
looks at the important data on who's driving violence in
#Syria
's northwest:
.
@anton_mardasov
's article below gained extra value today, as
#Moscow
ordered MoD & MFA to begin negotiating w. (i.e. coercing)
#Damascus
for access to more real estate & Mediterranean access.
That order is driven by
#Russia
's ongoing plan to use
#Syria
as an expeditionary hub:
"Is Ahmad al-Oda winning the “hearts and minds” of
#Daraa
’s people?"
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Syrianzo
says the former rebel leader is unmatched for his ability to mobilize popular support [against
#Iran
&
#Hezbollah
].
"
#Brussels
conference highlights tensions between
#Syria
’s growing needs and political stalemate"
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@ejbeals
looks back at the "disappointing but not surprising" results from last week's international summit:
.
@MEI_Syria
's inaugural Annual
#Syria
Conference will be on March 15 -- the 10yr anniversary of the
#Syrian
uprising.
The whole day (0900-1400 EST) will be public & all-virtual, on Zoom & YouTube.
For more info, see here:
.
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@ejbeals
is one of 3 great minds behind
@SyriaContext
-- a weekly newsletter that explores in detail micro and macro developments across every corner of
#Syria
.
It's Arabic content looks set to expand in the near future too.
"In order to regain its territorial integrity,
#Syria
first needs a [5-year] transitional phase in which the country will be divided into 3 zones of foreign influence," argues Dania Koleilat Khatib, for
@MEI_Syria
.
Welcome to the
@MiddleEastInst
's
#Syria
Program at
@MEI_Syria
!
Check out our program page, here:
You can find all our scholars on this collated list:
Some of our scholars' recent work is forthcoming...
"In the past, Bashar avoided requests from those closest to him by ignoring their calls. The same may have happened to Rami: he picked up the phone, but Bashar didn’t answer."
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@samdagher
talks
#Assad
-
#Makhlouf
with
@lemmanour
:
"Rampant violence, military escalation & the role of intermediaries in
#Daraa
,
#Syria
"
- New paper by
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Syrianzo
looks at escalating armed resistance,
#Russia
-led negotiations & the role of local intermediaries.
"
#Syria
Still Matters: Charting a Strategic Approach to
#Syria
Policy"
A new policy paper by
@MEI_Syria
Director
@Charles_Lister
argues that a clear-eyed & holistic approach to tackling root causes is needed to avoid yet more threats & instability.
"The bigger question is what happens to the economy long-term. It’s really a race against time for
#Assad
to find a way out of this. It’s not just regime survival. It’s the whole country."
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Dannymakkisyria
cited in
@washingtonpost
:
'Given the changes that
#Assad
introduced & the way in which the July elections were carried out, it’s a joke that even regime loyalists cannot believe — the worst joke ever."
- Read this detailed analysis of
#Syria
's recent elections by
@aabnour
:
"Why did the
#Brotherhood
fail to live up to expectations, and how much can its history tell us about its role in the 2011 Syrian uprising?"
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@daraconduit
talks to
@jadaliyya
about her book on
#Syria
's Muslim Brotherhood:
📢 Personal news – Thrilled to announce I've been awarded the Max Weber postdoctoral fellowship at the
@EUI_EU
. Excited for the year ahead, dedicated to completing my book manuscript on wartime & post-war southern
#Syria
. Huge thanks to everyone for the overwhelming support!
"An unexpected outcome of [
#Syria
's economic crisis &
#COVID19
] has been a reinvigorated civil society & volunteer movement reminiscent of the early days of the 2011 revolution," writes
@MEI_Syria
's
@reemsalahi
.
Education is absolutely vital & when it's allowed to slide, the costs are acute & long-lasting.
This
@MEI_Syria
paper assesses all 3 zones of
#Syria
(
#Assad
, opposition &
#SDF
) & provides a set of tailored recommendations to governments & donors to assist in stabilizing
#Syria
.
Thrilled to publish an *excellent* new
@MEI_Syria
paper, by Kinana Qaddour &
@salman_hsn
:
- "
#Syria
’s Education Crisis: A Sustainable Approach After 11yrs of Conflict."
2.4 million children are out of school & education remains acutely disrupted.
Thread: Quick thoughts on Syria’s new government
1/10
Three days ago, Bashar al-Assad appointed a new government of 30 ministers following the parliamentary “elections” in July. Here are some quick thoughts on the new cabinet (some information are still pending confirmation)
New economic measures taken by
#Damascus
will have 2 outcomes,
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Karam__Shaar
told
@SyriaDirect
:
- "Lower quality & higher prices for substituted products [and] increased smuggling to meet the domestic demand for better products."
"Governments become more aggressive & belligerent when under sanctions... It's like when you see a cornered cat, it looks more like a tiger. It is fighting for life and I think this will happen in Syria."
@MEI_Syria
's
@Karam__Shaar
talks to
@The_NewArab
:
.
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@ejbeals
will be speaking on a panel sponsored by
@TimepDC
at this year's
@rightscon
virtual conference:
- “Data Collection & Open Source Investigations: Advancing Accountability & Justice in the
#MiddleEast
.
"The road to justice for
#Syria
goes through
#Europe
."
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@reemsalahi
provides a comprehensive look at the "tangible steps" being taken towards accountability.
"The
#Assad
regime uses parliamentary elections to reward loyalty. This time around, warlords & militiamen are expected to gain yet more seats for their contributions to the state over the past 4yrs."
-
@MEI_Syria
's
@Karam__Shaar
talks to
@AJENews
:
The problem for
#Assad
is he doesn't have a solution... It's going to create a high intensity crisis & he either has to talk to the Americans & make concessions or endure what could be a major economic collapse”
@MEI_Syria
's
@Dannymakkisyria
in
@nytimes
:
As of today,
@MEI_Syria
will enjoy the benefits of an Advisory Council, comprised of 8 acclaimed & experienced members.
- A big welcome to:
Ryan Crocker
Michel Duclos
Ibrahim Hamidi
Fred Hof
Aymen Abdel Nour
Anne Patterson
Zaher Sahloul
Wael Sawah
"Missing Persons in North East
#Syria
: A Stocktaking."
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@reemsalahi
produced for
@TheICMP
a detailed analysis of current efforts to find, recover & ID missing people in
#Raqqa
& NE Deir ez Zour:
I’m honored to be appointed as the
@SyrianCoalition
ambassador to the United States, to strengthen our relationship with the United States, people and government, based on our shared democratic values of liberty, equality, and justice.
"If the current situation continues, it could set up an Iranian-Russian gold rush to buy up what remains of
#Syria
’s sellable assets for a significant but temporary cash injection."
-
@MEI_Syria
's
@Dannymakkisyria
writes for
@CGPdc
:
NEW:
- "How is the crisis in
#Lebanon
impacting
#Syria
's economy?"
Benedikt Barthelmess & Liam Carson look at how events in
#Lebanon
are fueling
#Syria
's financial crisis:
@GregoryPWaters
According to
@GregoryPWaters
's data, ~50% of pro-
#Assad
deaths came in early-March, amid
#Turkey
's air campaign (which killed 405+ in 7 days).
More data looks at the provincial origin of killed fighters & the deaths of officers, by rank.
📣Join us in congratulating
@daraconduit
on being awarded an Alfred Deakin Postdoctoral Research Fellowship,
@daraconduit
will be spending the next two years working on a solo project on authoritarianism and Syria🎉
@GregoryPWaters
.
@GregoryPWaters
' data also looked at
#ISIS
's insurgency in the central desert - responsible for 77 attacks & 124 deaths in Spring 2020;
& the consolidating insurgency in
#Deraa
, which killed 101 pro-
#Assad
fighters in Spring 2020.
Statement by Ehab Makhlouf - younger brother of Rami and former Vice-Chairman of Syriatel
States he resigned based on differences with Rami & disagreed with handling of the case.
Says all the money and companies in the world wont change his loyalty to the Syrian President.
"The fate of Syrians in non-government areas cannot continue to be left to politicking in
#NewYork
— or in this case on video calls — every 6 to 12 months"
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@daraconduit
on the upcoming UNSC vote on cross-border aid to N.
#Syria
:
"Using the Convention against Torture to hold
#Syria
to account"
-
@MEI_Syria
's
@reemsalahi
takes a look at the Netherlands' initiative to push for eventual accountability in the ICJ:
أيام قليلة تفصلنا عن موعد تطبيق قانون #قيصر
دكتور في الاقتصاد يشرح تبعاته وتأثيره على حياة السوريين وانعكاسه على نظام #الأسد
خاص | #تلفزيون_سوريا
@syriastream
A decade ago, my passion for research on
#Daraa
has started. On this day, I would like to express my gratitude to the Dar'awis whom I got to know throughout 10 years. Without their contributions, my research would not have seen the light of day.
"Investing in
#Syria
: “Photo ops” outweigh real change"
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Karam__Shaar
looks at
#Assad
's
#Syria
, where a "unique type of investment — one where the announcement is the only part of the venture ever intended to take place."
Having just graduated from
@Columbia
this Summer, 9yrs after multiple detentions in
#Syria
,
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Qidlbi
spoke of his determination to see political change & justice brought to his country:
9 years ago, my jailer asked me: “What would you do with freedom?” I told him I would start by making up my missed exams to complete my degree. He laughed: “In your dreams”
Grateful to
@Columbia
for providing me the opportunity to realize the dream
#Russia
just quit a
@UN
mechanism aimed at protecting hospitals & aid delivery in
#Syria
.
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@ejbeals
explains the implications of the move, coming just 2 weeks before UNSCR 2165 expires.
Russia has quit the humanitarian deconfliction system in Syria. There’s a lot to unpack here.
First, the why. Two main reasons; posturing ahead of the final x-border aid resolution negotiations, and to avoid accountability after they were pinned up against the wall for attacks.
"Festering Grievances & the Return to Arms in Southern
#Syria
."
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Syrianzo
looks in unprecedented detail at dynamics in
#Deraa
~2yrs after its fall to
#Assad
-- where armed resistance & violence is growing.
"Bashar al-
#Assad
: a man with a clan"
-
@MEI_Syria
scholar
@Karam__Shaar
produced an interactive 5-generation
#Assad
family tree, with pop-up bio boxes for every name:
English:
Arabic: