Garret Hohl
@GarretHohl
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Writing @TheFiveHohl || Founded @HockeyDataINC & @HockeyGraphs || Proud dad of 2 amazing girls
Vancouver, British Columbia
Joined March 2011
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I’ve said this before and I will say it again. You can, and people do, make strong arguments against what hockey analytics suggest.
The issue is that many of the arguments typically made are not very good or rational arguments.
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@DallasStars
Good! How else we know you love America unless we play the we love America song. After all I thought this was America. When one American team plays another American team, America needs to show support to America.
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Oh great now they are going to kill Point in the back room
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So when does Dubois’ COVID quarantine end and he can join the team?
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People think analytics is about skill over grit.
No it’s substance over style. Give me good player who is gritty over skilled that gets out shot, our chanced, and out scored.
Good is good; bad is bad. Don’t matter how. Revolutionary really.
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Ya cause when trailing, the Jets want their highest scoring forward in the box in exchange for the worst defensive impact forward on the other team…
Ehlers little chicken hahaha buck buckkk 🐔🐔 It’s the Ryan Reaves show now little boy
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Ladies and Gentleman, the National Hockey League
A name being tossed around to jump into an Exec position with Anaheim is current head of player safety George Parros.
#Letsgoducks
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The
@NHLJets
are in New York to play the Rangers.
@UtilityVoice
and I go over:
✅ The loss in Tampa
✅ Facing Andrew Copp for 1st time since trade
✅ Logan Stanley
@680CJOB
@power97wpg
Listening to "Fly By 041922 - WPG @ NYR" at
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If I voted today...
Hart Panarin
Vezina Hellebuyck
Calder Hughes
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I hope this is made as a statue one day outside of MTS
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The
#NHLJets
actual best forward
Since the Jets put Nikolaj Ehlers on the top line full time they've outscored opponents 17-3 with him on the ice at 5v5 and he's 5th in the league in 5v5 scoring
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Highest value a goalie has provided to one team since 2007-08:
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And an elite analytics group with buy in throughout the organization…
Colorado was the *worst* team in the league by a healthy margin 5 years ago.
Now they're this.
Never underestimate the power of a proper plan and elite pro scouting.
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This isn't something unique. Don Cherry always had xenophobic, jingoistic undertones. He's a rich, privileged, old man pretending to be a blue collar guy. He's a climate change denier. He forced his team to skip import draft.
He isn't even a good hockey guy and failed in the OHL.
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We lucked into the playoffs so therefore we will mock our own fans
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My daughter walked today without assistance for the first time :))))))))
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Bobrovsky saving more goals than expected than the next 3 best goalies combined for the playoffs helps too.
What Paul Maurice and his Florida Panthers are doing is remarkable. He’s extracting everything out of his team and they’re all on board.
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NHL’s highest scoring forwards at 5v5 over 5 seasons combined (min 500 minutes):
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Unprotected first round pick for
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Jets are very good defensively if you count Hellebuyck as the defense.
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The greatest goalie of all time
Fight me
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Old people volunteer to work shit jobs to keep the capitalists going in businesses that would fail if they provided a living wage.
News at 11
Faced with a shortage of workers, a small army of seniors in Sechelt is volunteering to cover shifts at restaurants and other small businesses, rather than see them close their doors because of a lack of workers.
@Aaron_GlobalBC
reports.
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Props to the Colorado Avalanche analytics group, video coaches, and bench coaches.
Jets were the top 5v5 team by goal differential and a top 10 team in shot metrics… yet Colardo has made the Jets look like they are a team tanking for a lottery pick over about 4.75 games.
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Jets having a good playoff game, but
#NHLJets
prospect Brad Lambert has 1G 5A… and that’s just today’s game.
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Reminder:
Most models suggest McDavid has impacted his team’s win differential more than any other player since entering the league.
After that, it’s Hellebuyck.
Report: Connor Hellebuyck not interested in extension with Jets. 😬
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We’re starting to get to the point where Hellebuyck’s season HAS to be talked about for Hart…
Hellebuyck now ties Martin Brodeur for third longest 3GA or fewer streak in the BTN era of hockey.
#NHLJets
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Anyone can play 22-25 mins a night... the question is: should they?
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Winnipeg lost a great man this morning.
Reast in peace Gerhard Hohl.
Love you.
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Honestly, how different would the last 10 years be if the Jets didn't accidentally stumble on Hellebuyck when they went to scout the other goalie?
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Was thinking about Dustin Byfuglien, and how the league will likely never have a player like that ever again.
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Leaf fans, can I interest you in a slightly used 6’7 defenseman to help you play more playoff style hockey?
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You'd think a former enforcer like
@jamalmayers
would actually be against Hartman since Dillon followed "the code" and fought after his cross check, and on top of it Lowry fought at the start of the second game before Hartman's cheep shot.
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National anthems in sporting events was introduced as pro-military advertising.
Shame on
@StLouisBlues
and
@enterprise
for putting an advertising flag as part of the color guard accompanying the national anthem prior to last night's Stanley Cup game. A nauseating spectacle. We need to push back against this type of ad encroachment. (h/t
@DDapsis
)
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Ehlers and Connor is a great combo.
So is Ehlers and Vilardi.
And Ehlers and Scheifele.
I'm sensing a pattern.
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Analytics are there to help inform decision makers. The coaches and the GMs. I don’t think most analytics are helpful to players other than to inform areas that may need improvement, but then you are moving to coaches to implement that improvement anyways.
PLD essentially said that analytics are nice from above, but when you're on the ice, it's not so easy. Can't just tell someone to change something and it happens based on an equation. Hockey happens in the heat of the moment. Decisions happen in milliseconds.
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Bieksa wants more from Wheeler?
#NHLJets
have almost gotten more from Wheeler this series than they’ve gotten the past two regular seasons combined.
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Copp-Stastny-Ehlers
Connor-PLD-Scheifele
Perreault-Lowry-Wheeler
Harkins-Gustafsson-Appleton
lol how to shake up the dressing room
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three seasons*
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Can we talk about Kylington being trusted on a good team to play top 4 mins and how he’s ran away with it.
He’s been so good… and he went through waivers last year!!!
30 NHL teams could have had a free, young, top 4 dman…
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If data says something different than what I expect, the data is always wrong
@JimmyDunks
@EdmontonOilers
Ok. WAR states nurse is 33%. The best most complete NHL defenseman Victor Hedman clocks in at 46%.. while Chris Tanev.. yes you are reading that right is 97%…. Sick metric
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Here is the top 25 5v5 scorers relative to ice time over the past 3 seasons combined.
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Somewhere out there, Matthieu Perreault is smiling down on the Jets
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Ehlers point pace:
On top line: 98 point pace, all primary points
On third line: 39 point pace, 61% primary points
Usage matters
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Jets are now first in the league, and around 10th in most power rankings for some reason.
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Stat folks: Hedman normally puts up elite results, but this year he did not and wasn’t even given tough minutes by coach
Eye test folks: he’s the best, stats are dumb
*turns out Hedman played most of season injured and was not normal self*
Wow eye test really is always superior
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His job scaring MIN beat writers is done
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Bring laine home and send them Stanley
Dreger on Insider Trading: “Jarmo Kekäläinen GM of the
#CBJ
is willing to listen on a couple of big name guys like Patrik Laine and Ivan Provorov and there are others”
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Regular season:
WPG ~4.9 mins of PP TOI per GP
EDM ~4.9
Playoffs:
WPG ~5.2
EDM ~5.6
Stop with the non calls narrative.
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Let's take a look at the top 28 defensive pairs in xGoal (per
@MoneyPuckdotcom
) to play at least 50 mins... omg COL is playing a different sport
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All three of Morrissey, Samberg, and Heinola have to be playing next year. That’s got to be the
#NHLJets
3LHD.
DeMelo fits with anyone.
So that means one or more of Schmidt, Dillon, and Pionk got to go.
Stanley is a fine 7D.
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Credit to Bowness... He played things his way, even when it was wrong.
A lot of hockey left in this one, but it's almost like
#NHLJets
HC Rick Bowness knows what he is doing...
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@KeithOlbermann
@Jibblescribbits
@SunGarrioch
@SNKenReid
And the Manitoba Moose. Even back in junior:
Fun junior trivia: Lemieux was traded away from a good junior team for futures as his teammates all hated him
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I don't know if Wheeler plays next year, and if he does if it's for the
#NHLJets
...
...But, no one could doubt his effort this series.
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Dim also forgot height and weight, and also a very important category that drives a lot of these: how good they were 3-5 years ago... Fox wasn’t even in the NHL!
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Fun junior trivia: Lemieux was traded away from a good junior team for futures as his teammates all hated him
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Avs top 3 defenders in RAPM Corsi +/- per hour is:
Makar (22yo)
Byram (19yo)
Girard (22yo)
But sure... you have to be old and experienced to play d
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Add to the pile of those that criticize analytics don’t understand analytics
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In not-actually-meaningful-fancy-stats fancy stats:
Edmonton (2nd) is the
#NHL
's only remaining team of the top eight largest defensive teams in the playoffs. All 7 of the other top 8 in size on the blue line have been eliminated.
The remaining:
DAL (9th)
FLA (14th)
NYR (15th)
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Wake up hunny,
It’s Habs thinking they’ll get an unrealistic return from the Jets season again
My order of trade partners for
#GoHabsGo
Sean Monahan :
1.
#GoJetsGo
Lambert
2.
#CauseChaos
Nadeau or Trikozov
3.
#NYR
Kakko or Perreault*
4.
#GoKingsGo
Turcotte
* For Perreault, the
#Habs
would have to add.
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Everyone talks about the NYR success comes from having the best goalie this season, which is true… But they
1) legit have been solid 5v5 since deadline
2) are a top 5 PP and top 10 SH team all season
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27-55-13 since being put together have been like watching the globtrotters vs whomever...
Running 80% Corsi, 90% xG this game
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I think moving Copp was a good move. BUT I think bad decisions led to making moving Copp unfortunately necessary.
I don’t think Copp is some missed superstar. BUT I think he’s shown the
#NHLJets
could have used their depth better with top9 scoring lines instead of 3rd checking.
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Hellebuyck being literally off the charts has entered the chat
Late night just want to say it again: Auston Matthews for Hart
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I cant believe some people in Toronto think the refs are against them
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Morrissey-DeMelo
Samberg-Miller
Heinola-Schmidt
Why not... time to swing for some fences.
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No one from the 2019 NHL Entry Draft has a point yet. Except Heinola, who has 3 already.
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@Account4hockey
Again I remind everyone that in Jr Lemieux got traded away for futures by a contending team (and buying/selling is more extreme in Jr than NHL) because his team hated him.
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.
@BDillon04
knowing he single handily ended the Connor/Ehlers debate, brought peace between Twitter factions, and the
#NHLJets
fans are ready to focus on the playoffs.
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Just for funzies, here’s the top goalies in WAR since 2017 per
@EvolvingHockey
.
#NHLJets
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PLD, like most Quebecois hockey players, had a dream, a dream that he will actually live, to grow up and play in the NHL for a team in a warm city in the USA.
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We all laughed that the Penguins were just Crosby and Malkin back in the day, but this is what (mostly) only two elite players looks like.
Connor McDavid's seventh season, him and Draisaitl on 135 point paces, and the Oilers are a coin flip to make the playoffs at New Years. Seems like a bit of an issue
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Imagine what 4K per kid to each public school would do in improving and investing in Canada’s future.
Conservative leader
@AndrewScheer
, who says he understands the struggle to pay bills, wants to give a $4000 tax credit to parents who put their child in a private school. This plan would cost Canadians about $1.7 billion/ year.
#CDNPoli
#elxn43
#ScheerFoolery
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