FranchiseKF
@FranchiseKF
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Taking care of my body, my chicken, and my mentals, feel me?
Joined January 2011
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This Mike Leach quote on the NFL, KK, and the air raid has me dying
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David Montgomery grew up in Cincinnati, Ohio. He never met his biological father, and is one of five children. He grew up in a rough neighborhood, under tough circumstances. He had this to say to CBS about his upbringing:
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I don’t share this much publicly but it seems with everything that is going on it’s probably a good time to do so. I am a white guy in my 30s that comes from an upper middle class suburban upbringing. I wanted for nothing growing up and had married parents who were heavily
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Haven’t they endured enough?
Tennessee will provide free tickets to Hurricane Florence evacuees from North and South Carolina for Saturday’s home game w/UTEP
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Way it’s going for ISU, Montgomery likely to get tossed for targeting cause he is a rhino that’s smashing an ant.
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@ConnorAllenNFL
Isn't it shocking when a player gives an honest interview? Wish more players and coaches did this.
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If they can get 25,000 people to come and watch a pandemic game against the Sun Belt team I will be forced to move them up in my rankings to the nations most rabid fan base
Iowa State will have 25,000 fans in attendance (roughly 40% capacity) for their opener. But AD Jamie Pollard included this caveat in his announcement:
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Less than one year ago, the man that just took the soul from USC as a ball carrier was tasked with guarding Smith-Njigba as a DB. What a sport.
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2020 NFL Draft Thread:
Will add to this thread over the next five months.
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UGA TrFr RB D’Andre Swift had 17-153-1 receiving this season. Sony Michel, Nick Chubb, Elijah Holyfield, Brian Herrien had 16-131-1 combined. I can’t overstate how impressed I am that he forced the UGA to feed him. Can’t wait to see him with increased work in ‘18
@DevyWatch
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In high school, he was an Eagle Scout. In college, when he wasn’t at the football facility, he was volunteering in the community and holding the hand of a sick, six year old boy in the hospital while he was poked 11 times with needle to find a vein. He’s an exemplary human being.
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Montgomery had to create for himself. His 109 forced missed tackles were the most recorded by any player since PFF started in 2014. They didn’t have a single OL that ranked in the top 114 run blockers in the country. They also cycled through QBs like a Kardashian through the NBA.
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That kid is the reason why this program changed," Matt Campbell said. He contributed as a freshman. Late in that 2016 season is actually when I first discovered him. In November, he had double digit carries in all four games. He finished the month with 66-385 rushing.
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As a freshman in high school, he looked at his mother and promised her that she wouldn’t have to pay for his college education. He has always been a hard worker and he started his journey to a massively productive high school career as a dual-threat QB.
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Josh Jacobs was 3 star recruit from Tulsa, Oklahoma. He grew up in tough environment. There wasn’t a very long lineage of his town sending players to play CFB, certainly very few outside of OK or OK State.
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He does even more than that. "I give him $100 every two weeks... I pay for my bills. Then the leftover, I send to him. I try to keep low key with it." I don’t know about your maturity level in college, but it’s safe to say that mine was nowhere close to Montgomery’s.
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Marinate on this: Montgomery averaged 4.4 YPC. He averaged 3.5 YPC AFTER CONTACT. That means on average, Montgomery never even got a full yard past the LOS before he was hit by a defender. Let’s look at another back that PFF loved last year, Ronald Jones.
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The day has arrived! Here are my guesses for the 32 guys that will comprise the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft.
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"Typical average African-American family living a religion of poverty, place of poverty... If the electricity got turned off, we'd always open the oven & stay warm. If the water got turned off, we'd get gallons of water from Speedway & boil water on the oven & put it in the tub."
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If you like Kareem Hunt, you will love Iowa St RB David Montgomery. He is a similar to Hunt but a better athlete. Recruited by same coach
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The highlight of the Paul match was when Logan was being interviewed and asked to share what he said to his brother and at end of speech he said I love you bro, and the interviewer thought he was speaking to him and said he loved him too.
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I’ve mentioned before but my favorite FF format is Campus 2 Canton. Draft 50 man college dynasty team and play college fantasy. Draft separate 35 man NFL dynasty team. Each year your college players that make NFL can come up to your nfl squad. Drafting my second startup tomorrow!
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Ma, we made it.
Week 1: SEC/ACC Thread
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Breece Hall started seven games as a true freshman for Iowa State this year. If we extrapolate his production from his seven starts over 12 games, this could have been his freshman line:
260-1300-15 rushing
33-355-2 receiving
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Day after he arrived on campus, he went to coaching staff and asked for extra work he could do, in order to prepare him to see the field early on. The staff recalls seeming him in facility late on Friday night in January working out by himself. Soon after, his team joined him.
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He’s got a similar play style to Kareem Hunt, who was also coached by Matt Campbell. The good news about DM, you won’t have to worry about any off-field incidents. He determined long ago that he was going to overcome his circumstances and be a great man and football player.
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Once he took the ISU job, they called him the next day and offered him a full scholarship. He made good on his promise. As a senior, he ran for 2,707 yards and scored 48 TD. Montgomery was the 73rd ranked RB in the 2016 class.
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@JoeyKnish22
@stoolpresidente
@BSSportsbook
I hope this is of comfort: I’ve known you a lot longer than Dave and I’ve gotta say, saying you are a card counter wouldn’t even make my top 150,000 list of things to call you.
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Anyway, I hope some of that made sense. I’ll try to be more open to share about experiences that I’ve had and I’ll continue to be a good neighbor, and would encourage everyone to do the same, no matter where you are planted.
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@BudElliott3
Extraordinarily rare heel turn over last 18 months. Guy went from having every casual pulling for him (not short bettors) to now being in place where I’m not sure anyone, including CU fans can legit root for and like the guy
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His life took an unexpected turn when his brother was convicted of a murder in 2015. His family couldn’t afford lawyers, and the rendering of a guilty verdict was swift. He is now serving a 15 years to life sentence. David stays in regular communication with him.
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Quick look at AGG who I think will emerge as one of the top FBS WR in 2018
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It’s one of the biggest mysteries I’ve ever come across in recruiting, and I still can’t figure out how we got the kid. I think he should be playing anywhere in the country. You watch his film, and he’s unstoppable, you look at his numbers and they’re video-game numbers.
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Daughter had to go to to children’s hospital ER with really high fever because primary was closed on a weekend. Spent about 2 hours there. Got two doses of OTC fever reducer and strep, flu, and Covid tests. Just got a bill for $4,600+. Just an unreal method of thievery.
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Baker Mayfield's Heisman Acceptance Speech is gonna be the equivalent of an Eminem diss track and I can't wait..
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He had 692 rush & rec yards as 19 year old TrFR. In 2017, that’s when things really picked up for him. Thanks largely in part to PFF, Montgomery became an phenom of the analytics. His 258-1146-11 rushing was good for a sophomore. His 4.4 YPC was scoffed at by some.
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Miami WR, Ahmmon Richards' younger bro, Mark - that stop and start was nasty. Looks like sudden cut ability and body control run in family
2019
@mark21richards
made plays on both sides of the ball in spring. Younger bro of
@AhmmonR2
is a big-time prospect
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On the field, he kept grinding, working to make good on his promise to his mom. Montgomery didn’t have a single scholarship offer as he entered into his senior year of high school. Iowa State’s Wide Receivers Coach, Bryan Gasser, was previously a coach at Toledo where Montgomery
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His current price tag is very high in presumptive rookie drafts. The athletic portion of combine and abundance of great WR could help keep his value reasonable. I believe that should Monty land well, he should be in contention for this class’ RB1.
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Incredible comment just heard on broadcast. Alabama OC Brian Daboll says LSU LB Devin White is best def.player he's seen on tape of any team
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However, this is where we need to give it some context. Several advanced metrics that are designed to rate the play of an offensive line graded the ISU OL amongst the worst outfits in the nation. They ranked in the worst 15% of run blocking units in CFB.
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Didn't get my steps in this week. Got my words in though.
Week 1: SEC/ACC Thread
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Here is a profile I did on one of my favorite RB in CFB - David Montgomery
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He was the most dominant player in that area and in the state of Ohio. I couldn’t figure it out.”
He was a two-star that didn’t have a single college football offer before his senior season. Toledo, and then head coach Matt Campbell, wanted him but they didn’t have room.
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I simplify RB evaluation to two key components: Can he create? Can he catch? The answer is a resounding YES for DM. He creates better than any player in college football over the past five years. If he’s drafted by team with top 5 worst OL in NFL, he’s proven he can produce.
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Q: Sandra, how far has this family come?
A: From Baton Rouge
Highlight of the draft.
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I want to get ahead of a narrative a year early. D’Eriq King has thrown for 134 TDs compared to 13 INTs since his sophomore year of high school playing Texas 6A ball. Yes, he’s the most dynamic running QB in CFB, but to attempt to diminish this ability as a passer is a mistake.
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When ranking teams in the Big 12, I had a really hard time not putting Iowa State in tier 1 alongside Texas and Oklahoma. Ultimately, I decided having a tier break between them makes sense but I was suprised by how challenging of an exercise that proved to be.
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participated in a camp. Many of the coaches felt he was the best player at that camp. Gasser, now at Iowa State, had this to say about the lack of interest in Montgomery:
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Lets check in with PFF for the advanced metrics. He forced 94 missed tackles this season. He gained 892 if his 1,216 rushing yards after contact. That means that once again, he had to do an incredible amount of creating on his own. He was contacted on average 1.3 yards from LOS.
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Former Penn State and Umass TE, Adam Breneman, just announced his medical retirement from football. Sad news to hear about any player but especially so with him because without injuries we are talking about one of the top TE in this draft class.
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The butterfly effect was real yesterday for Scotty Washington! Today’s under radar WR prospect is Iowa State’s Rs So Hakeem Butler. 6’6” 36-586-6 (16.3 YPR - 61% catch rate) He hasn’t been talked about much amongst the talented 2019 WRs but I think he may end up a top guy.
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@JoeyKnish22
I believe congratulations are in order. -$35 gotta be what a top 3 best week for you in past couple months? Considering he wiped your debt to $0, this was a banner week. Keep choppin!
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Show of hands: after the initial celebration wore off, how many of us would be kicking ourselves we didn’t throw at least $10 on it instead of $5 😂 🙋🏻♂️
One bettor at
@DKSportsbook
turned $5 ➡️$489,383.01 on a 14-leg anytime TD parlay this weekend 💰🤯🎄
Najee Harris✅
Gabe Davis✅
Jahmyr Gibbs✅
DK Metcalf✅
Jerome Ford✅
Chris Rodriguez Jr.✅
Jonathan Taylor✅
Calvin Ridley✅
James Conner✅
Raheem Mostert✅
Javonte
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Both a fun and frustrating season. Glad they played it. Enjoyed interacting with many of you. Here’s to a better ‘21 than ‘20!
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Been thinking about how I will share my weekly CFB threads this year. The super long twitter threads Ive done in past years arent the ideal medium so I created a site and will do weekly blog posts once we get in season. I will try to set it up so if you want to subscribe to those
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8-147-2 for Jace Sternberger. Gonna be a CFF target for me. Running free here but this guy is a + athlete and they need pass catchers.
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"He would be one of our best receivers," Campbell said of Montgomery. "He's one of our better route runners." Monty caught 71 passes for 582 yards. He can catch balls on all routes out of backfield and has ability to split out as a WR. He’s the mismatch NFL RBs need to be in 2019
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A ton of freshman RB looked really good last week. One of my favorite that stays under radar is Miss St.'s Kylin Hill
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Jamie Newman nuggets from Athletic:
- Working out w QB coach of Deshaun & Fields
- In mix: Oregon, Georgia, Washington, Miami, & Maryland
- Waiting on Fromm decision and who both Washington and Oregon hire as OCs
- Wanted to get away from RPO hvy offense
- Decision in 10ish days
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To give some updated context, Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor graded out as PPF All American. He averaged 7.1 YPC. He gained 1,175 yards AFTER CONTACT this year. Awesome. The difference, he wasn’t touched for the first 3.3 yards from the LOS on average, a full 2 yards later than DM.
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I woke up and felt a lot more sad about the end of the P12 than I expected to. Especially after it provided prob its most entertaining year in recent memory, and was probably my favorite conf to watch this year for the first time I can remember. Just a huge bummer.
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I know that many people don’t like to actually read my stuff but as an incentive if you do, I’ve been burying some props in there. I’ll bold next week. Got things back squared away last week and confidence returned. I’ll try to tweet out a few more this evening
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Update on the weekly thread. I’ve decided to opt out for the rest of the season. I’ve lost about 50% of what I gained in the early to middle part of this season. Anything I do in life, my success is predicated on my passion level and I don’t have it right now. I’m just tired.
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There are some folks who will tell you with clear eyes and an earnest heart that the NFL is better than CFB
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Seth Williams is 21 picks away from tying Kelvin Harmon's draft slot and cementing himself as the co-worst Devy miss of the modern era
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Top forecasted NFL RBs
'17 catches:
Barkley - 54
Jackson - 44
Smith - 40
Kelly - 37
Wadley - 28
Johnson - 24
Ballage - 20
Penny - 19
Gaskin - 19
Guice - 18
Scarborough - 16
Freeman -14
Jones III - 14
Adams - 13
Harris - 10
Michel - 9
Crawford - 8
Love - 6
Chubb - 3
Small sample but looking at the Top 5 rookie RBs this year:
Catches in final collegiate season:
Kamara - 40
Hunt - 41
Fournette - 15 (incomplete season)
McCaffrey - 37 (incomplete season)
Cohen - 37
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If these results hold, Mattison will be RB15+. This is just my opinion, but I’ve never seen the community so wrong about a player in my three or so years of being a part of it.
RB1 = Josh Jacobs
RB2 = Miles Sanders
RB3 = David Montgomery
RB4 = Darrell Henderson
RB5 = Damien Harris
RB6 = Justice Hill
RB7 = Rodney Anderson
RB8 = Devin Singletary
RB9 = Trayveon Williams
RB10 = Mike Weber
RB11 = Benny Snell
Who’s your RB12?
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Take that a step further, he is actually able to get up a head of steam on the overwhelming majority of runs, as opposed to shucking a would-be-tackler or two behind the LOS, in order to labor to gain four yards. YPC is largely an indicator of two things: quality of OL & RB speed
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I’m still trying to reconcile the fact that Antonio Pierce, not long ago a LB coach at Arizona State, was terminated due to his integral role in a scandal that significantly impacted the entire football program, is now the head coach of an NFL team. Talk about falling up.
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If Tua broke his other hip, one leg, and an arm between now and April, I would still take him 60 picks ahead of Love. Bad college QBs rarely get good in the NFL.
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More of the same. Monty rushes for 257-1216-13. 4.7 YPC - BOO! The ISU OL showed improvement, they checked in on average the 100th ranked run blocking in the country (Out of 130) which puts them in bottom 20%, but better than 2017.
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Minshew is a Leach air raid QB so it’s gonna be ingrained to give heavy work to the slot and RB in the quick game. SHENAULT one of most terrifying WRs when toting the pill. I try to stay in my college lane but his early ADP is a serious bargain.
Part of my justification for picking Jaguars WR Laviska Shenault as one of the five biggest instant impact rookies (outside of Burrow/Young/Okudah/Simmons)
Full article:
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RoJo averaged 6.3 YPC. He also averaged 3.5 YPC AFTER CONTACT. That means he was contacted on average 2.8 yards past the LOS, compared to Monty’s .90. Is part of that responsibility on the RB? ABSOLUTELY. Is most of it? HECK NO. Let’s take a look at 2018:
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True Detective Season 1 is one of those shows I can watch over and over. If you haven't seen it, start today. On HBO. Skip season 2 and then season 3 is really good as well, not on the level of S1, but still better than most stream-able options on any platform.
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No idea how this happened, but I managed to go from not thinking I was gonna be able to write hardly anything up to having the whole slate done in decent detail on Monday mid-afternoon. More games to still cap. Will add accordingly
Week 2: SEC/ACC Thread
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@FF_DirtyMike
Would literally fly into this guys city and end his life. I’m in a slow draft where we are 20 rounds done in 1.5 days and it’s still far too slow.
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That’s an oversimplification, but it’s the most accurate and digestible bites I can boil it down to. Monty’s career 4.7 YPC is going to deter many dynasty players from drafting him. Frank Gore avg 4.8 YPC in college and that was lowest 17th% for NFL backs.
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Love the pick of Ridder by the Falcons. Guarantees I won’t be a season ticket holder for 36th season in a row.
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The day has arrived! Here are my guesses for the 32 guys that will comprise the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft.
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For some reason this clip keeps cracking me up. Check out the LT
#70
here. How’s that for finish?
@colecubelic
@BigDuke50
@VeteranScout
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How are your guys spending your CLV on Wake Forest? I’m gonna call the gas company tomorrow and see if they’ll accept my screen shot of +7.5 as payment for Dec and January in lieu of cash.
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