Mike Vallerie
@FF_DirtyMike
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Contributor @campus2canton / Jr. NFL Draft Analyst /Part-Time Devy Influencer/ Back2Devy Co-host🎙 #Devy #C2C Please don't quote PFF grades at me
Warrenton, VA
Joined February 2021
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Normalize being critical of players and still liking the player
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DJ Moore and Terry McLaurin need to enter the transfer portal
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Projecting 2023 Running Back Draft Capital
Bijan Robinson - 1st
Jahmyr Gibbs - Late 1st - Early 2nd
Zach Evans - Early 2nd
Tank Bigsby - Mid 2nd-3rd
Sean Tucker - Late 2nd
Zach Charbonnet - late 2nd-3rd
Kendre Miller - Late 2nd-3rd
Kenny McIntosh - 3rd
Devon Achane - 3rd-4th
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NFL Draft Grades for Wide Receivers
🔹Post Senior Bowl
🔹Big Board article dropping this week giving context to each player
🗒️short notes on a ton of players below
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MFL is the WORST platform, no one can convince me otherwise
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By request, I give you the 2022/23 combined WR/RB/TE ranks
-Tier 1-
🔹RB1 - Bijan Robinson
🔹RB2 - Jahmyr Gibbs
🔹WR1 - Kayshon Boutte
🔹WR2 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba
-Tier 2-
🔹RB3 - Zach Evans
🔹RB4 - Breece Hall
🔹RB5 - Sean Tucker
🔹WR3 - Treylon Burks
🔹WR4 - Quentin Johnston
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Combining the 2022 and 2023 RB Draft Class:
🔹RB1 - Bijan Robinson
🔹RB2 - Jahmyr Gibbs
🔹RB3 - Breece Hall
🔹RB4 - Zach Evans
🔹RB5 - Sean Tucker
🔹RB6 - Tank Bigsby
🔹RB7 - Kenneth Walker
🔹RB8 - Rachaad White
🔹RB10 - Jase McClellan
🔹RB11 - Kendall Milton
🔹RB9-Zach Charb
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NFL Draft Grades for Running backs
🔹Post Senior Bowl
🔹Big Board article dropping this week giving context to each player
🗒️short notes will be below
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Troy Franklin fans seeing Jermaine Burton get drafted before him
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Combining the 2022 and 2023 Wide Receiver Draft class:
🔹WR1 - Jaxson Smith-Njigba
🔹WR2 - Kayshon Boutte
🔹WR3 - Treylon Burks
🔹WR4 - Jameson Williams
🔹WR5 - Jermaine Burton
🔹WR6 - Quentin Johnston
🔹WR7 - Jordan Addison
🔹WR8 - Garrett Wilson
🔹WR9 - Josh Downs
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Jartavius Martin vs. Tre Tucker
Tre consistently looking quick and hard to cover in 1v1
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Senior Bowl Day 1
Stock up:
QB Michael Pratt
RB Ray Davis
RB Cody Schrader
WR Ladd McConkey
WR Roman Wilson
TE Jared Wiley
Stock Down:
QB Sam Hartman
QB Joe Milton
WR Xavier Legette
WR Johnny Wilson
WR Luke McCaffrey
TE Ben Sinott
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Currently in a draft that’s been paused for 2 days because the manager is in trade talks…….
Any thoughts on this? It doesn’t affect me, should I care?
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I’m case y’all missed this and needed a good chuckle during your morning
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Dameon Pierce was a 4th round pick in the 2022 NFL Draft
The coaching staff that draft him have left the building, the incoming staff don’t have any loyalty to player they didn’t bring in themselves
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NFL Draft Grades: Running Back
First iteration of grading
8+ = 1st round
6+ = Day 2
🔹I’ll revisit after the Shrine Bowl and Senior Bowl.
🔹Article will be dropping in the coming weeks to discuss in detail
🔹 There are assumptions made on who declares. Deadline is Jan15th
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Javon Baker is the Patriots rookie WR you want, not Ja'lynn Polk
Draft capital is only one piece of the puzzle
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NFL Draft Grades: Wide Receiver
First iteration of grading
7+ = 1st round
6+ = Day 2
🔹I’ll revisit after the Shrine Bowl and Senior Bowl.
🔹Article will be dropping in the coming weeks to discuss in detail
🔹 There are assumptions made on who declared
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2023 Running Back Draft Grades
Senior Bowl has wrapped up and honestly did not adjust much. As always, thoughts are in the thread:
🔹Grades are a mix of Analytics and Film
🔹DC is assumed
🔹The class is deep, with a solid group of high end talent
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Pre-Draft top 20 WRs for the 2023 Draft class
Expect Pre-Draft movement based on:
🔹Players not declaring
🔹Senior Bowl Performance
🔹Combine / Weigh-ins
Will adjust based on draft capital/landing spot and tweet a list post-NFL draft. (Some thoughts on current class in thread)
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Here we go again with disinformation, here is Zays’ P5 offer sheet:
Boston College
Kentucky
Kansas State
Maryland
NC State
Nebraska
North Carolina
South Carolina
Pitt
Purdue
Syracuse
Took me 5 seconds to check if this was false, do better.
Zay Flowers was a 3-star recruit and received just ONE Power 5 offer from Boston College.
Before last season, he was offered multiple six-figure NIL deals to transfer out of Boston.
Flowers chose the route of loyalty and stuck with the school that believed in him first.
Now,
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NFL Draft Grades for Quarterbacks
🔹Post Senior Bowl
🔹Big Board article dropping this week giving context to each player
🗒️short notes on a ton of players below
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Elijah Moore is going to have the best rookie season out of the 2021 WR class.
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I present my initial combined rookie rankings before heading to the Senior Bowl
some notes in the thread:
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Just turned off a podcast that had Kyren Willians as the fantasy rookie RB2.
There are so many great small fantasy football podcasts that do such a better job than the big companies. For all those content creators out there, thank you!
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My Pre-Draft top Running Backs for 2023
Expect Pre-Draft movement based on:
🔹Players not declaring
🔹Senior Bowl Performance
🔹Combine / Weigh-ins
Will adjust based on draft capital/landing spot and tweet a list post-NFL draft
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Y'all are going to lose it when Blake Corum comes in at 5'6 at the combine
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My honest thoughts on National Team Senior Bowl Day 2 (Skill position focused):
QB Bo Nix - Really struggles deep and doesn't step into his throws. Excellent passer in the short area
QB Michael Penix - No Change, he was good
QB Sam Hartman - No change
RB Isaiah Davis -
My honest thoughts on National Team Senior Bowl Day 1 (Skill position focused):
Quarterbacks
National Team:
QB Michael Penix - kept throwing the ball where he wanted the WR to go, instead of where they headed. He doesn't have that type of chemistry with players out there. He
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People love to pump up PFF Grading.
But PFF Grading would’ve had you OUT on Amon-Ra St. Brown – who posted a 71.7 PFF Receiving Grade in his final college season.
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I would be very surprised if RB Jaylen Wright’s practice tape from the senior bowl caught anyone’s eye because he wasn’t even there
Going back this week and rewatching some Senior Bowl players who caught my eye:
OG Christian Haynes
CB DJ James
RB Jaylen Wright
Really excited to dive back in on Wright after checking the practice tape from Mobile. He'll be moving up for me.
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I’m surprised how many people thought Michael Carter was the guy….
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Senior Bowl All-Practice Offense:
QB: Michael Pratt
RB: Ray Davis
RB: Dylan Laube
WR: Ladd McConkey
WR: Roman Wilson
WR: Ricky Pearsall
TE: Theo Johnson
OT: Taliese Fuaga
OT: Jordan Morgan
OG: Jackson Powers-Johnson
OG: Javion Cohen
C: Kingsley Eguakun
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🚨2022 WR Pre-Draft Ranks🚨
🔸Long Thread
🔸Start with tiers then ranks
🔸short abbreviated break down
🔸Metrics that matter
🔸draft score
Tier 1 - Potential WR1s for NFL teams
🔹Treylon Burks
🔹Garrett Wilson
🔹Jameson Williams
🔹Drake London
🔹George Pickens
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My honest thoughts on National Team Senior Bowl Day 1 (Skill position focused):
Quarterbacks
National Team:
QB Michael Penix - kept throwing the ball where he wanted the WR to go, instead of where they headed. He doesn't have that type of chemistry with players out there. He
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@Daboys_22
You expect me to focus on your team with Malik Willis staring at me at THE 3.09!?!?
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🚨2023 RB Pre-Draft Ranks🚨
🧵Long Thread
🔸Start with tiers then ranks
🔸short abbreviated break down
🔸Metrics that matter
🔸draft grade
Tier 0
🔹Bijan Robinson
Tier 1
🔹Jahmyr Gibbs
Tier 2
🔹Kendre Miller
🔹Zach Evans
🔹Zach Charbonnet
🔹Tank Bigsby
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The whole team went to celebrate Jakobi’s first TD, it’s enough to make a grown man cry. I love the Pats ❤️
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Ranking my 2022 WR Draft Prospect Watchlist
If I organized it into tiers it would go like this:
Tier 1 - Polished route runners with high floors and longevity in the league from top schools
1. Garret Wilson
2. Chris Olave
3. John Metchie III
4. Jahan Dotson
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2023 Running Back Ranks
#Devy
Bijan Robinson
Jahmyr Gibbs
Zach Evans
Sean Tucker
Tank Bigsby
Kendall Milton
Kendre Miller
Zach Charbonnet
Deuce Vaughn
Devin Achane
Chris Rodriguez
Tahj Brooks
Dewayne McBride
Isreal Abanikanda
Lew Nichols
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@OldMan_FF
@MyFantasyLeague
You can say that about anything “if you learn it…..”
It was build in like ‘01 and hasn’t been updated since
It’s the most non friendly user system. It’s the MySpace of the fantasy world
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@TheGoose5000
@amazehayes_
Idk I’d you’re being serious but this guy is trolling a doctor from a a week ago that listed 5 backups to pick up and CMC happened to get injuried.
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Keidron Smith vs. Grant Dubose
UK Alumni locking down Grant. He was a late addition after playing well in the NFLPA bowl the week prior. This young corner should be watched closely, he is a clear riser, the question is how far
#BBN
#Seniorbowl
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RB Zach Evans, Ole Miss
🔹6’/215lbs
🔹5⭐️/RB2
🔹Efficient in two separate systems
🔹Violent, almost to a fault
🔹Patient for the cut back lanes
🔹Bursty, Great in short area
2023 RB3, don’t be afraid of durability when if comes to a prospect of this talent. No major injuries.
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Now that the College season is over, with the exception of 4 teams, I wanted to highlight NFL Mock Draft Trends from Week 1 of the NCAA season to mocks done the last 2 weeks
QBs
▪️Matt Coral 44 📈 8
▪️Malik’s Willis 27 📈 13
▪️Desmond Ridder 36 📈 14
▪️Kenny Pickett 109 📈 15
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People telling you to buy Gabriel Davis must have missed when the BUF coaching choose to pay an aging vet to fill that role pushing Davis down the depth chart for a year
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Releasing my off-season way too early top15 2024 wide receivers
As things stand now, it's a down class, but with a ton of potential.
13 Concerns/Notes/General thoughts in the thread below⬇️⬇️
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Y'all need to stop sleeping on Jalen McMillan because he was injured for half of the 2023 season. McMillan and Odunze were 1A/1B, McMillan was not the WR3 in Washington's offense
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🚨2022 RB Draft Prospect Watchlist🚨
Over the last month I’ve watched tape and wrote profiles on 15 players, I watched tape on a few other guys, too.
Similar to how I did WRs, I will break them up in tiers followed by actual rankings (attached will be their profiles)
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Khalil Shakir is going to be the best G5 receiver to come out since Diontae Johnson 😤
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I have a growing concern of the 2024 RB class, some thoughts:
1. Raheim Sanders is looking too thick, like he lost some mobility
2. Still waiting on Henderson to look like his freshmen form
3. I'm just not confident we see Jase McClellan put it together
4. Ja'Quinden Jackson
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No, can PFF stop pushing this the way they pushed Tanner McKee last year?
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🚨🎥2022 Rookie WR grades📊🚨
This is a mix of FILM scores and ANALYTICAL scores
Draft Cap was factored in and assumed based off of data from the National Mock Draft Database. That will be adjusted following the NFL draft.
Forgive my overall editing skills
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Next off season we will see people saying trade JT for Bijan+
Honestly….. I just might
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Projecting 2024 NFL Draft Capital, Running Back
I nailed this last year going 14/18, doubt I could do this 2 years in a row.
TreVeyon Henderson - 2nd
Braelon Allon - Late 2nd-3rd
Devin Neal - Late 2nd - 3rd
Trey Benson - 3rd - 4th
Marshawn Lloyd - 4th-5th
DJ Giddens* - 4th-5th
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Projecting 2023 Wide Receiver Draft Capital:
Quentin Johnston - 1st
JSN - 1st
Jordan Addison - 1st
Kayshon Boutte - Late 1st - early 2nd
Josh Downs - Early 2nd
Cedric Tillman - 2nd
Jalin Hyatt - 2nd
Zay Flowers - Late 2nd - early 3rd
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I know dynasty Twitter starts getting familiar with the draft prospects around this time, WRs with Early Declare status:
1. MHJ
2. Malik Nabers
3. Xavier Worthy
4. Troy Franklin
5. Adonai Mitchell
6. Brian Thomas Jr.
7. Keon Coleman
Thats it.
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🚨👨💼📽️ WR Rookie Grades pt. I📽️👨💼🚨
I have been putting out rankings based on film and thought that I should just go ahead and review my grading process from last year.
🔹Grades are a combination of Film and Analytics
🔹Draft Cap is assumed
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Concerns on the *interesting* 2024 WR class:
1. This class has a lack of route runners, It's MHJ, Emeka, and maybe Nabers?
2. Xavier Worthy still dropping balls, so I guess his hand is still broken or whatever late narrative they threw out LATE last season. Still think he's a
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2023 WR Rookie Grades pt. II
Just capped off the Senior Bowl, time for updates, as always note/thoughts in the thread:
🔹Draft Cap is assumed
🔹Grades are mix of Analytics and Film
🔹This class as a whole has a lower analytical score compared to recent draft classes
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🚨2022 RB Pre-Draft ranks🚨
🔸Long Thead
🔸tiers then ranking
🔸Stats that matter
🔸Will include grades
🔸Abbreviated explanation
Tier 1 - RB1 entering the NFL
🔹Breece Hall
Tier 2 - Low end RB2 w/upside
🔹Kenneth Walker
🔹Isaiah Spiller
🔹Tyler Allgeier
🔹Rachaad White
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🎞️👨💼WR Grades pt. III👨💼🎞️
🔹These will be my final pre-draft grades
🔹Draft cap factored in based off my draft trends thread (attached at bottom)
🔹This is not a model, it has film grades and some bias like size, and level of competition
🔹This is a blend: 40% analytics 60% film
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The Dameon Pierce crowd are going to lose it when they discover Miyan Williams
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🚨🎥📊2022 RB Draft Grades📊🎥🚨
🔷First edition of RB grades
🔷Analytical score is age-adjusted according to the C2C metrics "Magic Line"
🔷Analytical score is 40% Film is 60%
🔷Draft Cap assumed based off NFL MockDraft Database
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I officially have my first tweet with more likes than I do follows.
Texting my wife to let her know she’s dating an influencer 💅
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End of season 2025 RB rankings
Tier 1
1. Nicholas Singleton
2. Quinshon Judkins
3. Branson Robinson
Tier 2
4.Jaydn Ott
5. Jamarion Miller
6. Trevonte Citizen
Tier 3
7. CJ Donaldson
8. Damien Martinez
9. Trevor Etienne
10. Kaytron Allen
11. Cartavious Norton
Preseason attach⬇️
🚨Devy Freshmen RB Ranking🚨
🔹All Ranks/rating from 247 Composite
🔹Stats from Max Prep (may be inaccurate)
🔹HT/WT from school, if not 247
🔹MPH from C2C Analytics team
🔹Brief description/expectation
For all you dynasty guys that are bad at math this is the 2025 RB class.
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Dear
@TheFFBallers
,
Start up season is rapidly approaching. As a avid listener of the show I know that y’all are highly competitive among your friend group. May I suggest y’all take the next step and join the most competitive fantasy format. It’s called
@campus2canton
. (1/4)
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🚨🎥📊WR Grades Part II📊🎥🚨
Some Notes:
♦️I cleaned up the analytics making in age-adjusted.
♦️40% analytics/60% Film. I'm trying to find the right balance
♦️Extrapolated Data for injuries
♦️High Internal Competition got a bump
♦️ Draft Cap provided by Mock Draft Database
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I've been grading WRs for 5 years now and Xavier Legette is officially my lowest-graded WR to get drafted in the first round
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This weekend is my last drill for the National Guard completing my 10 years of service including active duty. My last major mission being apart of Operation Allies Welcome. Proud of my accomplishments, excited for the chapter to end and moving forward
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By the time Rookie drafts start up dynasty twitter will manipulate the market with recency bias and make Zack Evans, JSN and Boutte a value
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It’s “the 2023 class is over rated next years class is better” szn
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2024 WR Rankings update
#Devy
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Emeka Egbuka
Xavier Worthy
Jojo Earle
Ja’Corey Brooks
Kaden Prather
Beaux Collins
Malik Nabers
Colbie Young
Troy Franklin
Lorenzo Styles
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Before you ask why I'm low on Blake Corum I believe most of his success comes from his dominant offensive line play. I believe he's a VERY good college running back but lacks a high-end trait to be a day 2 NFL trait.
Excited to see how wrong I am. I love the off-season
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Just an FYI, only two teams were excited to draft Kadarius Toney in the 1st last year. Those teams were the Giants and the Jags.
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Ball security is job security
Top fumble rates over a collegiate career for the 2024 NFL Draft:
Jawhar Jordan: 1.32%
Jaylen Wright: 1.36%
Braelon Allen: 1.51%
Will Shipley: 1.52%
Rasheen Ali: 2.14%
Marshawn Lloyd: 2.77%
Lloyd is fumbling the ball every 36 attempts
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Senior Bowl All-Defense Practice Team:
EDGE: Laiatu Latu
EDGE: Austin Booker
DT: Braden Fiske
DT: T'Vondre Sweat
DT: Darius Robinson
LB: Trevin Wallace
LB: James Williams
CB: Quinyon Mitchell
CB: Max Melton
S: Kam Kinchens
S: Kitan Oladapo
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Final NFL Draft Grades: Wide Receivers
🔹Short notes with more detail projections in thread
7+ = 1st
5.5+ = Day 2
4.5+ = Day 3
I switched to tiered rankings, some of y’all can’t handle a .1 difference in score
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NFL Draft Grades: Quarterback
First iteration of grading
7+ = 1st round
6+ = Day 2
🔹I’ll revisit after the Shrine Bowl and Senior Bowl.
🔹Article will be dropping in the coming weeks to discuss in detail
🔹 There are assumptions made on who declares. Deadline is Jan15th
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Y’all need to stop using the excuse that JJ McCarthy didn’t have WRs. Roman Wilson is a better WR than anything Drake Maye or Caleb Williams was throwing to.
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RB Devin Neal, Kansas
Here’s my hot take, He’s RB3 in the class with a shot at being RB1 when we look back 3 years from now
🔹Elusive
🔹Power
🔹Patience
🔹Can work downfield as a receiver
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This year’s underrated WR prospect?
Jalen McMillan
A injury marred season that looks unimpressive from a box score perspective but the footwork and explosiveness out of his breaks paints the picture of a possession specialist at the next level.
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Every RB drafted between rounds 1-3 while weighing sub 200 at the combine since 2012, DC included:
2022:
James Cook - 2nd
2015-2021:
None
2014:
Dri Archer - 3rd
2013:
None
2012:
LaMichael James - 2nd
Isaiah Pead - 2nd
This is a Devon Achane tweet.
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Why I don't care about the combine, a thread, more like a rant.
1. There's no football or pads involved. I care far more about in-game functional mobility and speed, or how a player performs while in pads compared to wearing a tracksuit. Pads + helmet weigh an average of 9lbs,
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🔹Marvin, Nabers, Rome are locked day 1, they are over talked about at this point
🔹Worthy has speed that no one else has in this class. He wasn’t asked to work the middle of the field because of other pieces that Texas had but he has underrated short area manipulation ability
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