Chris Nicholson
@CNicholson1988
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I studied law and philosophy. Big fan of the NBA and Game of Thrones. Head of Research @strivefunds .
Joined May 2020
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Wei Wu's quest to join the Mavs is quietly the most compelling storyline to emerge from the Claudine Gay debacle, narrowly beating out the Bill Ackman love story.
Hello white woman with big teeth and big smile. Your support show your character. You possess wisdom. Very honor. When I be 15 millionaire dollar, I also give you best job. You be my bodyguard. What you do? Smile. Shiny teeth blind all enemy. Blind enemy can not attack. I'm safe.
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My article on how the CHIPS Act is so loaded with DEI pork, it can't move.
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@bfeincole
@pmarca
TSMC tried to use its own skilled workers to get the first fab on schedule and the DEI requirements prevented it. We should be moving heaven and earth to bring in skilled labor from Asia, whatever's fastest, but the DEI focus of the CHIPS Act won't even contemplate it.
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@AshaRangappa_
*adjusts glasses* Technically, Superman's spaceship was an artificial womb, so he was born on American soil and is granted citizenship by the 14th Amendment.
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@TrentTelenko
You are building a mountain of speculation on top of an unfounded rumor that's almost certainly false. Pictures of Sychevoy with a bare head show that he's completely bald on the top of his head. This prisoner clearly has hair follicles there.
In 2019-2021, Sychevoy commanded Russia's 8th Army, which, per Ukrainian intelligence, runs the 1st and 2nd "separatist" Army Corps
The current Russian group command is as follows:
Leut Gen Sychevoy — West
Leut Gen Muradov — East
Col Gen Lapin — Center
Army Gen Surovikin — South
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Here's my analysis of the impending Ukrainian counteroffensive. Because accurate predictions are the coin of the realm, I make several. My only qualification to opine on the war is that I've made accurate contrarian predictions since its beginning.
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@RichardHanania
The plot laid out by GRRM really isn't affected much by having the Velaryons be black, and he was actually the one who originally proposed that some Valyrians would be black. The ones who commit incest to maintain genetic purity are the Targaryens, a different Valyrian family.
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@ChuckPfarrer
This is misinformation. Earlobes are totally different, mole's lower, has more hair follicles. Ukraine's doing well enough, it doesn't need unfounded rumors to help it. Those of us who want Ukraine to win can't just become cheerleaders.
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@RichardHanania
This is funny and inevitable. Look at him talking about how he wrote books condemning fascism and his ancestors died in the Holocaust like he thinks it matters at all, like he doesn't know his own tribe.
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@RichardHanania
He says "Supply lines to Izyum are now shielded from the south by the Donets, and from the west by the Oskil," but recent maps show UKR in Oskil itself, between Izyum and the Oskil River. Izyum is already almost surrounded, and UKR has artillery covering its lone supply route.
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@RichardHanania
I'm sure they recognize some people have darker skin than others. The Romans cared a lot more about nationality than race, I'm not sure why you'd say color blindness is unrealistic in an ancient society. They had two emperors we call black that the Romans just considered Roman.
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@bfeincole
@pmarca
DEI is explicitly littered throughout the Commerce Department's factsheet. The jobs program aspect of the CHIPS Act is why it won't allow TSMC to bring in outside employees to get the job done quick and well.
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@Frank2536600063
@VivekGRamaswamy
If you're gonna call one Indian guy by another's name just because they're both conservative, and if you're gonna call them Uncle Tom because they have brown skin and disagree with you, you might not be as anti-racist as you think.
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@RichardHanania
It's a fantasy world with magic and dragons. The Ibbenese, Brindled Men, lizard men, Tall Men, Thousand Islanders, and others are all human or humanoid creatures that don't look like any race of humans. Some white people called the Sistermen have webs on their hands and feet.
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@RichardHanania
House of the Dragon is actually pretty good so far. I think it'll become very popular over the next few years. Making a character black doesn't ruin the show, it's not like it's peppered with woke stuff. There's strong source material to guide it.
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@N1ckPayne
@TrentTelenko
Or you could look at the pictures of them and compare how bald their heads are without deciding the question by follower count.
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@RichardHanania
I briefly wondered if I was a bad person for enjoying watching this, then decided that it's part of the good life.
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@RichardHanania
You said that to maintain faithfulness to the books people need to look like real races of human beings. There are at least ten examples from the books of human and humanoid beings that look very different from real races of humans. You don't seem to have read any of the books.
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@RichardHanania
He posted a desperate groveling apology thread to preserve the 1% and shrinking chance he might land another postdoc or two one day as he slinks out of the academy. It's kind of sad but it's what he signed up for.
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@RichardHanania
"it might have made for an interesting twist if instead I had made the [Valyrians]… black. Maybe I could have kept the silver hair… if I’d had dark-skinned dragonlords invade and conquer and dominate a largely white Westeros… that choice would have brought its own perils."GRRM
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@bfeincole
@pmarca
We need fabs ASAP because China has 200x the shipbuilding capacity we do, thousands of rockets, has hypersonic missiles, and we don't. This is not the time to worry about immigrants taking our jobs.
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I think Russia's offensive capacity is spent and it won't recover. I'm very confident Russia will never take Kramatorsk, and somewhat confident it won't even retake Lyman. If Russia does take Kramatorsk, I'll admit I know nothing and won't offer any more opinions on the war.
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@distant_summer
I heard about this weird woman and her public divorce years ago from a student of hers. Now it's not only deep philosophy, but a deep New Yorker profile. Thanks for giving the highlights so I don't have to wade through the piece.
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@OmiDelZ
@RichardHanania
Yeah the blitz is moving so fast that ISW map from September 7th is ancient now. In the most recent one from yesterday it's clear they've made rapid progress toward surrounding Izyum, and non-ISW maps from today show them in Oskil. ISW is reliable but very slow tracking this.
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@PeterZeihan
You're behind the times, Telenko himself just admitted he's probably wrong about this. It's just a rumor that spread like wildfire.
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This is obviously a proxy war, and one of the main purposes of Ukraine's counteroffensive is to prove to its Western backers that it can advance using modern weapons, getting them to send more. It's uncomfortably close to the Hunger Games.
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@RichardHanania
Gonna jump in with some insightful commentary here - it's "bald-faced lies." In the last couple decades "bold-faced" has surfaced as a less-used variation, but this trend must be resisted.
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@RichardHanania
Don't forget closing our Swiss cheese border and ending fentanyl, that's probably the biggest thing Ukraine aid is preventing.
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@RichardHanania
You seems to believe that the black guy is supposed to be a Targaryen, but he's not. There are black and white Valyrians like there are black and white Americans, and GRRM says that was part of his original idea for Valyria, which is right next to his world's version of Africa.
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@VivekGRamaswamy
@ColeMacro
@StriveFunds
DEI is facing an emperor-has-no-clothes moment, and we're going to accelerate it.
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Arguments that Ukraine aid comes at the expense of defending Taiwan from China are largely misguided. What Ukraine needs most are armored vehicles to protect troops from artillery, especially Bradleys, and the US has a ton. Those aren't usable against China.
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@TrentTelenko
Doesn't look like the same guy. Mole is lower, earlobes are bigger. It's not a good look that you're accepting this claim so readily.
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Breaking through in Luhansk would achieve Ukraine's political goals in this proxy war. It offers the best chance to take territory without mass casualties.
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@RichardHanania
There's not much evidence of a plan. The Russian MoD has been silent about the ongoing UKR blitzkrieg near Kharkiv. They had one line of defense and once that was broken UKR ran rampant through their interior. UKR may be vulnerable to counterattack but RUS doesn't look capable.
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The counteroffensive has been delayed because there's been a lot more rain than usual and sending armored vehicles to attack through deep mud is a recipe for disaster--that's one thing that sunk Russia's initial invasion. Ukraine's waiting out the mud.
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I also predict that the US will send more Bradleys or Strykers within the next couple months because training was the main bottleneck and Ukraine can now use some of its trained troops to train more. This is a war of attrition of trained troops on modern equipment.
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Ukraine is threatening Kherson and Crimea to pull Russian resources there. When the counteroffensive begins, it will seek to exploit shorter interior lines by playing ping-pong with the Russian army, shifting its targets. I predict its first major target won't be the main one.
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@Jimmy_Jaws
@N1ckPayne
@TrentTelenko
A lot of "experts" with large follower counts are gleefully feeding each other misinformation right now. Embarrassing.
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@WuWei113
Keep fighting the good fight. There will be haters who dismiss you, but you deserve to be on that court every bit as much as white guys like Luka, who will be throwing you lobs soon.
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@RichardHanania
Upon a 5th rewatch, the audio is exquisite. The ones who think a cop can't kneel on someone's back when restraining them, the one who thinks she's entitled to know the officer's name and badge number, probably based on some TV show... surely this is the good life.
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@VivekGRamaswamy
Obesity and requirements against history of drug use rule out about half of young people, I think. After all the eligibility requirements, only about 1/4 of young people are candidates, and then this stuff about not wanting to join the Army comes into play.
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@VivekGRamaswamy
Also called the "No true Scotsman" fallacy. "No true CRT," "No true ESG." An old move. There are also plenty of "no true socialism" and "no true capitalism" arguments making the rounds these days.
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@RichardHanania
It's possible he's been assigned the role of easing the Russian public into accepting that they've lost.
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@phl43
The real story here is that she accurately depicts the raptors with feathers. She should be proud of her work.
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Luhansk would be a ripe target, although I don't know whether Ukraine will pursue it or not. It's a good target because it seems to be the area Russia has chosen to defend most lightly.
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@RichardHanania
Strange quote to pull given that the beginning of the article says figures like that were altered for disinformation.
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Instead of prioritizing national security with the CHIPS Act, the government prioritized DEI pork.
Strive CEO
@ColeMacro
and Head of Research
@CNicholson1988
explain the impact in their article “DEI Killed the CHIPS Act.”
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The biggest win would be for Ukraine to cut a path to the Sea of Azov and hold it, but Russia is well-defended against that strategy, so I don't think Ukraine will pursue it. High reward, but the risk of failure is too high.
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@RichardHanania
'Stan' was revolutionary because Eminem took the hook from a Dido song and made it cool. Worth a listen.
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@tab_delete
The ability to reflect and sincerely apologize like this is rare and precious. We will watch your career with great interest.
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@WarintheFuture
Thanks for this analysis, but here you seem to be amplifying a rumor that isn't based on much. The prisoner's hairline is much different from the general's in pictures where his head is bare. Lt. General Sychevoi looks completely bald on his crown:
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@RichardHanania
Oh, the towers mankind could have built if it weren't for helping Ukraine. Art, science, music... all lost, like tears in rain.
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A good read on how someone can think their way into and out of terrible views. I think it's about 90% sincere, which is as high a number as you get for these kinds of things.
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@RichardHanania
You're letting him save face with his tribe by publicly denouncing you. How generous.
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@RichardHanania
@Annnnnnonimous
Yeah, but for some reason that guy interprets the Oskil River as something the Ukrainians have to cross to threaten Izyum's supply lines when it's actually a barrier Russians have to cross to get supplies to Izyum or evacuate troops from there. Very strange.
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Congress is pretty interested in Strive's article about DEI requirements holding back the CHIPS Act. Biden's not thrilled.
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@VivekGRamaswamy
Interesting... Germany's Green Party just chose coal over nuclear, and Greta Thunberg hates it for some reason. Very mysterious why climate activists oppose nuclear energy. It certainly calls for some explanation.
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@ColumbusDerek
@Jimmy_Jaws
@N1ckPayne
@TrentTelenko
I only know about half those words but if you mean their ears look different I agree.
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@RichardHanania
Royce White pops back up and he's a Republican Senate nominee? What a strange world.
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@VivekGRamaswamy
As she mentions, most of this implicit bias stuff is based on studies that have been caught up in the replication crisis sweeping the social sciences. Harvard's Implicit Association Test is behind most of it, and a bunch of studies have now failed to connect it to real racism.
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@KelseyTuoc
This is one of the more important bits of reporting I've seen, although it probably won't receive that much attention.
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@RichardHanania
I dunno man, the beginning of the article makes it pretty clear these were probably modifications for disinformation. And if the casualty ratios were anything remotely like that, Russia would have taken far more territory in this war. Common sense says this is propaganda.
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@RichardHanania
Virgil once called the Romans "the toga'ed race." Their concept of race was very different from ours. It attached to clothes, diet, language, and custom much more than skin color or other physical features. They traded with the Chinese, Indians, and Ethiopians, among others.
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@SeasonsOfTao
@YorkshireH1ker
@RichardHanania
Relax. We have a difference of opinion on a artistic choice in a show. There's no need for you to call me a coward. I don't know you and you don't know me. Most of my writing has actually involved critiquing wokeness, although I don't feel the need to defend my character to you.
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@RichardHanania
It's probably liberal women saying this to her, commiserating about how she's got no chance because men would never vote for a woman. But I doubt any men say or think this. Maybe Josh Hawley.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Never stepping into a Star Trek-style teleporter is possibly the most practical lesson I got out of my philosophy degrees.
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@ElbridgeColby
Good article. I'd add that in addition to over relying on the US, Taiwan is probably also placing far too much faith in its silicon shield.
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@ElbridgeColby
Love the Cato the Elder reference, but the key distinction is that Carthage didn't have nukes.
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@robbystarbuck
I wrote this piece, but I like the saying "Never attribute to malice that which can be explained by incompetence." The progressives strangling the CHIPS Act with regulation probably genuinely don't understand that China is getting ready to take Taiwan within a couple years.
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@RichardHanania
I think the Disinformation Governance Board ought to edit this tweet to add proper context about how great those things are.
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@Annnnnnonimous
@RichardHanania
Yeah I take Pfarrer with a grain of salt but Russian sources seem to be agreeing on the rough picture. The most important thing is that the article Richard linked claims the Oskil River somehow protects Izyum, but you can clearly see that it's more like a wall keeping Russians in
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Happy to hear it! I'm finishing a PhD in philosophy right now, planning to defend it soon, so I actually don't have any public writing at the moment. But I plan to start blogging on substack on a variety of topics. I may write my first one within the next couple weeks.
@CNicholson1988
Hi Chris, I enjoyed many of your conversations via Hanania. Where can I find more of your writing? Thank you.
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@thedekopon
@RichardHanania
GRRM's stream-of-consciousness elliptical thoughts can be hard to interpret, but I saw the section I quoted above as a unit, where he introduces an idea, thinks of a potential problem, then says he still kind of likes the idea.
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Too bad that Hunger Games excerpt is probably the only part of my article Elon read.
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I now have 10 subscribers.
A pro ukraine commentator..... when you google it links to a right wing think tank and the blogger has 6 whole followers.
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@DocGrawitch
@aaronsibarium
Fair question. Chipmakers are never going to say "The DEI requirements are too strict." But Intel said the chip market is slowing to explain its Columbus delay, then immediately started planning a fab in Ireland. TSMC said it needed to fly in skilled workers and CHIPS stopped it.
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@Noahpinion
That's the point, when they eventually do the real thing it'll start out looking a lot like the many exercises that came before.
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@peterboghossian
From what I can tell, you're a better teacher and philosopher than all the rest I've seen in this discipline.
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@robkhenderson
Good call. It's the rare trilogy where the second book is actually the best, make sure you read that one. The universe is a dark forest...
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@RichardHanania
The rest of the civilized world has been enjoying these jokes for months. Looking forward to the forthcoming substack on women's smears.
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It's finally happened. We shot down a UFO. Everyone's worried about war with China, war with Russia... no one sees the real threat, the Star Wars. Our corrupt DC politicians worry too much about illegal aliens, too little about interstellar ones.
According to Defense Sources it also appeared to Floating and moving in an Abnormal Manner.
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@PhillipsPOBrien
Rawls a right-wing intellectual? He was pretty much the definition of liberalism for a few decades before being replaced by identity politics. And by Hume do you mean David Hume, who died in 1776? I suppose that is pre-1990, but he doesn't map on easily to today's distinctions.
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@RichardHanania
@Noahpinion
The latter. According to this study, from roughly 1870-1920 the US market averaged an annual total return of 5.43%, while for the remainder of the 20th century that rose to 8.22%. That time period lines up well with the switch above to fewer recessions.
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