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WeThink (by @Omnisis ) - poll boffins. Plugging into the mind of voters to reveal latest voter intention, Brexit sentiment and much more.
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Social media can feel like the Wild West at times 🤠 From extremist views to entertaining gifs and quite literally everything in between, we polled Brits to discover their feelings on social media and social media reform. Let’s go!
1
0
4
1/ After their by-election drubbing, we've got even more bad news for the Conservatives as our latest voter intention tracker shows Labour stretching their lead to 21 points.
🔴 Lab 48% (+4)
🔵 Con 27% (-1)
🟠 LD 10% (+1)
⚪ Ref 7% (NC)
🟢 Green 4% (-2)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
22
234
684
1/ They say it doesn’t rain but it pours. For Labour, there’s been a flood of support this week as they increase their lead in the polls by five to 22 points.
🔴 Lab 47% (+4)
🔵 Con 25% (-1)
🟠 LD 9% (-2)
⚪ Ref 10% (-1)
🟢 Green 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
49
268
665
4/ BIG shift in Brexit sentiment, with a five-point gain for the re-join camp to hit 63% - a joint record high in our tracker.
* All *
❎ Stay Out: 30% (-3)
☑️ Re-join: 52% (+6)
😐 DK or not voting: 18% (-3)
* Exc DKs*
❎ Stay Out: 37% (-5)
☑️ Re-join: 63% (+5)
51
242
501
1a/ The plot thickens... no, we’re not talking about a Nadine Dorries novel. We’re talking voter intention, with Labour hitting a 24-point lead, their highest lead since early August.
🔴 Lab 48% (+3)
🔵 Con 24% (-3)
🟠 LD 9% (-1)
⚪ Ref 8% (-1)
🟢 Green 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
24
159
499
🚨This is not an Elphicke bounce,
we repeat....
This is not an Elphicke bounce🚨
Labour up 3 points.
🔴 Lab 47% (+3)
🔵 Con 24% (NC)
🟠 LD 9% (+1)
⚪ Ref 10% (-3)
🟢 Green 6% (NC)
🟡 SNP 2% (NC)
20
115
376
1/ As Rishi Sunak’s suit dries out and Keir Starmer’s copy of
#ThingsCanOnlyGetBetter
is stashed for another day, our first poll since the
#GeneralElection
was called looks like this:
🔴 Lab 47% (+1)
🔵 Con 22% (-1)
⚪ Ref 12% (+1)
🟠 LD 8% (NC)
🟢 Green 6% (-2)
🟢 SNP 3% (+1)
18
138
371
Our secret is out! In colab with
@TheEconomist
, we are proud to reveal our first MRP - and it’s punchy.
🔴 LAB 465
🔵 CON 76
🟠 LD 52
🟡 SNP 29
⚪ RFM 3
⚫ PC 3
🟢 GRN 3
18,865 online interviews 30/5 - 21/6. Our slightly different take on the data is 👉
47
132
331
1b/ Amid the headlines, controversy and policy announcements, there has been a *significant* shift in the electorate’s desire for change. Should a general election be held in the next six months?
👍 Yes 72% (+5)
👎 No 28% (-5)
4
73
274
1/ We are BEYOND excited to welcome you to the new home of polling for
@omnisis
. It’s a new dawn for us as WeThink - and what a start for Lab which commands a 21-point lead this week.
🔴 Lab 47% (+3)
🔵 Con 26% (-2)
🟠 LD 11% (+1)
⚪ Ref 6% (-1)
🟢 Green 5% (NC)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
17
133
265
1/ It's been a grim week for the Government. After losing in the Lords with its Rwanda Bill, it’s dealt a further blow as Labour’s lead in the polls rises by five to 23.
🔴 Lab 47% (+4)
🔵 Con 24% (-1)
⚪ Ref 11% (-1)
🟠 LD 9% (NC)
🟢 Green 6% (NC)
🟡 SNP 2% (NC)
16
96
252
1/ Call Norris McWhirter – record-breakers in this week’s poll ... A Labour surge sees their lead rise by 5 to 22 over the Conservatives, as Reform equals its highest ever vote share.
🔴 Lab 44% (+1)
🔵 Con 22% (-4)
⚪ Ref 13% (+2)
🟠 LD 9% (NC)
🟢 Green 6% (-1)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
23
92
231
Hmmm ... two thirds of Brits (66%) said they want a general election in the next six months, according to our latest polling. That increases to 70% among voters in the North West...
The Prime Minister
@RishiSunak
tells Sky's
@BethRigby
that a general election is "not what the country wants".
He then denies he is afraid of a general election.
📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube
1K
280
875
8
88
221
As the
#CPC23
takes place, we asked voters to give us one word how they feel about the United Kingdom at the moment (sorry for any bad language). What would your one word be?
41
100
220
1/ The champagne is flowing
@uklabour
after a double by-election win in Wellingborough and Kingswood - but also because of this polling boost (probably) – their lead up 4 to 20.
🔴 Lab 46% (+4)
🔵 Con 26% (NC)
🟠 LD 9% (-1)
⚪ Ref 8% (-2)
🟢 Green 6% (NC)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
6
73
179
1/ With only 34 days to go (but who’s counting?) until the
#GeneralElection
, Labour enjoys a 25-point lead as the Conservatives equal their lowest-ever vote share in our latest poll.
🔴 Lab 46% (-1)
🔵 Con 21% (-1)
⚪ Ref 13% (+1)
🟠 LD 8% (NC)
🟢 Green 6% (NC)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
8
59
156
Theresa May was after strong and stable leadership – what you’ve got here is strong and stable polling. Labour remaining on top of the pile at the end of January with a 24 point lead.
🔴 Lab 47% (-1)
🔵 Con 23% (NC)
🟠 LD 9% (NC)
⚪ Ref 12% (+2)
🟢 Green 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
3
45
158
It’s been a scorcher of a week ☀️ Our latest Voter Intention scores are in with Labour’s vote share down by one to 42. Reform UK's vote share is +3.
🔴 Lab 42% (-1)
🔵 Con 20% (-2)
⚪ Ref 16% (+3)
🟠 LD 10% (NC)
🟢 Green 7% (NC)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
🟣 Ind 2% (NC)
7
51
151
1. After saying we weren’t running a poll last week – we were bored of eating and drinking, so just for continuity… here’s what happened!
🔴 Lab 43% (+2)
🔵 Con 26% (-1)
🟠 LD 11% (-1)
⚪ Ref 11% (+2)
🟢 Green 6% (NC)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
7
53
146
1a/ It all kicked off this week. Tory racism claims, Michael Gove probed over tickets from donors & George “The Cat” Galloway back as an MP. In the polls, Lab gained 5 to lead by 24pts.
🔴 Lab 47% (+3)
🔵 Con 23% (-2)
⚪ Ref 10% (NC)
🟠 LD 9% (NC)
🟢 Grn 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
4
55
139
Britons think Keir Starmer will be the best PM for 27 years, according to new polling.
When asked if Starmer would be a better Prime Minister than all PMs since Blair, he beat them all. Opinion below on how Brits saw the first week of a Labour government.
91
55
142
In the week where the Criminal Justice Bill suggested homeless people may be arrested for “smelling excessively”, do our latest figures pass your sniff test? Labour lead up to 21pts.
🔴 Lab 45% (+1)
🔵 Con 24% (-1)
🟠 LD 10% (NC)
⚪ Ref 13% (+3)
🟢 Green 5% (NC)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
8
57
136
1/ Know what’s more secure than Wandsworth Prison? Labour’s lead over the Conservatives, that’s what. They hold a healthy 20-point lead in our latest voter intention tracker.
🔴 Lab 46% (NC)
🔵 Con 26% (+1)
🟠 LD 9% (-2)
⚪ Ref 6% (-1)
🟢 Green 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
9
45
124
4a/ The
#Brexit
pendulum swings slightly back towards “rejoin” this week.
* ALL *
☑️ Rejoin: 50% (+3)
❎ Stay out: 31% (-3)
🤷 Won’t vote / DK: 19% (NC)
* EXC DK *
☑️ Rejoin: 62% (+4)
❎ Stay out: 38% (-4)
5
50
123
2b/ Across the aisle, Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer enjoyed a huge surge in popularity as he picked up a massive 11 net approval points to improve to +16 in our leader of the opposition approval tracker.
👍 Approve: 41% (+8)
👎 Disapprove: 25% (-3)
🤷 Neither: 35% (-3)
2
40
120
4c/ Couple of little bonus questions this week. First, we asked if people thought Brexit has been a success:
👎 72% no
👍 28% yes
Then we asked people to sum up Brexit in one word 👇
4
87
120
1/ Greetings chums. Straight down to business this week – Labour has re-established a 20-point lead over the Tories in our latest voter intention tracker...
🔴 Lab 47% (+2)
🔵 Con 27% (-1)
🟠 LD 10% (+1)
⚪ Ref 7% (+1)
🟢 Green 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
6
47
114
1/ Less than a month until
#GeneralElection
and the Tories hit a record low in our latest polling, while Lab sustains its 25-point lead. Reform's increase mirrors other VI polls.
🔴 Lab 45% (-1)
🔵 Con 20% (-1)
⚪ Ref 15% (+2)
🟠 LD 10% (+2)
🟢 Green 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
6
57
114
1a/ With the glitter cleared and the applause now but a distant echo, we peeked into the British psyche to see the seismic impact of the party conferences on voter intention. Oh...
🔴 Lab 44% (NC)
🔵 Con 28% (NC)
🟠 LD 9% (-1)
⚪ Ref 7% (+1)
🟢 Green 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
6
44
110
4/ A slightly increase towards ‘re-join’ in our weekly Brexit sentiment tracker, but no major shifts on this front.
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 50% (+3)
❎ Stay Out: 33% (-1)
🤷 DK or not voting: 17% (-2)
* Exc DKs*
☑️ Re-join: 60% (+2)
❎ Stay Out: 40% (-2)
11
55
106
3/ It’s a record-breaking week for Mr Starmer who, with 44% of the vote, hits his highest-ever share in our “who’d be the best Prime Minister’ tracker. His lead increases by 4 to 18 over Mr Sunak.
🔴 Sir Keir Starmer: 44% (+4)
🔵 Rishi Sunak: 26% (NC)
⚪ Don’t Know: 31% (-3)
3
45
92
3a/ While voter intention remained statuesque, the needle has definitely shifted in our preferred PM tracker, with Sir Keir doubling his advantage from last week and opening up a 12-point lead.
🔴 Sir Keir Starmer: 40% (+2)
🔵 Rishi Sunak: 28% (-4)
⚪ Don’t Know: 31% (+1)
2
31
90
3/ It’s a BIG record-breaker for Mr Starmer in our ‘Best PM’ tracker as he surged by five points to reach a dizzying 19-point lead – his highest ever – over Mr Sunak.
🔴 Sir Keir Starmer: 44% (+5)
🔵 Rishi Sunak: 25% (NC)
⚪ Don’t Know: 31% (-4)
6
27
87
6b/ Finally, we asked Brits if any of the following industries should be nationalised or renationalised.
💧 Water: 70% yes v 30% no
💡 Energy: 71% yes v 29% no
📨 Postal service: 71% yes v 29% no
☎️ Telecoms: 52% yes v 48% no
11
47
84
In the 2nd of our constituency polls for
@TheEconomist
, Gillingham was the focus of attention last night when
@OwenWntr
lit up
#GE2024
threads.
🔴 Lab 55% (+27)
🔵 Con 23% (-39)
⚪ Ref 15% (+15)
🟠 LD 5% (NC)
🟢 Green 2% (NC)
(+/- 5%, change vs 2019 notional)
2
24
85
4a/ And now, as frozen as the north of the British Isles, our trusty
#Brexit
tracker. Very little movement as usual.
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 50% (NC)
❎ Stay Out: 31% (-2)
🤷 DK or not voting: 19% (+2)
* Exc DKs*
☑️ Re-join: 61% (NC)
❎ Stay Out: 39% (NC)
4
32
83
1/ Labour’s lead is cut by two but they still lead by 23 with just three weeks until the
#GeneralElection
. And independent candidates make our chart for the first time...
🔴 Lab 43% (-2)
🔵 Con 20% (NC)
⚪ Ref 14% (-1)
🟠 LD 11% (+1)
🟢 Green 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
⚫ Ind 2%
7
40
82
4/ Our
#Brexit
tracker has stabilised over recent weeks and is painting a fairly consistent picture at this point.
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 50% (+2)
❎ Stay Out: 33% (+1)
🤷 DK or not voting: 17% (-3)
* Exc DKs*
☑️ Re-join: 61% (+1)
❎ Stay Out: 39% (-1)
16
52
80
Riots have gripped Britain’s streets since the end of July, when misinformation was spread about the identity of the man who killed 3 children in a horrific incident in Southport.
Join us as we discover the British public’s thoughts about the riots, violence and immigration.
43
31
82
1c/ Even more interesting is that HALF the country now thinks an election should be held immediately! This is the highest we've seen since we started polling this question five months ago.
👍 Yes 50% (+10)
👎 No 50% (-10)
1
18
76
2b/ And if the Tory doldrums weren’t enough to put a broad grin on Sir Keir Starmer’s face, then this surely must... his net approval surged by 13 points to +14 this week – his highest ever.
👍 Approve: 42% (+7)
👎 Disapprove: 28% (-6)
😐 Neither: 31% (NC)
2
31
77
1/ Welcome friends to our climate change polling special. We’ll kick off with the usual, where there's a net zero change 😉 in voter intention. Lab still leads by 17 points.
🔴 Lab 45% (+1)
🔵 Con 28% (+1)
🟠 LD 9% (-2)
⚪ Ref 6% (-1)
🟢 Green 6% (NC)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
2
30
67
ICYMI: Records were levelled or beaten in our latest poll.
🔴 Keir Starmer highest-ever lead in 'Best PM' poll
⚪ Reform equals best vote share
🔵 Rishi Sunak joint lowest approval
PLUS Britain speaks on nationalisation; smartphones; VAR and Rwanda.
👉
4
28
67
@Omnisis
4a/ Same old story for Brits' feelings about Brexit - six out of ten people would vote to re-join the EU in a second referendum.
* All *
❎ Stay Out: 31% (NC)
☑️ Re-join: 48% (NC)
😐 DK or not voting: 21% (NC)
* Exc DKs*
❎ Stay Out: 40% (+1)
☑️ Re-join: 60% (-1)
2
27
70
On the day when Rishi Sunak’s fortune increased – the voter intention for Labour and the Conservatives don’t mirror it as they dipped slightly into the red.
🔴 Lab 46% (-1)
🔵 Con 23% (-1)
🟠 LD 8% (-1)
⚪ Ref 11% (+1)
🟢 Green 8% (+2)
🟡 SNP 2% (NC)
3
29
66
1/ It’s the business end of the
#GE2024
campaign and after TV debates, publicity stunts and pledges, how does it leave the latest voter intention? Labour’s lead down by two to 21.
🔴 Lab 43% (NC)
🔵 Con 22% (+2)
⚪ Ref 13% (-1)
🟠 LD 8% (-3)
🟢 Green 7% (+1)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
8
44
64
4a/ On Brexit, our polling continues to show a consistent trend on how Brits would vote if another EU referendum was held.
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 52% (+2)
❎ Stay Out: 31% (-2)
🤷 DK or not voting: 18% (NC)
* Exc DKs / won’t vote *
☑️ Re-join: 63% (+2)
❎ Stay Out: 37% (-2)
1
43
66
We've a little bonus polling for you to mark the Summer Solstice!
Our
@TheGreenParty
constituency polls were covered in
@theguardian
today. Here's a great article by
@peterwalker99
:
And here are the headline figures for Waveney Valley
1/5
4
29
67
Whilst we wait for the weekly VI results - we did a word cloud. Still asked representatively so all in line with the upcoming VI results.
"Please tells us, using a single word, how you would describe Rishi Sunak's first 12 months as PM?"
You lot are harsh. (sorry for swears)
16
33
62
3b/ And while he’s racing ahead there, we asked if voters think Sir Keir is or is not a leader in waiting. Nearly half think he is.
45% he’s a leader in waiting
31% he is not a leader in waiting
24% don’t know
3
14
65
1. As we prepare to plunge ourselves into winter darkness that is the end of BST, the continued Labour lead means the Conservatives have been in the dark for a long while now.
🔴 Lab 46% (-2)
🔵 Con 26% (-1)
🟠 LD 10% (NC)
⚪ Ref 7% (NC)
🟢 Green 6% (+2)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
...🧵
4
19
60
2a/ In another blow to Rishi Sunak, his net approval fell by three to –16, ending a mini popularity fightback for the beleaguered Prime Minister.
👍 Approve: 30% (-1)
👎 Disapprove: 46% (+2)
🤷 Neither: 24% (NC)
2
18
62
@ProfBrianCox
4a/ Static. Stoic. Frozen. Brexit.
* ALL *
☑️ Rejoin: 48% (-1)
❎ Stay out: 31% (NC)
🤷♂️ Won’t vote / DK: 21% (+1)
* EXC DK *
☑️ Rejoin: 61% (NC)
❎ Stay out: 39% (NC)
1
27
59
1b/ Amid a plethora of promises, predictions and proclamations made during the conferences, which party did the best job at selling their vision to voters?
🔴 43% Labour
🔵 18% Conservative
⚪ 38% don’t know
2
19
59
1/ New Government. New VI. Similar story. Labour and Conservative vote shares down - new parliament Labour lead of 19 pts. Greens up by +2 🌳
🔴 Lab 39% (-2)
🔵 Con 20% (-3)
⚪ Ref 16% (+1)
🟠 LD 11% (NC)
🟢 Green 9% (+2)
🟡 SNP 2% (NC)
15
22
56
@Omnisis
3/ Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer increased his lead over Mr Sunak to nine points in our “best PM” tracker. Another metric showing the PM’s redux is on the ropes.
🔴 Sir Keir Starmer: 37% (+3)
🔵 Rishi Sunak: 28% (-3)
⚪ Don’t Know: 36% (+1)
5
24
55
2a/ As PM Rishi Sunak confirmed the first Rwanda deportation flights are booked (even if some ministers think it's interchangeable with the DR Congo), his net approval score hit its joint lowest as he drops a point to –30.
Approve: 23% (-1)
Disapprove: 53% (NC)
Neither: 23% (NC)
1
17
53
In our 3rd and final
#ge2024
constituency poll for
@thegreenparty
, this time we're in Bristol Central
🔴 Lab 40% (-19)
🔵 Con 6% (-8)
🟣 Ref 15% (+15)
🟠 LD 3% (+3)
🟢 Green 49% (+23)
The poll was conducted with 400 respondents (+/- 5%, changes vs 2019 notional)
1/2
6
20
54
1/ As reports of missed NHS waiting time targets caused heart palpitations in politics this week, how has it hit the polls? Tories still flatlining as Labour maintains a 20-point lead.
🔴 Lab 44% (-1)
🔵 Con 24% (NC)
⚪ Ref 11% (-2)
🟠 LD 9% (-1)
🟢 Green 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP 2% (NC)
8
18
49
3/ Is it a post-debate bounce? Mr Starmer also strikes gold with another huge lead, this time in our ‘preferred Prime Minister’ tracker where he gains another two points to create a 22-point gap.
🔴 Keir Starmer: 47% (+2)
🔵 Rishi Sunak: 25% (NC)
⚪ Don’t know: 28% (-3)
1
18
51
It’s
#GE2024
Election week 🔥 Here are our final VI scores on the door - Labour down by 1 whilst the Cons haves crept up 3 - giving Labour a final 18 point lead.
🔴 Lab 41% (-1)
🔵 Con 23% (+3)
⚪ Ref 15% (-1)
🟠 LD 11% (+1)
🟢 Green 7% (NC)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
🟣 Ind 2% (NC)
2
24
49
@Omnisis
2/ Despite an impressive fight back last week, Rishi Sunak’s popularity has plunged six points to a net approval of -16.
👍 Approve: 28% (-2)
👎 Disapprove: 44% (+4)
🤷 Neither: 27% (-3)
2
17
48
1/ The Autumn Statement, eh? For some, a tax cut bonanza. For others, the highest tax burden for 70 years. Do the polls reflect any of this? Well, Labour’s lead falls two to 18 points.
🔴 Lab 44% (-1)
🔵 Con 26% (+1)
🟠 LD 12% (+1)
⚪ Ref 8% (-2)
🟢 Green 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
3
20
46
5/ We’ve been asking for a number of weeks whether people think a general election should be held immediately or in the next six months.
* Next six months *
☑️ 66% yes
❎ 34% no
* Immediately *
☑️ 44% yes
❎ 56% no
1
16
45
4a/ Steady as she goes in our Brexit trackers.
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 48% (NC)
❎ Stay Out: 31% (-2)
🤷 DK or not voting: 21% (+2)
* Exc DKs / won’t vote *
☑️ Re-join: 61% (+1)
❎ Stay Out: 39% (-1)
1
23
43
1/5 In our latest polling, we asked Brits to tell us one word to describe UK politicians. It wasn’t a pretty sight (see below) ... but we wanted to dig deeper and see how this changed based on party loyalty. 🧵
5
23
46
@TheGreenParty
@peterwalker99
The constituency is a two way fight between the Conservatives and the Greens, so we asked, if they were aware that only these two parties could win, how would they then vote?
2/5
1
14
43
2a/ Like many places in the UK hit by downpours this week, Rishi Sunak must have a sinking feeling as his net approval plunges seven points to –27 .
👍 Approve: 24% (-2)
👎 Disapprove: 51% (+5)
😐 Neither: 25% (-4)
1
16
44
1/ With a new round of train strikes set to disrupt travel, our VI tracker shows no sign of a Labour derailment. They retain a 21-point lead over the Conservatives.
🔴 Lab 46% (-1)
🔵 Con 25% (-1)
🟠 LD 11% (NC)
⚪ Ref 7% (+1)
🟢 Green 5% (NC)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
1
25
44
@liamgallagher
@NoelGallagher
@officialswr
4/ And on this
#InternationalWomensDay
, the top female choice for Britpop PM was the amazing
@cerysmatthews
with 12% of the vote. She was followed by:
🎤 4% Shirley Manson (Garbage)
🎸 3% Louise Wener (Sleeper)
📢 2% Justine Frischmann (Elastica)
1
2
42
5/ Our weekly Brexit sentiment tracker has barely moved a muscle this week, with re-join continuing to flex on 60%.
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 49% (NC)
❎ Stay Out: 33% (+1)
😐 DK or not voting: 18% (-1)
* Exc DKs*
☑️ Re-join: 60% (NC)
❎ Stay Out: 40% (NC)
2
19
40
1/ Neuralink implanted the first brain chip in a human this week. Fortunately, we use polling to tap into British brains. This is what they say - Lab's lead falls 2 to 22 pts.
🔴 Lab 45% (-2)
🔵 Con 23% (NC)
⚪ Ref 11% (-1)
🟠 LD 9% (NC)
🟢 Green 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
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3/ However, every cloud has a silver lining and, for Mr Starmer, it’s a 14-point lead in our weekly ‘Who’d be the best Prime Minister’ tracker.
🔴 Sir Keir Starmer: 39% (+1)
🔵 Rishi Sunak: 25% (-3)
⚪ Don’t Know: 36% (+2)
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1/ Did
#Budget24
help the Gov’s popularity this week? As predictable as Rupert Murdoch getting engaged (again), the answer is ‘not really’. Labour still leads by 19 this week.
🔴 Lab 43% (-4)
🔵 Con 24% (+1)
⚪ Ref 13% (+3)
🟠 LD 9% (NC)
🟢 Green 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP 3% (NC)
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2b/ No change across the aisle as Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer’s net approval stabilises at +3.
👍 Approve: 34% (NC)
👎 Disapprove: 31% (NC)
😐 Neither: 35% (+1)
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4b/ And if Britain had to adopt the euro as a condition of re-joining the EU, how would people vote if there was a referendum tomorrow?
❎ Stay Out: 42% (NC)
☑️ Re-Join: 39% (NC)
🚫 Wouldn’t vote: 8% (+1)
🤷♂️ Don’t know: 11% (-1)
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5/ Mr Sunak has ruled out a general election in the first half of 2024 - but nearly three quarters of voters disagree. When asked if there should be an election in the next six months, they said:
☑️ Yes 73%
❎ No 27%
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4a/ Little to report over on the Brexit front this week...
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 48% (-1)
❎ Stay Out: 32% (-2)
😐 DK or not voting: 19% (+2)
* Exc DKs / won’t vote *
☑️ Re-join: 60% (+1)
❎ Stay Out: 40% (-1)
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4/ More reliable than any UK train service is our Brexit tracker - Brits still saying they'd vote to re-join the EU given the chance.
* All *
❎ Stay Out: 32% (+1)
☑️ Re-join: 50% (+2)
😐 DK or not voting: 19% (-2)
* Exc DKs*
❎ Stay Out: 39% (-1)
☑️ Re-join: 61% (+1)
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4a/ Our Brexit tracker is also comfortably stable.
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 50% (+1)
❎ Stay Out: 31% (-1)
🤷♂️ DK or not voting: 19% (NC)
* Exc DKs / won’t vote *
☑️ Re-join: 62% (+1)
❎ Stay Out: 38% (-1)
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@TheGreenParty
@peterwalker99
North Hereford is also a constituency with a two-way fight between the Conservatives and the Greens, so we asked, if they were aware that only these two parties could win, how would they then vote?
4/5
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2b/ In a recent TV interview, Mr Sunak accepted a £1,000 bet that asylum seekers would be ‘on the planes’ to
#Rwanda
before the next general election. We asked if it’s acceptable or not for a serving PM to gamble on government policy?
😠 82% unacceptable
🙂 18% acceptable
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2/ Despite 21 policy announcements in the King’s Speech, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s popularity stays rigidly put, maintaining a net approval of –19.
👍 Approve: 26% (+1)
👎 Disapprove: 45% (+1)
😐 Neither: 29% (-1)
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And finally, in what can only be described as a sad conclusion to today's thread, but not a total surprise, we asked… “Do you view the UK as a country that is declining or flourishing?”
Only 9% of you consider the UK to be flourishing.
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4b/ And if Britain had to adopt the euro as a condition of re-joining the EU, how would people vote if there was a referendum tomorrow?
❎ Stay Out: 38% (-4)
☑️ Re-Join: 38% (NC)
😐 Wouldn’t vote: 10% (+2)
🤷♂️ Don’t know: 13% (+1)
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6e/ CRIME: Labour wants to create a £100m ‘Young Futures’ scheme to support young people at risk of being drawn into violent crime. Agree or disagree?
🙂 70% agree
☹️ 13% disagree
🤷 18% don’t know
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8a/ Turning to the Labour leader, Sir Keir Starmer, now. He backed pauses in the Israel-Hamas conflict to deliver aid instead of a ceasefire. Do people agree or disagree with his stance?
👍 41% agree
👎 23% disagree
🤷 36% don’t know
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2b/ Opposition leader Sir Keir Starmer’s approval score continued its resurgence as he picked up another couple of points to sit on +3.
👍 Approve: 34% (+1)
👎 Disapprove: 31% (-1)
😐 Neither: 35% (+1)
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3/ More good news for Mr Starmer as he posted a second consecutive 14-point lead in our weekly ‘Who’d be the best Prime Minister’ tracker.
🔴 Sir Keir Starmer: 40% (+1)
🔵 Rishi Sunak: 26% (+1)
⚪ Don’t Know: 34% (-2)
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2b/ On the opposite side of the aisle, Sir
#Keir
Starmer’s net approval is heating up – cranking up the dial by five to +7.
👍 Approve: 37% (+2)
👎 Disapprove: 30% (-3)
😐 Neither: 33% (NC)
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4/ Our Brexit tracker is treading water with barely any significant moves this week.
* All *
☑️ Re-join: 48% (-1)
❎ Stay Out: 32% (-1)
🤷 DK or not voting: 20% (+2)
* Exc DKs*
☑️ Re-join: 60% (NC)
❎ Stay Out: 40% (NC)
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6c/ HOUSEBUILDING: Labour said it would build 1.5 million homes over the next Parliament if it was in power. What did Brits think?
🙂 58% agree
☹️ 24% disagree
😐 18% don’t know
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@TheEconomist
2b/ Meanwhile, Sir Keir Starmer’s net approval has surged like a protest mob and enjoyed a huge boost - picking up eight points to +5.
👍 Approve: 36% (+4)
👎 Disapprove: 31% (-4)
😐 Neither: 33% (NC)
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6i/
#RWANDA
: We asked voters how many asylum seekers they think have already been sent to Rwanda by the UK?
48% - 0 (👍 this is the actual number)
5% - 1-9
3% - 10-19
3% - 20-49
4% - 50-99
12% - 100-499
4% - 500-999
13% - 1,000-9,999
4% - 10k-49,999
2% - 50k-99,999
2% - 100k+
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3/ Sir Keir Starmer had plenty of open goals this week, with the Opposition (looking at you Suella Braverman) giving him chances galore to score. But has it moved his popularity needle? Yes, by one point to +6.
👍 Approve: 35% (+2)
👎 Disapprove: 29% (+1)
😐 Neither: 36% (-4)
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