Harry's mistakes:
1. Telling Mollie she'll be safe tonight
2. Saying
#TheTraitors
would know a player would be saved from the dungeon accusing Paul
3. Pulling the trigger on Paul too early AND being the figurehead for that banishment
4. Recruiting Diane's son (not his fault!)
And I think he's in danger of "doing a Paul" and becoming too confident. Doesn't realise
@Tuckshopcarson
, Jaz and
@eviemorrison_
have all expressed suspicions recently
Never thought I'd say this: there's someone who gets
#TheTraitors
gameplay as much as
@IvanBrett
Harry taking the shield to cover a recruitment is 👌 strategy.
Tells Mollie (gets alibi), guaranteeing her a place in the final, where she'll defend him.
3⃣D♟️
#TheTraitorsUK
Evie
@eviemorrison_
- what a great game you played!
Best voting record of the season.
Pressure must have been off the charts. You fought with dignity to the last hurdle. Well done.
#TheTraitors
@_jzmne1
You carried yourself with grace and composure, especially this episode with Evie.
Two women respectfully fighting each other and giving it their all. Just a shame you were both wrong 🫤
But THIS IS A HARD GAME. You're probably the longest lasting influential faithful. Well done!
Andrew's path to victory 🛣️🏆
1. Plant seeds on Harry with Jaz &Evie
2. Banish Harry at the round table (3-2 vs Harry and Mollie)
3. Play dad to Mollie and reassure everyone they've pulled it off
4. Collect those gold coins🏆🏆🏆🪙🪙🪙
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Jaz, Jaz, Jaz! 🕵️♀️😇👑
I have no idea what an "account manager" does, but I'd love to be colleagues. YOU ARE GREAT.
Just misplayed the last 2 episodes. BELIEVE IN YOURSELF. You were right for days!
#TheTraitors
Jaz's Junctures:
1. Theories too private for too long. Group had moved on when he brought them up
2. Lost confidence in his own story. Needed Harry-level conviction to take down the champ
3. Didn't build close enough bonds. Had no ally when he needed one.
#TheTraitors
Jaz's path to victory
1. Build alliance with Evie and Andrew
2. Plant seeds on Andrew with Evie and (gently) Mollie
3. He MUST take out Harry 1st banishment
4. Knowing Andrew is traitor, turn Mollie and Evie onto him
No room for mistakes
🛣️🏆
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Harry's route to victory 🥷🛣️🏆
1. Play out the shield to cover recruitment in episode 10
2. Get Zack to lead charge banishing Jasmine
3. Murder Jaz
4. Turn the group on Ross (he can't know why this is so important)
5. Murder Mollie and look sad
6. Banish Andrew
#TheTraitors
@JamesSharp87
I'm here for Traitors who don't send parting gifts!
Credit to her for leaving magnanimously (unless that's the cliff hanger and she's like "I am... THE SAME AS PAUL THE BACKSTABBING TRAITOR"
Mollie: big respect. You were faithful to those you trusted the most. You figured out Andrew and were a whisker from getting Harry.
Too close a connection to one player was your downfall.
You have inspired a generation of young people with disabilities 🙌🙌🙌
#TheTraitors
Ross's route to victory: 🥷🛣️🏆
1. Work with Jaz to banish Harry ep 10
2. Have a vocal second theory as a bluff "they're keeping me in - I must be wrong about Mollie"
3. Go with the group for ep 11 & 12 banishment
5. Oust Andrew at firepit if still there
#TheTraitors
Evie's path to victory 🛣️🏆
1. Side with Jaz!
2. Accept Jaz's Harry theory (this time!)
3. Convince Mollie it's Harry
4. Let Harry try to throw Andrew under the bus
5. Banish Harry
6. Take out Andrew at the firepit
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
@jkml03
He needs to channel more of the smiling, charming Anthony that boarded the train.
Feel like he's in intense chess-battle mode all the time and the other contestants can't take it
Ross had a lot of influence, but made some fatal errors:
1. Should've said he knew about the shield (like Andrew). Instant credibility
2. Didn't see Harry outing Paul was a sign he's a Traitor
3. An alliance against Harry would've been possible with 1 & 2
#TheTraitors
@MissA_Teacher
She’s showing some real skill with her Andrew logic. Just needs to draw the dots on the shield theory being bogus when Evie is banished and SHE COULD DO IT!!! 🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻
Jaz's path to victory
1. Build alliance with Evie and Andrew
2. Plant seeds on Andrew with Evie and (gently) Mollie
3. He MUST take out Harry 1st banishment
4. Knowing Andrew is traitor, turn Mollie and Evie onto him
No room for mistakes
🛣️🏆
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Jasmine's path to victory 👼🛣️🏆
1. See through Harry's shield ruse and banish
2. Build bond with Ross to avoid murder
3. Join Ross in banishing Andrew
4. Pray no more recruitments
5. Get Zack and Jaz on side to banish Ross
#TheTraitors
Andrew's mistakes:
1. Let Ross go Ep 10. Wait until after last murder, could be the last traitor.
2. No seeds against Harry. There's a bus coming Andrew's way
3. Overreaction to Ross. Name on a banished traitors' board is VERY BAD
4. Isolation: who will back him?
#TheTraitors
OK, here's my theory
@TraitorsPodcast
- the best strategy for Harry would've been to convince
#TheTraitors
to murder Jaz (and not share the gossip!)
This would put everyone on to Paul (Jaz would be more influential dead!), clearing Harry's path to victory.
#TheTraitorsUK
After being recruited, Ross takes second place in likelihood of winning, according to my model.
What it doesn't know is his vigilante justice for Diane, which could be his downfall.
Could he oust Harry, take heat and gift Andrew the win?
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Paul's charisma is consistently high, but his recent game play mistakes (Dungeon, convo with Jaz) have hit his skill. Still has great sway over the group, as no one seems willing to join Jaz's suspicions.
Can he survive to the final?
#TheTraitors
#Traitors
OK, so Zack had Jasmine or Ross going into Round Table, slight bump in the road losing Ross.
Means, after murdering Jaz tonight, he's going to need to let Zack takedown Jasmine next time and oust Andrew at the fire pit.
Has Mollie on side for that.
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Harry's route to victory 🥷🛣️🏆
1. Play out the shield to cover recruitment in episode 10
2. Get Zack to lead charge banishing Jasmine
3. Murder Jaz
4. Turn the group on Ross (he can't know why this is so important)
5. Murder Mollie and look sad
6. Banish Andrew
#TheTraitors
@harryclarky_
No “somehow” about it. You’ve played an incredible and measured game. Have you most likely to win tonight. Hope it’s fun watching for you as well!
Mollie's path to victory 👼🛣️🏆
1. Jump onto "Harry is a traitor" at banishment when Jaz and Ross raise it
2. Ally Evie, Andrew and Jaz (murder protection)
3. Banish Ross, citing recruited traitor
4. Get recruited by Andrew to end ep 11
5. Win as Traitor
#TheTraitors
Mollie's mistakes:
1. Trusted Harry too much
2. Didn't recognise the importance of all shield suspects being faithful
3. Should've believed her own "traitors vote for traitors" theory
You were so close! Well done hero.
#TheTraitors
Mollie's path to victory🛣️🏆
(Hardest)
1. Talk to Jaz and grow her (tiny) Harry doubts
2. Join Harry in voting Andrew at Round Table, but lose
3. Make the link (again) that traitors vote for traitors when they leave
4. Banish Andrew at 🔥
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Wow!
@harryclarky_
you are incredible!
🛣️🏆Path to victory
1. Evie took out Jasmine and made herself a target ✅
2. Let the group banish Evie
3. Take out Andrew. THE GROUP NEEDS A TRAITOR
4. 🏆🏆🏆
Andrew's route to victory 🥷🛣️🏆
1. Take a back seat and let Ross vs Harry play out
2. Lay low, and don't lead any banishment accusations
3. Get rid of Jaz, Jasmine and Zack
4. Side with Evie at the firepit to get rid of Harry/Ross
#TheTraitors
Andrew - the beast.
Being recruited is a big shock and you're the first UK contestant to cope with the heat. You grew into the cape, but ultimately the baby faced daddy traitor was one move ahead.
Should've arm-wrestled instead of voting...
#TheTraitors
Evie's errors:
1. YOU NEEDED JAZ ON SIDE
2. Evidence of Zack's theory being wrong = Harry is Traitor
3. Missed opportunity to influence Mollie
4. Never defend yourself at RT. You need to find
#TheTraitors
, not prove you're faithful
Up to this last episode, you played a blinder
Evie's path to victory 🛣️🏆
1. Side with Jaz!
2. Accept Jaz's Harry theory (this time!)
3. Convince Mollie it's Harry
4. Let Harry try to throw Andrew under the bus
5. Banish Harry
6. Take out Andrew at the firepit
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
@tjcontendo
Oh, I think the shield is and epic strategic move! Buys him one night of having a reason not to be murdered.
What he does after that is a question
Evie's path to victory 👼🛣️🏆
1. Ep 10: build bond with Zack and Jaz.
2. Watch traitors implode
3. Figure out Andrew is traitor as Harry and Ross fight
4. WAIT UNTIL EPISODE 12 BANISHMENT to get rid of winner of Harry/Ross
5. Get rid of Andrew at firepit
#TheTraitors
Jaz's mistakes
1. Too closed-off, now most people 😍 Harry
2. Metagame said 2 traitors into ep 11 and no murder. He didn't realise
2. Missed opportunity to take down Andrew OR Harry ep 11. His risk of banishment was lower ep 11 than it will be ep 12
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Jaz's path to victory 👼🛣️🏆
1. Let Evie and Ross banish Harry
2. Play dumb and watch Jasmine get murdered
3. Banish Mollie (appears close to traitors)
4. Get Zack and Evie on side to banish Ross pre-firepit
5. Clock on to Andrew's weird Ep 8 and banish at firepit
#TheTraitors
I've been asked a couple of times about how this simulator for
#TheTraitors
works.
Here's a breakdown. Let me know what I'm missing out!
For the stats nerds (hello friends) it's a Monte Carlo model.
👀🧵👇
1/n
Surely the star of the final week, Ross is out for REVENGE.
Having grown in charisma as the group dwindled, he's got the strongest network in the castle.
Will he use this to win, for revenge, or manage both?#
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
I used AI and Machine Learning to play the rest of
#TheTraitors
series out 5,000 times last night.
Here's what happened 👀🏆👇🧵
@harryclarky_
clear favourite, wins about half the time
Mollie still leads the Faithful
@_zackdavies
's chances all but done
1/3
#TheTraitorsUK
The darling of last episode, what my model doesn't account for is HARRY HAS PEAKED TOO SOON!
He's staked the game in the favour of
#TheTraitors
(you're welcome Andrew and Ross), but has made Paul's mistake of being too prominent.
Does he have enough tricks up his sleeve to win?
@IvanBrett
Maybe it's recency bias, but Season 2 has more The Traitors: All Stars candidates than Season 1.
Harry, Paul, Diane. And we've still got 3 episodes left!
.
@tweetsbyrayan
@IvanBrett
What do you think of this for a weaponising recruitment strategy?
1. Refuse recruitment
2. Announce at breakfast you’ve refused and you know “exactly who the traitors are”
3. Say no more until round table
4. who squirms the most =
#TheTraitors
Ross
@Tuckshopcarson
played a great game, but failed at step one. Seems like every recruited traitor needs an episode to adjust (hello Andrew) and he just didn't get that time.
Respect for a game well played, but I wish you'd taken Harry down with you!
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Ross's route to victory: 🥷🛣️🏆
1. Work with Jaz to banish Harry ep 10
2. Have a vocal second theory as a bluff "they're keeping me in - I must be wrong about Mollie"
3. Go with the group for ep 11 & 12 banishment
5. Oust Andrew at firepit if still there
#TheTraitors
Zack's path to victory 👼🛣️🏆
1. Watch as his trust in Harry is shattered
2. Use this devastation as proof he's a Faithful to avoid banishment
3. Cast Jasmine as a leader so she gets murdered
4. Evie, Jaz and Zack alliance at firepit to win
#TheTraitors
It's finally final week for
@TheTraitorsUK
!
Here's a look at the network between players 👀👇
Ross and Harry well connected with Faithful. Evie & Andrew a little isolated.
Where will trust be gained and lost?
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Harrys ONLY logical argument to get out of the shield story bind (all three people who “didn’t know” are gone if Evie banished) is to PIN IT ON ANDREW!!!
“I didn’t actually tell you mate, you just reacted quick, you were suss with Ross, blah blah”
#TheTraitors
Wow!
@harryclarky_
you are incredible!
🛣️🏆Path to victory
1. Evie took out Jasmine and made herself a target ✅
2. Let the group banish Evie
3. Take out Andrew. THE GROUP NEEDS A TRAITOR
4. 🏆🏆🏆
@timsykes3
Sorry Tim! 😕
My bio says I post spoilers, you might need to mute me or
#TheTraitors
if you’re not up to date.
Not sure what else I can suggest. Trying to add to the conversation as it happens with some insight
Harry is my model's current favourite to win this season of
@TheTraitorsUK
High on charisma, skill and influence, a little bit less heat than Paul at the moment. Pressure will surely come soon, but he has some good relationships to rely on.
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
#Traitors
The Faithful most likely to win is Mollie. Loved by many, with few enemies and yet to attract suspicions, she's well placed to make the final, but will need to bring her A-game to win.
Can she rely on anything other than a traitor implosion to win?
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
It's
#TheTraitors
analysis you never knew you needed: how good was each contestant's breakfast?
⬆️Arrived early to good selection + still warm
➡️Had lots of breakfasts
(Andrew,
@harryclarky_
and
@eviemorrison_
, with their bang average breakfasts, are hidden)
@the_traitors_
When Wilf threw Alyssa under the bus… THAT was great TV!!
We didn’t know it was inevitable yet, and it was a tight vote. Edge of the sofa stuff
Does anyone else think Harry is prepping for a lads holiday?
#TheTraitors
have banished Ash, recruited a tank and murdered 4 women and a retired guy (who would probably be good value in Ibiza tbf)
#TheTraitorsUK
Here's how much each contestant (left) has expressed suspicion for another (right) so far.
Zack has been under fire, the only contestant Miles has publicly doubted.
Evie, Charlotte and Mollie have been quiet so far.
What will change tonight?
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
@the_traitors_
She seemed great fun! I think her gameplay declined quite rapidly tho. Big risk sending 2 traitors to the dungeon, and she'd have been better served building links with the group over the almost-obvious move of putting herself in the dungeon
OK, so recruitment. Was is a good idea to recruit at this point?
I think:
1. Good for recruited player. At this point their chances of winning go up
2. It's high risk for
#TheTraitors
. Their plans to get a human shield could backfire if new traitor allies against an OG traitor
I'm running the numbers, and I don't think we can have banishments AND murders in episode 10, 11 and 12. Have 8 remaining contestants and expect 5 to start episode 12 Assumption: banish ep 10 and 12, murder (start of) ep 11. Optional murder start ep 12
#TheTraitors
#ExpectTwists
Mollie's path to victory🛣️🏆
(Hardest)
1. Talk to Jaz and grow her (tiny) Harry doubts
2. Join Harry in voting Andrew at Round Table, but lose
3. Make the link (again) that traitors vote for traitors when they leave
4. Banish Andrew at 🔥
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
I wish this was also a couple of episodes a week, not a box set.
It’s been fun watching along and chatting about it with people over Twitter who are at the same place!
Stay 100% faithful throughout 2024...
THREE international versions of The Traitors are coming to
@BBCiPlayer
!
The Traitors Australia arrives tomorrow, Friday 26 Jan, with The Traitors US and The Traitors NZ coming later this year...
More info ➡️
Recruited Traitor, Andrew, was brought in as a sacrificial lamb, but could yet overthrow the remaining OG traitor.
Having survived a nervy transition episode, he's well placed to turn the group, having remaining middle of the pack most of the season.
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Jasmine is starting to shine. The group had her back vs Anthony, and she's got a bond with Jaz which could be pivotable.
Do you think she could be the key to unlock Paul votes this week?
#TheTraitorsUK
#TheTraitors
#Traitors
#TraitorsUK
Model says most likely final 5 are
#TheTraitors
and Mollie and Zack.
Evie has skill and influence making her a murder target, whereas Jasmine is the Faithful most likely to be banished.
The model doesn't know Harry's mistakes, and has him favourite.
Harry's mistakes:
1. Telling Mollie she'll be safe tonight
2. Saying
#TheTraitors
would know a player would be saved from the dungeon accusing Paul
3. Pulling the trigger on Paul too early AND being the figurehead for that banishment
4. Recruiting Diane's son (not his fault!)
@IvanBrett
I think the number 1 concern is who you want pre-firepit.
For Harry: Mollie, Evie and cannon-fodder Andrew. So I think Jaz is another reasonable murder option
Does anyone else think Harry is prepping for a lads holiday?
#TheTraitors
have banished Ash, recruited a tank and murdered 4 women and a retired guy (who would probably be good value in Ibiza tbf)
#TheTraitorsUK
Jaz has sat on his Harry truth 💣 for AGES.
A lot of work to do to convince Andrew and Evie, then needs to take on board Mollie's Andrew theory.
The player most able to find traitors, but not able to get support, so he bided his time.
Has he waited too long?
2nd breakfast arrival analysis (b/c we all miss
#TheTraitors
)
@studiolambert
overall have fairly shared out the best breakfast slots
@Therealashbibi
could feel hard done by
Andrew's breakfasts got worse after being recruited, whilst Miles' got better
Anything stand out?
There are three types of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics!
Paul gets banished after taking the lead in my models predictions! 😂😔
My model is adamant it’s 100% faithful and reminds the group that unlikely events happen all the time…
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
After last night's funeral episode, I re-ran the
@Traitorlytics
simulator another 5,000 times and here's how often each player won👀👇
Each potential recruit got a bump in probability. Paul and Harry gain from Miles' downfall. Paul takes an edge.
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK
Jaz has been adept at finding traitors, but struggles to get group support to banish them.
With 3 left to oust, he's likely ran out of time, although I do expect him to be key to Harry's exit.
#TheTraitors
#TheTraitorsUK