Question for the public who were outraged by the Bool track. Yes it wasnt a good track however, I dont understand how it’s bad for the punter.
If the track is showing advantage in some way, wouldnt you as the punter try to bet towards the advantage?
IMO youre silly if you dont.
Horses to Follow from Saturday:
1. Riff Rocket, that was impressive as ever, the Australian Guineas is setting up to be an absolute cracker, The residual fitness from the derby win and the love of Flemington. He will be very very good second up.
As much as people take the piss out of TB. He fucking tipped the house down today. 10 race card at pakenham, 5 of his on top selections won and the other 5 ran a place.
Keep tipping them Terry
Well i’ve resigned from my job of 5+ years taking a new one up in a week and a bit.
So I might wonder down to Sandown tomorrow for a little peak at the ponies, put a bit of my payout cash through the bookies. I’ll provide some live tips from there.
God Bless You All!
Had $2.50 in my account after taking out my winnings, threw a hail mary (and said one) on a Toowoomba Quaddie.
Lets just say Mother Mary was on the horses as well
Saturday Staking Plan:
Caulfield R5 2. Midwest $35w $65p
Caulfied R10 7. Talbragar $25w $50p
Eagle Farm R8 4. Prince of Boom $20w $40p
Eagle Farm R9 No play
Ascot R6 3. Planto or Plomo $25 $50p
Ascot R8 will provide later
Any changes in bets will be notified
Good Luck Punters
Opinion here. Futures and early markets are absolute poison. I find it incredible how people can give up the hard earned (sometimes in green demon form) for a horse that may not even run in the race. Don't use price as the reason because it is piss poor...
Fair to say I was shithouse yesterday, gave back all the money i won during the week
Caulfield R5 2. Midwest ❌
Caulfied R10 7. Talbragar ❌
Eagle Farm R8 4. Prince of Boom❌
Ascot R6 3. Planto or Plomo ❌
Money in: $350
Money out: 🦆
We go again next week.
I’ll be cashing in my weekly roughie for the week.
Warrnambool Cup: 6. No Apology
Raced wide without cover last start was only 3L off the winner, proven wet tracker, 2s 2p at the distance. Brad Parnham comes down for the ride
@sportsbetcomau
price $21/$5.50
go 25 ew
Staking Plan:
Caulfield Race 5 7. Sing For Peace $25w $50p
Caulfield Race 8 11. Shock Em Ova $25w $50p
Morphettville Race 8 2. Amelia's Jewel $100w $200p
Ascot Race 9 2. Sisu Warrior $25w $75p
Starting with $500 today because I want to unload on Amelia's Jewel
Good Luck All.
Saturday Results
Sandown:
Race 6 14. Great Taste $25w $50p✅
Race 8 9. Hard to Cross $50w $100p✅✅
Belmont:
Race 9 8. Knot Secret $20w $30p✅
Money in: $200
Money Out: $497
Good result after 3 horrible weeks. Just went back to basics and did all my checks.
Had a think, I’m also going to provide each week the longest roughie
Caulfield Race 10 10. Edison
@sportsbetcomau
price $23/$6
51.5kg will lead off the wide draw, worth a bob each way
Rough weekend on the punt but we can take some horses out of the meeting
Horses to follow from the weekend:
1. Vow and Declare, the old marvel and melbourne cup winner that was an impressive run 1st up, he’s always at good value in races and he’ll only improve off the run…
Saturday Staking Plans
Mornington:
Race 8 10. Strawberry Rock $20w $30p
Race 10 8. Frigid $25w $50p
Randwick:
Race 8 11. Magic Time $25w $75p
Ascot:
Race 8 1. Overpass $50w $100p
Left out Ascot Race 6 too hard to judge form
Will provide tip for Ascot R9 after scratchings.
Saturday Selections:
Flemington:
Race 6 15. South of Houston $35w $65p
Belmont
Race 8 12. Comic Hero $35w $65p
Hopefully recovering some of the money lost on essendon last night after they shouldnt have.
Roughie: Flem R5 12. Reprisal
Just an early Wednesday look, I Wish I Win $3.90 in the Kingsford Smith?!
Christ Almighty is he on his death bed? I think he’ll ease out as well. This is and early contender on best bet of the day
What are everyones thoughts?
(Yes I know barrier 1, Eagle Farm different)
Morphettville Race 8 2. Amelia's Jewel
@sportsbetcomau
Price $4.20/$1.80
She is my best bet of the day, some of the things I've heard during the week as to why she cant win are just ludicrous. If you look at the field 4kg between top and bottom weight....
No disrespect to other yard analyst but Jenny Chapman has to be the best in the world.
Can some one run me the numbers on the winning percentage of her 4 picks over the hong kong season so far. Has to be upwards of 30%
Evening fellow punters and pundits, hopefully the work week hasnt kept you down. Good racing this weekend. Will be betting in the following races:
Mornington Races 8 & 10
Randwick Race 8
Ascot Races 6, 8 & 9
Results since I started this account back in January.
Stats laid bare on the table.
(Note: Each-way bets I take as 1 bet total bet)
Season 24/25 objective:
- Raise the % (Money Out/ Money In) to 160
- More profit returns of >$200
- More exotic plays, 1st 4s for big races.
Cascadian has run his final race.
He was as honest as the day is long and enjoyed sustained success at the highest level.
Of his 54 career starts, the fan favourite competed in 31 Group 1 races.
Enjoy the next chapter of your racing journey as part of
@godolphin
's Lifetime
Flemington Race 9: 2.Atishu
@sportsbetcomau
price: $4/$1.75
Was plain last start, but 1st up over 1400m against the likes of Mr.B makes it hard to measure up, so I'm happy to afford her forgiveness. Her and Bustler are the class horses of the field, but she has more to come...
4. Dunkel, he’s class, he can be anything. carrying 61.5kg against some handy horses like Mankayan and Ashrun, 8 week spell and running 2000m first up, the deeper he gets in the prep the better he will be. Is the Adelaide cup on the cards? If so he will be mightly hard to beat
Race Selections for Today as I am live from Caulfield so tips will be posted 30 mins before each race.
Caulfield Races: 6, 8, 9
Belmont Races 8,9
Spring is 2 weeks away. Get in form
Morphettville Race 3 2.Bold Soul
@sportsbetcomau
price $4.80/$1.75
Lead up to the SA derby is a beauty, I’m taking Bold Soul here, his 1st up run was terrific and goes up in distance where he has won. I dont mind the wide barrier because the turn isnt as sharp at Morphettville…
Saturday Staking Plans:
Sandown Hillside:
Race 5 10. Great Taste $25w $50p
Race 6 1. Hard to Cross $25w $50p
Race 9 1. Smokin Romans $20w $30p
Eagle Farm:
Race 8 2. Magic Time $50w $100p
Belmont to come during the day
Good Luck Punters
It looks hard today at Caulfield, soft ground some good horses returning but some in form. Determining what the track is doing is probably the most critical thing, be patient and watch the first few go by without having a punt, better keeping the cash than losing it
Looking at the market for the Quokka and as much as I love Amelia’s Jewel, you have to think that Overpass at $4.80/$1.90 is a great bet at a fairly decent price, I thought it should have been closer being the favourite
Flemington Race 7 4. It'sourtime.
@sportsbetcomau
price $11/$3.30
Nearly choked on my coffee this morning when I saw the price, had everything against him in the Wangoom and still ran Tuvalu to 1.3L (to add as well Tuvalu is a G1 winner). He steps back in grade here...
Caulfield Race 10 7. Talbragar
@sportsbetcomau
price $6.50/$2.30
Mr.Sandhu has a good horse here brother of Lofty Strike. Been in good form, won a BM78 by 0.5L and won hitting the line strong. Loves the good track (4s 3w 1p), 3rd up for only 1s 1p, but keeps the same weight...
Magic Time barrier 9 could be into 7 given emergency scratchings
$14/$4.20 on
@sportsbetcomau
2 G1 wins at 1400m, 1 on a good, 1 on a Heavy
1400m Record: 5s: 3w 2p
One of the class horses of the field
Unless i’ve missed something I cant see it not run top 3. Ridiculous odds
@SEN_track
@SENGiddyUp
I dont understand, why can trainers bet but nobody else cant? Trainers can affect the result of a race just as much as jockeys can. Coaches in other sports cant bet because there is a thing called match fixing (which is illegal). It’s actually mind boggling.
After that I’ll pull up stumps
Saturday results
Caulfield
Race 8 2. Recommendation ✅
Race 9 8. St Lawrence ❌
Belmont:
Race 4 2. Yonga Lass ❌
Race 8 1. Nerodio ❌ (Should have won, RIP old boy)
Money In: $200
Money Out: $225
Tragic for Nerodio would have been well infront
Flemington Race 7 No 2 King Colorado
SB Price $3.40/$1.60
This has to be one of the best bets of the outside Imperatriz. 2nd up, 1400m hit the line with ferocity last start, keeps the same weight and is fitter for the 1st up run. A lot of the field are coming back from spells..
Race Selections:
Flemington Race 6 7 8
Bunbury Race 6 8 9
Note for Bunbury:
up to 1400m: Barriers 1-7 produce 78.7% of winners. Best Barrier 3
1400-1800m: Barriers 1-7 produce 73.7% of winners. Best Barrier 5
1800-2400m: Barriers 1-7 produce 75.7% of winners. Best Barrier 7
Tips and Staking Summary:
Flemington R7 No2 King Colorado
Stake: $75 win $125 place
Randwick R8 No1 Kimochi
Stake: $25 win $75 place
Good Luck Punters All the best!
5. Dom To Shoot, the Perth galloper contested a hot G1, Buffalo river leading at an all out speed and finished 3.2L off Mr.Brightside, he will be fit over his next couple starts. He beat Zaaki at WFA and I think he will go close in other WFA or handicap contests if weights right.
I'll be starting with $250 tomorrow.
$200 for the Saturday Staking plan
$50 Multi: First Immortal (Place) x Sisu Warrior (Place) x Amelia's Jewel (Win)
current
@sportsbetcomau
price $5.20
Caulfield Race 7 3. General Beau
@sportsbetcomau
price $6/$2.05
You can argue he should have won last start, taken back from the wide barrier may have cost him but he nearly got there. He draws barrier 3 today where he will be around midfield and hopefully peel off on the turn..
Some good races tomorrow, 2 group 1 day in both Sydney and Melbourne, Perth have the Ascot 1000 Guineas. I'll be playing in the following
Flemington R2, R7, R9
Randwick R8
Ascot R6 R9
@ghall27
and about time too gareth. Perth racing gets two-fifths from sky racing that its borderline ridiculous not mention they get no airtime on radio either. Nothing better in the summer than finishing cricket and jumping straight into perth racing.
@SEN_track
@ghall27
@SENGiddyUp
it’s an absolute disgrace that it’s even being talked about. I’m sorry but the owners need to have a good hard look at themselves. Not good enough. It’s the Giga Kick scenario all over again.