Robert Doane-Solomon
@robert__ds
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Environmental Research DTP @ Pembroke, Oxford. 🇮🇴
London, England
Joined March 2015
This is totally absurd. We should absolutely not be spending 1.5x the amount we have given to Ukraine (!) to give these islands to Mauritius. It's bad for our national security, and the Chagossian people themselves don't even want it! @ChagossianVoic2
Great thread by @adb0wen showing what the £18bn Chagos could be spent on Inconceivable for Cabinet to sign this mad deal off at anything close to that number
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Botley Road has got nothing on this...
Hammersmith Bridge could stay closed to vehicles for another decade, an MP has warned.
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BA if my flight is cancelled it’s usually a good idea to email me to let me know…
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They’ll cancel trains for literally any reason nowadays, even existing…
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I'm reasonably happy with the directional shifts I based my prediction on, but I missed on the magnitude. Trump outperformed with minorities, winning the Sun Belt. Harris held steady with white women, but they didn't swing to her, so it wasn't enough to win the Rust Belt.
US election prediction: Harris will win 270-268 by winning the 3 Rust Belt states, while losing all 4 Sun Belt states (except possibly NC). I'm fairly convinced we will see white women swing towards Harris, and Latino men swing to Trump. I think pollsters are herding (1/n)
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RT @ClemCowton: A stark lesson from the US for energy policy in the UK: You don’t get the chance to make grand plans about climate or anyth…
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Looks pretty clear to me that Harris isn’t winning white people by enough to overcome Trump winning diverse people. In fact she might not have improved upon Biden there at all. Trump appears likely to win the election now.
So extrapolating this to swing states implies Harris doing better than her polling in the 3 whiter states (WI/MI/PA) and worse in the 4 more diverse states (NV/AZ/GA/NC). However all it takes is the exact magnitude of these shifts to be a little different than I expect (3/n)
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@levimaxsolomon I think that’s more likely than a super tight race but you have to pick 1 lol
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And we'd see Trump win in PA (+ WI/MI) & then win overall. Plus I wouldn't underestimate the anger of Arab-Americans abt Gaza in MI that might not show up well in polling (like the UK election). I am not really confident at all, but if I had to bet, this would be my guess. (4/4)
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@holland_tom On your recommendation from the Aztec episodes I visited the fantastic Silbury Hill in Wiltshire. Surely far greater than any Aztec Pyramid, only surpassed in recent UK mound history by the timeless one at Marble Arch!
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Interesting dynamics at play over Switzerland this morning! High pressure trapping cloud over the lowlands between the Jura and the Alps, clear skies on north side of the Alps, cloudy in the southern side as storms from Italy push up against the mountains
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RT @sambrandt99: A factor that is contributing to Milton's intense wind speeds is its relatively small size. In a smaller storm, the pressu…
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@freddie_poser I’m slowly becoming a single issue voter in county council elections… building this reservoir is my LTN
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188 years! 🤯
Another scale busting map! September rainfall for the UK. Huge variation but parts of southern England seeing over three & a half times their average rainfall. Incredibly Bedfordshire & Oxfordshire saw their wettest month (of any month) in at least 188 years.
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RT @Hrushworth: This is a friendly reminder that Oxfordshire Council opposes the potential Abingdon Reservoir because it believes there is…
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Really unprecedented! Events like this are happening more frequently - a warmer planet can hold more moisture, and wet areas like the UK will get wetter. Oxford is already very floodprone (photos from January). The world needs to move quickly towards energy that emits no CO2!
118.9 mm at Oxford in 48 hours has broken the old record for 48 hours [98.1 mm, 9/10 July 1968] but this ALSO beats the record for 3, 4, 5 and 7 days (104.5 mm, 109.8 mm, 111.2 mm and 118 mm). Rainfall records at Radcliffe Observatory, Oxford started in Jan 1827, 197 years ago.
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@Lampeterweather @RMS_Oxford Presumably so - 77.1mm fell at RMS from 9AM on the 22nd to 9AM on the 23rd (according to Oxford Mail). And it looks like about 43.5mm at the EA site from 9am on the 23rd to the 24th. So depending on what RMS says the 2-day looks like ~120mm
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