On Point Politics - Lester Tellez
@onpointpolitics
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Owner Of On Point Politics & The On Point Podcast https://t.co/xDPrWSeLDD (+52k subs on YT)
Joined February 2024
TO VIEW MY ELECTION MODEL FORECAST + POLLING AVERAGES, CHECK OUT MY WEBSITE.
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🚨BREAKING: Donald Trump is winning 331 Electoral Votes to Kamala Harris's 207 Electoral Votes in latest On Point Politics Projection! 2024 Election:.🔴Donald Trump: 331 Electoral Votes 🏆.🔵Kamala Harris: 207 Electoral Votes. 2020 Election:.🔵Joe Biden:
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Based on my Election Model for the House of Representatives, Republicans hold a 237-198 Edge in the House
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I don't care what Allan's keys say, I don't care what Ann's Iowa Poll says, what the MSM says, I have created my own model that helped me predict 50 out of 50 states in 2020 when applied retrospectively. This is the map I get from the same system:
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🚨BREAKING: In early polling results, Donald Trump is ahead in CLARK COUNTY and ahead in WASHOE COUNTY BY 8 POINTS in Rich Baris' @Peoples_Pundit Nevada Polling. He lost CLARK COUNTY by 9 in 2020 and lost WASHOE COUNTY by 4.5 in 2020. Source: Rich Baris' Current Stream.
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HARRIS GAINED 30 POINTS WITH SENIORS IN THE IOWA POLL FROM THE BIDEN 2020 POLL????. Bro.
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🇺🇸 The Golden On Point National Average In the Battlegrounds!. WI: Trump🔴+5.3.MI: Trump🔴+1.4.PA: Trump🔴+2.7. NV: Trump🔴+6.1.AZ: Trump🔴+5.4.GA: Trump🔴+5.2.NC: Trump🔴+5.5. MN: Harris🔵+4.6.ME: Harris🔵+2.3.NH: Trump🔴+2.1.NM: Harris🔵+0.7.VA: Harris🔵+0.5. NE-02: Lean R
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@jaselzer @DMRegister Ann, you’re an embarrassment. Was the Diddy paycheck really worth it?.
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Latest @Rasmussen_Poll Shows HUGE WIN For Donald Trump. Gaining 30-40 points on Net for Hispanics and Blacks, showing a HUGE Change in the Electorate!
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AtlasIntel (MOST ACCURATE) National Poll - September 14. 🔴Trump: 50.7% (+3.6).🔵Harris: 47.3%.🟡West: 0.2%.🟢Stein: 0.4%.🟣Oliver: 0.1%.Undecided: 1.1%. 1,775 Likely Voter | ±2 p.p | 09/11/2024 - 09/12/2024 |.D32.4, R33.5, I34.1%. Guys, my average.
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This is my election map. Harris is going to struggle in the rustbelt, particularly Wisconsin. Hispanics and African-Americans are still swinging to Trump from 2020, despite Harris picking up SOME of them, specifically older black women. He's still on track for victory. Do not
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Nate Silver, you're FIRED!. Allan Lichtman, you're FIRED!. Ann Selzer, you're FIRED!. Jon Ralston, you're FIRED!. I was more accurate than all of you!.
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I am closing in on my final map prediction very soon. this is where it stands!
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@acnewsitics Context:. Kamala: had a singer at her rally. Trump: everyone was watching the biggest podcast ever, which featured him, the same time this rally was happening.
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@akafacehots You’re doing a disservice to your viewers when you say this. CNN was referring to her Union support performance! I’m on your side, but please don’t be just saying stuff without the full context so you can keep everyone informed!.
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@NateSilver538 Bruh are you serious? There’s so many polls showing signs towards Trump. You’re biased!.
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🚨BREAKING: After the Trump Campaign realizing that On Point Politics has been right the whole time saying New Mexico is a close state, Donald Trump will now hold a rally in Albuquerque, New Mexico!
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According to Rich Baris, there is an Ann Seltzer poll that has Trump up by 19 in Iowa, the most accurate pollster by far in Iowa and not even close. That means Trump should be winning Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania with relative ease.
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This is my current election prediction map right now.
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Kamala Harris is campaigning in NEW HAMPSHIRE. For all of those who said that me having New Hampshire tossup is crazy, can all eat it.
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Early 2028 Map Using AtlasIntel Data
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Goodbye old man. I have replaced you.
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@rubirosarevival He's being himself. That's more important than posturing for political moves. You don't know why Trump and Vance won.
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This is where we're currently at.
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In 45 minutes, we will see the results of the Ann Selzer poll. No one has gotten the poll leaked to them. Anyone you see who’s saying they’ve gotten it early is lying or trolling. See you in 45 minutes.
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#FINAL Maryland Poll. President.🔴Trump: 55% (+10) 🏆.🔵Harris: 45%. Senate.🔴Hogan: 99% (+98) 🏆.🔵Alsobrooks: 1%. President (W/ DeSantis) (F u @prometheus233).🔵Harris: 95% (+90) 🏆.🔴DeSantis: 5% . 12345 Likely Voters - Your Mother Strategies.
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Bro. THAT WAS THE STORY?. Yeah they're absolutely cooked.
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The truth is, Harris’ internals are GARBAGE.
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Yes guys, it's over. Ann Selzer has Harris+3.
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If Ann Selzer's poll is correct, I'll delete my channel.
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🚨BREAKING: . I am making an official endorsement of Senator Rick Scott for the GOP Senate Majority Leader. He was able to win with the same amount of margin Trump did in Florida because he appealed to the America First coalition who elected Donald Trump last week! . Both.
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Welp, she’s ruined her reputation. Anyone who believes this can kiss my ass.
#NEW FINAL IOWA poll. 🔵 Harris: 47% (+3).🔴 Trump: 44%. Last poll: Trump+4. Selzer & Co. | 10/28-31 | N=803LV.
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After adjusting my electorate from the new AtlasIntel poll and some new state polls, my map now comes out to this:
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@NateSilver538 🤣🤣🤣.You're a clown bro. Continue cooking Allan Lichtman please. The only thing you've been good for this cycle.
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We’re gonna be more correct than Ann Selzer.
#NEW FINAL IOWA poll. 🔴 Trump: 52% (+8).🔵 Harris: 44%. @SocalStrategies | 11/2-3 | N=435LV.
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Two pictures from the same night.
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Kamala Harris trying to win Puerto Rico’s electoral votes is hilarious.
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UMMMMMM, GUYSSSS.
NEW HAMPSHIRE.Praecones Analytica / @NewHampJournal poll:. Trump 50.2% (+0.4).Harris 49.8%. 622 RV, 10/24-26.
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So apparently all of sudden,. Democrats don’t bother to mail in their ballot are now willing to wait in line for hours for Kamala Harris, who is five points less favorable than Joe Biden in 2020 and way less favorable than Obama in 08 and 12?. Give me a break.
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@briantylercohen So instead of advocating for National Voter ID across the Nation, you just call Republicans sore winners?. You're not making sense here.
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🇺🇸 The Golden On Point National Average as of August 25th. 🔴Trump: 47.44% (+3.27).🔵Harris: 44.17%.🟣Kennedy: 4.15% (Dropped Out).🟡West: 0.55%.🟢Stein: 0.28%.⚪️Undecided: 3.41%. Notes:.In the past 5 days, Harris has gained about half a point, Trump has lost about half a point,.
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2024 Election According To The Simpsons
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This is the modeled map from the latest Rasmussen Poll. Donald Trump just SHOT UP with Non-College Educated Voters in the past week from their previous poll. Minnesota, Virginia, New Mexico, New Hampshire were already close last week.
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@EdKrassen Ed, any race can protect their culture as long as it’s done peacefully and legally. White people say they want to preserve their culture and you scream “racists”!. Black people, Hispanic people, Asian People, and other groups can say the same thing and you’d say “that’s right!”.
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🚨BREAKING: On Point Politics' Final 2024 Election Map Forecast Is Trump 326 - Harris 212 In The Electoral College!
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She's cooked.
📊 Final WISCONSIN poll by @Rasmussen_Poll . 🟥 Trump: 50%.🟦 Harris: 47%.🟪 Other: 2%. WI Senate .🟦 Baldwin (inc): 47%.🟥 Hovde: 47%.🟪 Other: 1%. @AmericanThinker | 10/25-30 | 818 LV.
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I used to be a Democrat before 2020. COVID-19 made me do my own research. Joe Biden made me question the Democrat party due to his past. Everything the media said Trump was, they were actually describing Biden. I then despised the establishment. Didn’t support Trump in 2016 or
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@AllanLichtman Oh gee you predicted Obama would win what a shocker🤣 Thanks Captain Obvious.
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THEY’RE SENDING JOE BIDEN AND BERNIE SANDERS TO NEW HAMPSHIRE???. OH SHE’S COOKED COOKED.
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This is the problem with the polling and why it will be wrong:. How is Trump up in the national popular vote average but losing in some of the swing state polling?. You’re telling me that some of the swing states will vote to the left of the nation at large?. I have a bridge to.
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🚨BREAKING: Donald Trump Is Approaching Landslide Territory. Here's Why!
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BREAKING: RFK JR. Expected to Drop Out of the 2024 Election and Will Endorse Donald Trump.
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What in the world is going on? Is Virginia really trending this hard to the right due to Harris being an unlikeable Bernie Sanders?.
Virginia Roanoke College Poll:. 🟦 Kamala Harris - 45%.🟥 Donald Trump - 42%.🟨 RFK Jr - 6%.🟩 Cornel West - 2%.🟪 Chase Oliver - 2%.⬜️ Undecided/Other - 3%. (Head to head) . 🟦 Kamala Harris - 47%.🟥 Donald Trump - 44%.🟨 Other Candidate - 8%.⬜️ Undecided - 1%. August 12-16 |.
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RICH BARIS: Ann Selzer was calling Democrat Surrogates about her "bombshell" poll a day before the poll dropped (Harris+3). Biggest sell out in the history of polling.
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@beatmastermatt HAHAHAHA! You’re a historian that ended up being BIASED. MR BEAT, YOU’RE FIRED!!!!.
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Welp guys, I’m going to say. JD Vance CAN win New Jersey, Illinois, and other states going in 2028!.
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Trump is now tied in the RealClearPolitics Average. Everyone who said he won't win the popular vote can suck it because I've been right this whole time. By the way in 2004, Bush led by like 1 point and then won by +2.4% in the popular vote. Trump is polling 8 points better.
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This man teaches young men to get health, invest in real estate, and gives dating advice! Thanks for a being a real one @MyronGainesX
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LETS TALK ELECTIONS WAS RUNNING THE KAMALAHQ ACCOUNT. HAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAAH🤣🤣🤣 I HOPE THEY HIRE THIS GUY AGAIN. OH MAN. NOW I HAVE TO CREATE MY LTE VIDEO!
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Bro…get the popcorn ready I’m going to dissect this bad boy AFTER my final prediction.
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Guys…. Donald Trump can win Maryland. Larry Hogan has been polling ahead or tied, only sometimes down. He’s going to pull him over the top.
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Any updates from the midnight voters in New Hampshire?.
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@NateSilver538 You're just mad you're favorite, Kamala Harris, is starting to slip in the polls. Also, I am the master cross tab diver and if I'm correct, you're cooked.
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Ladies and Gentleman. This is what I call LANDSLIDE TRUMP. His final form that I've been predicting for months!
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This is actually gonna be good for Trump.
Bad weather expected in Wisconsin and Michigan tomorrow. This is where is enthusiasm matters most.
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On Point Politics Final Senate Map Prediction Model - Republicans 55 Seats / Democrats 45 Seats
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@USA_Polling It's because Trump is winning and you have failed to release that as the unbiased polling account you claim to be.
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Guys, he's more than 2016 right now.
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DONALD TRUMP HAS WON THE PRESIDENCY OF THE UNITED STATES
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On Point Politics Final 2024 Election Map Forecast @TomEllsworth @AmyyDangerfield @patrickbetdavid @VincentOshana @sostalksmoney @Peoples_Pundit @Mark_R_Mitchell @RedEaglePatriot @GCrownPolitics @cartierfamilyZ . Electoral College Map.🔴Trump: 326 🏆.🔵Harris: 212. My Model's
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We now project that On Point Politics was one of the most accurate forecasters, if not, the most accurate forecaster, in the United States down to the decimal error in all 50 States.
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The 2024 Election Map After The TRUMP X ROGAN Podcast:.
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I am a Republican, but I am here to be "On Point" and provide accurate polling analysis. The truth is Donald Trump is LEADING in ALL the swing states, and comfrotably. Sadly for Harris, deep blue states like Minnesota, New Hampshire, Maine, Virginia, and others are.
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This is ALLAN LICHTMAN’S Son’s Electoral College Map. What the hell, Blue Florida. Really man😂
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Trump has now passed 50% in my popular vote polling average.
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UMMMMMM…GUYS.
Umm. WTF is going on guys?. 🔴 Nevada in-person early voting: R+24.9.🔴 Florida in-person early voting: R+27.
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Hey :). Trump has outperformed my official forecast in Florida, which Trump+13.95.
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This is correct.
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