Yes yes, all very exciting. Now just put it into the average

CDU/CSU is now below 30% for the first time in the average of polls for the German Bundestag election next month

though this one is still my favorite

or maybe it's a complete and total shutdown in using axes that don't mean anything

RT @Julius_Ktxt: A commonly held notion is that Germany's far-right party AfD is especially successful in the country's more rural areas. H…

@laderafrutal I agree re: incentives, but I do think it's possible FPÖ will strike a deal out of fear that ÖVP will re-appoint Kurz for the election. It's unclear how successful he would be, but I think the FPÖ might want to avoid the uncertainty.

The second poll is out since the centrist coalition talks in Austria collapsed earlier this month. The far right FPÖ continues its upward trend (closing in on 40% of the first time ever) while the conservative ÖVP now down 7 compared to the election in late September

The slow downward tend in the polls that the CDU/CSU in Germany were seeing since snap elections were called in early November seems o have been stopped for now

Seit der Nationalratswahl, ende September, ist die FPÖ im Umfragedurchschnitt von fast 29% auf 36% gestiegen. Die ÖVP ist gleichzeitig von 26% auf 21% gesunken (jetzt etwa gleichauf mit SPÖ). Bei den anderen Parteien gab es weniger Veränderung in den Umfragen.

RT @tom_nuttall: A three-party coalition negotiation in a German-speaking country has failed after a small liberal party walked out. https:…

RT @mboorstein: Not only did Latinos shift to Trump, but Latino Christians did moreso. Part of it has to do with a theology that's boomed a…

AS U WLD EXPECT

What would happen if you'd redesign German political parties based on clustering voters opinions on issues? Very cool project (a pretty visualizations) by @c_endt, @colorfuldata and @tamaraflemisch

While there hasn't been a ton of new polling recently, today seems like a good day to take a look at our polling average for Germany. There has been some positive movement for Scholz' Social Democrats, including the first poll since June 2024 that has them ahead of the AfD.

Not a ton of movement in German parliamentary polls but if you squint you can see some slight improvement for Greens (and maybe for Social Dems, but that's based on two polls only)

RT @OwenWntr: Far-right Georgescu's support was highest in Romania's small villages/towns but fairly consistent outside of the largest citi…

First projections for state elections in Styria, Austria. Far-right Freedom Party gains 18 percentage points and takes first place for the first time since 1945. They also came first in the Austrian legislative elections two months ago.