Dr. Jennifer McCoy Profile
Dr. Jennifer McCoy

@jlynnmccoy

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Working on how to overcome pernicious polarization; Political scientist, Latin Americanist; Georgia State University; Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Atlanta
Joined September 2010
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
In this Jan 2021 article, @murat_somer_eng and I discuss the dangers but also strategies to overcome pernicious polarization in the US and around the world.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
The Venezuelan opposition worked the last 24 hours to collect 73% of the tally sheets, and those added up to 67% for Edmundo Gonzalez vs 27% for Nicolas Maduro. They are building a website to show these sheets. Now the CNE must show theirs.
@puzkas
Eugenio G. Martínez
2 months
MCM anuncia que el comando opositor tiene 73,25% de las actas. Con los resultados registrados en esas actas (verificadas y la amplia mayoría digitalizadas) el resultado a favor de Edmundo Gonzalez es irreversible. La diferencia entre EG y NM es superior a 3.5 millones de votos
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Venezuelans have a difficult choice to make this morning - go to peaceful assemblies en masse to demonstrate their rejection of the Maduro regime in the midst of terrible persecution and repression, or stay home in safety but allowing the regime to consolidate power from fear. 1/
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Venezuelan pres. Maduro’s declaration of victory with no published detailed vote results is a brazen act, but not so surprising. With no prior negotiated guarantees of safety from prosecution, Maduro opted to simply ignore the results. 1/4
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
As Venezuela wakes up on May 1, Maduro still in power but seriously weakened: open splits in security/intel support; Guaidó & Lopez not arrested. Now is time for serious negotiations toward transition govt to prepare elections.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Atlanta junto con Venezuela #venezuela #venezuela libre
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 month
We now have two totalitarian govts in Latin America who have denied elections in last 3 years: Nicaragua where Ortega jailed and exiled his challengers, and Venezuela where Maduro's handpicked Supreme Court just denied the will of 2/3 of the people who rejected his candidacy. 🧵
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Clearly the CNE does not have the actas to back up their posted results. Possibly the govt is trying to manufacture false actas to match those results and convince a few naive people, but the voting machines security mechanisms are so good this maneuver will be detected. 3/
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 month
Important note on Venezuela Supreme Court "review" of vote materials: Not only was the main opposition candidate Edmundo Gonzalez not invited to send his observer, but neither were two other small parties who ran candidates and demanded transparency.
@puzkas
Eugenio G. Martínez
1 month
Vale aclarar @lubrio que los auditores de los partidos MUD, UNT y MPV no fueron convocados por el CNE/TSJ a esa supuesta revisión de las actas vs las bitácoras de la sala de totalización
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Things moving quickly in Venezuela: Supreme Court announces "expert review" of voting materials provided by CNE, but no one knows what's happened to these materials the last 18 days, or if perhaps the CNE created brand new ones to match the "results" they announced July 28.
@puzkas
Eugenio G. Martínez
2 months
Sin la auditoria de telecomunicaciones y la verificación fase II el TSJ no puede garantizar que el material que le entregó el CNE se corresponda con el material original (actas) y bases del datos del #28Jul
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Important and clear statement from @CarterCenter . Venezuela’s election was not democratic and results cannot be verified or corroborated.
@CarterCenter
The Carter Center
2 months
Venezuela’s 2024 presidential election did not meet international standards of electoral integrity and cannot be considered democratic. Statement: Declaración:
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Brazil, Col, Mex reportedly are offering a week to mediate verification of results and transition. Meanwhile, Maduro and co. are unleashing mass terror. Time has passed to worry about verifying the results. CNE and TSJ have already confirmed Maduro. 2/
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
6 years
Rapid escalation of conflict with Maduro coordinated by U.S. and Guaido has gained intl recognition of interim presidency, but was there no prior internal negotiation to ensure some path forward? Betting on external pressure to motivate military to abandon Maduro is risky indeed
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
All democratic govts should refuse recognition without detailed vote results and audit. Lula is key, but also a united front. (Xiomara Castro – what were you thinking?) The streets are quiet on Monday morning, …2/4
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
Es muy importante estar claro sobre la manera de manipulacion, como explica @puzkas aqui. No son las maquinas de votacion que eran manipulado en 2017; era una totalizacion inflado en un caso, y cambios manuales de algunas resultados de centros, en el otro caso.
@puzkas
Eugenio G. Martínez
7 years
Smartmatic lo que denunció es que Lucena al leer los resultados de participación en la ANC abultó/manipuló los resultados de totalización. En el caso de Bolívar el fraude fue cometido por el CNE regional que modificó manualmente los resultados @ezpasquier
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
but if voters and oppo leaders decide to protest, massive numbers may convince rank and file security (also suffering) not to repress. There could yet be a tipping point of change. Mass protests and intl pressure have produced change. Change is often unpredictable. 3/4
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
3 years
Just out in "Just Accepted" in @The_JOP , my article with @simonovitsgabor @littvay . Democratic Hypocrisy and Out-group Threat: Explaining Citizen Support for Democratic Erosion | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
P.S. I never understood the apparent decision by opposition and U.S. to wait to carry out negotiations on guarantees for PSUV and for officials only after the election (unless they were happening secretly). 4/4
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 months
I am thrilled to announce that I have been named a 2024 Andrew Carnegie Fellow! This fellowship will support my project with Michael Evans, “Mitigating Pernicious Polarization through Innovative Civic Educational Interventions #CarnegieFellows
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 month
Most of the hemisphere rejects the Supreme Court announcement in Venezuela. Mediators Brazil and Colombia have yet to speak. Reluctant mediator Mexico rejected the Court. Still, there are 4 months before the next term begins - things could yet change.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 month
After harshly repressing protests, media and dissidents, Ortega has now closed over 5000 civil and religious organizations and seized their assets. Maduro has since July 29 detained over 2000 people, more than Chile's Pinochet according to Provea.
@_Provea
PROVEA
1 month
Nicolás Maduro rompe cifras históricas de represión en #Venezuela , superando a dictaduras como la de Pinochet en Chile. Registramos un aumento acelerado de graves violaciones a los derechos humanos, cometidos tras elecciones del 28J: Más de 2400 personas detenidas
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
As expected, Govt attempt to discredit vote by showing possible multiple votes. Photos of huge crowds around country show loss of fear.
@AlbertoRodNews
AlbertoRodNews
7 years
LO ÚLTIMO | 7:20pm - Jorge Rodríguez adelanta fraude en la Consulta Popular: "Un señor firmó por lo menos 17 veces. Tenemos video"
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
An imposed constitutional assembly without direct,secret popular vote can never be good idea; will only intensify the crisis.
@NicolasMaduro
Nicolás Maduro
7 years
Junto a los Ministros y el Pueblo Revolucionario, convocamos al Poder Constituyente Originario #VamosAConstituyente
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
This article shows the tremendous learning over 25 years and extraordinary preparation and efforts of the opposition leaders and electoral witnesses in documenting Venezuela's vote July 28.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
Biden should not agree to another debate unless format removes “open discussion” and moderator has control of mics and courage to cut them off. This was a disgrace for any student of any level to watch and will alienate them from politics for a long time.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
I agree with @jcorrales2011 :"Jul 28 was the example that democrats worldwide in autocratizing settings needed to see."The efforts by a united opposition to mobilize AND collect proof + a people demanding change in their life by voting are unprecedented in Ven and perhaps globally
@jcorrales2011
Javier Corrales
2 months
Why should the world focus on Venezuela? What the opposition has demonstrated is historic, with implications for the future of liberty in the world. Let me explain. Thread
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
good list of Maduro allies, but I would not put Colombia and Brazil in same class with the others. they are actively looking for a solution (even if too softly) and are affected very negatively by prospect of Maduro continuation and even greater mass migration. @jcorrales2011
@jcorrales2011
Javier Corrales
2 months
The International Relations of Venezuela's impasse. The Maduro govt is kept in power, in part, because of its coup-proofing, but also because of its international allies. Who are these allies and what are they defending in Venezuela? Thread
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
#Venezuela . There is still lots of room to negotiate transparency in official voting results: *Publish results by mesa (table). *2.7 million (20%) votes not included in CNE report last night, > difference NM - EG. *Scheduled audits suspended (see @puzkas for Spanish explanation)
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
From 2016."Pol. outsiders like Chávez and Trump rise when pol. insiders are perceived as failing to listen...But when voters give messianic leaders unchecked political power...,they [usher in] a dangerous concentration of power subject to their whims."
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
I dug up this comparison of Hugo Chavez and Donald Trump I wrote four years ago, with a warning.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
My analysis on why the call for early elections in Venezuela is not such good news under current conditions: Will elections save Venezuela? @gsuresearch @gsu_news @gsuartsci @jlynnmccoy
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Tensions are rising and incidents of violence occurring. It is urgent for the authorities to resolve this peacefully by being transparent, and for internationals to facilitate negotiations if necessary.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
Crucial thing is some form of transitional govt that can address econ/humanitarian emergency while reforming crucial election/judicial institutions AND guarantee future PSUV political life and clarify transitional justice provisions.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 year
I am incredibly honored to receive this recognition.
@GSUArtSci
GSU Arts & Sciences
1 year
Congrats to @GSUPoliSci Professor @jlynnmccoy whose work on political and social polarization in democracies has earned her the rank of Regents' Professor, the highest professorial rank within the University System of Georgia! Read about her work here:
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
Pedro Nikken era un hombre honesto y gentil con profunda compromiso a los derechos humanos mundiales y buscando una solucion al terrible problema de Venezuela. Tuve el honor trabajar muchos anos con Pedro. Es una perdida grandisima.
@dsmilde
David Smilde
5 years
Terrible perdida de un imprescindible
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 year
@tashecon I think you are underselling KK and Nation Alliance. He negotiated a 6-party alliance; they came up with a 244 page programmatic agreement; disarming social media campaign to combat info control and disinfo; positive campaign, while RTE resorted to disinfo and vilification/hate.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
Intl Contact Group still good option for negotiations. Could be power-sharing interim to reform institutions and prepare general elections; could be technocratic interim until presidential elections under new CNE. Either way will take time.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
Both sides attempting to measure strength in planned May Day marches. But people may be confused or scared, uncertain of the outcome of yesterday’s events and opposition communications impeded, so marches may not be as large as in past.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
11 months
Call for proposals for depolarization workshop in Budapest, June 2024. Deadline for proposal is Jan 15, 2024. Please join @AndreasSchedler , @murat_somer_eng , and me in Budapest! See link:
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
3 years
This is important provision of GA election law to understand: providing for state intervention in county election admin.
Here is my full interview of @MarilynRMarks1 re: the portions of Georgia’s new law permitting a GOP takeover of bipartisan county election boards. She explains why the provisions are so dangerous, how they work, & the legal basis for the challenge. 4/
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
good explanation of how the opposition was blocked from getting all the tally sheets, despite massive organization.
@josemdelpino
José María Del Pino
2 months
Fue una noche muy difícil para los testigos de la oposición. Quiero explicarles cómo se robaron las elecciones anoche: 1.- Cada mesa emite un voto anónimo que va a sistema, pero al mismo tiempo entrega una boleta física. 2.- Las boletas quedan por si hubiese caída de sistema y
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
Notable things about Bolivia: 1)Govt agreed to binding results from Oas Audit. 2) OAS said rerun elections w/new authorities and Evo acceded. 3)Too little too late after proof of fraud produced no admission of responsibility by govt. 4)Protest grew and mil/police abandoned govt.
@KevinCasasZ
Kevin Casas
5 years
El informe de auditoría de la @OEA_oficial sobre los resultados electorales en #Bolivia es un hito histórico en la lucha por la integridad electoral en América Latina. Sus efectos irán más allá de Bolivia. El equipo auditor merece una enorme felicitación.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
An honor very much deserved by a courageous journalism team in Venezuela: @EfectoCocuyo and @LuzMelyReyes
@LuzMelyReyes
Luz Mely Reyes
5 years
Este premio lo dedicamos a los defensores de DDHH y a los periodistas venezolanos que persisten en hacer escuchar las voces de los más vulnerables.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
Fox News John Roberts actually said Trump’s baseless claims were the sign of a man who knows he’s losing. The reporters are saying there must be evidence produced of any fraud claims. MSNBC actually interrupted his speech to call out the baseless claims.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 month
@CubanaSilvana not at all, just that they haven't ever had competitive elections to then repress.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
Excellent article by @murat_somer on Erdogan’s choice to accept/deny electoral loss. Very similar to Ven 2015 oppo legis victory denied by court.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 month
Venezuela is experiencing state terrorism. PROVEA: Since July 28 election, 25 persons killed in protests. More than 2400 detained arbitrarily [including children]. At least 50 forced disappearances [targeted kidnappings of people associated with opposition campaign and leaders.]
@_Provea
PROVEA
1 month
Venezuela a un mes de las elecciones del 28 de julio: -25 personas asesinadas en contexto de protestas. -Más de 2400 detenidos arbitrariamente. -Al menos 50 desapariciones forzadas. -Masivas violaciones al debido proceso y DDHH. Un terrorismo de Estado.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
@davidfrum is correct that creating a democracy vs authoritarianism cleavage is essential now to save American democracy. Biden attempted to do that last Thursday night. But research shows that voters do not vote on abstract democracy principles (thread).
@davidfrum
David Frum
2 years
So about this idea, much discussed in certain quarters, that Biden should have expressed himself in a more high-minded manner in Philadelphia, with less effort to win votes for Democratic candidates in 2022 ...
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Extremely disappointing that Honduran president Castro is congratulating Maduro.
@XiomaraCastroZ
Xiomara Castro de Zelaya
2 months
Nuestra especial felicitación y saludo Democrático, Socialista y Revolucionario al Presidente @NicolasMaduro y al valiente pueblo de Venezuela por su inobjetable triunfo, que reafirma su soberanía y el legado histórico del Comandante @chavezcandanga .
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Maduro govt controls everything else: bureaucracy, courts, legislature, security forces. So power-sharing needs to be negotiated regardless. Lula/Petro not be as tough as we may want, but they are NOT accepting Maduro's victory. They are trying to keep door open it seems....
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 year
@tashecon I'm in Istanbul and saw the excitement yesterday. Sure, weaknesses, but you seem to be falling into same trap of "blame the oppo candidate" that we saw together in Hungary, while ignoring the huge structural obstacles erected by the entrenched elected autocrat.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
Estoy de acuerdo. Falta garantías y específicas.
@LuzMelyReyes
Luz Mely Reyes
7 years
Luego de leer documento que el gobierno quería firmar da la impresión de que delegación opositora actuó adecuadamente al no suscribir texto que solo era un marco general. Gbno. venezolano no cumple con Constitución, menos se puede esperar que cumpla con un acuerdo de palabra.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
My recent paper on 2018 Venezuelan developments, with @DPantoulas
@DPantoulas
Dimitris Pantoulas
5 years
Our peer-reviewed paper (with @jlynnmccoy ) about Venezuela's unstable equilibrium just published in the Chilean RCP- Revista de Ciencia Politica. Any comment and review are most welcomed.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
Un esfuerzo important documentar, y cuando necesario denunciar, el cumplimiento del gobierno Ven con las normas electorales. Si participan los ciudadanos, ONGs y partidos ahora, puedan monitorear y reportar a la comunidad internacional. Y MAS CERCA a la fecha, decidir votar o no.
@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
This is an important effort to document, + when necessary denounce, the rate of compliance of the Venezuelan government with electoral norms. If Ven citizens, NGOs, & parties participate, they can monitor and report to intl community. THEN decide whether to vote on April 22.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
I endorse this call to reject the Constituent Assembly elections in Venezuela.
@WOLA_org
WOLA
7 years
Pronunciamiento de WOLA: hemisferio debe rechazar Asamblea Constituyente de #Venezuela , apoyar resolución electoral
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
Important article by @dmontyjr , How to Save America From Extremism by Changing the Way We Vote “The U.S. is really an outlier when you look at other advanced democracies”-Jennifer McCoy The cultural challenge requires structural change - @NormOrnstein
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
6 months
Unity speech in victory - best way to overcome polarization and defend democracy after defeating backslider.
@gonultol
Gönül Tol
6 months
Ozgur Ozel @ecozgurozel delivered a much needed, very humble speech calling Turkish citizens to unity at a time when the nation is deeply divided. Kudos!
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Lula and Petro floated new ideas trying to move Maduro: new election or coalition govt. Opposition won't accept new election nor should they have to (& Maduro won't accept fair conditions). If Gonzalez becomes president, tho, it will in essence be shared power because...
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
Def. of refugees UN recommends re 1984 Cartagena Decl: "fled..because their lives, safety or freedom have been threatened by generalized violence, foreign aggression, internal conflicts, massive violation of human rights or other circumstances..seriously disturbed public order."
@ACLatAm
Arsht Latin America Center & Caribbean Initiative
7 years
UNHCR recommends for the first time that designation of those fleeing Venezuela be changed from “economic migrants” to “refugees”
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Meanwhile, regime continues its terror and today law against NGOs + closing social media. Migration growing. THESE need to be urgent focus of negotiations and pressure also. EU, Inter-American Commission Human Rights, UN expert report, UNHCHR all adding to pressure on regime.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
6 years
"Citizens can refuse to participate in the trap of demonizing politics, insisting on voting massively against those who use polarizing methods." Extreme political polarization weakens democracy – can the US avoid that fate?
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
But it will take a larger society-wide effort to recover American democracy. Business, academia, cultural, faith, and grass-roots orgs need to press for institutional reforms and clearly denounce violence and anti-democratic behavior where it exists.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
3 years
Some very good questions and ideas raised by @djrothkopf in this thread.
@djrothkopf
David Rothkopf
3 years
This morning on @Morning_Joe @JoeNBC asked me, and I'm paraphrasing, what it was going to take for the West to defend Ukraine, to step up and defend the innocent people of that country from slaughter at the hands of the Russians. I offered up a pretty standard answer.
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
3 years
My article with @murat_somer_eng on Overcoming Polarization seems to be ungated (i.e. free) now at @JoDemocracy . Along with some other terrific ones.
@JoDemocracy
Journal of Democracy
3 years
The chasm between voter demands and traditional parties has widened. For causes and solutions, read essays in “Mainstream Parties and Crisis” by @jlynnmccoy & @murat_somer ; Sheri Berman & @hanskundnani ; @CasalBertoa & @JoseRamaC free on @ProjectMuse : .
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
Thus, politicians and parties committed to democracy need to connect the benefits of democracy to personal well-being, spelling out the consequences of losing voting rights, as Frum suggests that Biden did with women's reproductive rights.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
Excellent article by @murat_somer showing how Turkey’s democracy could be revived on June 23.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
I hope Brazilian exit polls asked if voters’ motivation was a negative vote against the other vs positive for their own candidate. Democracy vs authoritarianism message from civil society not so convincing for many non-poor. Fear of Lula too strong or love of Bolsonaro too high?
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
I should have said in this tweet, with no apparent offers of guarantees sufficient to NM's mind. It's possible there were prior offers rejected by NM, and nothing will dislodge him voluntarily.
@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 months
Venezuelan pres. Maduro’s declaration of victory with no published detailed vote results is a brazen act, but not so surprising. With no prior negotiated guarantees of safety from prosecution, Maduro opted to simply ignore the results. 1/4
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
Nicaragua - one-party state. Tragedy of what it could have become.
@LatAmerElection
Latin American Elections
2 years
Nicaragua's descent into a one-party state is complete: FSLN wins every mayoralty in the country.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
As we honor Jimmy Carter, here are a few memories of my 28 years with him. I assisted Carter’s work encouraging democracy – and saw how his experience, persistence and engineer’s mindset helped build a freer Latin America over decades via @ConversationUS
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
11 months
Looking forward to this panel.
@World_Pol
World Politics
11 months
Come to Princeton's campus or join @World_Pol via Zoom tomorrow! For our final 75th anniversary event, panelists will discuss the future of #democracy around the world. @BeattyRiedl @j_kirby1 @jlynnmccoy
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 year
Excellent analysis by @SlaterPolitics . "The thorniest problem in Thai politics is that Thai voters have never won popular sovereignty...[now]they are demanding it." Thailand’s Revolutionary Election via @JoDemocracy
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
3 years
I'm thrilled to join my esteemed colleagues on the board of @JoDemocracy .
@JoDemocracy
Journal of Democracy
3 years
The Editorial Board is an invaluable part of the @JoDemocracy . We are thrilled to welcome our new Board members: @Anne_MarieBrady , @RonDeibert , M. Steven Fish, @AnnaGBusse , @RachelKleinfeld , @jlynnmccoy , @ThitinanP , @BeattyRiedl , @AmyEricaSmith , @victoriatinbor , & @j_a_tucker .
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
Missing a lot: on elections - too short time for audits and registration; no guarantees UN would accept to form observer mission; doesn’t allow disqualified candidates and parties. On economy - only lifting sanctions, no humanitarian aid or change in Econ policy.
@GRamsey_LatAm
Geoff Ramsey
7 years
Notable that the document also only allowed a week-long period for the growing number of Venezuelans living abroad (an opposition base) to register to vote.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
6 years
I agree with @DPantoulas -a pluralist interim government plus more proportional electoral system will lower the stakes of current winner-take-all scenarios that impede change.
@DPantoulas
Dimitris Pantoulas
6 years
Beyond diagnosis, here I offer some concrete political and institutional solutions of how to move out of Venezuela's stalemate. A power-sharing agreement, an inclusive interim government, and changing the electoral system. "Untangling the Gordian Knot".
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
This is an important effort to document, + when necessary denounce, the rate of compliance of the Venezuelan government with electoral norms. If Ven citizens, NGOs, & parties participate, they can monitor and report to intl community. THEN decide whether to vote on April 22.
@Observa_VE
Observatorio Global de Comunicación y Democracia
7 years
Las #Presidenciales2018 convocadas por el #CNE no sólo violan principios y lapsos establecidos en la ley sino que evidencian un recorte en las #GarantiasElectorales con menos dias y menos puntos para todos los venezolanos q deben inscribirse en el #RE
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 year
@tashecon Not to mention the extreme pernicious polarization making it so difficult to move people. Turkish oppo went further than most in coordination and new collective leadership, and getting this close. Plus AKP lost seats in parliament.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
I'll be presenting a paper about "Democratic hypocrisy: Polarized citizens support democracy-eroding behavior when their own party is in power" on this panel about Solutions to Polarization Thursday, 4:00 pm EDT at APSA
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 year
Today Turkish voters may provide a morale boost for democracy. Enthusiastic voting started at 8 am and will close at 5 pm. Normal turnout is 80% and it may be higher. Turks value their right to vote very highly. 1/4
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
I've never understood why the U.S. did not supply energy/oil to Caribbean years ago to reduce their dependence on Ven oil. Good for Mexico.
@CaracasChron
Caracas Chronicles
7 years
Could Mexico sing El último adiós to the Havana-Caracas Axis?
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
Giving keynote lecture on polarization in supercool old convent at IE University in Segovia Spain at ECPR summer school with Saskia Ruth and Nina Wiesehomeier
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
6 years
To elaborate on comment here: Risk of government using their normal strategy of detention to stop a rising popular rival who is giving hope and new energy to opposition movement. But Assembly’s new offer of amnesty changes game too.
@PattyLaya
Patricia Laya
6 years
An emboldened opposition plans a showdown with Maduro next week. Guaido “is smart in realizing he can’t just declare himself president,” @jlynnmccoy says. But "there's also risks. It gives them an excuse to arrest him, as they've done to others."
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Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 years
Most amazing: no names on the ballots, only numbers. Missing controls on multi voting: Voters can go anywhere in muni, no indelible ink.
@EfectoCocuyo
Efecto Cocuyo
7 years
CNE se saltó 70 procesos y auditorías para un proceso electoral al organizar la ANC
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
@leedrutman This is important to always point out the % of entire electorate as well as within the party. News reports focus on % of Republicans supporting Trump, specific actions, etc which sounds like a lot, but actually small % of people in the country.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
Ungated for a month, this new article by @murat_somer_eng and I in @JoDemocracy discusses lessons from 3 years of research on pernicious polarization, and proposes ideas on what to do about it. @LarryDiamond @WilliamJDobson Overcoming Polarization
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
7 months
I was delighted to talk with Ceejay Hayes at the Cambridge Overcoming Polarization Initiative in this new podcast. See also the other inaugural conversation with my colleague Tom Carothers. Polarization as a Global Phenomenon with Jennifer McCoy
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 months
My new research with @littvay and @simonovitsgabor on support for democratic norm violations by Americans supporting both parties, when their own party holds the presidency. Thread below.
@littvay
Levente Littvay
5 months
🚨 Research alert! 🚨 Our forthcoming POQ @AAPOR piece w/ @jlynnmccoy , @simonovitsgabor and I reveal that Americans tend to support democratic norm violations more when their own party holds the presidency. 🇺🇸🗳️📈 #politicalscience #democracy Preprint: 1/8
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
If Evo hadn’t already ignored popular referendum rejecting reelection, the fury of protestors might have been abated with his accession to new elections. But this is a longer burning fire than just October. What surprised me most was his agreeing to binding OAS recs.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
5 years
@Mapigargua claro, negociaciones no tiene que ser necesariamente con Maduro. Puede ser con FFAA y otros actores que puedan retirar su apoyo a el. Asi ha funcionado otras transiciones en America Latina.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
While I’m somewhat heartened by Fox News demanding evidence, the fact that Trump claimed he has won the “legal votes” already and the rest is fraud is alarming, dangerous and disgusting .
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
1 year
Turkey election results (unofficial): 52% Erdogan, 48% Kilicdaroglu. Decent result for opposition fighting extensive disinformation and patronage spending from govt, but also shows very divided Turkey with support for Erdogan style politics. Possible irregularities still to see.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
In this article, @murat_somer_eng and I discuss why it's so hard to defeat entrenched democratic backsliders. Hungary's recent election shows that such leaders are likely to be defeated only when they become vulnerable due to loss of a key resource. 1/3
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
Trump looks like socialist Hugo Chavez. Populist presidents in Mexico, Venezuela, Turkey and elsewhere take personal credit for government programs before elections, trying to draw a direct line between themselves and the recipients and ignoring Congressional mandates or support.
@politico
POLITICO
4 years
The USDA’s $4 billion Farmers to Families Food Box Program has distributed more than 100 million boxes to those in need since May. Last week, the agency began mandating the boxes include these letters from President Trump claiming credit for the program 👇
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
My take: "American democracy is much more vulnerable than many once thought. Opportunistic politicians who engage in anti-system behavior must be held accountable; failing to do so invites more anti-democratic and violent behavior." Thread.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
Really enjoyed this conversation with @leedrutman @julia_azari and @jiwallner about polarization, populism and how to fix American democracy.
@leedrutman
Lee Drutman ⚙️🏛
4 years
This was such an important Politics in Question conversation with @jlynnmccoy . We dig into what lessons from Venezuela, Hungary, and Turkey apply to current US politics and talk about the dangers of "pernicious polarization." @julia_azari @jiwallner
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
New special issue out on public attitudes toward FARC and Colombian peace accord, with important lessons about legitimacy of transitional justice and political participation of unpopular actors.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
2 years
Esp. in highly polarized contexts, seeing the other side as an existential threat, voters will choose their own side even if sacrificing democratic principles. Graham/Svolik (2020) and my own research with @simonovitsgabor , @littvay show this for the U.S.
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@jlynnmccoy
Dr. Jennifer McCoy
4 years
In all the photos of Venezuelan negotiating tables and decision-making arenas, lack of women have been a glaring omission. @BeticaMunozPogo points out the implications here.
@CaracasChron
Caracas Chronicles
4 years
The Venezolana Perspective: For More Women in Venezuelan Politics
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