Jay Willy
@jaywillyff
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Sports nerd. Fantasy nut. Foodie.
Detroit, MI
Joined November 2013
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: Zack Wheeler
Start: Luis Gil, Kyle Hendricks, Yariel Rodriguez*, Kutter Crawford, Reynaldo Lopez, Andrew Heaney, Emerson Hancock
50/50: Paul Skenes^, Rhett Lowder, Andre Pallante^, Shane
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Age & Level Adjusted MiLB Pitchers
--
1. Andrew Abbott
2. Gavin Williams
3. Emmet Sheehan
4. Noah Cameron
5. Ben Brown
6. Kyle Hurt
7. Eury Perez
8. Jacob Lopez
9. AJ Smith-Shawver
10. Patrick Monteverde
11. Edwin Jimenez
12. Carson Whisenhunt
13. Chad Dallas
14. Bryan Woo
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@MattPrater_5
Hey Matt. Big fan here. I lost my aunt to lung cancer last month. Any chance I could get you to retweet this to help
#KickLungCancer
? Today's the last day of lung cancer awareness month and it would bring a ton of awareness to a great cause
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Expected goals for this week. PIT just behind WAS despite the extra game.
#NHL
#fantasyhockey
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MiLB Age-Adjusted Hitter Rankings
--
1. Jackson Holliday
2. Roman Anthony
3. Cole Young
4. Adael Amador
5. Liover Peguero
6. Jorge Barrosa
7. Nelson Rada
8. Colt Keith
9. Moises Ballesteros
10. Noelvi Marte
11. Tsung-Che Cheng
12. Junior Caminero
13. Juan Brito
14. Tyler Black
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2023 Most Dominant MiLB Pitchers
--
1. Andrew Abbott
2. Emmett Sheehan
3. Patrick Monteverde
4. Bryan Woo
5. Jacob Lopez
6. Noah Cameron
7. Blake Adam
8. Carson Whisenhunt
9. Jean Pinto
10. Carson Ragsdale
11. Mike Vasil
12. Eury Perez
13. Gavin Williams
14. Connor McCullough
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Just wrapped up the first run of my new MiLB hitter report. Here's a quick data-driven Top 20 under 20 list (note - won't see any complex league guys due to small sample)
--
1. 2B Cristofer Torin - ARI - A - 19yo (7% owned)
.302/.432/.458
17.8 BB%, 16.1 K%
2 HR, 2 SB
2. 1B/OF
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@xTechHockey
To score so well in this era is absurd…Wayne and Mario dominated their eras, but it is tough to compare. The game is so much faster, and the goaltending is so much better in today’s game
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@Ipryde11
@mickey_canuck
Let the Russian players play under a different flag. Similar to OAR or ROC
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Spring Training Hot Bats (cont'd)
—
Freddie Freeman: 8/26, 3 HR, 6 SO, 2 BB, 1.086 OPS
Francisco Alvarez: 5/19, 3 HR, 4 SO, 4 BB, 1.181 OPS
Gunnar Henderson: 7/11, 2 SO, 1 BB, 1.485 OPS
Errol Robinson: 6/14, 4 SB, 6 SO, 6 BB, 1.100 OPS
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2023 Most Productive MiLB Hitters
--
1. Jonatan Clase
2. Matt McLain*
3. Aaron Palensky
4. Jonny DeLuca*
5. Tsung-Che Cheng
6. Preston Tucker
7. Jackson Holliday
8. David Hamilton
9. Caleb Durbin
10. Mike Ford
11. Nolan Jones*
12. Luis Matos
13. Zach Kokoska
14. Jake Scheiner
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Age & Level Adjusted MiLB Pitchers
--
1. Andrew Abbott*
2. AJ Smith-Shawver
3. Gavin Williams
4. Ben Brown
5. Kyle Harrison
6. Eury Perez*
7. Yu-Min Lin
8. Cade Horton
9. Carson Whisenhunt
10. Emmet Sheehan
11. Chase Hampton
12. Anthony Maldonado
13. Noah Cameron
14. Jacob Lopez
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Most Dominant MiLB Pitchers (thru May 31st)
--
1. Andrew Abbott
2. Gavin Williams
3. Ben Brown
4. Emmet Sheehan
5. Noah Cameron
6. AJ Smith-Shawver
7. Carson Whisenhunt
8. Edwin Jimenez
9. Eury Perez
10. Jacob Lopez
11. Anthony Maldonado
12. Kyle Hurt
13. Chase Hampton
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My Top 30 MiLB Starting Pitchers
--
1. Chase Hampton
2. Carson Whisenhunt
3. Jacob Misiorowski
4. Cade Horton
5. Hayden Birdsong
6. Ben Brown
7. Noah Cameron
8. Jacob Lopez
9. Anthony Solometo
10. Dalton Rogers
11. Jose Corniell
12. Caden Dana
13. Connor Phillips
14. Maddux Bruns
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Age-Adjusted MiLB Hitter Rankings
--
1. Luis Matos*
2. Jackson Holliday
3. Adael Amador
4. Junior Caminero
5. Juan Brito
6. Nelson Rada
7. Jasson Dominguez
8. Marcelo Mayer
9. Henry Davis
10. Harry Ford
11. Tsung-Che Cheng
12. Caleb Durbin
13. Tyler Black
14. Cole Young
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2023 Most Dominant MiLB Relief Pitchers
--
1. John McMillon
2. Lucas Wepf
3. Anthony Maldonado
4. Connor Cooke
5. Orion Kerkering
6. Danny Watson
7. Tyler Mattison
8. Blake Holub
9. Alex Speas
10. Shane Smith
11. Bailey Dees
12. Magnus Ellerts
13. Grant Anderson
14. Riley Martin
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Top 2023 MiLB Pitchers Adjusted for Age & Level
--
14. Kai-Wei Teng
13. Jack Choate
12. Coleman Crow
11. Nick Frasso
10. David Sandlin
9. Eury Perez
8. Mike Vasil
7. Kumar Rocker
6. Ben Brown
5. Noah Cameron
4. Cristian Mena
3. Patrick Monteverde
2. Emmet Sheehan
1. Andrew Abbott
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Most Productive 2023 MiLB Hitters
--
1. Matt McLain*
2. Jonatan Clase
3. Jackson Holliday
4. Zach Kokoska
5. David Hamilton
6. Nolan Jones
7. Tsung-Che Cheng
8. Henry Davis
9. Jake Bauers*
10. Tyler Black
11. Chris Newell
12. JJ Bleday*
13. Ernie Clement*
* => currently in MLB
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YTD Most Productive MiLB Hitters
—
1. Jonatan Clase
2. Elly De La Cruz
3. Jonny DeLuca
4. Chris Newell
5. Jackson Holliday
6. David Hamilton
7. Zach Kokoska
8. Tyler Black
9. Jake Bauers
10. Aaron Palensky
11. Nolan Jones
12. Preston Tucker
13. Tsung-Che Chang
14. Henry Davis
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MiLB Age-Adjusted Starting Pitcher Rankings
—
1. Yu-Min Lin
2. Chase Hampton
3. Hayden Birdsong
4. Anthony Solometo
5. Caden Dana
6. Carson Whisenhunt
7. Jared Jones
8. Cade Horton
9. Ben Brown
10. Jacob Misiorowski
11. Isaac Coffey
12. Connor Phillips
13. Jacob Lopez
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Prospect All-Underrated Team
—
C: Creed Willems
1B: Abimelec Ortiz, TJ Rumfield
2B: Davis Schneider
SS: Shay Whitcomb
3B: Luke Adams
OF: Aaron Palensky, Chris Newell, Victor Scott II, Zach Kokoska, Lazaro Armenteros
Pitchers: Caden Dana, Josh Stephan, Edwin Jimenez, Mitch Bratt
Prospect all-underrated team
C: Moises Ballesteros
1B: Xavier Isaac
2B: Chase Meidroth
SS: Tsung-Che Cheng 📷
3B: Tyler Black
OF1: Ryan Clifford
OF2: Gabriel Gonzalez
OF3: Wade Meckler
SP: Nick Frasso
RP: Chase Lee
Who makes your team?
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I’m starting Matt Waldron in a couple of leagues. Thinking about streaming Tylor Megill.
How about you? Leave a reply and let’s discuss ⚾️
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Spring Training Hot Bats (cont'd)
—
Cal Raleigh: 6/17, 2 HR, 5 SO, 2 BB, 1.303 OPS
Bligh Madris, 5/14, 1 HR, 3 SO, 4 BB, 1.193 OPS
Gavin Sheets: 9/31, 2 HR, 2 SB, 4 SO, 4 BB, .970 OPS
Ryan McMahon: 10/26, 1 HR, 1 SB, 5 SO, 3 BB, 1.025 OPS
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@deeptocenter
would be cool as a one-off but not city connect. Tigers deserve their own identity
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Age & Level Adjusted MiLB Hitters by PAwISO, SB/SBOest, and PAwK%-BB%
--
1. Jackson Holliday
2. Luis Matos
3. Vaughn Grissom
4. Brayan Rocchio
5. Jorge Barrosa
6. Endy Rodriguez
7. Adael Amador
8. Buddy Kennedy
9. Matt McLain
10. Justin Foscue
11. Xavier Edwards
12. Harry Ford
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Spring Training Hot Bats (cont'd)
--
Brian Anderson: 7/22, 2 HR, 0 SB, 4 SO, 3 BB, 1.105 OPS
Errol Robinson: 6/16, 0 HR, 4 SB, 7 SO, 8 BB, 1.021 OPS
Juan Yepez: 11/29, 2 HR, 0 SB, 1 SO, 2 BB, 1.006 OPS
Gunnar Henderson: 11/25, 0 HR, 0 SB, 8 SO, 1 BB, 1.062 OPS
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2023 Most Dominant MiLB Starting Pitchers
--
1. Cade Horton
2. Chase Hampton
3. Carson Whisenhunt
4. Jacob Misiorowski
5. Jose Corniell
6. Jacob Lopez
7. Cory Lewis
8. Lyon Richardson
9. Jake Bennett
10. Cedric De Grandpre
11. Noah Cameron
12. Anthony Solometo
13. Christian Scott
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MiLB Starting Pitcher Overall Rankings
--
1. Andrew Abbott*
2. AJ Smith-Shawver* (7 GS)
3. Carson Whisenhunt
4. Ben Brown
5. Cade Horton
6. Jacob Misiorowski
7. Chase Hampton
8. Noah Cameron
9. Dalton Rogers
10. Gavin Williams
11. Cory Lewis
12. Eury Perez* (6 GS)
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Dynasty Rankings 51-100
These rankings are geared towards the leagues that I tend to play in--deeper 12 team OBP and QS leagues
--
100. Jorge Soler
99. Jeremy Pena
98. Evan Carter
97. Gleyber Torres
96. Devin Williams
95. Starling Marte
94. Kris Bryant
93. Raisel Iglesias
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: None
Start: Nathan Eovaldi, Michael King, Hunter Brown
50/50: Keider Montero^, Aaron Civale^, Sonny Gray^, Ryne Nelson^, Cristopher Sanchez, Kutter Crawford, Bobby Miller
Yolo: Hayden
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: Albert Suarez, Charlie Morton, Shota Imanaga
Start: Yu Darvish, George Kirby, Zac Gallen
50/50: Cristopher Sanchez^, MacKenzie Gore^, Spencer Arrighetti^, Tanner Houck, Tylor Megill^,
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Top 20 MiLB hitters adjusted for age and level
20. Jasson Dominguez
19. Bladimir Restituyo
18. Harry Ford
17. Luis Matos
16. Zac Veen
15. Cole Young
14. Jackson Chourio
13. Justin Foscue
12. Jackson Merrill
11. Endy Rodriguez
10. Jordan Diaz
9. Osleivis Basabe
8. Evan Carter
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Spring Training Pitchers that have struck out every batter faced
--
3: Yuki Matsui, Edwin Diaz
2: RJ Petit
1: Cy Nielson, Josh Maciejewski, Randy Labaut, Chris Gau, Nick Fraze, Brycen Mautz, Bryce Warrecker, Donovan Benoit, Ryan Hennen
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Top 2023 MiLB Pitchers - Honorable Mentions
--
Gavin Williams, Ian Bedell, Tobias Myers, Chad Dallas, Jacob Lopez, Carlos Pena, Blake Adams, Hayden Juenger, Sean Hunley, Anthony Veneziano, Zebby Matthews, Justin Lange, Bryan Hudson, Chase Hampton, Jean Pinto, Samuel Aldegheri
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@PitcherList
That 12% ERA really means that Wheeler allowed 21 more earned runs in only 46.1 more IP (4.08 ERA.) Burnes was far more dominant and still pitched a ton of innings. If we discount accumulators for the hall, why should we reward them for the Cy Young?
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@RotoPat
It makes sense if you can't do math because you dropped out of high school and all that you care about is the number
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: Tarik Skubal, Bailey Ober, Framber Valdez
Start: Tobias Myers, Tanner Bibee, Cole Ragans, Spencer Schwellenbach, Nathan Eovaldi, Brandon Pfaadt
50/50: Ryan Pepiot^, Justin Steele^,
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Arizona Fall League Age-Adjusted Fantasy Hitter Rankings
--
1. C/2B Yeiner Fernandez
#HERETOPLAY
2. RF Hendry Mendez
#thisismycrew
3. 2B James Triantos
#NextStartsHere
4. 2B Hao-Yu Lee
#RepDetroit
5. RF/1B Abimelec Ortiz
#StraightUpTX
6. RF Chase DeLauter
#ForTheLand
2
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2023 Most Dominant Complex League Starting Pitchers
--
1. Eric Dominguez
2. Zack Showalter
3. Yordanny Monegro
4. Dairon De Jesus
5. Yordanny Monegro
6. Yimi Presinal
7. Tzu-Chen Sha
8. Jun-Seok Shim
9. Antwone Kelly
10. John Kelin
11. Santiago Suarez
12. Ernesto Mercedes
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Good morning, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: Zach Eflin, Tobias Myers, Dylan Cease
Start: Clarke Schmidt, Aaron Nola, Mitch Keller, Cooper Criswell, Logan Gilbert, Kyle Gibson, Bailey Ober, Spencer Schwellenbach
50/50: Javier Assad,
0
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@jordanbpeterson
Either they don't know, don't show, or don't care about what's going on in the hood
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Most Productive MiLB Hitters
--
1. Jonatan Clase
2. Aaron Palensky
3. Tyler Black
4. Caleb Durbin
5. Austin Gauthier
6. Chandler Simpson
7. Ryan Bliss
8. Heston Kjerstad
9. Jackson Holliday
10. Estevan Florial
11. Jake Cave
12. JP Martinez
13. Preston Tucker
14. Ernie Clement
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High Probability Future Impact Bats by Level
MLB: Luis Matos
AAA: Tyler Black, Jackson Holliday
AA: Agustin Ramirez, Adael Amador, Jackson Merrill
High A: Cole Young, Jett Williams
Note - based on 2023 MiLB stats only
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
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5
Buy low targets for fantasy hockey (based on expected goals on-ice & role-adjusted point shares)
--
1. Matthew Tkachuk
2. Alex Ovechkin
3. Johnny Gaudreau
4. Sidney Crosby
5. Evgeny Kuznetsov
6. Torey Krug
7. Jonathan Huberdeau
8. Miro Heiskanen
9. Evgeni Malkin
10. Brady Tkachuk
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Most Productive MiLB Hitters - Honorable Mentions
--
Jared Serna, Jordan Beck*, Luis Matos, Jake Scheiner, Victor Scott II, Luken Baker, Adael Amador, Ronny Mauricio, Javier Vaz, Buddy Kennedy, Justin Foscue, Bradlee Beesley, Jonah Bride, Weston Wilson, Nate Furman, Mike Jarvis
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@BRAVES2013r1
@JonPgh
It generally means to expect positive regression. They are hitting the ball well, but are making more outs than one would expect based on the quality of contact
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Spring Training Hot Pitchers (cont'd)
--
Luis Cessa: 4 IP, 4 K, 0 BB, 2 H, 0 ER, 1.64 FIP
Jose Castillo: 5.1 IP, 5 K, 1 BB, 6 H, 2 ER, 2.33 FIP
John Rooney: 4.1 IP, 4 K, 0 BB, 1 H, 0 ER, 1.79 FIP
Trevor Brigden: 4.1 IP, 8 K, 2 BB, 0 H, 0 ER, 2.02 FIP
1
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Start: Reynaldo Lopez, Mitch Keller, Kyle Gibson, Ranger Suarez, Tanner Bibee, Gerrit Cole, Joe Ryan, Freddy Peralta, Cole Ragans
50/50: Tarik Skubal^, Hunter Greene^, Brandon Pfaadt^, Brayan
5
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Starts under 50% owned (Yahoo)
* Nick Pivetta (56%)
* John Means
* Yusei Kikuchi (70%)
* Bryan Woo
50/50s - Part 1/2
* Edward Cabrera
* Cal Quantrill
* Joey Wentz
* Aaron Civale (65%)
3
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: George Kirby, Chris Sale
Start: Cristopher Sanchez, Freddy Peralta, Joey Cantillo, Michael Lorenzen, Marcus Stroman, Kevin Gausman, Jose Suarez, Simeon Woods Richardson, Zac Gallen, Brady
0
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: Freddy Peralta
Start: Ranger Suarez, Taj Bradley, Sean Manaea, Hunter Brown, Garrett Crochet, Sonny Gray, Joe Ryan
50/50: Tarik Skubal^, Carson Spiers^, Bryan Woo^, Spencer
3
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Start: Max Fried, Zach Eflin, Tylor Megill, Zack Wheeler, Louie Varland, Paul Skenes, Yusei Kikuchi, Bryan Woo, Randy Vasquez
50/50: Albert Suarez, Mitchell Parker^, Kenta Maeda, Jameson
2
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Spring Training Hot Bats (cont'd)
--
Kody Hoese: 4/7, 0 HR, 0 SB, 1 SO, 0 BB, 1.556 OPS
Tim Locastro: 6/13, 0 HR, 1 SB, 1 SO, 1 BB, 1.115 OPS
Trei Cruz: 5/9, 0 HR, 0 SB, 2 SO, 2 BB, 1.192 OPS
Payton Henry: 7/16, 1 HR, 0 SB, 2 SO, 0 BB, 1.063 OPS
1
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Age-Adjusted MiLB Hitter Rankings
--
1. Jackson Holliday
2. Roman Anthony
3. Junior Caminero
4. Marcelo Mayer
5. Adael Amador
6. Nelson Rada
7. Evan Carter
8. Colt Keith
9. Jorge Barrosa
10. Jeferson Quero
11. Caleb Durbin
12. Juan Brito
13. Orelvis Martinez
14. Noelvi Marte
2
1
5
@jprutherford
@TheAthleticSTL
Because ROR is a gem of a player that is used to adversity and will give his all regardless of the circumstances surrounding him. The Blues need to hire a head coach pronto
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Spring Training Hot Pitchers (cont'd)
--
Colten Brewer: 4 IP, 3 K, 0 BB, 4 H, 1 ER, 2.14 FIP
Hogan Harris: 4 IP, 6 K, 2 BB, 1 H, 0 ER, 2.14 FIP
Vinny Nittoli: 4 IP, 6 K, 2 BB, 1 H, 1 ER, 2.14 FIP
Mike Baumann: 4.2 IP, 5 K, 1 BB, 0 H, 0 ER, 2.14 FIP
1
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Dynasty Ranks (cont'd)
--
10. Julio Rodriguez
9. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
8. Bryce Harper
7. Aaron Judge
6. Kyle Tucker
5. Yordan Alvarez
4. Ronald Acuña Jr.
3. Fernando Tatis Jr.
2. Juan Soto
1. Shohei Ohtani (two-way)
0
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@King_David_YT
@Colinstewart77
@GoldenKnights
They should write “don’t call a 5 minute major in the playoffs, ya dingus” in the rulebook
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@SotoC803
@thejazzypenguin
@advisors_team
@MrRager_x
@FoulTerritoryTV
@thepivot
hit it off deGrom too
1
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2023 Most Dominant MiLB SPs - Honorable Mentions
—
Alex Pham, Maddux Bruns, Michael Knorr, Thomas Harrington, Robby Snelling, Aidan Curry, Carson Ragsdale, Zebby Matthews, Jack Choate, David Sandlin, Juan Mercedes, Coleman Crow, Marco Raya, Hayden Birdsong, Ryan Long, Troy Melton
0
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: None
Start: Corbin Burnes, Jeffrey Springs, Hunter Brown, Tyler Glasnow, Robbie Ray
50/50: Gavin Williams^, Sean Manaea, Max Scherzer^, Michael Wacha^, Griffin Canning^, Ryne Nelson,
3
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Start:
Taj Bradley, Kevin Gausman, Andrew Abbott, Zac Gallen, Cristian Javier, Luis Castillo, Gavin Williams, Yu Darvish
50/50:
Sandy Alcantara, Kyle Hendricks, Rich Hill, Brady Singer, Matt Boyd, Julio Teheran, Miles Mikolas, Aj Smith-Shawver, Aaron Nola, Jhony Brito
1
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Start: George Kirby, Christian Scott, Corbin Burnes, Shota Imanaga, Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon, Zac Gallen
50/50: Alek Manoah, Ray Kerr, Seth Lugo, Kyle Harrison, Bailey Ober, Logan T Allen,
3
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Good afternoon, fantasy baseballers!
Here are today’s Implied Runs with Start/Sit
—
Smash: Joe Ryan
Start: Cole Ragans, Tarik Skubal, Spencer Schwellenbach, Yusei Kikuchi, Randy Vasquez
50/50: Eric Fedde^, Javier Assad, Brandon Pfaadt^, Marcus Stroman^, Shane Baz^, Tyler
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Here's a rough posting schedule I'm looking to keep for the 2023 baseball season
Monday - MLB Hitters
Tuesday - MLB Pitchers
Wednesday - MiLB Hitters
Thursday - MiLB Pitchers
Friday - Dynasty Rankings
Saturday - Buy Low/Sell High
Sunday - Recap/Grab Bag
Daily - Implied Runs
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