#NFL
Injury FAQ:
#Chargers
Justin Herbert - Playing. Expect strong passing stats. Huge arm compensates for push-off weakness of ankle. Re-injury risk elevated
#Eagles
AJ Brown - Out. Very likely returning Wk 6 (Wk 5 = bye). Data favors no dip but moderate re-injury risk
1/11
My guess is the hard, direct hit to the chest caused Damar Hamlin’s heart to stop. Maybe there was some cardiac abnormality underlying but who knows.
Administering CPR for 9 minutes hopefully saved his life. Pulse returning is promising. Fingers crossed for him and his fam
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Dolphins
De'Von Achane - Video suggests mild high ankle. MIA often rested players who played in '23. If LP Wed, lean towards playing w/decreased workload
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - Tendinitis treatment = rest. Wouldn't be surprising to miss Wk 2
1/11
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Browns
Nick Chubb - Likely multi-ligament knee. Avg = 15 month return. Career in jeopardy. Injury history = worse than Gurley
#Giants
Saquon Barkley - Reporting 3 wks. Timeline + video consistent w/high ankle. ~20% production hit upon return x4 wks
1/10
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - Comments suggest IR.
His pain is worsening, which means he could rupture his Achilles by playing.
And that would torpedo the career of a 28 year old RB.
Problem is that 4 wks out still doesn’t guarantee he’s healed.
Have to play this one by ear.
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Dolphins
Tua Tagovailoa - IR. '22 concussion took 4 wks. Suspect similar time
#Packers
Jordan Love - Reports optimistic but data favors sitting Wk 3, return Wk 4-5
#Bengals
Tee Higgins - Avg = 2 wks. Data slightly favors Wk 3 return. Practice = key
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Browns
Deshaun Watson - Concerning '23 history (sitting when cleared). Just practiced Thurs. Data favors Wk 1 at ~100%
#Raiders
Brock Bowers - Reports suggest mild severity, likely playing Wk 1. Mild concern due to history of recent ankle surgery
1/10
#NFL
Injury FAQ:
#Packers
MarShawn Lloyd - Re-aggravation = worse than 1st time. Avg = 3 wks. Data favors playing Wk 1 but w/moderate re-injury risk thru Wk 6
#Chargers
Justin Herbert - Unlikely to miss time. May see decreased mobility if foot flares up in-season
1/11
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Chiefs
Travis Kelce - Could inject knee & play well vs Lions. But would have HIGH injury risk. Data favors sitting Wk 1, return Wk 2
#Rams
Cooper Kupp - Data predicts Wk 3 return. Nerve recovers slower if involved. IR possible, but would be outlier
1/6
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Packers
Jordan Love - MRI pending. Suspect kneecap dislocation vs ACL/MCL. Best case ~2-4 wks. Worst = season
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - Data favors playing, 90+% production. Mild re-injury risk (~15%) 1st 8 wks
1/18
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Rams
Cooper Kupp - Avg timeline would've been 2 wks ago. At this point, data favors near full strength w/o workload limit
#Bengals
Joe Burrow - Calf strains improve rapidly weeks 2 to 3. Still limited mobility, but likely noticeable progress
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Lions
Sam LaPorta - Likely playing Wk 1 at ~90+%. Data predicts ~5% increased risk for each wk of pre-season practice missed (hamstring)
#Falcons
Kirk Cousins - Expect limited mobility, mild decrease in deep ball power. Likely to excel in all others
1/12
#Packers
Jordan Love - Video concerning for both high ankle and ACL/MCL.
The knee does look like it buckles but the ankle took the direct hit.
Fingers crossed for good news
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Rams
Cooper Kupp - Not clear that avoiding IR says much. Rams have ~8 players returning from IR. 8 = max per team. Lean towards Wk 6-8 return
#Packers
Jordan Love - Avg = 2-4 wks. Wk 3 = 16 days. Wk 3 = possible, but data favors Wk 4 as more likely
1/8
#NFL
Injury FAQ:
#Panthers
Jonathan Brooks - Comments suggest Wk 3-4 target. Data projects ~85% efficiency + ~4 game ramp up in touches. Profiles similarly to '23 Breece Hall
#Rams
Puka Nacua - Lean towards playing Wk 1 at ~100%. Not worried if still resting this wk
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Giants
Darren Waller - TBD. Lean towards playing. Comments = mild severity. Data suggests low stats impact, high injury risk for year
#Jets
Breece Hall - Our algorithm projects 85% explosiveness, 40% of normal workload. Data suggests full load ~Wk 4
1/14
After an ACL, most people are able to still bear weight in the short term.
So unfortunately that doesn’t give us much reassurance in Love’s case.
Hope we’re wrong, but this video is pretty convincing
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - Most of these aren't long injuries. MRI pending but avg = 1-2 wks + low performance impact
#Bears
Justin Fields - Swelling = expected. Likely know if surgery right away. If no surgery, expect 2-3 wk absence
1/24
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Rams
Cooper Kupp - Video + boot suggests moderate high ankle. Trying to play on it indicates lower severity, but MRI will tell story. Often at least 1 wk out
#Vikings
Justin Jefferson - Quad contusion. In most cases wouldn't cause missed games
1/9
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Colts
Jonathan Taylor - Avg = 5 wks to return. Highly skeptical of 2-3 wk timeline from Irsay. Data suggests quick return to pre-injury production
#Seahawks
Kenneth Walker - Avg = 1-2 wks. His sounds severe. Lean towards missing Wk 13, returning 14
1/8
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Dolphins
Tyreek Hill - Reports suggest minor issue. Suspect he wouldn't be doing any drills if concerned for Wk 1 availability
#Lions
Jamhyr Gibbs - Comments say he'll return to practice at 2 wks. Confirms mild severity. Likely playing Wk 1 at 90+%
1/11
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Chiefs
Marquise Hollywood Brown - Sitting Wk 1 = expected. Comments suggest Wk 2 = realistic. Data supports high playing level upon return
#Dolphins
Tyreek Hill - Comments suggest very mild severity. Early-week practice status will confirm or refute
1/10
Data-driven draft strategy:
Round 1:
(1) WRs > RBs. 15-20% less likely to miss games
Full send: Justin Jefferson, Ja'Marr Chase, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs
1/7
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Chiefs
Marquise Hollywood Brown - Wk 1-2 return projected. Tyreek Hill averaged >100 ypg in 1st 5 wks back after same injury in '19
#Giants
Malik Nabers - Comments suggest low ankle sprain. Avg ~1 wk out. No performance dip upon return, esp by Wk 1
1/11
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Dolphins
Tyreek Hill - Catching today w/o brace. Progression + comments strongly suggest mild severity. Likely playing Wk 1 at ~100%
#Browns
Nick Chubb - Not participating yet. Lean towards PUP to start. RBs avg 4 game ramp up in touches once back
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Packers
Christian Watson - Comments suggest mild knee sprain. Avg = 2 wks but he will likely attempt to play Wk 8 w/mild performance hit
#Chargers
Austin Ekeler - Picked up new low ankle sprain. Most don't cause missed games but do lower RB workload
1/15
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Saints
Kendre Miller - Not ideal. If this hamstring strain lingers into pre-season, data predicts a higher likelihood of missing regular season games
#Broncos
Javonte Williams - Year 2 post-ACL+LCL surgery projects to be the return to pre-injury form
1/5
#NFL
Injury FAQ:
#Dolphins
Jaylen Waddle - Unclear diagnosis. Timeline = low severity. Likely full practice Wed. If so, low Wk 1 injury impact
#Raiders
Brock Bowers - Comments suggest full practice Wed, playing at 100%. Moderate re-injury risk due to foot + ankle history
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Dolphins
Tyreek Hill - Playing. Likely was conservative management to miss practice. Data projects low performance impact
#49ers
Brock Purdy - Rare, but on pace to play. Had clear performance dip Wk 7 after what was presumably hit that caused injury
1/24
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Chiefs
Travis Kelce - TBD. Data = 75% chance to play. Bone bruises tend to have low production impact + re-aggravation rates upon return
#Ravens
Mark Andrews - TBD. Lean towards playing. Data suggests low performance impact but 15% re-injury risk
1/13
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Steelers
Russell Wilson - Comments suggest mild strain, but wouldn't be out for nothing. Moderate re-injury risk (Burrow '23)
#Panthers
Jonathan Brooks - Young RBs avg 4 game ramp up in touches. Data projects 2/3 chance he's active Wk 1
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Vikings
Justin Jefferson - IR. Plus side = majority of cases would be back to pre-injury baseline after 4 wks rest
#Dolphins
De'Von Achane - Avg = 2-3 wks. IR would be slight outlier but ~15% end up there
1/7
#NFL
Injury Updates
#Ravens
Mark Andrews - Video suggests AC joint sprain (shoulder). Avg = 2-4 wks. Lean towards missing Wk 9, return after Wk 10 bye
#Colts
Jonathan Taylor - Bad news. Even mild high ankle re-sprains avg 2+ wks. It'd be surprising to see before Wk 11
1/8
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - Surprise inactive suggests either higher severity than reported or re-injury. Either gives him HIGH re-injury risk upon return
#Rams
Puka Nacua - IR. Avg ~6 wks. WR production dips ~3 wks upon return. High re-injury risk
1/9
Bro I'm here for you
#NFL
Injury Updates/FAQ Round 1
#Bengals
Ja'Marr Chase - Expect to play. Data suggests full strength + full workload. WR1 projected
Joe Mixon - TBD. Data = in his favor. Most players would clear. RB stats don't dip when they return. Have backup ready
1/9
#NFL
injury updates:
#Dolphins
Tua Tagovailoa – SEVERE concussion. Estimate 2-4 weeks return, but TBD.
#Patriots
Mac Jones – Position players avg 4-6 weeks, QBs 2-4. Expect him to push for ~Week 5-6 return, with 6 more likely.
#FantasyFootball
1/10
#NFL
Injury:
#Bills
Josh Allen - TBD. Lean towards sitting. QBs can play thru, but sitting = safer for big picture. Expect return Wk 11-12. Likely full strength for playoffs
#49ers
Deebo Samuel - Playing. Expect 90+% production. 15-20% re-injury risk in 1st 2 games back
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - Lean slightly toward playing. Avg 1 wk out but tends to play thru injury. Low efficiency dip but data suggests fewer snaps
#49ers
Deebo Samuel - Lean slightly toward sitting. Wk 7, return Wk 8. Data projects dip if active
1/12
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Ravens
Mark Andrews - Wk 8 video suggests AC sprain (shoulder). Avg = 2-4 wks. He's at 3. Expect to play at 90+% production
#Cardinals
Kyler Murray - TBD. SMA algorithm predicts ~60% chance to play. Must snag McCoy or Jimmy G if planning to use Kyler
1/9
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Packers
Jordan Love - TBD. Data slightly favors playing (55%). Concern = high MCL re-injury risk + elevated ACL risk. Likely limited mobility
#Eagles
AJ Brown - Out. Avg = 2 wks, so data favors return Wk 4. Practice report = key. High re-injury risk
1/XX
#Bills
Josh Allen - concern is 100% warranted. Full tear (UCL) would mean surgery + 1 year recovery.
Can’t say 100% but that BOMB he threw on the last play makes full tear seem less likely.
Partial would mean short term performance hit but good chance he’d play through it
#NFL
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Chargers
Justin Herbert - true game-time decision. Lean towards playing. Expect gameplan to focus on quick passing and running. Keep backup ready.
#Saints
Alvin Kamara - prob playing. Near full explosiveness. In-game re-aggravation risk is real.
1/9
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Steelers
Roman Wilson - Images suggest high ankle. Data suggests 90% by Wk 1, but re-aggravation risk is elevated 6-8 wks (up to ~Wk 2).
#Cowboys
Trevon Diggs - Off PUP. Data favors Wk 1 return at ~85% explosiveness
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Lions
Sam LaPorta - Timeline confirms moderate hamstring. Likely playing Wk 1 at 100%. Re-injury risk ~15% 1st 8 wks
#Bears
Keenan Allen - Comments suggest mild foot issue. If so, likely plays Wk 1 at 100%. High risk player given soft tissue history
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Packers
Christian Watson - Concern for ACL +/- MCL/meniscus. Best case = sprain (MCL +/- bone bruise) - that would avg 2-3 wks. MRI tomorrow
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - Data suggests low per-touch efficiency impact but fewer touches if SF in control
1/5
Fantasy owners tend to undervalue studs who played hurt the prior year:
Justin Herbert
Josh Allen
Stefon Diggs
Amon-Ra St. Brown
D’Andre Swift
Najee Harris
Travis Etienne
Michael Gallup
Keep reading to see what we mean…
1/6
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Bengals
Ja'Marr Chase - TBD. Lean towards playing. Wouldn't plan for 100% immediately, but would start if active. Data predicts full production Week 13-14
#Bears
Justin Fields - TBD. Lean towards sitting. He can play thru, but why risk his future?
1/9
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Rams
Matthew Stafford - TBD. Lean towards sitting Wk 9, return Wk 11 (Wk 10 = bye). Hard to get thumb swelling down in just 1 week
#Browns
Deshaun Watson - Playing. Most rotator cuff strains at 6 wks would be near 100%. Likely no performance dip
1/16
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Giants
Saquon Barkley - Data favors sitting Wk 4, return Wk 5-6. 20% stats hit x4 wks post-return
#Bengals
Joe Burrow - Can play Wk 3 w/high re-injury risk (~20%). If it happens, IR likely. Each week of rest lowers risk but needs ~6 wks to be <10%
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Rams
Matthew Stafford - Sprain = chance to play Wk 9. Lean slightly more towards sitting Wk 9, return Wk 11 (Wk 10 = bye)
#Eagles
Jalen Hurts - Bone bruise = painful. But Hurts = warrior. Would expect less rushing ~4 wks while symptoms decrease
1/20
So many injuries but none more brutal than Nick Chubb.
Given today's events, let's just all send our best wishes his way please. Who knows if it matters but it can't hurt.
Appreciate y'all.
10/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
Likely fine, but worth monitoring:
Kenneth Walker
JK Dobbins
Real concern:
Zach Charbonnet
Cautious optimism:
Javonte Williams
Kadarius Toney
No concerns:
Brock Purdy
Garrett Wilson
Jonathan Taylor
1/7
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Bengals
Ja'Marr Chase - Data projects 2/3 chance he plays + moderate (~15%) performance dip. Likely ~100% by Wk 11-12
#Bills
Stefon Diggs - Limited info, but data projects 60% chance of playing. If logs "limited" practice Sat, will increase to 2/3
1/17
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Chargers
Justin Herbert - Low concern for missing time in-season. Moderate risk of flaring up + affecting mobility.
Elite arm strength should help preserve his passing production even if he can't push off of leg fully. Low long-term/dynasty concern
1/8
#NFL
Injury FAQ:
#Rams
Cooper Kupp - Surgery = small. Helps stabilize ankle while healing. Return in 6 wks still possible. With team losing, his status TBD
#Ravens
Mark Andrews - Likely had AC joint sprain. Avg = 2-3 wks. Solid chance of returning Wk 11
#FantasyFootball
1/4
#NFL
Injury Updates:
Low concern, but some in-season risk:
Cooper Kupp
Low concern:
Joe Burrow
Calvin Ridley
Kenneth Walker
Rising optimism:
Javonte Williams
1/5
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Vikings
Justin Jefferson - Comments unclear, but WR hamstring data suggests missing Wk 12 would be heavy outlier. Likely 100% production upon return
#Rams
Cooper Kupp - Most WRs would return Wk 12 w/o performance hit or snap count limits
1/16
If Patrick Mahomes wins this
#SuperBowl
I think I’m ready to call him the GOAT
He’s got more arm and leg talent than Tom Brady and similar football IQ.
Been in 3 of last 4 Super Bowls. Would be 2-1. The loss to TB was with 2 injured O-lineman + his own turf toe
Is it crazy?
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#49ers
Ricky Pearsall - Comments suggest playing Wk 1. If active, expect strong play. Concern = high re-injury risk for WRs w/shoulder instability
#Lions
Jahmyr Gibbs - Returned. Data projects playing Wk 1 at 90+%. 20% re-injury risk for season
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Jets
Breece Hall - Data projects 75% chance of playing. Young RBs don't typically see stats dips w/hamstrings if they've logged a full practice (he has)
#Colts
Jonathan Taylor - Avg = 5 wks. Avoiding IR suggests Wk 16 as most likely target return
1/10
Questionable decision-making to keep De'Von Achane out there.
Even a mild ankle carries an elevated re-injury risk.
Down 21 in the 4th with Tua out...
#Dolphins
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Texans
Tank Dell - Likely surgery. Return avg = 4 months. Data projects no lingering impact by start of '24 season
#Patriots
Rhamondre Stevenson - Video suggests high ankle. Avg = 3 wks + efficiency dip ~20% upon return. MRI Mon, IR in play
1/6
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Ravens
Lamar Jackson - Avg = 2-4 wks. Comments suggest milder end, so anticipate return Wk 15-16. If playing before 16, anticipate decreased rushing
#Giants
Saquon Barkley - TBD. Data projects 60% chance to play and low performance impact (if active)
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Ravens
JK Dobbins - Avg = 5 wks out. 6 wks to pre-injury per-play production. Most commonly ramp back up is 4 wks post-return. Long-term = shorter careers + more missed games in years to come
Mark Andrews - Likely playing. Minimal performance impact
1/11
#NFL
Injury FAQ:
1) Breece Hall – Machine learning + RB ACL data predicts strong comeback
2) Kyler Murray – Fading his ’23 season hard
3) Javonte Williams – Major skepticism about Week 1 readiness. Optimism for Wk 8+
Check out the thread below for more on these 3
1/5
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Dolphins
Tua Tagovailoa - Concussion. Major concerns for CTE long-term. Avg return ~2 wks but suspect they go slower given his history
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - TBD. Lean towards sitting Wk 2, returning Wk 3-4
1/7
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Bengals
Joe Burrow - Highly likely ready for Wk 1 at 100%. QBs = low re-injury rate.
#49ers
George Kittle - Likely playing Wk 1 w/o limitations. Moderate re-injury risk given similar injury in '22.
1/4
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Dolphins
Tyreek Hill - Lean towards playing Wk 16. Elite WRs avg 15% target dip. Still a WR1 if active. Concern = high re-injury risk
#Eagles
Jalen Hurts - TBD, lean towards playing. "Illness" often = played thru + Hurts usually plays despite tag
1/10
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Ravens
Lamar Jackson - Video suggests PCL. Comments mean likely sprain +/- bone bruise, but not tear. Avg = 2-4 wks. Lean towards ~2
#49ers
Jimmy Garoppolo - Out for season. Pocket QB like Jimmy G should make full performance recovery by '23 season
1/7
Rapid Fire
#NFL
Injury Report:
#Packers
Jordan Love - Reported 3-6 wks. We'd lean 2-4
#49ers
Christian McCaffrey - Likely playing, no limits
#Bengals
Ja'Marr Chase - TBD. Lean playing
#Bengals
Tee Higgins - Likely out
#Lions
Jahmyr Gibbs - Full send
1/7
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Bengals
Joe Burrow - Lean towards playing Wk 3 w/20% re-injury risk. Each wk of rest lowers risk, but would need ~6 wks to substantially lower it
#Chargers
Austin Ekeler - Comments suggest Wk 6 return w/low mild re-injury risk. Stats hit x3 wks
1/8
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Vikings
Justin Jefferson - TBD. Lean towards sitting. Hamstring + practice data both favor Wk 11 return but comments suggest sitting. Likely 100% stats Wk 12
#Dolphins
De'Von Achane - Data projects 70% chance of playing + full pre-injury production
1/17
#NFL
Injury Updates:
#Chiefs
Travis Kelce - Data suggests return Wk 2-3, with Wk 3 most likely. Playing against
#Lions
= unlikely. Low stats impact upon return
#Commanders
Terry McLaurin - Comments = optimistic. Data leans towards Wk 1 return + production dip until Wk 3
1/4