Jacob Smith 🏳️🌈 🥥🌴
@jacobfhsmith
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Poli Sci Asst. Prof. Congress-watcher. Elections junkie. Fan of coffee, running. Swiftie. JB in '28. he/him 🏳️🌈 rt≠ e, personal account, views my own.
New York
Joined June 2012
All the wine moms are still holding out, but fuck 'em, it's over.
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RT @PollTracker2024: 📊Here are some possible national polls I’m tracking re: the President’s approval + other issues. Morning Consult (M…
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RT @gorskon: Oh, you sweet summer child. You voted for this and think DOGE’s cuts won’t affect graduate student funding and stipends. How…
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Sen. Andy Kim says he's prepared to support a government shutdown to Trump administration lawlessness
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The bill enabling Gov. Hochul to move the expected special election to fill Rep. Stefanik’s seat is on the Monday Assembly Election Committee agenda per LRS update. The bill is likely to get approved in both chambers tomorrow.
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RT @CTDemocrat8: This is just harassment. Democrats need to take immediate action when we retake the House
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RT @ferald_gord: The Vice President of the United States is openly advocating a coup d'état.
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He's unpopular. Keeping pushing back.
Pew Research poll President Trump approval Disapprove 51% Approve 47% 1/27-2/1
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Serbia has this thing and it's fucking golden.
Trump may pick Rod Blagojevich to be the ambassador to Serbia
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I support proxy voting in Congress, but it's not allowed right now. If Rs want to do this, the need to change the rules.
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Finally Roy Cooper can announce he's leaving NC without worrying about what Mark Robinson will do in his absence.
“The position will take Cooper away from North Carolina for eight weeks as speculation continues to grow that Cooper, a Democrat, may challenge Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican, for his congressional seat.”
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What's especially interesting here is that Trump is net negative with independents. The only reason he's slightly positive overall is because his net approval with Rs is higher than his net disapproval with Ds.
I haven’t seen anyone do this yet, so here’s an aggregate of crosstabs of Trump’s job approval since his inauguration. This includes *all* publicly released polls (adults or RVs) conducted that included crosstabs. I’ll update this periodically to see how things shift over time.
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Impeach
NEW: The government is being strangled. Sources tell me: * PEPFAR programs are faltering * Head Start says 63 grant recipients having issues w/ funds * Refugee aide group in US says it can't get $ * NIH applicants have grants in limbo * Climate and infrastructure grants frozen
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@lxeagle17 Honestly, the best chance Dems have to flip it is if it is some random Tuesday in April or May rather than the day of the primary or general election.
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To be clear: the odds of that flip happening are extremely small. It is a Trump +21 seat and it is R+19 relative to the nation. This is not a seat they're likely to flip. The median outcome is losing it by double digits. They've got maybe a 10% chance of flipping it (but not 0).
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