Adam Carlson
@admcrlsn
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Recovering political pollster, current market researcher, and election nerd. Spreadsheets help me relax. Views are my own.
Joined December 2009
Made a list of ~100 accounts that I trust to deliver accurate & fast results and/or unbiased & context-heavy analysis on Election Night. I’m sure I’m forgetting a lot of good ones, and will add more in the coming days. Feel free to follow it.
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Sorry but I’m calling bullshit. Wake me up when there’s a disease that originates in another country that kills Americans.
I’m gonna spell this out because apparently some people on here don’t understand: There are self-serving reasons to fund public health and disease prevention efforts outside of the US. Diseases spread. Viruses mutate. They might originate in Africa or Asia or Europe but they come here and they kill Americans.
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“Thank you for cleaning up 1/80th of the massive shit that you took on the hospital floor”
GOOD NEWS: State Dept. has approved shipping to resume, allowing NGOs to distribute the $560 million of American-grown food aid sitting in US & global ports to those in need. Thanks to @SecRubio for helping make certain this life-saving aid gets to those in need before it spoils.
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The replies are (predictably) disheartening. Alas. Perhaps one day.
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It’s Leon Panetta
Kendrick Lamar is rumored to have a "BIG SURPRISE" for the Super Bowl 👀 (Via HITSDD)
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Generally speaking I’m a “the arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice” believer, but hoooo boy what a test right now.
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(Only relevant if Kemp opts out, he would smoke her in the primary)
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Susan Collins and Thom Tillis, both up for re-election in 2026, voted to confirm this man as Director of the Office of Management and Budget. They own everything he does.
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Someone resigning because they did a racism? DOGE has gone woke.
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Outside of hard partisans here are the groups that give Trump the highest marks so far: -Rural (+24) -Men (+18) -White (+17) -Age 45-64 (+12) -$50K-$100K HH income (+10) And the groups that give him the lowest marks: -Black (-26) -<$50K HH income (-10) -Moderate (-5) -Women (-5)
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Per Gallup, here's recent presidents' job approvals at the start of their term vs. ~6 months later (July): Biden: 57% → 50% (-7) Trump I: 45% → 38% (-7) Obama I: 67% → 58% (-9) GW Bush I: 57% → 56% (-1) Clinton I: 58% → 41% (-17) Avg drop of ~8 pts Would put Trump at ~42%
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Yeah this just about sums things up
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