Brian Lewis
@Brian_ON_Econ
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Public Policy Economist. Former Ontario Chief Economist. Senior Fellow at the Munk School and CD Howe Institute. Teaching at the Munk School.
Toronto, Ontario
Joined February 2018
@IvisonJ @tylermeredith But it is poor analysis. $21.1 B of the 2023-24 deficit is clearly one time as outlined in the document.
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@MikePMoffatt Here is the same table, including the USA . (BTW . why was that excluded?) Canada is ahead of the USA in every age catagory. So. I gotta ask. who is neglecting the data?
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Great that hte Toronto Star chose to publish this opinion piece of mine today.
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@mikalskuterud As a current academic and previous public servant, the premise is correct. The reason is simply that weighing in on policy matters either isn't interesting or does not help them get ahead in the academic world.
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@stephenfgordon What Stephen said. Thier work is getting so bad that the office is losing any shred of credibility they have left.
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Thanks to TVO for posting another piece. this time about what the province should be doing to prepare for the second Trump presidency.
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@tylermeredith Haven't you heard. GDP is life. 😉 or a useful but massively over-rated statistic.
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@spaikin @mattgurney Sich sad news. My parents had the kitchen radio glued to 900 CMHL when i was a kid. Local news weather and - most importantly - Tiger-Cats Football!.
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@priorconfirmed @tylermeredith It goes back to the MacDonald Commission of the mid 1980s. Maybe that is why I find it so boring . :).
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@jm_mcgrath It's an important finding, and a fairly intuitive answer to our alleged productivity crisis.
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OK. something only my academic friends may appreciate. My teaching dossier has been finalized and submitted. Better part of two weeks spent compiling four years of work. Happy Dance GIFs | Tenor
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@CBCQueensPark @BlueJays I'm left handed and write right handed so don't find this totally surprising. Probably unusual to use a different hand for different things. Bet there is a term for that.
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@MikePMoffatt Ignoring it is kinda harsh. but to your point, the gap between old and young is a common problem we share with the US, UK and a few others.
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@maxfawcett @LindsayTedds Absolutely agree. I led similar work during my time with the province of Ontario and am quite disappointed by the quality of some PBO analysis and the corresponding explanations.
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Looking forward to presenting on Ontario municipalities and the future of work at the AMO conference next week! Thanks to the Council of Ontario Universities for inviting me to deliver the talk on partnering to drive local workforce and economic development. @AMOPolicy @OntUniv.
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Great to have this published by the Financial Post today. Thanks to CD Howe Institute for thier support. #onpoli .
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Good article in the Globe and Mail this week on the Bank of Canada overhauling thier economic models. Sounds promising, but no model built on past data and economic relationships can be expected to perform well when confronted by unprecidented events like the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Great to have this piece on Ontario manufacturing jobs co-authored with Damiam Dupuy posted by TVO today. #onpoli .
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Great to have this paper on the forthcoming Ontario 2024 Budget released by Ontario360 yesterday. Looking forward to seeing the budget on Tuesday! #onpoli .
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@tylermeredith Gotta ask. total revenue. own source revenue or tax revenue? I'd exclude fed transfers.
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@AlexUsherHESA Probably the best denominator is hours worked. Regardless, there are issues with both the numerator and denominator of those calculations.
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Great to appear on CBC Metro Morning today to talk about Ontario's Fall Economic Statement. Really appreciated the thoughtful questions posed by host David Common. #onpoli.
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Federal GST exemption for rental housing is useful, but it is not enough. There are options available that would have a larger impact.
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@KenBoessenkool There is a pretense that AGs are politically neutral. Increasingly, they have become attention seeking attack dogs.
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@cathyacrowe @jeffreybgray How are they supposed to get a job when the unemployment rate is its highest in 8 years?.
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Nice to get this article on the Ontario fiscal outlook published on the TVO www site.
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@LCERPA_EconWLU @chris_m_neill @Laurier @SSHRC_CRSH Love a good acronym. Economics can always use more of those.
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@David_Moscrop Donating it to Fred Victor, a charity that works to improve the lives of homeless people.
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@mikalskuterud Great album! My band of punk rock economists covered "I'm An Adult Now" to wild audience approval last year.
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Part two from me on the forthcoming Ontario Fall Economic Statement. Thanks again to TVO for their support!. #onpoli .
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@mikalskuterud I guess that is up to the reader. The article does say GDP is not irrelevant, but it shouldn’t be the only yardstick. A focus on incomes over GDP would be a good first step.
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We made it! The Invisible Hands will be participating in the Govfest Battle of the Bands Grand Finale. December 12 at the legendary El Mocambo in Toronto. Tickets and other relevant information is available at
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Any long run economic policy narratives based on comparing now versus the pandemic period should be taken with a massive dose of salt and a side order of skepticism.
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@MikePMoffatt With the right data on international students, employment and wages a calculation of gdp per capita with and without this population would be interesting.
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@munkschool @UofT @uoftalumni @UofTArtSci @PubPolicy_Munk @MgaMunk @MGAStudents @UofTStudentLife Congratulations, class of 2024! It was a privilege working with so many if you.
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@Pau_S_Pujolas @BNNBloomberg @TD_Canada Good that it is getting some attention. It is an important insight into the alleged productivity crisis.
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@mikalskuterud Great show. I was really pleased to hear Walk Away Renee! Tough call between Billy and Fontaines DC playing on the same night. No regrets.
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Thanks to the CD Howe institute for publising my intelligence memo onthe Ontario Infrastructure Bank.
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@trevortombe At least taxpayers in the rest of the country won't be paying for a tax break in Ontario.
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Sad to hear we'vereached the end of the line "Wag the Doug" podcast. An often funny and insightful podcast Ontario's Premier and related public policy issues. @QueensPark, #onpoli.
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@andrew_leach On the plus side, if it were as bad as their work on carbon pricing or EV subsidies, it would just create disinformation.
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@MikePMoffatt Hmm. The LTT rates have not materially changed over that time period. The government is simply benefitting from the rising resale $ (price and quantity). Also, a chunk of this is commercial property.
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@andrew_leach @KenBoessenkool I am strangely interested in the ranking system. Former soldier, roadie, and pub security gotta help.
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🎸 Hey friends! 🎸. Mark your calendars – it’s almost time for the annual Public Service Battle of the Bands!. This year, The Invisible Hands are back to rock the iconic Monarch Tavern in Toronto’s Little Italy on Friday, November 8th at 9:20PM!.
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Great to appear briefly on City News last night (around the 2:08 mark) with a few comments on the province's climate change targets.
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@farwell_WR @CityNewsKIT Great to be on the show this morning! Thanks Mike for the really good questions about manufacturing and the future of our economy.
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@stephenfgordon @nationalpost Been on the reading list for my Public Finance economics course!.
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