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Uncle John Returns Profile
Uncle John Returns

@UncleJo46902375

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Wishy-washy pinko liberal (small l) Formerly #BlockedByKirsch Hants, DC, NJ, Cheltenham, London, Bristol

Bristol
Joined April 2021
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 months
I have a new litmus test Anyone who quotes Dowd’s crap EW cancer report seriously is not credible Dowd’s assumptions shown dotted below Dowd. Ignorance or fraud? You decide. 1/
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Britain 2012 - so much to be proud of 2022 - so much to be ashamed of What went wrong?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
All I can say is try not to get ill (from any cause) or have any kind of an accident for the next couple of months or so.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Once again but LOUDER This time the increase in cases is definitely not being driven by an increase in testing
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
I will survive? "Go on now, go, walk out the door Just turn around now 'Cause you're not welcome anymore"
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@AdamBienkov He could start by axing the Minister for Brexit Opportunities and re-deploying his staff to something useful
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
Rees-Mogg you tosser. Just how much Civil Service time did you waste on your pointless and narcissistic little consultation? And you, always pontificating about Civil Service waste.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Is merging classes the stupidest idea the Government has come up with so far? There’s a lot of competition
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
At first I though this was just a link to the survey on imperial units I completed months ago. Turns out to be a new one. Perhaps Rees-Mogg didn't like the answers he got first time round. Please complete. And spread the word. Closes 11 pm 26/08
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
I believe this is an important message. Please R/T if you agree. If you are CEV and about to go away for Easter, please.. TAKE SOME NHS-SOURCED LFD TESTS WITH YOU I understand that you won’t be able to register a bought test to trigger an NHS response @sajidjavid
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
3 years
Extraordinary 1 Pushing the gender files to the limit and only excluding last 2 days London 20-24 + 94%, 25-29 +90%. Together more than ½ of extra London cases Stop those freaking office parties now. WFH. Masks everywhere.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
Oh dear. @stkirsch has made an absolutely basic programming error. He’s only gone and counted people twice. 1/3
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
If I've got this right, Johnson had a drink or two at Lee Cain's leaving do before conducting an important interview during the ABBA strategy meeting.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Oh dear @stkirsch you really should have age stratified or age standardised before opening your big mouth and putting you foot in. ↙️ Kirsch’s all-age mash-up ↘️ Same data but age-standardised 1/5
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@EveryCountry Japan kept cases very low until after the vaccination roll-out.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
9 months
8 to 10 years now chaps.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
It's official. Steve Kirsch cannot explain lower than expected mortality rates in the fully-vaccinated. In his own spreadsheet.
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@stkirsch
Steve Kirsch
7 months
It's official. My good "friend" @UncleJo46902375 is speechless. He cannot answer my simple questions without admitting the New Zealand data shows the vaccines are killing people.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Remember when the told us children seldom catch COVID?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@MinzylikesJazz @jonsopel In fairness, the BBC isn't exposing the egregious lies told by Truss and Coffey yesterday either So it isn't just pro-Trump bias
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
The BBC's role in Operation Save Big Dog is to publish articles implying COVID has been defeated
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Congratulations to the new MP for Southend East after her impressive victory over the Spoiled Ballot Paper Party
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
3 years
Does anyone know if @10DowningStreet still believes that the #ImmensaScandal didn’t result in many extra cases in the South West? @StroudCorona @ArtySmokesPS @fascinatorfun
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
3 years
Just thought I’d check out how herd immunity was working out in school children. Nope. No correlation.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@1goodtern They hold the view that being repeatedly infected is good for you. Just as being repeatedly hit over the head would protect you from concussion.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Well I listened to Kirsch’s echo chamber. And he lied. If you use his spreadsheet to look at one 10 year age band, then his safety signal disappears. It only shows up if you merge age bands. And that’s due to Simpson’s paradox.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
8 months
Well this is curious. In the latest @stkirsch survey, the largest number of vaccine-related deaths occurred in unvaccinated households. A couple of possible explanations. 1/
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
10 months
Admissions up 30% week on week across England. Beds up 17%.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
3 years
Christmas 1/4 Looking at older age bands, there appears to have been a steep increase in new cases over Christmas. The last 2 days shown below may increase as further samples are processed.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@Kit_Yates_Maths That's an odd way of writing the question. Why not?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Thread. Is “turbo-cancer” a thing? No. End of thread. But a few notes. 1/5
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
There are no handrails or access to the roof of the Bibby Stockholm so I assume the outdoor exercise area is limited to the 2 central light-wells which I scale at about 25m x 9m each. 1/2
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
4 months
Just how bad does a paper have to be to be retracted by Cureus?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@ABridgen Your source has forgotten a little thing called the denominator. If only you spent 5 minutes checking before tweeting.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Don't like the look of this 1/3
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
I’ve just watched it yet again and I have to say that the people who prepared the MOAR video are simply evil. To those involved in the NZ rollout I say – please try to ignore it, they have twisted and distorted the data till it bears no relation to reality.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
You’re right Steve It’s not a fluke. 1/2
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Posted at 2 in the morning my time. Demonstrating the old adage that a lie can travel half way round the world before the truth has got its boots on.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@TheJimMurray @SouthernWater Presumably Southern deployed that rather ineffective looking boom which is tacit acknowledgment of a problem. Looks like there is plenty of room for a proper SuDS solution.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
@stkirsch Everyone is 2 years older, there are a fair number of elderly and 2 years takes most to the middle of winter. Do you expect people to live forever? So you counted the wrong number in Excel?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
The star may not be much of a newspaper but every now and again, it hits the spot
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
3 years
Goodbye 2021 I just hope we don't end up looking back on you with fondness But with this shitty government anything is possible
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Why does John Campbell always ignore population growth and aging when he quotes excess deaths? 1/4
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
3 years
New Zealand. Omicron case from UK completed 7 days of managed isolation with 3 negative tests then tested positive 9 days after arrival. >=10 days after infection?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@JuliaHB1 @Saffiya_Khan1 @UkTruth2020 @Jinx_OliveEater Hi Julia. Hope this helps. 6 out of 10 excess deaths in 2023 involve COVID.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@Gilesyb @FT Very similar to the latest from the OBR
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@martinedwards29 @chrischirp Rates appear to be falling in London, especially in children and young adults. But not for the over 50s.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
Bugger Forgot to claim my $250,000
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
Oh dear. @stkirsch has made an absolutely basic programming error. He’s only gone and counted people twice. 1/3
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Solved the mystery of Barry’s numbers. He’s only included people who didn’t subsequently have a dose from another batch. So lots of survivors excluded from his numbers. But I can now identify the 152 people who died from Batch 1 only. 1/3
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
One of the unforeseen consequences of the pandemic is that I can no longer bear to watch a rerun of any documentary featuring the coast guy.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
11 months
@edwinhayward From memory, UK certifiers used to earn £1-2 billion pa from 3rd countries to certify products for the EU market. All gone now. BSI and Lloyds Register have beefed up their Netherlands subsidiaries to continue to handle long term clients.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@MarinaPurkiss Looks as if he didn't even realise what he was proposing was wrong until it was pointed out to him. His Eton housemaster was right.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@DailyMailUK commissioned Savanta to carry out a poll on the Rwanda proposal But YouGov carried out a poll on this subject, probably on the same day, with completely different results SV 47% for, 26% against, 27% other YG 27% for, 35% against, 23% other What’s going on 1/7
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
8 months
Is that all you’ve got Steve? Whatever happened to “debate me”?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
8 months
Well this is curious. In the latest @stkirsch survey, the largest number of vaccine-related deaths occurred in unvaccinated households. A couple of possible explanations. 1/
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
Hey @stkirsch Who is this poor child in your study who has had 1.5 million vaccinations?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Let’s have another look. 1/
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
It could be worse If Thérèse Coffey was Secretary of State for Transport, she would be advocating the repeal of the seat-belt legislation and for people to be able to carry out and sign off their own DoT tests.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Or as Jacob Rees-Mogg would say “They’re now British turds and they’re better and happier turds for it.”
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
That dip didn't last for long.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
PCR Test Reporting 1/4 In theory, the majority of new cases should be reported within 5 days of the specimen date; that assumption underpins the reported rolling rates and the interactive map. But in recent days, increasing numbers have not been reported until day 6 or 7.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Disinformation from the guys who stole the New Zealand vaccination data. Here’s some right tosh from Kirsch about dose 1. But.. 1/15
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
Well this is odd @ClareCraigPath draws a conclusion from some erroneous date. I point out the errors & draw the correct conclusion but she says I can’t do that. For doing what she did but with the correct data. Is there one rule for her and another rule for the rest of us?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
Hey @stkirsch < Your plot of deaths all aged 70+ following dose 1. Days [690-720] 70 deaths per week > Your plot of a subset of those aged 80+ following dose 1. 78 deaths per week in that period How’s that even possible? Do you have negative deaths in ages 70-79?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
I do hope they bring back 1" to the mile OS maps. It's so much easier to do the mental arithmetic at a scale of 1 to 63,360 than at 1 to 50,000.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
8 months
This analysis by Alegria has been touted by @DowdEdward and others but contains a fundamental flaw. TDLR all his figures for 2021 and 2022 are false. 1/
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
I'm old enough to remember when the Times and Sunday Times were newspapers .
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
9 months
Funny old world. Admissions up 24.8% Beds up 15.9% Critical care bed up 15.3% (bit of a step in the last 3 days)
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@BBCLauraKT Accidentally? He's focused on the leadership not a GE He's got 2 years to lie his way out
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
The Mail says we should drop partygate and focus on the really important issues facing the country - like slagging off Harry and Meghan
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
3 years
@dgurdasani1 It's looking unsafe to me for many
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@MarkWar16520311 AVPS Knowing an anti-vaxxer increases your chance of a vaccine injury by a factor of hundreds. Best way to stay safe is to avoid anti-vaxxers like the plague.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
5 months
What does this even mean? A. The Trust regrets disliking our nation. B. It is regrettable that the Trust dislikes our nation. C. Rees-Mogg is a complete and utter tosspot.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@chrischirp Perhaps the most significant thing in this week's CIS is the rise in prevalence in the 70+ age band. The confidence intervals for this band are reasonably tight.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Honoured to be made this list but since I am #BlockedByKirschI ’m not sure what the point of his post is. Some odd Nuremberg 2 enthusiasts now popping up all over my timeline though. 1/2
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@chrischirp Fingers crossed for you and your mother The antivirals not prescribed at weekends comes as a shock. So many relying on antivirals.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Terrifying that Rees-Mogg could be in charge of Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy In 7 months he has failed to find a single substantive Brexit opportunity Brexit is shite but there must be something
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@MrsNigel Not sure Johnson may have moved on himself You know what he's like Nads is probably on tenterhooks
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
5 months
IT’S A MIRACLE According to @sco0psmcgoo ���s spreadsheet, unvaccinated New Zealanders are rising from their graves 1/ @thereal_truther @MauritzPreller @MongolFier6
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
Truss would have to be very, very stupid to call a general election any time soon. So perhaps there's hope of that happening.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
11 months
@sophielouisecc Fancy a job at my asbestos removal company?
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@amandajplatell This is an issue about which anybody associated with the Daily Mail should be very, very careful what they say.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Simpson’s paradox or as I prefer to call it, Kirsch’s Conundrum I have a demo data set loosely based on the NZ data but with 3 broad age bands only Individual curves A, B and C are fine but when combined there’s a scary peak at week 26 Denouement on next post then explanation
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
And here’s what batch 10 really looks like. Bear in mind that with 80% of doses administered in August 2021, there is bound to be a strong seasonal pattern.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@attorneygeneral @Telegraph So. Basing policy on whether or not you think you can get away with it.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
3 years
1/2. Huge lag on reporting in London with 11.2% of cases reported tonight being for samples more than 5 days ago. Was 4.2% last night.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
I don't think Grant Shapps has declared for anyone yet So that's 4 votes going begging
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
8 months
@gtuckerkellogg @stkirsch But the schedule included singing. To good to miss.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
@stkirsch New Zealand period life tables 2017-19. This is how death works.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@thehistoryguy In the ONS detail data, only 2,489 gave their religion as Druid, the most British religion of all. On the other hand, 73,737 claimed to be pagans. Presumably they are the descendants of Anglo-Saxon and Danish economic migrants who arrived illegally by small boat.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
@stkirsch Oh look. Kirsch has unblocked me in order to post a sarcastic comment. I mainly used his spreadsheet.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
Simpson's Paradox (aka Kirsch's conundrum)
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@AndyBurnhamGM A reward for his sterling work not finding any Brexit opportunities.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
5 months
Looks like @stkirsch is running out of steam on the NZ data. His latest newsletter is extremely lame. First he repeats this tired old meme. 1/
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
More details here, except the Home office plan to house 500 refugees in a space currently configured for 222.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
6 months
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
Why does Laurence Fox exist? It's a fair question.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
7 months
@stkirsch Hi Steve This is your spreadsheet except I have added a column for each age band and used your formula to calculate the MRs then used ESP2013 to calculate the ASMRs. Yes it is that bloody simple. But you won’t like the answers. ps Time zones.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@AllisonPearson View of the Gibraltar First Minster “Hugh Elliot is a committed patriot and a friend of Gibraltar'
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
1 year
@NatConTalk @DavidGHFrost "humorless"? Get yourself an English(UK) spellchecker.
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@UncleJo46902375
Uncle John Returns
2 years
@fascinatorfun What's fascinating is that Johnson obviously saw nothing wrong with gifting his latest squeeze a taxpayer-funded sinecure. He didn't even realise it might attract criticism until advised.
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