Csaba G. Tóth
@TothGCsaba
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Economist, demographer. @HunRenKrtkKti
Budapest, Magyarország
Joined April 2017
Rising life expectancy in Central & Eastern Europe offset a third of the population decline from low fertility from 1990 to 2020. Meanwhile, the positive effect of a young age structure balanced out losses from negative net migration. 📢My new paper on population dynamics is out!😀 #demography #fertiliy #migration #Hungary #Poland
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RT @TothGCsaba: Hungary's population dropped by 3% over the past decade by January 2025, returning to 1953 levels, when a temporary abortio…
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Hungary's population dropped by 3% over the past decade by January 2025, returning to 1953 levels, when a temporary abortion ban was introduced. However, the current population is nearly one-third larger than those living in the same geographical area at the start of the 20th century. #demography #fertility #hungary
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Delayed childbearing might boost fertility in unexpected ways: twin births increase with maternal age. #demography #fertlility #Hungary
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The fertility of Roma women is far ("by around one and a half children") above the majority population average in all birth cohorts in Hungary, Romania, Slovakia and Serbia. This is partly because the proportion of less educated women is much higher among them. Excellent paper: #demography #fertility #Hungary #Serbia #Slovakia #Romania #birth
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Which factor most impacted Eastern Europe's population from 1990–2020? (See the first comment for the correct answer.)
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"Our examples for Hungary illustrate that the TFR can easily send wrong signals about fertility trends and their underlying drivers: the seemingly impressive upturns in the TFR have been largely fueled by a slowdown in the shift to later parenthood and have not been mirrored in corresponding upturns in cohort fertility or in tempo-adjusted period fertility indicators."
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@TPCarney I think it can be explained by the fact that childbearing was brought forward around 2020-21 when generous governmental incentives were introduced. And now we can see a kind of correction. So it's mostly timing at the end of the day,
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Rising life expectancy in Central & Eastern Europe offset a third of the population decline from low fertility from 1990 to 2020. Meanwhile, the positive effect of a young age structure balanced out losses from negative net migration. 📢My new paper on population dynamics is out!😀 #demography #fertiliy #migration #Hungary #Poland
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Rising life expectancy in Central & Eastern Europe offset a third of the population decline from low fertility from 1990 to 2020. Meanwhile, the positive effect of a young age structure balanced out losses from negative net migration. 📢My new paper on population dynamics is out!😀 #demography #fertiliy #migration #Hungary #Poland
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Rising life expectancy in Central & Eastern Europe offset a third of the population decline from low fertility from 1990 to 2020. Meanwhile, the positive effect of a young age structure balanced out losses from negative net migration. 📢My new paper on population dynamics is out!😀 #demography #fertiliy #migration #Hungary #Poland
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Rising life expectancy in Central & Eastern Europe offset a third of the population decline from low fertility from 1990 to 2020. Meanwhile, the positive effect of a young age structure balanced out losses from negative net migration. 📢My new paper on population dynamics is out!😀 #demography #fertiliy #migration #Hungary #Poland
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@whyvert Good question. :) I think that a part of it can be explained by the fact that childbearing was brought forward around 2020-21 when generous governmental incentives were introduced.
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Hungary's fertility rate fell to 1.38, and annual births dropped to a historic low in 2024—from 86,000 last year to 78,000. #demography #fertility #Hungary
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Hungary's fertility rate fell to 1.38, and annual births dropped to a historic low in 2024—from 86,000 last year to 78,000. #demography #fertility #Hungary
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