The Touchdown Factory
@TD_Factory
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🏈 The Touchdown Factory | Fantasy football tips, rankings, sleepers, and winning strategies. Dominate your league! #FantasyFootball #NFL
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If Alexander Mattison is still on your fantasy radar, he shouldn’t be
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Drake London is talented and walking into a much improved situation in Atlanta. But he may be the most overrated WR on draft boards right now. I'd like someone more proven in the 2nd or 3rd round of my draft.
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His elite days are likely over, but I think Austin Ekeler is a good value in PPR leagues right now. He reunites with Anthony Lynn who certainly knows how to utilize him and was banged up last year. Can probably get him for pennies on the dollar in dynasty leagues right now, too.
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The Rashee Rice offseason has drained his value in drafts. But there is a good chance he will not be suspended until next season. He's likely Mahomes top receiver and will look to build off a WR27 rookie campaign in PPR leagues. I'm buying the dip.
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I’m doing my best to ignore the fall in dynasty rankings for Tee Higgins. The Bengals should bounce back this year to the point he should be startable and I’m just waiting this out until he’s a WR1 elsewhere… the talent is there!
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‼️‼️‼️ great late round value in dynasty rookie drafts right now
Ricky Pearsall gets all the
#49ers
hype but if Brandon Aiyuk gets traded you should not be sleeping on Jacob Cowing in that offense.
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Davante Adams may surprise many by making my top 10 WRs. Sure, AOC may be his QB, but sometimes you just have to bank on the talent. Adams has been a top 10 WR in PPG since 2016, and he's still got it.
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Guys I traded for in Dynasty this off-season:
Justin Tucker
Nick Bolton
Deshaun
Dak
DJ Moore
Jakobi Meyers
Patrick Queen
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2024 PPR WR Redraft Rankings (11-20):
11. Michael Pittman Jr.
12. Chris Olave
13. Nico Collins
14. Cooper Kupp
15. Amari Cooper
16. Devonta Smith
17. DJ Moore
18. Mike Evans
19. Stefon Diggs
20. DK Metcalf
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2024 Top 10 PPR WR Redraft Rankings:
1. Ceedee Lamb
2. Tyreek Hill
3. Jamarr Chase
4. Justin Jefferson
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown
6. A.J. Brown
7. Davante Adams
8. Puka Nacua
9. Garrett Wilson
10. Jaylen Waddle
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I love the talent of Zay Flowers and he will continue to progress. But BAL has been far from a paradise for WR's for a while and he certainly benefitted from Lamar's favorite target being injured down the stretch. I think things offset and he finishes in same ballpark in 2024.
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Definitely IMO
Will Russell Wilson be better with the Steelers than he was with the Broncos?
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A lot of noise with Javonte Williams and I'll admit that even I am an Audric Estime truther. Williams has shed some weight, came off injury last szn, and hopefully we will see more from Sean Payton's offense this year.
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Someone's gotta catch balls for the Chargers right? Enter Joshua Palmer.
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Also buying the upside of Achane, but there is a risk. I have him as RB8. League winning upside, but I'd be a lot happier drafting him in the second round than the first.
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As crazy as it is to think about, Hunter Henry is the most proven pass catcher on the Patriots. Can he be a security blanket for Drake Maye when he's ready? Not a bad little backup TE to have.
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32 year old Keenan Allen has been so dependable for years now. He will now likely serve as a 2nd option. Him being on the Bears does not scare me - I actually think they will have a good offense. His value takes a slight hit but still think he is a great value right now.
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Seeing some crazy bold predictions on the TL. Loving it though! Guess it’s my turn… I’ll brainstorm
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Top 10 PPR RB Redraft Rankings:
1. CMC
2. Breece Hall
3. Bijan Robinson
4. Jahmyr Gibbs
5. Saquon Barkley
6. Jonathan Taylor
7. Travis Etienne
8. De'Von Achane
9. Kyren Williams
10. Alvin Kamara
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Don’t think his value changes much
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People are so quick to forget with Austin Ekeler. He is reunited with a former coach and is provided with a change of scenery. In 14 games last season, he finished as the RB26 in PPR. All it takes is some semblance of a bounce back and he can crush his ADP.
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Aiyuk and Deebo will remain lower on my list until we have clarity in San Francisco. Will reevaluate from there!
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I am all aboard the Caleb Williams train at ADP QB15. His rushing ability has a built in floor and he has a ridiculous set of weapons at his disposal.
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Calvin Ridley was incredibly frustrating to own last year and seemed to never truly click with Trevor Lawrence. Regardless he was WR18 in PPR leagues. He is way too undervalued right now.
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Just don't get why Devonta Smith is going as late as he is in drafts...
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People are going to buy the brand name of Marvin Harrison in drafts. I think he will be a star, but it won't be me reaching. At the end of the day he is still a rookie and while he should get target share, he's simply going too early for me to justify taking him.
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Yes, I put Kamara in my top 10. I feel like people are acting like he's 32 or something. Sure he's getting up there and may not be as explosive, but this is a guy who had a single-digit PPR output in just one game last year. Can't beat that consistency.
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2024 PPR WR Redraft Rankings (41-50):
41. Brian Thomas Jr.
42. Joshua Palmer
43. Jordan Addison
44. Josh Downs
45. Ladd McConkey
46. Courtland Sutton
47. Jayden Reed
48. JSN
49. Xavier Worthy
50. Romeo Doubs
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I think JuJu reunion may be imminent
Let’s check in on the Chiefs revamped WR room:
Rashee Rice - Probably suspended
Hollywood Brown - Already hurt
Xavier Worthy - Same weight as me
Kadarius Toney - lol
Skyy Moore - Definitely gonna breakout this time just wait
Things are looking good
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Anyone else feel like Mark Andrews is being serious undervalued right now?
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For you IDPers out there… Junior Colson is my highest ranked rookie.
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Reminder: Christian Kirk is not that good. Could Brian Thomas be the breakout rookie???
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QB Rankings (1-10):
1. Patrick Mahomes
2. Lamar Jackson
3. Josh Allen
4. Jalen Hurts
5. Anthony Richardson
6. CJ Stroud
7. Joe Burrow
8. Dak Prescott
9. Kyler Murray
10. Jordan Love
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If Juju signed with the Bills and stayed healthy, where would he finish in PPR leagues?
Top 20
1
Top 35
1
Top 50
3
Outside top 50, he toast
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I probably won’t draft him anywhere but if he’s sitting on a dynasty waiver wire it’s worth a pick up and wait and see approach
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If Aiyuk ends up elsewhere, Kittle moves above Engram.
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A little lower than ADP on Xavier Worthy, but I am definitely a fan and obviously he's catching balls from Mahomes. Opportunities may arise early with Hollywood injury, not sure that Rice will be suspended yet though. He may end up the 4th pass catcher for KC, not ideal.
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50/50 tie between Mahomes and Allen… For me, it’s Mahomes. He should be playing in a much more complete offense this year with the additions of Hollywood and Worthy. Obviously JA has the rushing stats, but I can’t envision a world where the QB1 is throwing to Shakir, Samuel…
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We’ve got a tie as of now between JA and Mahomes!
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I’ll be buying the dip on Hollywood Brown likely being out week 1
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Jakobi Meyers is a VALUE right now. I get that the situation in Vegas is not ideal, but it wasn't last year either when he had his 3rd consecutive top 30 PPR finish. He's not a sexy pick, but great depth for your bench.
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There was a lot of hype for Okonkwo going into 2023, and he was disappointing. At this rate in the draft though, you have to bank on talent at TE. Post-hype sleeper?
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Still staying away in fantasy
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I hate owning corners in IDP (at least with default Sleeper settings). Usually when I get one that breaks out I sell high. I’m making an exception for Kenny Moore though. He gets a lot of tackles and good chance he’s available in your league simply because of his listed position.
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2024 PPR WR Redraft Rankings (31-40):
31. Zay Flowers
32. Chris Godwin
33. Christian Kirk
34. Tank Dell
35. George Pickens
36. Diontae Johnson
37. Christian Watson
38. Jakobi Meyers
39. DeAndre Hopkins
40. Jameson Williams
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I’m simply the type of guy who doesn’t care if he is drafting 1st or 12th… what is your preferred draft pick?
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Waddle at WR10 may be high for many. 2023 was disappointing due to injury and only finding the endzone 4 times. A combination of good health, positive TD regression, and simply continuing to develop at age 25 can compound into a top 10 season similar to what we saw in 2022.
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2024 Redraft PPR TE Rankings (1-10):
1. Travis Kelce
2. Sam LaPorta
3. Mark Andrews
4. Trey McBride
5. Dalton Kincaid
6. Evan Engram
7. George Kittle
8. Kyle Pitts
9. Brock Bowers
10. Jake Ferguson
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Still blows my mind every year how bad of a product preseason football is😂
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The Darnold Era begins
#Vikings
first-round QB JJ McCarthy underwent a full meniscus repair this morning and is out for the 2024 season, sources tell me and
@TomPelissero
.
The repair, done by Dr. Chris Larson at Twin Cities Orthopedics, gives McCarthy the best chance at a long, successful career.
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Reminder: You have to draft league winners. Brooks and Chubb are my favorite injury stashes and while you may not get instant gratification, is drafting an RB like Devin Singletary going to win you a championship? I think not.
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Who is the best value in fantasy drafts right now???
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Pretty close on this poll… but I think it shows that there is certainly a chance. And if you’re drafting late in dynasty drafts, you gotta try to sniff out opportunity
Does Spencer Rattler take Derek Carr’s job at some point in 2024?
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There's no way to sugarcoat it - the start of Jameson Williams' career has been disappointing. Recovering from an ACL tear and big suspension certainly have not helped. He has a ton of talent though and I think if he is ever going to break out the time is now.
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I love the talent on Josh Downs - plenty of opportunity if ARich has the type of season many are anticipating.
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Who will be the Packers WR1? Watson? Reed? Doubs? I like Watson more, maybe it is Reed... but I won't be reaching for either one. (Still a Doubs fan too).
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A few spots higher on ADP on Rhomondre. I think he is probably somewhere in between where he finished in 2022 and 2023. If healthy, he should be a decent RB2.
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Official logo and banner coming shortly... football season can't get here soon enough!
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2024 Redraft PPR TE Rankings (11-20):
11. Dallas Goedert
12. TJ Hockenson
13. Dalton Schultz
14. David Njoku
15. Pat Freiermuth
16. Hunter Henry
17. Cole Kmet
18. Taysom Hill
19. Chigoziem Okonkwo
20. Isaiah Likely
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Joe Burrow was dealt a bad hand last year… but I fully expect him to bounce back. As long as guys like Joe Cool and Dak are on the field, you can expect gunslinging volume, and they’re throwing to great receivers. Burrow is my QB6.
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David Njoku had a career year last year. But between Deshaun Watson being the QB now and adding Jerry Jeudy, will that continue? I am fading, personally.
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Favorite Platform?
ESPN
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Sleeper
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Yahoo
2
Other (list below!)
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Dalton Schultz has been a top 12 TE the last 4 seasons. Yes, many mouths to feed in Houston, but if they end up as a top 5 offense like many believe they can, he will still be a beneficiary and a startable TE.
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Who will be the 2024 QB1?
Josh Allen
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Jalen Hurts
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Patrick Mahomes
5
Other (comment below)
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Yes, the Cardinals drafted Marvin Harrison. And yes, they brought in Zay Jones. Still loving Michael Wilson as a target in dynasty… talent over everything. I think he fends off Jones as the WR2 this year.
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I will not draft Courtland Sutton ever again. Repeat. I will not draft Courtland Sutton ever again.
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Worth keeping an eye on
Puka Nacua left practice a little over an an hour into it after a team drills period, and did not return to play but stayed in uniform and helmet on sideline. He had a bag of ice wrapped around his right knee.
Sean McVay says he is “not sure” what happened.
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If Trenton Simpson is still available in your IDP league, scoop him up right now…
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Easily
Is Alvin Kamara being drafted too late in fantasy drafts? 👀
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RIP to Jacoby Jones. Guy made some amazing plays throughout his career, but it’s clear from the words of teammates and those that knew him that he was a far greater human being.
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What a time to be alive
Lamar handing off to Derrick Henry is absolutely terrifying.
Imagine having to try to tackle one and then the other 😭
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2024 PPR WR Redraft Rankings (21-30):
21. Marvin Harrison Jr.
22. Brandon Aiyuk
23. Rashee Rice
24. Drake London
25. Malik Nabors
26. Keenan Allen
27. Deebo Samuel
28. Calvin Ridley
29. Tee Higgins
30. Terry McLaurin
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Wouldn’t freak out just yet, but certainly notable given the signing
RB Joe Mixon is not practicing for the Texans today. He did not practice Saturday, either.
New Texans RB Cam Akers was spotted at practice, however.
(Via
@jonmalexander
)
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Always make your own rankings!!!
Taking advantage of ADP on the site you play on is huge
ESPN vs Underdog
De’Von Achane RB13 vs RB7
Stefon Diggs WR14 vs WR23
Calvin Ridley WR28 vs WR35
Drake London WR15 vs WR10
ESPN will shift in August but keep an eye on ADP to find some advantages (or avoid bad values)
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Tank Dell is so talented, but I think it's clear he is gonna be the WR3 in Houston. Unless the Texans offense looks like the 2013 Broncos they will not have 3 top fantasy WRs. I think he is going to be boom or bust in 2024.
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I feel like Dak’s entire career has been one long contract negotiation lol
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I'm a bit higher than consensus on DJ Moore. I don't expect a repeat of last offseason, and yes there are mouths to feed. But I think the Bears offense will be pretty good and I also think he will be the top receiver in that offense.
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If someone told you just a few years ago that Dalvin Cook, Leonard Fournette, and Juju Smith-Schuster would all be unsigned entering the 2024 season, would you believe them? Crazy how fast things change in the NFL.
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Love the talent for Jordan Addison, but not this year with the QB situation.
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Reminder: Bill Belichick is gone… can we trust Pats RBs again? Liking Stevenson as a bounce back candidate.
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Michael Pittman as fantastic last season. If ARich can be as good as many have hyped him up to be this offseason, he can be a top 10 guy.
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Reminder: odds are there probably will not be a “2024 Puka Nacua”
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Great guy to round out your receiving corp with late. Seemed to develop more chemistry with Dak later in the season.
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I’ll be keeping an eye on this. Juju has become a bit of a running joke. But reality is New England was a nightmare situation and he was unhealthy. Seems like a lifetime ago, but he was PPR WR27 a couple years ago. Right landing spot he may be able to deliver a top 40 season.
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@JakesFFootball
He certainly has not looked like the same guy… but I think we will know after this year where he’s at. I went out and bought low in dynasty this off-season in hopes of him being able to put up 75-80% of his fantasy scoring from his time in Houston.
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Can we just wrap up this Aiyuk drama one way or the other already?
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@SmallTalkFF
@ChessLiam
I get that Milroe-led offense wasn't an ideal situation, but he had Bryce Young in 2022. Reality is that the whole 2 years he was there, nobody stepped up to be a true WR1 for Bama. He was just inconsistent. I think he can play in the NFL, but complementary role.
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@JakesFFootball
I’m surely not writing off Deshaun. Super talented. Think biggest thing here is him missing so much action last few years. Injuries, Browns QB curse don’t help either and who knows where his head is at confidence-wise after all that’s transpired.
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Love Shaheed for Best Ball this year
Rashid Shaheed in nine career games with a 70% route participation or higher:
12 fantasy points per game (PPR)
20% target share
1.95 YPRR over first two seasons (WR2-worthy)
Klint Kubiak's arrival should mean an increase in 2-WR sets, play action and motion. (WR cheat codes)
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QB Rankings (11-20):
11. Justin Herbert
12. Tua Tagovailoa
13. Caleb Williams
14. Brock Purdy
15. Jayden Daniels
16. Aaron Rodgers
17. Jared Goff
18. Kirk Cousins
19. Trevor Lawrence
20. Matthew Stafford
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